Is Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. (CLDX) a good stock to buy?

Price through Oct 7 market close · SEC data refreshed 4 months ago ⓘ · Not investment advice
Celldex Therapeutics, Inc.
CLDX Healthcare Pharmaceuticals📄 SEC filings ↗ CUSIP 15117B202
Valuation N/A
Looks dangerous ●●●●●

Two or more of our tested checks point the wrong way. When the survival check is one of them, no price makes that acceptable.

What each rating means, in numbers

Can it survive? — Risky. Safer than 30% of the companies we cover, judged on the warning signs that came before companies that really did fail.

Business quality — Very weak. Passes 2 of the 8 health checks we can measure — things like making a profit, turning it into cash, and not piling on debt. Across 131,000 company-quarters the weakest scorers went on to fail at 5.4% against 1.4% for the strongest, in every era and all twelve sectors.

How wild is the price? — Wild. The share price swings about 54% in a typical year, which puts it in the above average. Out of every 100 companies that swung like this, about 3.7 went bankrupt within the year. Across the three periods we tested that ran from 0.9% to 5.7%.

What "tested" means here, and why there is no score out of 100

Tested means the read was measured against what actually happened afterwards, on a history that keeps the companies that were later delisted, using only figures that had been filed on the day they are used. Survival was ranked on companies that really did fail. What an owner keeps was tested across the universe from 2011 to 2025.

The full record of everything we have tested is on the research pages.

Which benchmark. Over the period we tested, the median listed company returned +5.8% a year while the S&P 500 returned about +13.9% — the index is weighted by size and was carried by a handful of enormous winners. So "beats the index" and "beats the other companies you could have bought" are different questions. Where a read says it picks better companies, it means the second one. None of these gets you an index fund's return, and we would rather say that than imply otherwise.

The quality read is the strongest thing we have tested: 131,000 company-quarters across 5,300 companies, where the weakest scorers went on to fail at 5.4% against 1.4% for the strongest, holding in every era and all twelve sectors. It still says less likely to break, not likely to beat the market — every band in that study lost to the index at the median, because the median listed company does.

Each read is shown on its own rather than merged into a single score, so you can see which part is strong and which is weak instead of taking an average on trust.

▾ What goes into the smart-money reading
Smart money (short interest + insider buying) (50%) 45/100 → +22.5
Macro backdrop (VIX, curve, credit, fear/greed + week-over-week momentum) (50%) 28/100 → +14.0
Total37/100

Contributions (weight × component score) sum to the total. This near-term score now includes fundamental health (leverage, FCF trend). It excludes the Altman Z score, whose retained-earnings input this filer does not report separately. See the Financial Health section for the full balance-sheet read.

💵 Price $30.43 · through Oct 7 market close 📄 Financials SEC EDGAR · refreshed 4 months ago
Business type Clinical-stage biotech ⓘ Clinical-stage biotech with little or no revenue — value is pipeline NPV and cash runway, not earnings multiples
8%
vs 14% normally
Low
The market, not this company tested

Chance the S&P 500 falls 10% or more in the next three months.

Counted from every day since 2006. Says nothing about CLDX — see the board for how it is measured.

📍 Where to start on this page, and what to look at first

How to read CLDX (pre-profit growth)

This company is reinvesting instead of generating profit, so a standard DCF cannot price it. The useful question is whether the growth the market is paying for is achievable — and whether the company can fund itself until then.

Where to start — the sections that matter most for this stock
  1. 1 Reverse-DCF — the growth the price demands ↓
    It shows exactly how fast the business must grow to justify today's price. Compare that to what comparable companies have actually achieved.
  2. 2 Cash runway ↓
    Can it reach profitability before it has to raise money and dilute shareholders?
  3. 3 Interactive calculator ↓
    Set your own growth + margin assumptions and see what the business would be worth if you are right.
Or — what are you trying to decide?
A note on process: fear-driven decisions — including fear of missing out — tend to be the expensive ones. A stock up 10% a day for three days is excitement, not evidence. Whichever reader you are, the data below is there to be checked before anything is decided.
🚀
"It's surging — should I chase it?"
The momentum / FOMO trade. Before you chase, see whether the people who know it best are quietly selling into the rally.
🏷️
"Is it a cheap bargain?"
The deep-value trade. How far below assets and our value it trades — and whether it's cheap for a reason.
ⓘ Using the right valuation lens for this business type

Standard DCF doesn't fit CLDX well — but that's expected for this kind of business. The Rule of 40 (Pre-Profit Growth) Lens below uses the metrics actually used by analysts who value pharmaceuticals. Reverse DCF + Football Field also work as cross-checks.

