Dividend Stocks

Stocks our engine values on their dividend stream (DDM) — utilities, REITs and steady payers.

For companies whose main return is the dividend, we value the dividend stream itself. These are the names our engine routed to a Dividend Discount Model.
Market state today: Calm — the S&P 500 closed 1.8% below its 1-year high (as of 2026-09-11). Our rule, the same one used to split every backtest on this site: sell-off = 10% or more below the 1-year high, borderline from 5%, calm otherwise. A further 8.4% fall from here would put us in a sell-off. Since 2006 the market has been in a sell-off 16.6% of the time, across 13 episodes (red bands).
2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
S&P 500 (SPY, adjusted) distance from its trailing 1-year high, weekly. Amber band: borderline (−5% to −10%). Red band: sell-off (below −10%). The dot is today. History to 2026-08-19 from the research database; today from the live feed.
Backtest · point in time · 8,702 entries in the study

Do dividend payers beat the market? The record

Screen tested: Dividend yield 2.0–12.0% at the filing date · bought the day of the annual report, held 12 months
Could be luck Buy every company that met this screen on the day it filed its annual report, hold 12 months: on average it beat the S&P 500 by +0.9 pts (2,386 entries, 334 companies, could be luck). 47% of entries beat the S&P; 13% beat it by 30 points or more; 23% trailed it by 20 points or more. Owning everything instead averaged +1.7 pts, so the screen's edge is −0.8 pts.
+0.9 ptsvs S&P, average
47%beat the S&P
13%up 30+ pts vs S&P
23%down 20+ pts vs S&P
+3.1 ptsvs small caps, 12 mo
−19.8 pts 2023worst year to buy ?
1.1luck check ?
Does the holding period matter?3 mo: +0.0 pts 49% beat6 mo: −0.8 pts 47% beat12 mo: +0.9 pts 47% beat24 mo: −0.6 pts 42% beat3 yr, per yr: −3.5 pts 36% beat
Market state at entryCompany-yearsvs S&P 12 movs small caps
Calm ◀ today2,097+1.4 pts t 1.7+3.9 pts
Sell-off (S&P ≥10% off high)289−2.8 pts t -1.0−2.1 pts
Sector (SEC group)nvs S&P 12 mo3 yrs / yr
Industrials & manufacturing704+1.7 pts t 1.2−4.4 pts
Utilities262−2.5 pts t -1.8−3.1 pts
Energy217+1.8 pts t 0.5−6.6 pts
Retail & consumer179+2.9 pts t 0.9−0.7 pts
Tech hardware & semis171−0.4 pts t -0.1−3.1 pts
Finance & real estate144+2.4 pts t 0.9+1.8 pts
Other132+1.9 pts t 0.6−3.1 pts
Services106−0.5 pts t -0.2+0.1 pts
REITs71−5.0 pts t -1.7−12.2 pts
Biotech & pharma68+9.2 pts t 0.9−2.6 pts
Food, drink & tobacco68−5.6 pts t -2.0−6.3 pts
Banks56−2.4 pts t -0.8−9.6 pts

Holds up out of sample? Before 2017: +3.6 pts (n 979, t 3.5). From 2017: −1.0 pts (n 1,407, t -0.9). Flips sign between halves — treat as noise.

Year20092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
vs S&P+18 pts+7 pts+2 pts+7 pts+1 pts−2 pts+1 pts+11 pts+2 pts+1 pts−10 pts+10 pts+7 pts+4 pts−20 pts−7 pts+3 pts
n448103151175155158185156149157182138136162172155

Read the research behind this screen: Dividend yield: a modest, real edge — until it gets extreme → · Test your own combination in the Screen Lab →

Yield from the fiscal year's declared dividends per share ÷ price on the 10-K filing date. Financials included. Point-in-time: each entry is one company bought at the first close after its 10-K filing date, using only filings available that day, held 12 months; result = total return minus SPY over the same months (vs IWM for 12 months; 3-yr annualised). Survivorship-tilted universe; no costs; read spreads, not levels. Educational, hypothetical, before costs.

