Is Elong Power Holding Ltd. (ELPW) a good stock to buy?

Price through Oct 14 market close · SEC data refreshed 3 days ago ⓘ · Not investment advice
Elong Power Holding Ltd.
ELPW Technology Electronic Components📄 SEC filings ↗
Speculative
⚠ Low-confidence DCF estimate
Mixed ●●●●●

Our tested checks disagree with each other, so the answer depends on something further down the page rather than on any one measure.

What each rating means, in numbers

Business quality — Middling. Passes 6 of the 9 health checks we can measure — things like making a profit, turning it into cash, and not piling on debt. Across 131,000 company-quarters the weakest scorers went on to fail at 5.4% against 1.4% for the strongest, in every era and all twelve sectors.

What "tested" means here, and why there is no score out of 100

Tested means the read was measured against what actually happened afterwards, on a history that keeps the companies that were later delisted, using only figures that had been filed on the day they are used. Survival was ranked on companies that really did fail. What an owner keeps was tested across the universe from 2011 to 2025.

The full record of everything we have tested is on the research pages.

Which benchmark. Over the period we tested, the median listed company returned +5.8% a year while the S&P 500 returned about +13.9% — the index is weighted by size and was carried by a handful of enormous winners. So "beats the index" and "beats the other companies you could have bought" are different questions. Where a read says it picks better companies, it means the second one. None of these gets you an index fund's return, and we would rather say that than imply otherwise.

The quality read is the strongest thing we have tested: 131,000 company-quarters across 5,300 companies, where the weakest scorers went on to fail at 5.4% against 1.4% for the strongest, holding in every era and all twelve sectors. It still says less likely to break, not likely to beat the market — every band in that study lost to the index at the median, because the median listed company does.

Each read is shown on its own rather than merged into a single score, so you can see which part is strong and which is weak instead of taking an average on trust.

▾ What goes into the smart-money reading
Valuation (price vs model IV) (40%) 92/100 → +36.8
Smart money (short interest + insider buying) (30%) 45/100 → +13.5
Macro backdrop (VIX, curve, credit, fear/greed + week-over-week momentum) (30%) 42/100 → +12.6
early-warning: macro conditions deteriorating week-over-week
Total63/100

Contributions (weight × component score) sum to the total. This near-term score now includes fundamental health (leverage, FCF trend, DCF applicability). It excludes the Altman Z score, whose retained-earnings input this filer does not report separately. See the Financial Health section for the full balance-sheet read.

💵 Price $2.44 · through Oct 14 market close 📄 Financials SEC EDGAR · refreshed 3 days ago
Business type Speculative micro-cap ⓘ Stock is too small / too volatile for our standard models to produce reliable signal
20%
vs 14% normally
Ordinary
The market, not this company tested

Chance the S&P 500 falls 10% or more in the next three months.

Counted from every day since 2006. Says nothing about ELPW — see the board for how it is measured.

📍 Where to start on this page, and what to look at first

How to read ELPW (speculative micro-cap)

ELPW generates real cash flow, but the DCF here is a low-confidence estimate — the value is sensitive to how we normalize cash flow, cyclicality, and secular/industry risk. Treat the DCF as one input, then pressure-test it against the reverse-DCF, leverage, and the operating trends below.

Where to start — the sections that matter most for this stock
  1. 1 Reverse-DCF — what growth the price assumes ↓
    The single most useful number here: it backs out the growth the market is paying for. If that figure is "historically unprecedented," the price is running on hype, not fundamentals.
  2. 2 Cash runway ↓
    A pre-profit micro-cap lives or dies on whether it can fund itself to profitability before running out of money and diluting you.
  3. 3 The raw financial statements + the 10-K ↓
    At this scale, the actual numbers, insider ownership, and share-count trend tell you more than any ratio.
Or — what are you trying to decide?
A note on process: fear-driven decisions — including fear of missing out — tend to be the expensive ones. A stock up 10% a day for three days is excitement, not evidence. Whichever reader you are, the data below is there to be checked before anything is decided.
🚀
"It's surging — should I chase it?"
The momentum / FOMO trade. Before you chase, see whether the people who know it best are quietly selling into the rally.
⚖️
"Is it worth what it costs?"
The valuation trade. Our DCF, the growth the price implies, and a calculator you drive yourself.
🏷️
"Is it a cheap bargain?"
The deep-value trade. How far below assets and our value it trades — and whether it's cheap for a reason.

Is Elong Power Holding Ltd. (ELPW) overvalued?

Macro: no macro data

Yes, by our measure: the price is about 266% above what we think the business is worth.

ELPW trades at $2.44 vs an estimated intrinsic value of $0.67 — a +265.5% premium to model IV.

Discount-rate sensitivity: $0.67 – $2.41 (Overvalued → Deeply overvalued)
14.0% (higher required return) → $0.67 · 8.5% (lower) → $2.41
how is this calculated?
Pegged to beta 0.60 (cost of equity 8.5%); sector/quality cross-check at 14%. · 25% small-cap illiquidity discount applied.
Margin of safety
None — price is above our value

Not investment advice. The model can be wrong. Verify the assumptions in the sections below and consider consulting a licensed advisor for significant decisions.