ⓘ Why does CLDX trade at $30.43?

Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. has 66.4 million shares outstanding. At $30.43 per share, the market values all outstanding CLDX equity at $2.0 billion. That's market capitalization, not enterprise value — enterprise value also accounts for debt and cash (CLDX carries little or no debt, so the two are close here). The share price by itself tells you almost nothing — a company can pick any share price by splitting or issuing more shares. What matters is the total value (Market Cap?Market Cap — The total dollar value the market is assigning to the entire company.
Why it matters: This is the number that actually matters when comparing companies. Two companies with the same business but different share counts have the same market cap.
Reference: Mega cap >$200B · Large $10–200B · Mid $2–10B · Small $300M–2B · Micro <$300M
Full explanation →
) compared to what the business actually produces. This page values CLDX in Per Share?Per Share — A company-level figure divided by total shares — what one share represents.
Why it matters: Per-share metrics are the only way to fairly compare two companies with different share counts.
Full explanation →
economics — what each share represents of the underlying business. Play with the share-price calculator on the homepage →

Loading insider & short-seller data…

Who owns CLDX, and how it moves

From the SEC's own filings: every fund manager over $100M reports its holdings each quarter, and every officer and director reports theirs. Each point is what was public at the time.

Held by institutions (funds filing Form 13F)
109%+7.0 pts over the last year
2013-06 · 74%2026-03
Held by officers and directors
0.2%-0.4 pts over the last year
2011-09 · 0.1%2026-08

228 institutions reported holding it at the latest quarter-end. Above 100% is not a mistake in the filings: when a fund lends shares to a short seller, the fund and whoever buys the borrowed shares can both report them.

1.29×
Moves with the market
Over the last year, a 1% move in the S&P 500 came with about a 1.3% move in CLDX.
0.76×
Moves with its sector (Healthcare)
The same measure against the XLV sector fund over the last year.

Riskier than 70% of the stocks we cover

Failure risk
Risky
●●●●●
Rank 71 of 100
Went bankrupt within a year
0.2%
●●●●●
Average company: 0.6%
What this rating means, and what it does not

What this rank is — Risky. Riskier than 70% of the companies we cover. Out of every 100 companies ranked here, about 0.2% went bankrupt within the year, against 0.6% for the average company we cover. The rank comes from a model trained on every US filing since 2012, including 823 companies that really did fail, and scored each year by a version that had not seen that year.

What it is not — Not a trade. We tested shorting these names and buying puts, spreads, straddles and condors on them at real option prices, 2010-2025. Every version lost money: the market already prices the distress and the survivors squeeze. A high rank is a reason to read the filings and to size for a total loss, not a reason to bet against the company. A low rank says the balance sheet is calm, not that the price is sensible.

▾ The numbers, the logic, and why not to trade on it

The logic. A model trained on every US filing since 2012 — including 823 companies that went bankrupt or stopped trading under a dollar — ranks each covered stock by its chance of failing in the next year, from its latest filing, price history and credit conditions. The rank is a position among peers; the table is a count of what happened to stocks in each position, scored each year by a model that had not seen that year.

Rank band went bankrupt within 12 monthsfell 80% or more (or failed) within 12 monthsfell 50% or more (or failed) within 6 months
All covered stocks (average) 0.59% 4.21% 8.51%
Healthcare (sector average) 0.94% 9.47% 17.69%
riskiest 1% 16.4% 33.0% 45.5%
next 2% (97-99) 5.9% 24.9% 38.2%
next 2% (95-97) 3.4% 21.2% 33.8%
next 5% (90-95) 1.6% 15.1% 27.3%
next 15% (75-90) 0.8% 8.5% 17.8%
next 25% (50-75) ← this stock 0.2% 2.7% 6.2%
safest half <0.1% 0.5% 2.1%

Why not to trade on it. We tested shorting these names and buying puts, spreads, straddles and condors on them at real option prices, 2010–2025: every version lost money. The market already prices the distress, and the survivors squeeze. Use a high rank to read the filings and to size for a total loss — not to bet against the company. A low rank says the balance sheet is calm, not that the price is sensible.

Scored from the filing of 2026-05-08; table generated 2026-09-18. Within Healthcare: rank 55 of 100. Rough one-year odds for this stock alone: bankruptcy 0.3%, an 80% fall 6.2% (the model overstates the middle of the range). On the same data, the Altman Z score caught 26% of bankruptcies in its riskiest 5%; this rank caught 59%.

