Stock Analyses
Model-driven valuations for thousands of US-listed stocks, built from SEC EDGAR filings. Click any card to see the full analysis.
All sectors 6,474
Financial Services 1,896
Healthcare 1,114
Technology 1,079
Industrials 668
Consumer Cyclical 490
Basic Materials 336
Consumer Defensive 248
Communication Services 212
Utilities 185
Energy 165
Real Estate 81
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
AMCR
Fairly valued
Amcor plc
Price$42.15
Model IV$37.67
P/IV1.04
Premium +12%
Return to IV: -10.6%
Owner yield 5.2%
10-yr IRR 12.2% · moderate
Market implies +9.9%/yr
vs model +10.6% · in line
AMZN
Valuation N/A
AMAZON COM INC
Price$258.45
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +39.6%/yr
ARMK
Deeply overvalued
Aramark
Price$56.48
Model IV$32.00
P/IV1.67
Premium +77%
Return to IV: -43.3%
Owner yield 1.9%
10-yr IRR -0.9% · moderate
Market implies +15.7%/yr
vs model +10.3% · above model
AS
Valuation N/A
Amer Sports, Inc.
Price$27.45
Model IV—
P/IV—
AZO
Undervalued
AUTOZONE INC
Price$2,803.25
Model IV$3,531.48
P/IV0.83
Discount 21%
Return to IV: +26.0%
Owner yield 4.0%
10-yr IRR 9.0% · moderate
Market implies +6.5%/yr
vs model +11.1% · below model
BBY
Deeply overvalued
BEST BUY CO INC
Price$93.22
Model IV$65.74
P/IV0.17
Premium +42%
Return to IV: -29.5%
Owner yield 5.6%
10-yr IRR 7.0% · steady
Market implies +7.2%/yr
vs model +2.7% · above model
BJ
Deeply overvalued
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
Price$92.31
Model IV$61.79
P/IV1.50
Premium +49%
Return to IV: -33.1%
Owner yield 2.4%
10-yr IRR 0.5% · moderate
Market implies +11.5%/yr
vs model +8.1% · above model
BURL
Fairly valued
Burlington Stores, Inc.
Price$251.80
Model IV$220.23
P/IV1.19
Premium +14%
Return to IV: -12.5%
Market implies -0.6%/yr
vs model +5.5% · below model
BWA
Overvalued
BORGWARNER INC
Price$63.32
Model IV$51.69
P/IV1.39
Premium +22%
Return to IV: -18.4%
Owner yield 6.0%
10-yr IRR 10.5% · steady
Market implies +7.7%/yr
vs model +5.9% · in line
CASY
Fairly valued
CASEYS GENERAL STORES INC
Price$585.34
Model IV$532.65
P/IV1.44
Premium +10%
Return to IV: -9.0%
Owner yield 2.1%
10-yr IRR 2.5% · grower
Market implies +11.8%/yr
vs model +13.8% · in line
CDW
Fairly valued
CDW Corp
Price$146.41
Model IV$130.96
P/IV0.96
Premium +12%
Return to IV: -10.6%
Owner yield 6.4%
10-yr IRR 10.9% · steady
Market implies +5.9%/yr
vs model +5.2% · in line
CMG
Deeply overvalued
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC
Price$33.14
Model IV$20.39
P/IV1.56
Premium +63%
Return to IV: -38.5%
Owner yield 3.1%
10-yr IRR 5.5% · moderate
Market implies +15.3%/yr
vs model +10.9% · above model
COST
Deeply overvalued
COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW
Price$898.48
Model IV$364.14
P/IV2.48
Premium +147%
Return to IV: -59.5%
Owner yield 1.6%
10-yr IRR -4.1% · moderate
Market implies +18.8%/yr
vs model +8.6% · above model
CPNG
Deeply overvalued
Coupang, Inc.