What return would ELPW pay as a bond?

Not measurable here. Pre-profit: the coupon is projected, not earned. An equity bond needs a coupon that exists today. See the cross-company ranking →

ⓘ Why does ELPW trade at $2.44?

Elong Power Holding Ltd. has 964,107 shares outstanding. At $2.44 per share, the market values all outstanding ELPW equity at $2.4 million. That's market capitalization, not enterprise value — enterprise value also accounts for debt and cash (ELPW carries little or no debt, so the two are close here). The share price by itself tells you almost nothing — a company can pick any share price by splitting or issuing more shares. What matters is the total value (Market Cap?Market Cap — The total dollar value the market is assigning to the entire company.
Why it matters: This is the number that actually matters when comparing companies. Two companies with the same business but different share counts have the same market cap.
Reference: Mega cap >$200B · Large $10–200B · Mid $2–10B · Small $300M–2B · Micro <$300M
Full explanation →
) compared to what the business actually produces. This page values ELPW in Per Share?Per Share — A company-level figure divided by total shares — what one share represents.
Why it matters: Per-share metrics are the only way to fairly compare two companies with different share counts.
Full explanation →
economics — what each share represents of the underlying business. Play with the share-price calculator on the homepage →

Loading insider & short-seller data…

Who owns ELPW, and how it moves

From the SEC's own filings: every fund manager over $100M reports its holdings each quarter, and every officer and director reports theirs. Each point is what was public at the time.

-4.58×
Moves with the market
Over the last year, a 1% move in the S&P 500 came with about a 4.6% move in ELPW, in the opposite direction.
-9.02×
Moves with its sector (Technology)
The same measure against the XLK sector fund over the last year.
Checking filings for failure warnings…

What growth must the market believe? ?Reverse DCF — Instead of asking "what is this stock worth?", asks "what growth rate is the current market price already assuming?"
Why it matters: It crystallizes the bull thesis as a single number you can argue with. If the market expects 40% growth for 10 years and you do not believe that, the stock is overvalued.
Reference: 10–15% = sustainable for strong companies · 20–25% = exceptional · 30%+ = historically very rare

Traditional DCF asks "what is this stock worth?" Reverse DCF flips it: it treats today's price as correct and solves for the growth rate that justifies it. In plain terms — if our model is right about everything else, the company's cash flow would have to grow (or shrink) by this much every year for the next 5 years for today's price to make sense. If that required growth looks unrealistic, the price is stretched; if it looks easy to beat, the price may be cheap.

To justify today's $2.44 price, ELPW's free cash flow?Free Cash Flow (FCF) — Operating cash flow minus capital spending: cash left after a company covers operating costs, taxes and interest and reinvests in the business — but BEFORE repaying debt principal or paying dividends. The cash actually available to investors.
Why it matters: A company can show big profits on paper while burning through cash. FCF is what actually fills the bank account.
Reference: Healthy mature businesses convert 8–15% of revenue into FCF · Growth companies often negative
Full explanation →
must grow at:
+25.6%
5-year FCF growth, then fading implied by today's price
A 5-year cash-flow growth rate, fading to terminal growth afterwards, implied by today's live price.
▾ Exactly how this 5-year figure is computed
Starting FCF/share: $0.09 (projected from revenue × terminal margin)
Forecast length: 5 years at the solved rate, then a linear fade to terminal growth over years 6-10 — the same shape the DCF above uses
Terminal growth after the fade: 1.6%
Discount rate: 14.0% (the rate the model used)
Price used: $2.44 — the live price shown on this page (not frozen)
Method: solve for the constant annual growth rate that makes the discounted 10-year FCF stream + terminal value equal today's price.
Exceptional

Sustaining 22-30% a year for five years is rare, and rarer still at large scale where the base is already enormous. The price is betting on a top-tier outcome.

For reference: Heroic — very few companies have ever compounded cash flow this fast at scale for a decade. The price leaves no room for error.

▾ How we computed this · Reality check thresholds · Assumptions
Inputs:
  • Starting FCF/share: $0.09 (projected from revenue × terminal margin)
  • Discount Rate?Discount Rate — The annual return you demand for taking single-stock risk instead of buying a safe Treasury or index fund.
    Why it matters: Higher discount rate = stricter valuation (a stock has to produce more cash to be worth holding). Lower = more generous.
    Reference: 8–12% is standard · 9–10% matches S&P 500 historical return · Below 7% is illogical for single-stock risk
    Full explanation →
    : 14.0% — standard 8-12%; 9-10% matches S&P 500 historical return
  • Terminal Growth Rate?Terminal Growth Rate — The growth rate we assume the company holds forever, after the explicit 10-year forecast period ends.
    Why it matters: It anchors the long-tail value. Cannot mathematically exceed long-term GDP growth or the company eventually becomes larger than the global economy.
    Reference: 2–3% (matches long-term US GDP growth) · Above 4% is mathematically problematic
    Full explanation →
    : 1.6% — matches long-term GDP growth
  • Forecast horizon: 10 years explicit + terminal perpetuity
Reality-check scale:
≤ 0%Priced for decline — likely undervalued OR dying business
5-12%Reasonable; sustainable for quality businesses
12-18%Demanding — strong execution required
18-25%Exceptional — few companies sustain for a decade
25-35%Heroic — historically very rare
35%+Borderline impossible at scale