Takeover odds: higher than 50% of the stocks we cover. Companies ranked here were acquired within a year 4.8% of the time (average 4.6%).
▾ The logic, and why not to buy on it

The logic. Trained on 2,900 acquisitions since 2012, the model leans on size (small), age, retained earnings, asset growth, volatility and how many deals the sector has just seen. Announcement = the day the stock jumped, not the day the paperwork was filed.

top 1% 15.4% acquired within a year
next 2% (97-99) 10.3% acquired within a year
next 2% (95-97) 9.0% acquired within a year
next 5% (90-95) 7.3% acquired within a year
next 15% (75-90) 6.4% acquired within a year
next 25% (50-75) ← this stock 4.8% acquired within a year
bottom half 3.0% acquired within a year

Why not to buy on it. A takeover paid a median +22% on the day — but even in the top band about 6 in 7 companies are not bought, and those lag. Buying the whole top list returned what the S&P 500 did (2012–2023), and adding "cheap" or "beaten-down" filters did not change that. Read it as context for a thesis you already have, never as the thesis.

Checking filings for failure warnings…
Price against our valuation methods
Above every method
●●●●●
1 method compared
What this rating means

What the rating says — Above every method. The current price sits ABOVE the high end of every method. The market is paying a premium to all of these lenses — it expects materially better growth or margins than the models assume.

What it does not say — Not a forecast. This shows where today's price sits against several different ways of valuing the business. Where the methods disagree, the spread itself is the useful part - it tells you how much the answer depends on which one you trust.

No method wins for this kind of company. We tested each of these inside this business type and none separated better than the others by enough to trust, consistently, across periods. Read the spread below as how much the methods disagree — which is worth seeing — and not as a ranking.

Football field: where does the price sit?

Different valuation methods produce different fair-value ranges depending on assumptions. Plotting them together lets you see at a glance whether the current price is reasonable across approaches, or only one specific lens.

$0$8$16$24$32Current price $30.43EV / Sales (p25→p75)$0.49$0.67
The current price sits ABOVE the high end of every method. The market is paying a premium to all of these lenses — it expects materially better growth or margins than the models assume.

Industry multiples sourced from: industry: Pharmaceuticals. See the Peer Basket section below for the peer comparison and its limited-comparables caveat.

How to read a company this small

This is a clinical-stage biotech with little or no revenue. Standard DCF requires future cash flows to discount — there's nothing to discount yet. The value is entirely in the drug pipeline and the probability that it works.

✅ What actually drives value for this kind of company
  • Drug pipeline — phase of each candidate (Phase I → II → III → FDA approval); each phase has historical success probabilities
  • Total Addressable Market (TAM) of the lead indication — bigger market = bigger payoff if approved
  • Cash runway — months of cash left at current burn rate before they need to raise more (and dilute shareholders)
  • Strategic partnerships — Big Pharma collaborations validate the science and bring milestone payments
  • Patent / exclusivity timeline — how long until generics if approved
  • Insider holdings + management track record — biotech execs with prior wins are a real signal
❌ Metrics that DON'T apply (ignore these even if you see them below)

P/E, P/B, EV/Sales, ROE — meaningless when there's no revenue or earnings. DCF outputs are nonsense.

📚 Where to actually look

ClinicalTrials.gov for trial status. The 10-K's "Pipeline" section. Recent press releases on Phase II/III readouts. Conferences like JPM Healthcare or ASCO.

Classified as Clinical-Stage Biotech (confidence 85%). Disagree? An admin can override via the post edit screen.

How does CLDX stack up against its closest peers?

We take the 8 same-industry companies most similar to CLDX (similar size) and check what investors are paying for each dollar of their revenue (or profits). If CLDX is much more expensive on the same yardstick, that's a red flag — unless you have a specific reason it deserves a premium. For a leveraged business, EV/EBIT and FCF yield (both in the table) are usually more reliable than EV/Sales, because revenue multiples ignore differences in margins and debt.

▾ What's "EV / Sales" in plain English?

EV (Enterprise Value) = market cap + total debt − cash. It's "what you'd pay to buy the entire company outright" — you pay the market cap to shareholders and take over their debt, but you keep their cash. EV is fairer than market cap alone because it includes the debt the new owner inherits.

EV / Sales = EV ÷ annual revenue. So "2.5×" means investors pay $2.50 of enterprise value per $1 of yearly sales. Higher = market is paying more per dollar of sales (usually because they expect future growth or fat margins).

p25 / median / p75 are the 25th, 50th (middle), and 75th percentile of the peers' multiples. Half the peers fall between p25 and p75. The median (p50) is the typical peer — that's the benchmark we compare to.