Clear
255 stocks · page 1 of 5
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
SWX
Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
Fairly valued
Utilities
Price$86.11
Model IV$85.65
P/IV1.01
Premium +1% Return to IV: -0.5%
ALX
ALEXANDERS INC
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$249.18
Model IV$241.22
P/IV1.02
Premium +3% Return to IV: -3.2%
LNT
ALLIANT ENERGY CORP
Fairly valued
Utilities
Price$67.26
Model IV$70.14
P/IV1.02
Discount 4% Return to IV: +4.3%
NSA
National Storage Affiliates Trust
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$43.41
Model IV$41.72
P/IV1.02
Premium +4% Return to IV: -3.9%
AMT
AMERICAN TOWER CORP /MA/
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$177.85
Model IV$181.13
P/IV1.03
Discount 2% Return to IV: +1.8%
REG
REGENCY CENTERS CORP
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$74.62
Model IV$74.58
P/IV1.04
Premium +0% Return to IV: -0.1%
KRG
KITE REALTY GROUP TRUST
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$25.89
Model IV$26.29
P/IV1.04
Discount 2% Return to IV: +1.5%
CWT
CALIFORNIA WATER SERVICE GROUP
Fairly valued
Utilities
Price$48.22
Model IV$42.99
P/IV1.05
Premium +12% Return to IV: -10.8%
XEL
XCEL ENERGY INC
Fairly valued
Utilities
Price$75.50
Model IV$75.54
P/IV1.05
Discount 0% Return to IV: +0.1%
YORW
YORK WATER CO
Fairly valued
Utilities
Price$33.17
Model IV$28.29
P/IV1.06
Premium +17% Return to IV: -14.7%
PMTV
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$25.33
Model IV$23.63
P/IV1.07
Premium +7% Return to IV: -6.7%
TXNM
TXNM ENERGY INC
Fairly valued
Utilities
Price$57.67
Model IV$55.38
P/IV1.07
Premium +4% Return to IV: -4.0%
D
DOMINION ENERGY, INC
Fairly valued
Utilities
Price$64.36
Model IV$62.33
P/IV1.07
Premium +3% Return to IV: -3.2%
HIW
HIGHWOODS PROPERTIES, INC.
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$30.93
Model IV$24.27
P/IV1.08
Premium +27% Return to IV: -21.5%
GOODN
GLADSTONE COMMERCIAL CORP
Fairly valued
Real Estate
Price$22.01
Model IV$20.95
P/IV1.08
Premium +5% Return to IV: -4.8%
WMB
WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC.
Fairly valued
Utilities
Price$72.85
Model IV$66.00
P/IV1.08
Premium +10% Return to IV: -9.4%
PMTU
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$25.92
Model IV$23.63
P/IV1.08
Premium +10% Return to IV: -8.8%
PMTW
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$25.18
Model IV$23.63
P/IV1.09
Premium +7% Return to IV: -6.2%
INN
Summit Hotel Properties, Inc.
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$5.59
Model IV$5.29
P/IV1.09
Premium +6% Return to IV: -5.3%
COLD
AMERICOLD REALTY TRUST
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$14.62
Model IV$14.37
P/IV1.09
Premium +2% Return to IV: -1.7%
AWK
American Water Works Company, Inc.
Fairly valued
Utilities
Price$137.69
Model IV$112.67
P/IV1.09
Premium +22% Return to IV: -18.2%
PNW
PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORP
Fairly valued
Utilities
Price$96.10
Model IV$90.54
P/IV1.10
Premium +6% Return to IV: -5.8%
AEE
AMEREN CORP
Fairly valued
Utilities
Price$104.90
Model IV$97.92
P/IV1.10
Premium +7% Return to IV: -6.7%
ADAM
ADAMAS TRUST, INC.
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$9.09
Model IV$8.31
P/IV1.11
Premium +9% Return to IV: -8.5%
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$38.04
Model IV$32.05
P/IV1.11
Premium +19% Return to IV: -15.7%
EQR
EQUITY RESIDENTIAL
Fairly valued
Financial Services
Price$63.66
Model IV$59.04
P/IV1.11
Premium +8% Return to IV: -7.3%
NEE
NEXTERA ENERGY INC
Fairly valued
Utilities
Price$82.31
Model IV$78.45
P/IV1.11
Premium +5% Return to IV: -4.7%
SRE
SEMPRA
Overvalued
Utilities
Price$83.34
Model IV$76.93
P/IV1.16
Premium +8% Return to IV: -7.7%
CIMP
CHIMERA INVESTMENT CORP
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$25.07
Model IV$21.56
P/IV1.16
Premium +16% Return to IV: -14.0%
CIMO
CHIMERA INVESTMENT CORP
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$25.28
Model IV$21.56
P/IV1.17