Sustaining 30%+ cash-flow growth for a full decade at scale is exceedingly rare — the bar is brutally high.

Use the interactive calculator below to change the discount rate, growth and terminal-growth assumptions and watch the value move.

Price against our valuation methods
Above every method
●●●●●
2 methods compared
What this rating means

What the rating says — Above every method. The current price sits ABOVE the high end of every method. The market is paying a premium to all of these lenses — it expects materially better growth or margins than the models assume.

What it does not say — Not a forecast. This shows where today's price sits against several different ways of valuing the business. Where the methods disagree, the spread itself is the useful part - it tells you how much the answer depends on which one you trust.

No method wins for this kind of company. We tested each of these inside this business type and none separated better than the others by enough to trust, consistently, across periods. Read the spread below as how much the methods disagree — which is worth seeing — and not as a ranking.

⚠ At today's price, the market values ELPW at about 0.9× its annual sales — a typical established company trades around 1–3×. Standard industry multiples (the bars below) collapse toward $0 at this scale, so they aren't the useful read. For a micro-cap with sales, lean on the Reverse-DCF (what revenue growth that price implies), the Momentum trend, and cash runway — see 📍 What to focus on.

Football field: where does the price sit?

Both bars below come from our own cash-flow model — one tries a range of growth rates, one shows our three scenarios. A third bar comparing ELPW with similar companies appears only when there are enough close peers to trust it, and there aren't here. So this shows how much the answer depends on growth, not a set of independent checks.

$0$1$2$2$3Current price $2.44If FCF grew -5%/yr → 8%/yr (flat 10-yr DCF sweep; model assumes 2.0%)$0.51$1.13Our model's scenarios (conservative → optimistic; ◆ base, ● weighted 40/35/25)$0.50$0.90weighted $0.67base $0.69
The current price sits ABOVE the high end of every method. The market is paying a premium to all of these lenses — it expects materially better growth or margins than the models assume.

Industry multiples sourced from: sector: Technology. See the Peer Basket section below for the peer comparison and its limited-comparables caveat.

How to read a company this small

ELPW is too small and/or too volatile for the valuation lenses we use on larger, more stable companies. The numbers shown below should be taken as rough orientation only.

✅ What actually drives value for this kind of company
  • Market cap $2.4M — nano-cap territory (below $50M)
  • Latest annual revenue $2.1M — too small for meaningful growth percentages
❌ Metrics that DON'T apply (ignore these even if you see them below)

Growth percentages on tiny revenue bases (1000% going from $200K to $2M is not predictive). P/E and ROE swing wildly with small earnings changes. Peer comparisons fail because there often aren't comparable companies at this scale.

📚 Where to actually look

Start with the Reverse-DCF above — it backs out the growth the price is betting on; if that figure is "historically unprecedented," the price is running on hype, not fundamentals. Then the cash runway (can it fund itself to profitability before diluting you?). Then the raw Financials table and the 10-K on SEC EDGAR — at this scale, insider ownership and the share-count trend often matter more than any ratio.

Classified as Speculative Nano / Micro-cap (confidence 80%). Disagree? An admin can override via the post edit screen.

⚠ Genuine comparables are scarce at this size, so peer multiples are unreliable here. Treat as rough context only — see 📍 What to focus on above.

How does ELPW stack up against its closest peers?

We take the 4 same- or closely-related-industry companies closest in size to ELPW and check what investors are paying for each dollar of their revenue (or profits). If ELPW is much more expensive on the same yardstick, that's a red flag — unless you have a specific reason it deserves a premium. For a leveraged business, FCF yield (in the table) is usually more reliable than EV/Sales, because revenue multiples ignore differences in margins and debt.

▾ What's "EV / Sales" in plain English?

EV (Enterprise Value) = market cap + total debt − cash. It's "what you'd pay to buy the entire company outright" — you pay the market cap to shareholders and take over their debt, but you keep their cash. EV is fairer than market cap alone because it includes the debt the new owner inherits.

EV / Sales = EV ÷ annual revenue. So "2.5×" means investors pay $2.50 of enterprise value per $1 of yearly sales. Higher = market is paying more per dollar of sales (usually because they expect future growth or fat margins).

p25 / median / p75 are the 25th, 50th (middle), and 75th percentile of the peers' multiples. Half the peers fall between p25 and p75. The median (p50) is the typical peer — that's the benchmark we compare to.