What peers trade at (p25 / median / p75)
EV / Sales?EV / Sales — For every $1 of yearly revenue, this is how many dollars investors pay to own the whole business (including debt).
Why it matters: Works for pre-profit growth companies where P/E and FCF don't apply. The most apples-to-apples cross-company multiple because it ignores accounting choices.
Reference: 1–3x for mature companies · 4–10x for software/SaaS · 10–20x for hypergrowth · >20x is rare and demanding
Full explanation →
1.5x / 8.5x / 18.4x

Bold middle number = median peer. Half the peers trade above it, half below. Computed over 8 same-industry peers; implausible multiples excluded.

Peer-implied value check
$0.63
If CLDX traded at the typical (median) peer's EV/Sales multiple, the share price would be about $0.63.
Plain English: the stock currently trades at $30.43. That's 4,720.0% MORE than the peer multiple suggests. The market is paying a big premium — CLDX looks expensive vs peers. Either the market thinks this stock deserves a premium (faster growth, better margins, brand moat), or it's overpriced.

⚠️ Important caveat: peer multiples only work if the peers are genuinely comparable. Always check the peer list below — if the auto-picker grabbed micro-caps or unrelated businesses, the comparison is noise. A medical-device giant priced against tiny biotech startups won't produce a useful signal.

▾ View peer list (8)
Ticker Company Industry Mcap EV/Sales EV/GPEV/EBIT FCF Yield
LKFT Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV Pharmaceuticals $2.0B 1.6x —6.0x 45.3%
TRVI Trevi Therapeutics, Inc. Pharmaceuticals $2.1B — —— —
ZYME Zymeworks Inc. Pharmaceuticals $2.0B 18.4x —— 2.4%
SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. Pharmaceuticals $1.9B 1.5x —— 13.0%
XNCR Xencor Inc Pharmaceuticals $1.8B 15.3x —— 0.3%
VERA Vera Therapeutics, Inc. Pharmaceuticals $2.4B — —— —
VRDN Viridian Therapeutics, Inc.\DE Pharmaceuticals $2.4B 34.3x —— 2.3%
NUVB Nuvation Bio Inc. Pharmaceuticals $1.7B 27.2x —— 263.8%

How much money is in the building, and how long does it last?

A clinical-stage biotech has no product revenue, so cash-flow valuation says nothing. What can be measured is the liquid money it holds, how many months of spending that covers, and what the market is paying for the science once the cash is deducted. Keep the two risks apart: financing risk (can it reach the next result without raising money?) and biological risk (does the drug work?). Cash answers only the first.

Net liquid capital
$28.9M
Plain English: cash plus marketable securities, minus all debt - the money actually available to fund the science. It now includes long-dated securities, where biotechs typically park a second year of runway; before this release those were not counted at all.
Cash runway
2 months
Plain English: at last year's burn of $213.7M a year.
Under a year: a financing is likely, and raising from a weak position usually means heavy dilution.
Cash vs market value
0.01×
Plain English: net liquid capital as a multiple of the entire market value.
Implied pipeline value
$2.0B
Plain English: market value minus the liquid cash - what buyers are paying for every programme in the pipeline combined. Weigh it against what one approved drug in this indication would be worth.
The two risks are not the same. A long runway lowers the chance of a forced, dilutive financing. It does not raise the biological probability that the drug works. A cash-rich biotech with a failing trial is still a failing trial; a cash-poor one with strong data usually finds money on better terms after the read-out.

Burn is measured from last year's operating cash flow less capital spending, so a company that has just begun a large trial will be spending faster than this implies. Altman Z and Piotroski are not shown: both were built for profitable industrial firms.

Quality & solvency checks

Cheap stocks can be cheap for a reason. These screens warn when a low valuation comes paired with structural fragility.

Business quality
Very weak
●●●●●
Passes 2 of 8 checks
What these health ratings mean, in numbers

Business quality — Very weak. Passes 2 of the 8 health checks we can measure — making a profit, turning it into cash, not piling on debt, not issuing shares. Across 131,000 company-quarters the weakest scorers went on to fail at 5.4% within a year against 1.4% for the strongest, and that held in every era and all twelve sectors. It says "less likely to break", not "likely to beat the market".