Price$14.62
Model IV$8.32
P/IV1.99
Premium +76%
Return to IV: -43.1%
Owner yield 4.0%
10-yr IRR 11.4% · grower
Market implies +19.1%/yr
vs model +14.3% · above model
CPRT
Deeply undervalued
COPART INC
Price$28.91
Model IV$41.80
P/IV0.78
Discount 31%
Return to IV: +44.6%
Owner yield 3.6%
10-yr IRR 8.6% · grower
Market implies +5.5%/yr
vs model +12.6% · below model
CSAN
Valuation N/A
Cosan S.A.
Price$2.97
Model IV—
P/IV—
CSL
Undervalued
CARLISLE COMPANIES INC
Price$317.85
Model IV$395.72
P/IV0.07
Discount 20%
Return to IV: +24.5%
Owner yield 7.2%
10-yr IRR 17.5% · moderate
Market implies +4.9%/yr
vs model +11.3% · below model
CTAS
Deeply overvalued
CINTAS CORP
Price$196.88
Model IV$116.71
P/IV1.69
Premium +69%
Return to IV: -40.7%
Owner yield 2.1%
10-yr IRR -0.9% · moderate
Market implies +14.5%/yr
vs model +9.0% · above model
CVNA
Deeply overvalued
CARVANA CO.
Price$67.18
Model IV$43.77
P/IV1.67
Premium +53%
Return to IV: -34.8%
Owner yield 5.4%
10-yr IRR 12.9% · moderate
Market implies +15.5%/yr
vs model +11.0% · above model
CVS
Deeply undervalued
CVS HEALTH Corp
Price$87.60
Model IV$125.27
P/IV0.71
Discount 30%
Return to IV: +43.0%
Owner yield 6.9%
10-yr IRR 14.4% · moderate
Market implies +1.9%/yr
vs model +8.2% · below model
DDS
Valuation N/A
DILLARD'S, INC.
Price$639.11
Model IV—
P/IV—
DECK
Deeply undervalued
DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP
Price$80.23
Model IV$157.58
P/IV0.72
Discount 49%
Return to IV: +96.4%
Owner yield 8.6%
10-yr IRR 21.7% · grower
Market implies +1.4%/yr
vs model +12.8% · below model
DG
Deeply undervalued
DOLLAR GENERAL CORP
Price$121.91
Model IV$247.82
P/IV0.45
Discount 51%
Return to IV: +103.3%
Owner yield 5.9%
10-yr IRR 12.0% · moderate
Market implies -2.7%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
DKS
Fairly valued
DICK'S SPORTING GOODS, INC.
Price$123.63
Model IV$123.98
P/IV1.84
Discount 0%
Return to IV: +0.3%
Owner yield 5.9%
10-yr IRR 15.4% · grower
Market implies +9.9%/yr
vs model +12.6% · in line
DLTR
Deeply overvalued
DOLLAR TREE, INC.
Price$112.33
Model IV$49.06
P/IV2.37
Premium +129%
Return to IV: -56.3%
Owner yield 4.5%
10-yr IRR 2.1% · steady
Market implies +9.0%/yr
vs model -0.2% · above model
DRI
Deeply undervalued
DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC
Price$211.31
Model IV$315.97
P/IV0.65
Discount 33%
Return to IV: +49.5%
Owner yield 4.1%
10-yr IRR 11.9% · grower
Market implies +6.2%/yr
vs model +14.7% · below model
ENTG
Valuation N/A
ENTEGRIS INC
Price$143.14
Model IV—
P/IV—
Owner yield 1.4%
10-yr IRR -5.6% · moderate
Market implies +35.9%/yr
vs model +8.4% · above model
F
Deeply undervalued
FORD MOTOR CO
Price$13.17
Model IV$27.50
P/IV0.63
Discount 52%
Return to IV: +108.8%
Owner yield 16.5%
10-yr IRR 30.0% · moderate
Market implies -4.3%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
FAST
Deeply overvalued
FASTENAL CO
Price$49.65
Model IV$22.29
P/IV2.20
Premium +123%
Return to IV: -55.1%
Owner yield 1.9%
10-yr IRR -2.4% · moderate
Market implies +17.4%/yr
vs model +8.1% · above model
FIVE
Deeply overvalued
FIVE BELOW, INC
Price$236.14
Model IV$121.67
P/IV1.87
Premium +94%
Return to IV: -48.5%
Owner yield 1.7%
10-yr IRR -0.7% · grower
Market implies +19.0%/yr
vs model +12.0% · above model
GD
Fairly valued
GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP
Price$353.90
Model IV$311.24
P/IV1.13
Premium +14%
Return to IV: -12.1%
Owner yield 3.6%
10-yr IRR 5.3% · moderate
Market implies +8.2%/yr
vs model +8.1% · in line
GM
Deeply undervalued
General Motors Co
Price$83.95
Model IV$180.57
P/IV0.46
Discount 54%
Return to IV: +115.1%
Owner yield 14.6%
10-yr IRR 27.5% · moderate
Market implies -4.5%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
GME
Deeply overvalued
GameStop Corp.