What peers trade at (p25 / median / p75)
EV / Sales?EV / Sales — For every $1 of yearly revenue, this is how many dollars investors pay to own the whole business (including debt).
Why it matters: Works for pre-profit growth companies where P/E and FCF don't apply. The most apples-to-apples cross-company multiple because it ignores accounting choices.
Reference: 1–3x for mature companies · 4–10x for software/SaaS · 10–20x for hypergrowth · >20x is rare and demanding
Full explanation →
0.2x / 0.4x / 1.2x

Bold middle number = median peer. Half the peers trade above it, half below. Computed over 4 same-industry peers; implausible multiples excluded.

Peer-implied value check
We're not showing a peer-implied price for ELPW: its closest comparables are valued very differently from one another (from 0.2× to 1.2× sales across the middle half), so any single "peer value" would mostly reflect which companies happened to be picked. Read the table as context.

⚠️ Important caveat: peer multiples only work if the peers are genuinely comparable. Always check the peer list below — if the auto-picker grabbed micro-caps or unrelated businesses, the comparison is noise. A medical-device giant priced against tiny biotech startups won't produce a useful signal.

▾ View peer list (8)
Ticker Company Industry Mcap EV/Sales EV/GPEV/EBIT FCF Yield
NVVE Nuvve Holding Corp. Electronic Components $2M 0.7x —— 28.1%
SLDPW Solid Power, Inc. Electronic Components $4M 0.2x —— 220.5%
TRNR Interactive Strength, Inc. Electronic & Other Electri $2M 0.2x 2.1x— 4,863.2%
POLA Polar Power, Inc. Electronic Components $7M 1.2x —— 14.6%
XPON Expion Energy, Inc. Electronic Components ·fallback $2M 0.2x 1.6x— 54.0%
GAUZ Gauzy Ltd. Electronic Components ·fallback $5M 0.4x 1.3x— 356.0%
EPOW E-Power Inc. Electronic Components ·fallback $8M 1.6x —— 347.0%
UCAR U Power Ltd Electronic Components ·fallback $8M 1.9x 5.2x— 5.6%

Quality & solvency checks

Cheap stocks can be cheap for a reason. These screens warn when a low valuation comes paired with structural fragility.

Business quality
Middling
●●●●●
Passes 6 of 9 checks
What these health ratings mean, in numbers

Business quality — Middling. Passes 6 of the 9 health checks we can measure — things like making a profit, turning it into cash, and not piling on debt. Across 131,000 company-quarters the weakest scorers went on to fail at 5.4% within a year against 1.4% for the strongest, and that held in every era and all twelve sectors. It says "less likely to break", not "likely to beat the market".

The workings
Altman Z-Score?Altman Z-Score — A bankruptcy-risk score combining 5 financial ratios into one number. Predictive of bankruptcy within 2 years.
Why it matters: Cheap-looking stocks (low P/E or P/B) often have low Z-scores because the market knows the company is dying. Z-score warns you before you fall into a value trap.
Reference: > 3.0 = safe zone · 1.81–3.0 = grey zone · < 1.81 = distress zone
Full explanation →
n/a
Not reliably computable

We can't produce a trustworthy Altman Z here: retained earnings weren't separately reported in our data, so a core input would have to be fabricated. Rather than show a categorical "distress" verdict from an invented number, we mark it unavailable. Judge financial health from the leverage, cash position, and the measurable Piotroski checks instead.

Piotroski F-Score?Piotroski F-Score — A 9-point quality checklist scoring profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.
Why it matters: High score = fundamentals improving. Low score = deteriorating. Especially powerful for filtering cheap stocks: cheap + high F-score historically outperforms; cheap + low F-score is often a value trap.
Reference: 7–9 = strong · 4–6 = mediocre · 0–3 = weak
Full explanation →
6 / 9
Mediocre
▾ The checks — what passed, what didn't (and what we couldn't measure)
  • ✗ Positive net income
    Net income -$5.6M in FY2025.
    Why this matters: Does the company actually earn a profit? Sustained losses eventually force it to raise money — diluting you — or take on debt.
  • ✗ Positive operating cash flow
    Operating cash flow -$2.7M (was -$2.8M the prior year).
    Why this matters: Profit can be an accounting figure; cash from running the business is harder to fake. Negative operating cash flow means the core business consumes cash and must be funded externally.
  • ✓ Cash flow backs up reported profit
    Operating cash flow -$2.7M vs net income -$5.6M.
  • ✓ Return on assets improving
    Return on assets -20.1% vs -113.1% a year ago.
  • ✓ Debt load (vs assets)
    The filing reports no interest-bearing debt in either year (total assets $27.7M).
  • ✗ Short-term liquidity (current ratio)
    Current ratio 0.46x vs 0.51x a year ago — below 1.0, a caution flag.
    Why this matters: The current ratio compares assets it can turn to cash within a year against bills due within a year. Below 1.0 means it may struggle to cover near-term obligations.
  • ✓ Share count (dilution)
    Share count declined 97.9% (45.6M → 1.0M year-over-year), so the no-dilution check passed. (One-year change; the multi-year buyback pace can differ.)
  • ✓ Pricing power (gross margin)
    Gross margin 4.0% vs -894.8% a year ago.
  • ✓ Sales per asset (asset turnover)
    Asset turnover 0.07x vs 0.01x a year ago.