The workings
Altman Z-Score?Altman Z-Score — A bankruptcy-risk score combining 5 financial ratios into one number. Predictive of bankruptcy within 2 years.
Why it matters: Cheap-looking stocks (low P/E or P/B) often have low Z-scores because the market knows the company is dying. Z-score warns you before you fall into a value trap.
Reference: > 3.0 = safe zone · 1.81–3.0 = grey zone · < 1.81 = distress zone
Full explanation →
n/a
Not reliably computable

We can't produce a trustworthy Altman Z here: retained earnings weren't separately reported in our data, so a core input would have to be fabricated. Rather than show a categorical "distress" verdict from an invented number, we mark it unavailable. Judge financial health from the leverage, cash position, and the measurable Piotroski checks instead.

Piotroski-style checks (partial — not a standard F-score)
2 passed · 6 failed · 1 n/a
Partial result, not a standard F-score: 2 of 8 measurable checks passed. 1 of the 9 standard checks couldn't be measured, so this is scored out of 8, not 9 — it isn't comparable to a published F-score.
▾ The checks — what passed, what didn't (and what we couldn't measure)
  • ✗ Positive net income
    Net income -$258.8M in FY2025.
    Why this matters: Does the company actually earn a profit? Sustained losses eventually force it to raise money — diluting you — or take on debt.
  • ✗ Positive operating cash flow
    Operating cash flow -$210.9M (was -$157.8M the prior year).
    Why this matters: Profit can be an accounting figure; cash from running the business is harder to fake. Negative operating cash flow means the core business consumes cash and must be funded externally.
  • ✓ Cash flow backs up reported profit
    Operating cash flow -$210.9M vs net income -$258.8M.
  • ✗ Return on assets improving
    Return on assets -44.4% vs -19.9% a year ago.
    Why this matters: Is the company squeezing more profit out of each dollar of assets than last year? Rising = getting more efficient; falling = the opposite.
  • ✓ Debt load (vs assets)
    The filing reports no interest-bearing debt in either year (total assets $583.0M).
  • ✗ Short-term liquidity (current ratio)
    Current ratio 10.49x vs 18.91x a year ago.
    Why this matters: The current ratio compares assets it can turn to cash within a year against bills due within a year. Below 1.0 means it may struggle to cover near-term obligations.
  • ✗ Share count (dilution)
    Share count rose 3.1% (64.4M → 66.4M year-over-year).
    Why this matters: Issuing lots of new shares splits the pie into more pieces, shrinking your slice. Stable or falling share count protects existing owners.
  • · Pricing power (gross margin) (n/a — data not reported; not scored)
  • ✗ Sales per asset (asset turnover)
    Asset turnover 0.00x vs 0.01x a year ago.
    Why this matters: Asset turnover measures how much revenue each dollar of assets generates. Rising = more productive use of the asset base.

Missing data is never counted as a pass or a fail — it's shown as n/a and excluded from the denominator. Each check compares the company against its own prior year.

Cash Runway
2 mo
CRITICAL — under 6 months of cash

Plain English: the company holds about $29M in cash and is burning roughly $211M/year in operations. At that pace, the cash lasts 2 mo before it must raise capital (diluting shareholders), take on debt, or cut spending.

Assumes constant burn and ignores financing/asset sales. For pre-profit biotech and growth companies, this matters more than a DCF — a great drug pipeline is worthless if they run out of money before approval.

What if you assume different inputs?

Here's where we land — and what happens if you change the assumptions. Drag the sliders to set your own Discount Rate?Discount Rate — The annual return you demand for taking single-stock risk instead of buying a safe Treasury or index fund.
Why it matters: Higher discount rate = stricter valuation (a stock has to produce more cash to be worth holding). Lower = more generous.
Reference: 8–12% is standard · 9–10% matches S&P 500 historical return · Below 7% is illogical for single-stock risk
Full explanation →
(the annual return you demand for single-stock risk) and terminal growth; the value updates live so you can see whether the stock looks cheaper or richer. The discount rate starts at 10.0%, the figure our model used for CLDX. Open Advanced to also change beta, growth and the rate path.

Note: no headline intrinsic value is published for this stock (the valuation is held for a data-quality reason — see the notes above). The calculator below is a what-if tool: the values it produces are your assumptions played out, not our estimate.

4.5% (risk-free)9-10% normal18% (deep-risk)
0%2-3% (GDP)5% (rarely sustainable)

A full intrinsic value isn't shown for CLDX because the valuation is currently held for a data-quality reason (see the guardrail notes above). The reverse-DCF reading still works — it needs only the price and cash flow — but we won't publish a forward value until the underlying data passes our checks.