Premium +17% Return to IV: -14.7%
CIMN
CHIMERA INVESTMENT CORP
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$25.10
Model IV$21.56
P/IV1.17
Premium +16% Return to IV: -14.1%
IDA
IDACORP INC
Overvalued
Utilities
Price$135.54
Model IV$119.36
P/IV1.18
Premium +14% Return to IV: -11.9%
CUBE
CubeSmart
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$39.54
Model IV$47.26
P/IV1.18
Discount 16% Return to IV: +19.5%
MSEX
MIDDLESEX WATER CO
Overvalued
Utilities
Price$56.69
Model IV$44.36
P/IV1.18
Premium +28% Return to IV: -21.7%
NI
NISOURCE INC.
Overvalued
Utilities
Price$41.39
Model IV$38.80
P/IV1.19
Premium +7% Return to IV: -6.3%
MFAN
MFA FINANCIAL, INC.
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$25.13
Model IV$21.02
P/IV1.19
Premium +20% Return to IV: -16.4%
MFAO
MFA FINANCIAL, INC.
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$25.17
Model IV$21.02
P/IV1.20
Premium +20% Return to IV: -16.5%
KRC
KILROY REALTY CORP
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$34.90
Model IV$28.48
P/IV1.20
Premium +23% Return to IV: -18.4%
CTRE
CareTrust REIT, Inc.
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$38.62
Model IV$33.92
P/IV1.20
Premium +14% Return to IV: -12.2%
OTTR
Otter Tail Corp
Overvalued
Utilities
Price$88.06
Model IV$71.94
P/IV1.20
Premium +22% Return to IV: -18.3%
AKR
ACADIA REALTY TRUST
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$19.77
Model IV$18.12
P/IV1.22
Premium +9% Return to IV: -8.3%
MGEE
MGE ENERGY INC
Overvalued
Utilities
Price$76.48
Model IV$61.82
P/IV1.22
Premium +24% Return to IV: -19.2%
CUZ
COUSINS PROPERTIES INC
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$28.19
Model IV$21.44
P/IV1.25
Premium +31% Return to IV: -23.9%
SMA
SmartStop Self Storage REIT, Inc.
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$32.12
Model IV$24.88
P/IV1.26
Premium +29% Return to IV: -22.5%
MITP
TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$25.22
Model IV$19.87
P/IV1.27
Premium +27% Return to IV: -21.2%
MITN
TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$25.46
Model IV$19.87
P/IV1.27
Premium +28% Return to IV: -21.9%
DTM
DT Midstream, Inc.
Overvalued
Utilities
Price$128.86
Model IV$109.71
P/IV1.28
Premium +17% Return to IV: -14.9%
STAG
STAG Industrial, Inc.
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$37.14
Model IV$29.39
P/IV1.29
Premium +26% Return to IV: -20.9%
GWRS
Global Water Resources, Inc.
Overvalued
Utilities
Price$8.71
Model IV$5.65
P/IV1.29
Premium +54% Return to IV: -35.1%
SAFE
Safehold Inc.
Overvalued
Financial Services
Price$14.03
Model IV$11.57
P/IV1.29
Premium +21% Return to IV: -17.5%
DRH
DiamondRock Hospitality Co
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services
Price$12.20
Model IV$8.41
P/IV1.31
Premium +45% Return to IV: -31.1%
LINE
Lineage, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services
Price$37.75
Model IV$33.93
P/IV1.31
Premium +11% Return to IV: -10.1%
ED
CONSOLIDATED EDISON INC
Deeply overvalued
Utilities
Price$106.46
Model IV$80.39
P/IV1.31
Premium +32% Return to IV: -24.5%
SOJD
SOUTHERN CO
Deeply overvalued
Utilities
Price$17.83
Model IV$55.73
P/IV1.32
Discount 68% Return to IV: +212.6%
AM
Antero Midstream Corp
Deeply overvalued
Utilities
Price$22.06
Model IV$15.82
P/IV1.33
Premium +39% Return to IV: -28.3%
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services
Price$38.41
Model IV$30.23
P/IV1.33
Premium +27% Return to IV: -21.3%
RGCO
RGC RESOURCES INC
Deeply overvalued
Utilities
Price$21.32
Model IV$17.35
P/IV1.33
Premium +23% Return to IV: -18.6%
NTIP
NETWORK-1 TECHNOLOGIES, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services
Price$1.63
Model IV$1.11
P/IV1.33
Premium +47% Return to IV: -31.9%
IVT
InvenTrust Properties Corp.
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services
Price$31.86
Model IV$24.82
P/IV1.33
Premium +28% Return to IV: -22.1%
BXP
BXP, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services
Price$64.70
Model IV$44.90
P/IV1.34
Premium +44% Return to IV: -30.6%