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Real Estate

Every analyzed stock in Real Estate — 80 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Real Estate risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
39 /100 Moderate ▼ -5 mild
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
51 /100 Elevated ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 50 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 50 stocks.
37 Moderate
◆ flat
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
52 Elevated
▼ -7
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
53.0%
High
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
43%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
30%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 60 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Real Estate
Real Estate — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Real Estate Sector Sees Elevated Risk, Mixed Stock Performance Amid Recovery Hopes →
The real estate sector experienced an increase in its risk score this week, reaching an elevated level. While some companies saw positive momentum supported by earnings and recovery expectations, others faced pressure from market headwinds and…
OPAD
Offerpad Solutions Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Real Estate Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$3.57
Model IV$6.98
P/IV0.69
Discount 49% Return to IV: +95.5%
Market implies -27.4%/yr vs model -10.0% · below model
OPEN
Opendoor Technologies Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Real Estate Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$2.65
Model IV$4.93
P/IV1.02
Discount 46% Return to IV: +86.0%
Market implies -20.9%/yr vs model -8.7% · below model
OPENL
Opendoor Technologies Inc.
Valuation N/A
Real Estate Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$0.10
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model -8.7% · below model
OPENW
Opendoor Technologies Inc.
Valuation N/A
Real Estate Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$0.16
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +8.2% · below model
OPENZ
Opendoor Technologies Inc.
Valuation N/A
Real Estate Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$0.09
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model -8.7% · below model
OZ
Belpointe PREP, LLC
Deeply overvalued
Real Estate Risk 67 · High
Price$47.53
Model IV$26.59
P/IV1.75
Premium +79% Return to IV: -44.1%
Market implies -2.0%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
PDM
Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Real Estate Risk 73 · High
Price$9.57
Model IV$2.55
P/IV3.26
Premium +276% Return to IV: -73.4%
PETZ
TDH Holdings, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Real Estate Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$1.33
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +27.0%/yr vs model +3.7% · above model
REAX
Real Brokerage Inc
Valuation N/A
Real Estate Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$20.28
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +7.1%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
RITR
Reitar Logtech Holdings Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Real Estate Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$0.09
Model IV$1.23
P/IV0.40
Discount 93% Return to IV: +1,338.6%
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
RMAX
RE/MAX Holdings, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Real Estate Risk 63 · High
Price$12.36
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SKYH
Sky Harbour Group Corp
Valuation N/A
Real Estate Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$10.14
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +22.5%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
SRG
Seritage Growth Properties
Valuation N/A
Real Estate Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$1.92
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +76.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
STHO
Star Holdings
Deeply overvalued
Real Estate Risk 68 · High
Price$9.32
Model IV$2.26
P/IV3.93
Premium +312% Return to IV: -75.7%
STRS
STRATUS PROPERTIES INC
Valuation N/A
Real Estate Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$18.75
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +45.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
TRC
TEJON RANCH CO
Deeply overvalued
Real Estate Risk 62 · High
Price$16.21
Model IV$6.72
P/IV2.87
Premium +141% Return to IV: -58.5%
Market implies +3.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
TRNO
Terreno Realty Corp
Deeply undervalued
Real Estate Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$65.27
Model IV$97.46
P/IV0.67
Discount 33% Return to IV: +49.3%
Market implies +7.0%/yr vs model +15.9% · below model
UE
Urban Edge Properties
Undervalued
Real Estate Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$20.58
Model IV$28.51
P/IV0.79
Discount 28% Return to IV: +38.5%
Market implies -1.4%/yr vs model +3.1% · below model
VAC
MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE Corp
Deeply overvalued
Real Estate Risk 62 · High
Price$101.15
Model IV$59.20
P/IV1.43
Premium +71% Return to IV: -41.5%
Market implies +12.7%/yr vs model +5.8% · above model
VTMX
Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.
Valuation N/A
Real Estate Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$33.58
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +42.2%/yr vs model +15.2% · above model