For comparison — the revenue growth today's price already assumes
—
—

—

⚙ Advanced — tinker with every input (beta, growth, rate path, margin → full intrinsic value)
Where the discount rate comes from — discount rate = risk-free + beta × equity-risk-premium
What you'd earn risk-free from government bonds — the floor under every other rate. Slide it down to model the market expecting rate cuts (value rises); up for higher-for-longer.
The extra yearly return investors demand for owning stocks instead of safe bonds — the price of risk. History runs ~4.5–6.5%; we default to 5.5% (slightly conservative). It's an estimate, not a law — lower it if you think equities are less risky than that.
Inflation reduces the purchasing power of a nominal return: a 9% gain at 3% inflation is about 6% in real terms. The intrinsic value above is already in today's dollars (a nominal DCF carries inflation in both the growth and the discount rate), so this switch does not change the value — it restates the return in real terms.
Higher beta → higher discount rate (sets the rate above). 1.0 = moves with the market.
What you think CLDX can grow revenue for ~5 years, then fades to terminal.
For a pre-profit company: the % of revenue that eventually becomes free cash flow once mature. (Our published value uses the sector norm.)
All inputs start at the values our model used.

    Copy shareable link to this scenario →

    Price$30.43
    Model IVNot applicable — DCF couldn't price this stock. The other valuation lenses on this page (reverse-DCF, peers, sector lens — whichever apply to this filer) carry the read instead.

    A standard discounted cash flow?DCF — Discounted Cash Flow — sums up all future cash a business will produce, adjusted for the fact that future dollars are worth less than dollars today.
    Why it matters: It is the most fundamentally honest valuation method when applicable — but only works for companies with predictable, positive cash flow.
    Reference: Best for: mature, profitable businesses. Fails for: pre-profit growth, banks, REITs.
    Full explanation →
    (DCF) valuation is not meaningful for Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. because the company exhibits negative operating cash flow and declining revenue, indicating a cash-burning growth stage. Valuing CLDX would require a detailed understanding of its clinical pipeline and future market potential for its drug candidates. Investors are likely betting on successful clinical trial outcomes and future product commercialization. The number one quantifiable risk is the persistent revenue decline of -24.1%/yr over four years, which, if continued, threatens long-term viability.

    ⚠️ Revenue declining

    As of 4 months ago

    Anatomy of a share

    What you're buying per share. Bars are at the same scale so you can see the relative size of revenue, costs, cash flow, and debt — not just read them in a table.

    CLDX Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. stock anatomy showing per-share revenue, operating expenses, free cash flow, and debt
    Revenue figure looks incomplete. Net income divided by the revenue we parsed gives a -16,748% margin, which no operating business earns — the revenue tag we read is almost certainly a fragment (a fee line or a single segment), not consolidated sales. We are not drawing the margin breakdown from it, and revenue-per-share on this page should be treated as unreliable until the filing's total-revenue tag resolves.
    Plain English: each share (at $30) represents $0.02 of revenue per share per year, $3.90 lost per share per year, and $3.76 of cash burned per share (negative free cash flow) from the latest fiscal year. The filing reports no interest-bearing debt — the 55.8M of total liabilities on the balance sheet are operating items (payables, leases, deferred taxes), not borrowings.
    What's free cash flow / what do these mean?

    Revenue per share — how much the business earns from customers, divided by the number of shares outstanding. Top of the income statement.

    Earnings per share — profit left after operating costs, interest, and taxes, per share. Two versions appear on this page and are not interchangeable: GAAP diluted EPS uses the company's weighted-average diluted share count during the reporting period (this is the "earnings" in "price-to-earnings"); net income per current share divides annual net income by today's share count. They differ whenever the share count has changed.

    Owner-earnings free cash flow per share — the cash the business produces for shareholders. Savng's owner-earnings FCF subtracts capital expenditures and stock-based compensation from operating cash flow (SBC is a real dilution cost even though it's non-cash). This is deliberately more conservative than "standard" FCF, which subtracts only capital expenditures — so our figure is lower than the headline FCF you'll see elsewhere. FCF funds dividends, buybacks, debt repayment, and acquisitions; a company can report positive earnings yet negative FCF.

    Debt per share — total interest-bearing borrowings divided by shares. High debt-per-share next to thin FCF-per-share is a fragility signal.

    What you actually need to decide

    Every stock price is a disagreement. Here's the single thing that must go right for the bulls, the single thing that breaks the thesis, and the concrete signposts to watch so you can update your view as real results arrive.