Missing data is never counted as a pass or a fail — it's shown as n/a and excluded from the denominator. Each check compares the company against its own prior year.

Cash Runway
2 mo
CRITICAL — under 6 months of cash

Plain English: the company holds about $0M in cash and is burning roughly $3M/year in operations. At that pace, the cash lasts 2 mo before it must raise capital (diluting shareholders), take on debt, or cut spending.

Assumes constant burn and ignores financing/asset sales. For pre-profit biotech and growth companies, this matters more than a DCF — a great drug pipeline is worthless if they run out of money before approval.

What if you assume different inputs?

Here's where we land — and what happens if you change the assumptions. Drag the sliders to set your own Discount Rate?Discount Rate — The annual return you demand for taking single-stock risk instead of buying a safe Treasury or index fund.
Why it matters: Higher discount rate = stricter valuation (a stock has to produce more cash to be worth holding). Lower = more generous.
Reference: 8–12% is standard · 9–10% matches S&P 500 historical return · Below 7% is illogical for single-stock risk
Full explanation →
(the annual return you demand for single-stock risk) and terminal growth; the value updates live so you can see whether the stock looks cheaper or richer. The discount rate starts at 14.0%, the figure our model used for ELPW. Open Advanced to also change beta, growth and the rate path.

Note: the calculator opens at our published value of $0.67 — it is initialised to the same scenario-weighted result, so the two match exactly on load. The moment you move a slider, the value below becomes a single-path what-if at your assumptions (not the three-scenario weighting), which is why it can differ from the headline once you've touched it.

Scenario-weighted model IV (40/35/25 assumed weights)
$0.67
It trades at
$2.44
Premium to model IV
+265.5%
Price is 266% above model IV — it looks overvalued. Change the assumptions below to see what would justify today's price.
We value this stock at two discount rates and report the range between them:
8.5% — beta-based (CAPM), from this stock's Beta?Beta — How much the stock moves when the overall market moves. 1.0 = moves with the market; 1.5 = moves 50% more than the market.
Why it matters: Higher beta = more volatile = should demand higher discount rate. Low beta stocks (utilities, consumer staples) move less.
Reference: Most stocks 0.5–1.5 · Defensives ~0.3 · High-vol tech ~1.5–2.0
Full explanation →
of 0.60.
The safe Treasury rate plus a premium scaled by how much more (or less) volatile the stock is than the market.
14.0% — sector/quality tier. A simpler hurdle set by industry and business durability: lower for stable, wide-moat companies; higher for speculative or micro-caps.
The headline value and this calculator start at 14.0% — the more conservative sector/quality rate (we use the more conservative sector/quality rate when model applicability is limited or the balance sheet is stretched). Drag the slider to the other rate to see the full range.
4.5% (risk-free)9-10% normal18% (deep-risk)
0%2-3% (GDP)5% (rarely sustainable)
Value at your assumptions (opens at our published value; becomes a single-path what-if once you move a slider)
$0.67
vs today's $2.44
+265.5%

At the default assumptions the flat path lands near our published value of $0.67. Move any slider to recompute it with your own.

For comparison — the FCF growth today's price already assumes
+25.6%
at the default assumptions

Move any slider above to recompute this against your own assumptions.

⚙ Advanced — tinker with every input (beta, growth, rate path, margin → full intrinsic value)
Where the discount rate comes from — discount rate = risk-free + beta × equity-risk-premium
What you'd earn risk-free from government bonds — the floor under every other rate. Slide it down to model the market expecting rate cuts (value rises); up for higher-for-longer.
The extra yearly return investors demand for owning stocks instead of safe bonds — the price of risk. History runs ~4.5–6.5%; we default to 5.5% (slightly conservative). It's an estimate, not a law — lower it if you think equities are less risky than that.
Inflation reduces the purchasing power of a nominal return: a 9% gain at 3% inflation is about 6% in real terms. The intrinsic value above is already in today's dollars (a nominal DCF carries inflation in both the growth and the discount rate), so this switch does not change the value — it restates the return in real terms.
Higher beta → higher discount rate (sets the rate above). 1.0 = moves with the market.
What you think ELPW can grow FCF for ~5 years, then fades to terminal.
All inputs start at the values our model used.

