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Verdict

Most undervalued stocks right now

Recomputed daily from each company's filings and price. Cheap can mean overlooked or it can mean trouble: open any card for the failure-warning checks and insider activity before deciding which.

Every analyzed stock in Deep Undervalued — 594 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
"Deep Undervalued" by: Model value (price vs DCF) Owner-earnings return (equity bond)

This lens: each stock is priced as a bond whose coupon is its owner earnings (operating cash flow − all capex − stock compensation, three-year average) growing at the model's capped rate; "Deep Undervalued" here means IRR 10–30 points over Treasuries on a believable coupon (yield ≤ 25%; anything richer is a data flag, shown only on the full table) (10-yr Treasury 5.28% today). Full cross-comparison table →

Market state today: Calm — the S&P 500 closed 0.2% below its 1-year high (as of 2026-10-07). Our rule, the same one used to split every backtest on this site: sell-off = 10% or more below the 1-year high, borderline from 5%, calm otherwise. A further 9.8% fall from here would put us in a sell-off. Since 2006 the market has been in a sell-off 16.6% of the time, across 13 episodes (red bands).
2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
S&P 500 (SPY, adjusted) distance from its trailing 1-year high, weekly. Amber band: borderline (−5% to −10%). Red band: sell-off (below −10%). The dot is today. History to 2026-08-19 from the research database; today from the live feed.
Backtest · point in time · 8,702 entries in the study

Does this screen work? The record for exactly these filters

Screen tested: Owner-earnings 10-yr IRR 10–30 points over Treasuries, yield ≤ 25% · bought the day of the annual report, held 12 months
Could be luck ●●●●● Buy every company that met this screen on the day it filed its annual report, hold 12 months: on average it beat the S&P 500 by +2.8 pts (805 entries, 253 companies, could be luck). 47% of entries beat the S&P; 18% beat it by 30 points or more; 27% trailed it by 20 points or more. Owning everything instead averaged +1.7 pts, so the screen's edge is +1.1 pts.
+2.8 ptsvs S&P, average
47%beat the S&P
18%up 30+ pts vs S&P
27%down 20+ pts vs S&P
+6.1 ptsvs small caps, 12 mo
−14.6 pts 2024worst year to buy ?
1.7luck check ?
Does the holding period matter?3 mo: −0.7 pts 46% beat6 mo: +0.1 pts 44% beat12 mo: +2.8 pts 47% beat24 mo: +3.2 pts 42% beat3 yr, per yr: −1.0 pts 39% beat
Market state at entryCompany-yearsvs S&P 12 movs small caps
Calm ◀ today669+2.0 pts t 1.2+5.5 pts
Sell-off (S&P ≥10% off high)136+7.2 pts t 1.3+8.9 pts
Sector (SEC group)nvs S&P 12 mo3 yrs / yr
Industrials & manufacturing245+1.0 pts t 0.4−5.2 pts
Retail & consumer107+10.0 pts t 1.8+1.9 pts
Services79−3.2 pts t -0.5−1.9 pts
Energy67+3.4 pts t 0.5−4.9 pts
Other61−4.4 pts t -0.8−3.3 pts
Tech hardware & semis58−2.8 pts t -0.6−1.4 pts
Finance & real estate45+6.9 pts t 1.8+6.8 pts
Biotech & pharma27−4.0 pts t -0.5−4.6 pts

Holds up out of sample? Before 2018: +5.2 pts (n 283, t 2.3). From 2018: +1.6 pts (n 522, t 0.7). Same sign in both halves.

Year201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
vs S&P−11 pts+5 pts+8 pts−5 pts−4 pts+17 pts+8 pts−11 pts−14 pts+47 pts+10 pts+7 pts−15 pts−15 pts+3 pts
n12941495566425261715474876855

Read the research behind this screen: Ranking companies as equity bonds: the top fifth beats the bottom fifth by a wide margin → · Test your own combination in the Screen Lab →

Same definitions as the table: coupon = 3-yr average owner earnings, growth capped, 15× exit. Historical IRR uses a 5-yr revenue CAGR as the growth proxy where the DCF rate is not available point-in-time. Point-in-time: each entry is one company bought at the first close after its 10-K filing date, using only filings available that day, held 12 months; result = total return minus SPY over the same months (vs IWM for 12 months; 3-yr annualised). Survivorship-tilted universe; no costs; read spreads, not levels. Educational, hypothetical, before costs.

GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies Inc.
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield18.9%
Growth used9.3%
10-yr IRR34.5%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.28
Market implies -12.8%/yr vs model +9.3% · below model
CBAT
CBAK Energy Technology, Inc.
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield14.9%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR34.5%
Grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.59
Market implies +13.3%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model
VTS
Vitesse Energy, Inc.
Demanding to believe
Energy
Yield20.6%
Growth used6.7%
10-yr IRR33.9%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.41
Market implies -8.3%/yr vs model +6.7% · below model
SGU
STAR GROUP, L.P.
Demanding to believe
Consumer Cyclical
Yield20.3%
Growth used7.0%
10-yr IRR33.8%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.57
Market implies -3.1%/yr vs model +7.0% · below model
ALK
ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
Demanding to believe
Industrials
Yield19.4%
Growth used8.0%
10-yr IRR33.8%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.51
Market implies -5.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
CRTO
Criteo S.A.
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield20.3%
Growth used6.9%
10-yr IRR33.7%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.11
Market implies -10.3%/yr vs model +6.9% · below model
EGHT
8X8 INC /DE/
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield20.7%
Growth used6.1%
10-yr IRR33.5%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.92
Market implies +2.2%/yr vs model +6.1% · below model
CAL
CALERES INC
Demanding to believe
Consumer Cyclical
Yield20.6%
Growth used6.2%
10-yr IRR33.5%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.83
Market implies +11.1%/yr vs model +6.2% · above model
SANG
Sangoma Technologies Corp
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield19.1%
Growth used7.8%
10-yr IRR33.2%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.21
Market implies -14.0%/yr vs model +7.8% · below model
HOV
HOVNANIAN ENTERPRISES INC
Demanding to believe
Industrials
Yield23.1%
Growth used3.0%
10-yr IRR32.9%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.66
Market implies -6.3%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
JBI
Janus International Group, Inc.
Demanding to believe
Industrials
Yield23.2%
Growth used2.8%
10-yr IRR32.8%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.68
Market implies -4.9%/yr vs model +2.8% · below model
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Demanding to believe
Consumer Cyclical
Yield22.3%
Growth used3.6%
10-yr IRR32.7%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.40
Market implies -12.0%/yr vs model +3.6% · below model
MRDN
Meridian Holdings Inc./NV
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield13.7%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR32.7%
Grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.27
Market implies -2.2%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model
PR
Permian Resources Corp
Demanding to believe
Energy
Yield18.4%
Growth used8.0%
10-yr IRR32.6%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.46
Market implies -3.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
AFYA
Afya Ltd
Demanding to believe
Consumer Defensive
Yield17.3%
Growth used9.5%
10-yr IRR32.5%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.19
Market implies -14.1%/yr vs model +9.5% · below model
CALM
CAL-MAINE FOODS INC
Demanding to believe
Basic Materials
Yield18.7%
Growth used7.4%
10-yr IRR32.4%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.58
Market implies -3.6%/yr vs model +7.4% · below model
ACCO
ACCO BRANDS Corp
Demanding to believe
Communication Services
Yield22.0%
Growth used3.5%
10-yr IRR32.3%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.75
Market implies -1.8%/yr vs model +3.5% · below model
CRI
CARTERS INC
Demanding to believe
Consumer Cyclical
Yield21.0%
Growth used4.6%
10-yr IRR32.2%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 1.68
Market implies +10.8%/yr vs model +4.6% · above model
SKYW
SKYWEST INC
Demanding to believe
Industrials
Yield18.5%
Growth used7.4%
10-yr IRR32.1%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.49
Market implies -4.9%/yr vs model +7.4% · below model
NRDS
NERDWALLET, INC.
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield13.2%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR31.9%
Grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.23
Market implies -6.3%/yr vs model +18.9% · below model