    🐂 The Bull Case
    For the stock to work, at least one of its clinical-stage drug candidates must achieve positive clinical trial results and progress towards regulatory approval, leading to future revenue generation.
    🐻 The Bear Case
    The biggest fundamental risk is the continued negative operating cash flow and revenue decline, which implies a persistent need for external financing and potential dilution if no pipeline assets reach commercialization.
    📌 Signposts to watch — update your view as these print
    • Results from ongoing clinical trials (e.g., Phase 2 or Phase 3 data readouts)
    • New drug application (NDA) or biologics license application (BLA) submissions
    • New strategic partnerships or licensing deals

    The trend, in plain numbers (FY2024 → FY2025, latest reported)

    Straight from the financial statements — no model, no opinion. For a small or unprofitable company, the direction of these numbers usually tells you more than any single valuation.

    ⚠ Worsening
    • Revenue fell -78% to $1.5M.
    • Free cash flow is negative at -$249.9M — the cash burn widened vs last year.
    • Still unprofitable at -$258.8M — loss widening.

    Nothing was clearly improving year-over-year.

    Management & Leadership

    Anthony S. Marucci has served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Celldex Therapeutics since 2006. Michael J. Yaremchuk is the company's Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President, Finance. Tibor Keler is the Executive Vice President and Chief Scientific Officer.

    Anthony S. Marucci
    President and Chief Executive Officer
    Michael J. Yaremchuk
    Chief Financial Officer
    Tibor Keler
    Executive Vice President and Chief Scientific Officer

    What They Make

    Celldex Therapeutics is a biotechnology company focused on developing targeted immunotherapies for cancer and other difficult-to-treat diseases. They develop novel antibody-based therapeutics for patients with unmet medical needs.

    End Markets

    OncologyImmunologyRare Diseases

    Revenue Drivers

    Clinical trial milestones
    Collaborative research agreements
    Future product sales
    Market Cap: 2.0BBeta: 1.34

    Why Is It Priced Like This?

    Why Customers Pay

    Addresses unmet medical needs in cancer and other diseases
    Develops targeted therapies with potential for improved patient outcomes
    Focuses on innovative antibody-based approaches
    No discounted-cash-flow value for this filer This company's reported free cash flow is negative, so a discounted-cash-flow valuation has no positive cash stream to discount. That is a fact about the business, not missing data — the reported figures below are complete.

    What we use instead: earnings (P/E, EV/EBIT), book value (P/B) — computed from the figures this company does report, shown in the sections below. Those numbers are unaffected by the missing cash-flow data.

    The market is pricing CLDX based on the potential future value of its drug pipeline rather than current cash flows, as evidenced by its negative operating cash flow and declining revenue. The market may be assigning value to the potential success of its clinical-stage drug candidates, which is not in the model. Investors are likely focused on clinical trial progress, regulatory milestones, and the cash runway (current ratio of 10.49 is adequate) to fund these development efforts, rather than the current lack of profitability.

    Business Model & Valuation

    How They Make Money

    Research and development of novel drug candidates
    Potential future sales of approved therapeutic products
    Strategic partnerships and licensing agreements for pipeline assets

    The company funds its operations primarily through equity raises and existing cash reserves, as it currently has negative operating cash flow and does not pay dividends or engage in buybacks.

    Growth / Revenue DCF

    Negative free cash flow: revenue/margin growth model used - standard FCF DCF is unreliable for companies still scaling.

    Show advanced inputs
    Revenue Growth2.0%

    What this model does NOT do: this is a consolidated owner-earnings FCF model. Standalone segment assumptions: none. It does not project its revenue segments independently; their combined effect is embedded in the historical revenue and cash-flow trend the model extrapolates. The calculator above can only approximate a segment's impact through the single consolidated growth rate — it cannot model any one line separately. For a true segment-level view, build a separate model from the company's segment disclosures.

    Maturity & Competitive Position

    Growth-stage life sciences

    Moat Signals

    Proprietary drug development pipeline
    Specialized expertise in immunotherapy
    Patent protection for novel compounds

    Revenue is declining at -24.1%/yr over four years, and net income has been negative in the latest period, profitable in 0/5 years.

    Geography & Markets

    Celldex Therapeutics is headquartered in the United States, with its primary operations and clinical trial activities focused within the US. Specific geographic revenue mix is not available from current data sources.

    Geographic Risks

    Concentration risk in the highly regulated and competitive US pharmaceutical market
    Clinical trial failure risk

    Market Signals

    These are timing signals, not value signals — they describe the stock's recent price behavior, not what the business is worth. Use them for the "the thesis looks good, but is now the moment?" question. Each tile below explains what it's saying.