Price$22.76
Model IV$7.41
P/IV2.86
Premium +207%
Return to IV: -67.4%
Owner yield 1.3%
10-yr IRR -14.8% · steady
Market implies +9.2%/yr
vs model -5.9% · above model
H
Valuation N/A
Hyatt Hotels Corp
Price$156.95
Model IV—
P/IV—
Owner yield 2.7%
10-yr IRR 6.7% · grower
Market implies +41.5%/yr
vs model +21.1% · above model
HAS
Deeply overvalued
HASBRO, INC.
Price$87.72
Model IV$44.55
P/IV1.93
Premium +97%
Return to IV: -49.2%
Owner yield 5.9%
10-yr IRR 3.4% · steady
Market implies +5.3%/yr
vs model -2.9% · above model
HD
Deeply overvalued
HOME DEPOT, INC.
Price$297.20
Model IV$206.27
P/IV1.45
Premium +44%
Return to IV: -30.6%
Owner yield 5.1%
10-yr IRR 6.8% · steady
Market implies +8.2%/yr
vs model +3.9% · above model
HII
Deeply undervalued
HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES, INC.
Price$276.10
Model IV$407.96
P/IV0.71
Discount 32%
Return to IV: +47.8%
Owner yield 4.6%
10-yr IRR 8.4% · moderate
Market implies +1.3%/yr
vs model +7.9% · below model
HLT
Fairly valued
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Price$307.08
Model IV$267.52
P/IV1.14
Premium +15%
Return to IV: -12.9%
Owner yield 2.4%
10-yr IRR 5.0% · grower
Market implies +15.1%/yr
vs model +16.5% · in line
HMC
Valuation N/A
HONDA MOTOR CO LTD
Price$32.53
Model IV—
P/IV—
HTHT
Deeply undervalued
H World Group Ltd
Price$43.65
Model IV$95.58
P/IV0.45
Discount 54%
Return to IV: +119.0%
Owner yield 6.6%
10-yr IRR 18.1% · grower
Market implies +0.2%/yr
vs model +13.5% · below model
IHG
Valuation N/A
INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/
Price$154.60
Model IV—
P/IV—
JD
Fairly valued
JD.com, Inc.
Price$27.28
Model IV$29.75
P/IV0.97
Discount 8%
Return to IV: +9.1%
Owner yield 6.8%
10-yr IRR 13.8% · moderate
Market implies +5.0%/yr
vs model +7.5% · in line
LI
Deeply overvalued
Li Auto Inc.
Price$11.52
Model IV$4.59
P/IV3.27
Premium +151%
Return to IV: -60.2%
Owner yield 7.5%
10-yr IRR 15.5% · moderate
Market implies +19.1%/yr
vs model +8.0% · above model
LMT
Overvalued
LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP
Price$535.40
Model IV$442.64
P/IV1.21
Premium +21%
Return to IV: -17.3%
Owner yield 4.7%
10-yr IRR 6.0% · steady
Market implies +6.2%/yr
vs model +4.4% · in line
LOW
Deeply overvalued
LOWES COMPANIES INC
Price$190.98
Model IV$145.87
P/IV1.32
Premium +31%
Return to IV: -23.6%
Owner yield 6.5%
10-yr IRR 7.4% · steady
Market implies +4.1%/yr
vs model +0.5% · above model
LULU
Deeply undervalued
lululemon athletica inc.