    Copy shareable link to this scenario →

    Price$2.44
    Model IV$0.67
    Premium to IV+265.5%
    DCF applicabilityLow
    Return to IV (3yr, annualized)-35.1%

    Elong Power Holding Ltd. (ELPW) is well above the model value; the price is 265.5% above intrinsic value?Intrinsic Value — Our DCF model's estimate of what each share is mathematically worth based on projected cash flows.
    Why it matters: Compare to current price. Below IV = potentially undervalued. Above IV = priced for growth that must actually happen.
    Reference: Model-derived; quality depends on data and assumptions.
    Full explanation →
    (a 265.5% premium). The market appears to be paying for potential future growth or a turnaround not yet reflected in the declining revenue and negative cash flow. The biggest risk to our model's base assumptions is that normalized cash flow continues to decline, given the latest fiscal year's operating cash flow was -$2.6 million and revenue has been DECLINING at -33%/yr over three years.

    ⚠️ FCF negative: revenue/margin growth model projects future cash flows from revenue trajectory.

    As of 3 days ago

    Anatomy of a share

    What you're buying per share. Bars are at the same scale so you can see the relative size of revenue, costs, cash flow, and debt — not just read them in a table.

    ELPW Elong Power Holding Ltd. stock anatomy showing per-share revenue, operating expenses, free cash flow, and debt
    −271.3%
    loss
    Where each $1 of revenue goes
    For every $1 of revenue, ELPW currently loses 271.3¢ — costs exceed sales. A money-losing business can still be a good investment if losses are shrinking toward profitability; check the trend, not just the snapshot.
    Net margin = net income ÷ revenue (most recent fiscal year).
    Plain English: each share (at $2) represents $2.13 of revenue per share per year, $5.78 lost per share per year, and $-2.93 of owner-earnings free cash flow per current share (latest fiscal year) from the latest fiscal year. The filing reports no interest-bearing debt — the 50.5M of total liabilities on the balance sheet are operating items (payables, leases, deferred taxes), not borrowings. The DCF does not start from that single year — it instead starts from a projected from revenue × terminal margin of $0.09 per share to capture a full cycle.
    What's free cash flow / what do these mean?

    Revenue per share — how much the business earns from customers, divided by the number of shares outstanding. Top of the income statement.

    Earnings per share — profit left after operating costs, interest, and taxes, per share. Two versions appear on this page and are not interchangeable: GAAP diluted EPS uses the company's weighted-average diluted share count during the reporting period (this is the "earnings" in "price-to-earnings"); net income per current share divides annual net income by today's share count. They differ whenever the share count has changed.

    Owner-earnings free cash flow per share — the cash the business produces for shareholders. Savng's owner-earnings FCF subtracts capital expenditures and stock-based compensation from operating cash flow (SBC is a real dilution cost even though it's non-cash). This is deliberately more conservative than "standard" FCF, which subtracts only capital expenditures — so our figure is lower than the headline FCF you'll see elsewhere. FCF funds dividends, buybacks, debt repayment, and acquisitions; a company can report positive earnings yet negative FCF.

    Debt per share — total interest-bearing borrowings divided by shares. High debt-per-share next to thin FCF-per-share is a fragility signal.

    What you actually need to decide

    Every stock price is a disagreement. Here's the single thing that must go right for the bulls, the single thing that breaks the thesis, and the concrete signposts to watch so you can update your view as real results arrive.

    🐂 The Bull Case
    For the bull case, the company's gross margin, which expanded from -41.8% to 4%, must continue to improve significantly and translate into positive operating cash flow, while revenue stabilizes or reverses its current decline.
    🐻 The Bear Case
    The biggest operating risk is that revenue continues its DECLINING trend of -33%/yr and operating cash flow remains NEGATIVE, further eroding the company's financial position and failing to justify the current market premium.
    📌 Signposts to watch — update your view as these print
    • Reversal of the revenue DECLINING trend in upcoming quarters.
    • Improvement in operating cash flow from -$2.6 million to a positive level.
    • Increase in the current ratio from 0.46 to above 1, indicating improved liquidity.

    The trend, in plain numbers (FY2024 → FY2025, latest reported)

    Straight from the financial statements — no model, no opinion. For a small or unprofitable company, the direction of these numbers usually tells you more than any single valuation.

    ✅ Improving
    • Revenue grew +431% to $2.1M.
    • Free cash flow is negative at -$2.8M — the cash burn narrowed vs last year.
    • Gross margin improved to 4% (+899 pts).
    • Still unprofitable at -$5.6M — loss narrowing.

    Nothing was clearly worsening year-over-year.

    Management & Leadership

    Xiaodan Liu serves as the Chair and CEO, while Yue Liu is the Chief Financial Officer. Zhaohui Yang, Weijun Wang, Kebo Qin, and Kok Keow Tung are listed as Directors.

    Xiaodan (Nmn) Liu
    Chair & CEO (per SEC Form 3, 2026-08-27)

    Chair & CEO

    Yue Liu
    Chief Financial Officer (per SEC Form 3, 2026-06-18)

    Chief Financial Officer

    Zhaohui Yang
    Director (per SEC Form 3, 2026-08-27)
    Weijun (Nmn) Wang
    Director (per SEC Form 3, 2026-08-27)
    Kebo Qin
    Director (per SEC Form 3, 2026-08-27)
    Kok Keow Tung
    Director (per SEC Form 3, 2026-08-27)

    What They Make

    Elong Power Holding Ltd. operates in the electronic components industry, though specific products and paying customers are not detailed in the provided description. Generally, companies in this sector sell components to manufacturers of electronic devices.