    Model neutral, tape neutral - aligned.
    RSI?RSI — Relative Strength Index — a 0-100 momentum gauge. Above 70 = overbought; below 30 = oversold.
    Why it matters: Short-term contrarian indicator. Extreme readings often precede mean reversion, though not always.
    Reference: 30–70 normal · >70 overbought · <30 oversold
    Full explanation →
    (14)
    47.2NeutralMomentum is balanced — neither overbought nor oversold.
    MACD?MACD — Moving Average Convergence Divergence — compares a fast and a slow price trend to gauge momentum direction.
    Why it matters: When the fast line crosses above the slow line, short-term momentum is turning up; below, turning down. A timing cue, not a value signal.
    Reference: Line above signal = bullish momentum · below = bearish
    Full explanation →
    BearishLine below signalThe fast trend is below the slow trend — short-term momentum is currently downward.
    50-Day Average$32.23Price below (-5.6%)Price below its 50-day average = near-term downtrend.
    200-Day Average$27.48Price aboveThe 200-day line is the long-term trend divider — above it is generally considered a bull market for the stock.
    50 vs 200 CrossGolden50-day above 200-dayA "golden cross" — the medium trend has overtaken the long trend (often read as bullish).

    Technicals describe price, not the business. A great company can have a "bearish" tape (a buying chance) and a weak one a "bullish" tape (a trap). Pair these with the valuation and health sections above.

    Data Quality & Risk Flags (6 notes — click to expand/collapse)

    HIGH Revenue declining
    Guardrail Notes (5)
    • FCF negative: revenue/margin growth model projects future cash flows from revenue trajectory.
    • Terminal growth (3%) capped to 1.6% (80% of near-term growth 2%).
    • Model implies no positive equity value under these assumptions. Valuation is speculative/low-confidence.
    • Extreme valuation (P/IV withheld — see the note above); output dominated by data/units issue (often a multi-class share-count mismatch). Suppressed.
    • DATA UNAVAILABLE: per-share values suppressed due to missing/unreliable shares data.

    Financial Statements (5-year tables — click to expand)

    From Celldex Therapeutics, Inc.'s SEC filings (EDGAR).

    Income (5yr)

    YearRevenueNet IncomeEPS
    20251.5M-258.8M$-3.90
    20247.0M-157.9M$-2.45
    20236.9M-141.4M$-2.92
    20222.4M-112.3M$-2.40
    20214.7M-70.5M$-1.64

    Cash Flow (5yr)

    YearOperating CFCapEx− SBC & adj.Free Cash Flow
    2025 -210.9M 2.7M 36.2M -249.9M
    2024 -157.8M 1.9M 34.2M -193.9M
    2023 -107.3M 1.8M 23.9M -133.0M
    2022 -103.7M 1.8M 15.6M -121.2M
    2021 -60.9M 1.2M 9.0M -71.1M

    How we define FCF: operating cash flow − capital expenditure − stock-based compensation (owner-earnings basis — SBC is a real cost to shareholders even though it's non-cash). Latest year: -210.9M − 2.7M − 36.2M (SBC & adj.) = -249.9M. This is the same owner-earnings FCF definition the valuation model uses, though the DCF's starting value is a projected from revenue × terminal margin, not this single year.

    Balance Sheet

    Total Assets583.0M
    Total Liabilities55.8M
    Equity527.2M

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    Methodology by Pouyan Golshani, MD — founder of Gighz. Savng was built by a physician for busy professionals: every number on this page comes from SEC filings (EDGAR) and FINRA data through transparent, rules-based models — no analyst opinions, no hidden inputs. How we calculate every number →

    The questions people ask about CLDX

    Is Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. (CLDX) a good stock to buy?

    We do not publish a single fair value for Celldex Therapeutics, Inc., because one number would not be reliable for this business (the page explains why). Judge it on what today's price assumes, its financial-health checks and what insiders are doing, all shown here from SEC filings. This is educational research from SEC filings, not investment advice.

    Is Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. (CLDX) overvalued?

    A single fair-value number is not reliable for Celldex Therapeutics, Inc., so we do not call it overvalued or undervalued. The page shows what growth today's price assumes and how the company's finances look instead. This is educational research from SEC filings, not investment advice.

    What growth is priced into CLDX?

    Working backwards from today's price, the market is counting on roughly 145.5% a year growth in CLDX's cash flow over the next decade. Compare that with the company's actual record on this page.

    Where do these numbers come from?

    From Celldex Therapeutics, Inc.'s own SEC filings (10-K and 10-Q), Form 4 insider filings and daily market prices. Every figure on the page links to how it was calculated, and the model's weak spots are listed next to its results.

    ⚠️ Not investment advice. Automated model outputs, last refreshed May 30, 2026 (the analysis-refresh date, not the latest filing period). All models have blind spots. Full disclaimer →
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