SMPL
Simply Good Foods Co
Demanding to believe
Consumer Defensive
Yield17.5%
Growth used8.2%
10-yr IRR31.6%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.24
Market implies -13.7%/yr vs model +8.2% · below model
IEP
ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P.
Demanding to believe
Energy
Yield24.8%
Growth used0.0%
10-yr IRR31.5%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.79
Market implies -7.4%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
KBH
KB HOME
Demanding to believe
Industrials
Yield18.1%
Growth used7.3%
10-yr IRR31.5%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.75
Market implies +0.7%/yr vs model +7.3% · below model
ARRY
Array Technologies, Inc.
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield22.9%
Growth used1.7%
10-yr IRR31.3%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.96
Market implies -1.6%/yr vs model +1.7% · below model
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care AG
Demanding to believe
Healthcare
Yield18.6%
Growth used6.5%
10-yr IRR31.3%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.20
Market implies -16.1%/yr vs model +6.5% · below model
CROX
Crocs, Inc.
Demanding to believe
Consumer Cyclical
Yield12.8%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR31.3%
Grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.37
Market implies -1.3%/yr vs model +16.8% · below model
IRWD
IRONWOOD PHARMACEUTICALS INC
Demanding to believe
Healthcare
Yield22.6%
Growth used2.0%
10-yr IRR31.3%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.74
Market implies -3.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
LBTYK
Liberty Global Ltd.
Demanding to believe
Communication Services
Yield24.4%
Growth used0.0%
10-yr IRR31.1%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.30
Market implies -25.6%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
AFCG
Advanced Flower Capital Inc.
Demanding to believe
Unknown
Yield18.8%
Growth used6.0%
10-yr IRR31.1%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 1.70
Market implies +8.8%/yr vs model +6.0% · in line
NOMD
Nomad Foods Ltd
Demanding to believe
Consumer Defensive
Yield20.2%
Growth used4.3%
10-yr IRR31.0%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.32
Market implies -12.2%/yr vs model +4.3% · below model
LULU
lululemon athletica inc.
Demanding to believe
Consumer Cyclical
Yield12.6%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR31.0%
Grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.78
Market implies +4.4%/yr vs model +15.4% · below model
SAMG
Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.
Demanding to believe
Financial Services
Yield19.2%
Growth used5.4%
10-yr IRR31.0%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.40
Market implies -11.5%/yr vs model +5.4% · below model
OLN
OLIN Corp
Demanding to believe
Basic Materials
Yield22.6%
Growth used1.5%
10-yr IRR30.8%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.30
Market implies -21.9%/yr vs model +1.5% · below model
HDSN
HUDSON TECHNOLOGIES INC /NY
Demanding to believe
Industrials
Yield18.5%
Growth used6.1%
10-yr IRR30.8%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.49
Market implies -8.6%/yr vs model +6.1% · below model
TV
GRUPO TELEVISA, S.A.B.
Demanding to believe
Communication Services
Yield22.3%
Growth used1.6%
10-yr IRR30.6%
Steady compounder · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.12
Market implies -42.6%/yr vs model +1.6% · below model
OXM
OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC
Demanding to believe
Consumer Cyclical
Yield17.2%
Growth used7.6%
10-yr IRR30.6%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.26
Market implies -16.1%/yr vs model +7.6% · below model
SGC
SUPERIOR GROUP OF COMPANIES, INC.
Demanding to believe
Consumer Cyclical
Yield19.6%
Growth used4.6%
10-yr IRR30.6%
Steady compounder · 3 yrs positive P/IV 1.63
Market implies +8.9%/yr vs model +4.6% · above model
F
FORD MOTOR CO
Demanding to believe
Consumer Cyclical
Yield16.9%
Growth used8.0%
10-yr IRR30.6%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.44
Market implies -6.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
TAK
TAKEDA PHARMACEUTICAL CO LTD
Demanding to believe
Healthcare
Yield17.6%
Growth used7.0%
10-yr IRR30.5%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.25
Market implies -12.9%/yr vs model +7.0% · below model
FLO
FLOWERS FOODS INC
Demanding to believe
Consumer Defensive
Yield19.7%
Growth used4.4%
10-yr IRR30.5%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.28
Market implies -14.6%/yr vs model +4.4% · below model
ADNT