    End Markets

    Electronic device manufacturingIndustrial electronicsConsumer electronics
    Market Cap: 2.4MBeta: 0.60

    Why Is It Priced Like This?

    Intrinsic Value$0.67
    Premium to IV +265.5%
    Return to IV (3yr, annualized) -35.1%

    The market prices ELPW at a premium of +265.5% above the model's intrinsic value?Intrinsic Value — Our DCF model's estimate of what each share is mathematically worth based on projected cash flows.
    Why it matters: Compare to current price. Below IV = potentially undervalued. Above IV = priced for growth that must actually happen.
    Reference: Model-derived; quality depends on data and assumptions.
    Full explanation →
    , despite revenue DECLINING (-33%/yr over 3yr) and operating cash flow being NEGATIVE. This suggests the market may be assigning value to a significant turnaround or new product optionality, which is not in the model, or is anticipating a substantial improvement in financial health that is not yet evident in current filings.

    Three Scenarios, Weighted
    ScenarioIVUpside from today's priceWeight
    Conservative$0.50-79.7%40%
    Base$0.69-71.7%35%
    Optimistic$0.90-63.1%25%
    Weighted$0.67-72.6%100%

    Reading the last column: it is the move from today's price to each value (IV ÷ price − 1). The headline "premium/discount to model IV" measures the same gap from the value's side (price ÷ IV − 1), so the two percentages differ in size and sign by construction — e.g. a price 8% above value is a value 7.4% below price.

    Business Model & Valuation

    How They Make Money

    Electronic component sales
    Manufacturing services for electronic parts
    Distribution of specialized electronic materials

    The company has negative free cash flow?Free Cash Flow (FCF) — Operating cash flow minus capital spending: cash left after a company covers operating costs, taxes and interest and reinvests in the business — but BEFORE repaying debt principal or paying dividends. The cash actually available to investors.
    Why it matters: A company can show big profits on paper while burning through cash. FCF is what actually fills the bank account.
    Reference: Healthy mature businesses convert 8–15% of revenue into FCF · Growth companies often negative
    Full explanation →
    after stock comp of -$2.8 million, indicating it likely funds operations through external financing or existing cash reserves, as no dividend or buyback information is available.

    Growth / Revenue DCF Low

    Negative free cash flow: revenue/margin growth model used - standard FCF DCF is unreliable for companies still scaling.

    ▾ Why is DCF applicability "Low" for ELPW?
    A "Low" score means an FCF-DCF is a weaker fit for this business — not that the number is wrong, but that it deserves more skepticism. The specific drivers here:
    • The latest single-year FCF sits materially below the normalized figure the model uses, a sign of cyclicality.
    • Individual business-segment drivers are not forecast separately — the model works off consolidated cash flow only.

    Because of this, we headline the more conservative discount rate and urge you to weight the reverse-DCF, leverage, and operating trends alongside the DCF.

    In plain English: we estimate ELPW's value by projecting its owner-earnings free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditure and stock-based compensation) into the future and converting it back to what it's worth today. We start from $0.09 per share (projected from revenue × terminal margin), assume it grows 2.0% per year for about 5 years (then gradually fades), and discount everything at 14.0% — the yearly return a buyer should demand for this much risk. After that it's assumed to grow 1.6% per year forever (kept below long-run economic growth — the terminal rate fades from the near-term growth above, so a low near-term rate produces a low perpetual rate). A higher discount rate or slower growth means a lower value, and vice-versa — change any of these yourself in the calculator above.
    Owner-earnings FCF / share$0.09projected from revenue × terminal margin — smoothed, not the latest single year
    Growth (g₁) — 5yr2.0%Source: historical CAGR + sector defaults
    Discount Rate (r)14.0%
    Terminal Growth (gT)1.6%
    Show advanced inputs
    Revenue Growth2.0%

    What this model does NOT do: this is a consolidated owner-earnings cash-flow model. Standalone segment assumptions: none. It does not project product, services and recurring/cloud lines independently; their combined effect is embedded in the historical revenue and cash-flow trend the model extrapolates. The calculator above can only approximate a segment's impact through the single consolidated growth rate — it cannot model any one line separately. For a true segment-level view, build a separate model from the company's segment disclosures.

    Maturity & Competitive Position

    Growth / re-investment phase

    Revenue has been DECLINING at -33%/yr over three years, from $7M to $2.1 million.

    Geography & Markets

    Geographic Risks

    Lack of geographic diversification (specifics not available)
    Concentration risk in specific product lines (specifics not available)

    Market Signals

    These are timing signals, not value signals — they describe the stock's recent price behavior, not what the business is worth. Use them for the "the thesis looks good, but is now the moment?" question. Each tile below explains what it's saying.