Price$101.30
Model IV$168.71
P/IV0.78
Discount 40%
Return to IV: +66.5%
Owner yield 11.5%
10-yr IRR 29.1% · grower
Market implies +5.8%/yr
vs model +15.4% · below model
LVS
Deeply undervalued
LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP
Price$40.26
Model IV$122.20
P/IV0.41
Discount 67%
Return to IV: +203.5%
Owner yield 6.8%
10-yr IRR 19.8% · grower
Market implies +3.8%/yr
vs model +25.0% · below model
MAR
Deeply overvalued
MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL INC /MD/
Price$342.66
Model IV$254.98
P/IV1.33
Premium +34%
Return to IV: -25.6%
Owner yield 2.4%
10-yr IRR 4.5% · grower
Market implies +15.2%/yr
vs model +14.5% · in line
MCD
Deeply overvalued
MCDONALDS CORP
Price$247.88
Model IV$172.09
P/IV1.44
Premium +44%
Return to IV: -30.6%
Owner yield 3.9%
10-yr IRR 3.9% · steady
Market implies +9.2%/yr
vs model +5.0% · above model
MGA
Fairly valued
MAGNA INTERNATIONAL INC
Price$63.01
Model IV$69.82
P/IV0.93
Discount 10%
Return to IV: +10.8%
Owner yield 8.2%
10-yr IRR 14.6% · steady
Market implies +2.8%/yr
vs model +5.0% · in line
MOD
Valuation N/A
MODINE MANUFACTURING CO
Price$197.62
Model IV—
P/IV—
Owner yield 1.0%
10-yr IRR -9.4% · moderate
Market implies +43.9%/yr
vs model +8.0% · above model
NKE
Deeply overvalued
NIKE, Inc.
Price$36.10
Model IV$27.41
P/IV1.69
Premium +32%
Return to IV: -24.1%
Owner yield 9.2%
10-yr IRR 16.3% · steady
Market implies +8.1%/yr
vs model +5.0% · above model
ONON
Valuation N/A
On Holding AG
Price$27.32
Model IV—
P/IV—
ORLY
Deeply overvalued
O REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC
Price$82.88
Model IV$45.10
P/IV1.88
Premium +84%
Return to IV: -45.6%
Owner yield 2.6%
10-yr IRR 1.0% · moderate
Market implies +14.5%/yr
vs model +7.6% · above model
PAG
Fairly valued
PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, INC.
Price$212.16
Model IV$234.66
P/IV0.71
Discount 10%
Return to IV: +10.6%
Owner yield 5.4%
10-yr IRR 12.4% · moderate
Market implies +6.9%/yr
vs model +10.3% · below model
PCAR
Overvalued
PACCAR INC
Price$114.73
Model IV$97.59
P/IV1.19
Premium +18%
Return to IV: -14.9%
Owner yield 6.0%
10-yr IRR 10.5% · steady
Market implies +7.0%/yr
vs model +5.8% · in line
QSR
Deeply undervalued
Restaurant Brands International Inc.
Price$72.56
Model IV$104.64
P/IV0.71
Discount 31%
Return to IV: +44.2%
Owner yield 4.0%
10-yr IRR 9.2% · moderate
Market implies +4.9%/yr
vs model +11.7% · below model
RACE
Valuation N/A
Ferrari N.V.
Price$416.13
Model IV—
P/IV—
RIVN
Valuation N/A
Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE
Price$15.36
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +83.3%/yr
vs model +8.0% · above model
RKLB
Valuation N/A
Rocket Lab Corp
Price$69.89
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +123.4%/yr
vs model +8.0% · above model