Adient plc
Demanding to believe
Consumer Cyclical
Yield18.3%
Growth used6.1%
10-yr IRR30.5%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.75
Market implies -0.4%/yr vs model +6.1% · below model
PRGS
PROGRESS SOFTWARE CORP /MA
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield12.3%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR30.4%
Grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.33
Market implies -2.1%/yr vs model +15.1% · below model
AD
ARRAY DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE, INC.
Demanding to believe
Communication Services
Yield20.8%
Growth used3.0%
10-yr IRR30.3%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV —
Market implies -12.7%/yr
TRN
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC
Demanding to believe
Consumer Cyclical
Yield16.2%
Growth used8.4%
10-yr IRR30.0%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.44
Market implies -6.1%/yr vs model +8.4% · below model
TRIP
TripAdvisor, Inc.
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield12.0%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR29.9%
Grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 1.33
Market implies +14.2%/yr vs model +19.0% · below model
TIMB
TIM S.A.
Demanding to believe
Communication Services
Yield16.8%
Growth used7.3%
10-yr IRR29.8%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.24
Market implies -12.7%/yr vs model +7.3% · below model
BBWI
Bath & Body Works, Inc.
Demanding to believe
Consumer Cyclical
Yield18.5%
Growth used5.0%
10-yr IRR29.7%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.31
Market implies -12.0%/yr vs model +5.0% · below model
WPP
WPP plc
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield20.1%
Growth used2.9%
10-yr IRR29.5%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.56
Market implies -5.6%/yr vs model +2.9% · below model
CHTR
CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS, INC. /MO/
Demanding to believe
Communication Services
Yield20.1%
Growth used2.5%
10-yr IRR29.1%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.31
Market implies -16.4%/yr vs model +2.5% · below model
UCL
uCloudlink Group Inc.
Demanding to believe
Communication Services
Yield19.8%
Growth used2.9%
10-yr IRR29.1%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.68
Market implies -10.9%/yr vs model +2.9% · below model
SUZ
Suzano S.A.
Demanding to believe
Basic Materials
Yield18.2%
Growth used4.8%
10-yr IRR29.0%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.49
Market implies -7.8%/yr vs model +4.8% · below model
HRMY
Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc.
Demanding to believe
Healthcare
Yield11.4%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR28.9%
Grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.10
Market implies -8.5%/yr vs model +23.9% · below model
NRP
NATURAL RESOURCE PARTNERS LP
Demanding to believe
Energy
Yield16.5%
Growth used6.7%
10-yr IRR28.9%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.29
Market implies -10.5%/yr vs model +6.7% · below model
PVH
PVH CORP. /DE/
Demanding to believe
Consumer Cyclical
Yield16.2%
Growth used7.0%
10-yr IRR28.7%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.57
Market implies -5.0%/yr vs model +7.0% · below model
XPOF
Xponential Fitness, Inc.
Demanding to believe
Communication Services
Yield11.3%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR28.7%
Grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.21
Market implies +6.8%/yr vs model +16.0% · below model
GEN
Gen Digital Inc.
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield11.5%
Growth used14.6%
10-yr IRR28.7%
Grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.47
Market implies -0.4%/yr vs model +14.6% · below model
TASK
TaskUs, Inc.
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield13.0%
Growth used11.8%
10-yr IRR28.6%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.62
Market implies +4.8%/yr vs model +11.8% · below model
EVTC
EVERTEC, Inc.
Demanding to believe
Technology
Yield11.2%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR28.6%
Grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.31
Market implies -2.8%/yr vs model +15.1% · below model
VLGEA
VILLAGE SUPER MARKET INC
Demanding to believe
Consumer Defensive
Yield18.0%
Growth used4.5%
10-yr IRR28.6%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV —
Market implies -10.6%/yr vs model +4.5% · below model
MNRO
MONRO, INC.
Demanding to believe
Industrials
Yield19.9%
Growth used2.2%
10-yr IRR28.4%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.64
Market implies -7.2%/yr vs model +2.2% · below model