    Model bearish, tape bearish - aligned.
    RSI?RSI — Relative Strength Index — a 0-100 momentum gauge. Above 70 = overbought; below 30 = oversold.
    Why it matters: Short-term contrarian indicator. Extreme readings often precede mean reversion, though not always.
    Reference: 30–70 normal · >70 overbought · <30 oversold
    Full explanation →
    (14)
    35.8NeutralMomentum is balanced — neither overbought nor oversold.
    MACD?MACD — Moving Average Convergence Divergence — compares a fast and a slow price trend to gauge momentum direction.
    Why it matters: When the fast line crosses above the slow line, short-term momentum is turning up; below, turning down. A timing cue, not a value signal.
    Reference: Line above signal = bullish momentum · below = bearish
    Full explanation →
    BullishLine above signalThe fast trend is above the slow trend — short-term momentum is currently upward.
    50-Day Average$3.60Price below (-32.2%)Price below its 50-day average = near-term downtrend.
    200-Day Average$1,298.27Price belowThe 200-day line is the long-term trend divider — above it is generally considered a bull market for the stock.
    50 vs 200 CrossDeath50-day below 200-dayA "death cross" — the medium trend is below the long trend (often read as bearish).

    Technicals describe price, not the business. A great company can have a "bearish" tape (a buying chance) and a weak one a "bullish" tape (a trap). Pair these with the valuation and health sections above.

    Data Quality & Risk Flags (4 notes — click to expand/collapse)

    Guardrail Notes (4)
    • FCF negative: revenue/margin growth model projects future cash flows from revenue trajectory.
    • Terminal growth set to 1.6% — the lowest of the applicable caps (binding: 80% of near-term growth (2%)). We use one effective terminal rate everywhere on the page.
    • Illiquidity discount 25% applied (small/micro-cap — harder to exit, demand a margin).
    • Extreme valuation gap (P/IV 4.06): result may be dominated by model assumptions, share count issues, or sector-specific dynamics. Treat as low confidence.

    Financial Statements (5-year tables — click to expand)

    From Elong Power Holding Ltd.'s SEC filings (EDGAR).

    Income (5yr)

    YearRevenueNet IncomeEPS
    20252.1M-5.6M$-143.18
    2024386,940-30.1M$-844.19
    20233.2M-7.4M$-211.79
    20226.8M-9.8M$-0.22

    Cash Flow (5yr)

    YearOperating CFCapEx− SBCFree Cash Flow
    2025 -2.7M 160,911 — -2.8M
    2024 -2.8M 976 9.0M -11.8M
    2023 -5.7M 548,931 — -6.2M
    2022 -4.6M 1.2M — -5.8M

    How we define FCF: operating cash flow − capital expenditure − stock-based compensation (owner-earnings basis — SBC is a real cost to shareholders even though it's non-cash). This is the same owner-earnings FCF definition the valuation model uses, though the DCF's starting value is a projected from revenue × terminal margin, not this single year.

    Balance Sheet

    Total Assets27.7M
    Total Liabilities50.5M
    Equity-22.7M

    Similar companies worth a look

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    Methodology by Pouyan Golshani, MD — founder of Gighz. Savng was built by a physician for busy professionals: every number on this page comes from SEC filings (EDGAR) and FINRA data through transparent, rules-based models — no analyst opinions, no hidden inputs. How we calculate every number →

    The questions people ask about ELPW

    Is Elong Power Holding Ltd. (ELPW) a good stock to buy?

    Elong Power Holding Ltd. (ELPW) looks expensive against its own cash flows: the price is about 266% above our $0.67 estimate. Whether it is a good buy depends on whether the company can grow faster than that price assumes, on its financial health, and on what insiders are doing. All three are on this page. This is educational research from SEC filings, not investment advice.

    Is Elong Power Holding Ltd. (ELPW) overvalued?

    Yes, by our measure. Elong Power Holding Ltd. (ELPW) trades at $2.44, about 266% above our estimate of $0.67 for what the business is worth. This is educational research from SEC filings, not investment advice.

    What is ELPW's intrinsic value?

    Our model estimates ELPW is worth about $0.67 per share, built from the cash the business is expected to generate, taken from its SEC filings. The market price is $2.44.

    What growth is priced into ELPW?

    Working backwards from today's price, the market expects ELPW's cash flow per share to grow by roughly 19.7% a year over the next five years. Compare that with the company's actual record on this page.

    Where do these numbers come from?

    From Elong Power Holding Ltd.'s own SEC filings (10-K and 10-Q), Form 4 insider filings and daily market prices. Every figure on the page links to how it was calculated, and the model's weak spots are listed next to its results.

    ⚠️ Not investment advice. Automated model outputs, last refreshed 3 days ago (the analysis-refresh date, not the latest filing period). All models have blind spots. Full disclaimer →
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