Stock Analyses

Model-driven valuations for thousands of US-listed stocks, built from SEC EDGAR filings. Click any card to see the full analysis.

Clear
82 stocks · page 1 of 2
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
AMCR
Amcor plc
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$42.15
Model IV$37.67
P/IV1.04
Premium +12% Return to IV: -10.6%
Owner yield 5.2% 10-yr IRR 12.2% · moderate
Market implies +9.9%/yr vs model +10.6% · in line
AMZN
AMAZON COM INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$258.45
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +39.6%/yr
ARMK
Aramark
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$56.48
Model IV$32.00
P/IV1.67
Premium +77% Return to IV: -43.3%
Owner yield 1.9% 10-yr IRR -0.9% · moderate
Market implies +15.7%/yr vs model +10.3% · above model
AS
Amer Sports, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$27.45
Model IV
P/IV
AZO
AUTOZONE INC
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$2,803.25
Model IV$3,531.48
P/IV0.83
Discount 21% Return to IV: +26.0%
Owner yield 4.0% 10-yr IRR 9.0% · moderate
Market implies +6.5%/yr vs model +11.1% · below model
BBY
BEST BUY CO INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$93.22
Model IV$65.74
P/IV0.17
Premium +42% Return to IV: -29.5%
Owner yield 5.6% 10-yr IRR 7.0% · steady
Market implies +7.2%/yr vs model +2.7% · above model
BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$92.31
Model IV$61.79
P/IV1.50
Premium +49% Return to IV: -33.1%
Owner yield 2.4% 10-yr IRR 0.5% · moderate
Market implies +11.5%/yr vs model +8.1% · above model
BURL
Burlington Stores, Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$251.80
Model IV$220.23
P/IV1.19
Premium +14% Return to IV: -12.5%
Market implies -0.6%/yr vs model +5.5% · below model
BWA
BORGWARNER INC
Overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$63.32
Model IV$51.69
P/IV1.39
Premium +22% Return to IV: -18.4%
Owner yield 6.0% 10-yr IRR 10.5% · steady
Market implies +7.7%/yr vs model +5.9% · in line
CASY
CASEYS GENERAL STORES INC
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$585.34
Model IV$532.65
P/IV1.44
Premium +10% Return to IV: -9.0%
Owner yield 2.1% 10-yr IRR 2.5% · grower
Market implies +11.8%/yr vs model +13.8% · in line
CDW
CDW Corp
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$146.41
Model IV$130.96
P/IV0.96
Premium +12% Return to IV: -10.6%
Owner yield 6.4% 10-yr IRR 10.9% · steady
Market implies +5.9%/yr vs model +5.2% · in line
CMG
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$33.14
Model IV$20.39
P/IV1.56
Premium +63% Return to IV: -38.5%
Owner yield 3.1% 10-yr IRR 5.5% · moderate
Market implies +15.3%/yr vs model +10.9% · above model
COST
COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$898.48
Model IV$364.14
P/IV2.48
Premium +147% Return to IV: -59.5%
Owner yield 1.6% 10-yr IRR -4.1% · moderate
Market implies +18.8%/yr vs model +8.6% · above model
CPNG
Coupang, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$14.62
Model IV$8.32
P/IV1.99
Premium +76% Return to IV: -43.1%
Owner yield 4.0% 10-yr IRR 11.4% · grower
Market implies +19.1%/yr vs model +14.3% · above model
CPRT
COPART INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$28.91
Model IV$41.80
P/IV0.78
Discount 31% Return to IV: +44.6%
Owner yield 3.6% 10-yr IRR 8.6% · grower
Market implies +5.5%/yr vs model +12.6% · below model
CSAN
Cosan S.A.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$2.97
Model IV
P/IV
CSL
CARLISLE COMPANIES INC
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$317.85
Model IV$395.72
P/IV0.07
Discount 20% Return to IV: +24.5%
Owner yield 7.2% 10-yr IRR 17.5% · moderate
Market implies +4.9%/yr vs model +11.3% · below model
CTAS
CINTAS CORP
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$196.88
Model IV$116.71
P/IV1.69
Premium +69% Return to IV: -40.7%
Owner yield 2.1% 10-yr IRR -0.9% · moderate
Market implies +14.5%/yr vs model +9.0% · above model
CVNA
CARVANA CO.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$67.18
Model IV$43.77
P/IV1.67
Premium +53% Return to IV: -34.8%
Owner yield 5.4% 10-yr IRR 12.9% · moderate
Market implies +15.5%/yr vs model +11.0% · above model
CVS
CVS HEALTH Corp
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$87.60
Model IV$125.27
P/IV0.71
Discount 30% Return to IV: +43.0%
Owner yield 6.9% 10-yr IRR 14.4% · moderate
Market implies +1.9%/yr vs model +8.2% · below model
DDS
DILLARD'S, INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$639.11
Model IV
P/IV
DECK
DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$80.23
Model IV$157.58
P/IV0.72
Discount 49% Return to IV: +96.4%
Owner yield 8.6% 10-yr IRR 21.7% · grower
Market implies +1.4%/yr vs model +12.8% · below model
DG
DOLLAR GENERAL CORP
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$121.91
Model IV$247.82
P/IV0.45
Discount 51% Return to IV: +103.3%
Owner yield 5.9% 10-yr IRR 12.0% · moderate
Market implies -2.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
DKS
DICK'S SPORTING GOODS, INC.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$123.63
Model IV$123.98
P/IV1.84
Discount 0% Return to IV: +0.3%
Owner yield 5.9% 10-yr IRR 15.4% · grower
Market implies +9.9%/yr vs model +12.6% · in line
DLTR
DOLLAR TREE, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$112.33
Model IV$49.06
P/IV2.37
Premium +129% Return to IV: -56.3%
Owner yield 4.5% 10-yr IRR 2.1% · steady
Market implies +9.0%/yr vs model -0.2% · above model
DRI
DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$211.31
Model IV$315.97
P/IV0.65
Discount 33% Return to IV: +49.5%
Owner yield 4.1% 10-yr IRR 11.9% · grower
Market implies +6.2%/yr vs model +14.7% · below model
ENTG
ENTEGRIS INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$143.14
Model IV
P/IV
Owner yield 1.4% 10-yr IRR -5.6% · moderate
Market implies +35.9%/yr vs model +8.4% · above model
F
FORD MOTOR CO
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$13.17
Model IV$27.50
P/IV0.63
Discount 52% Return to IV: +108.8%
Owner yield 16.5% 10-yr IRR 30.0% · moderate
Market implies -4.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
FAST
FASTENAL CO
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$49.65
Model IV$22.29
P/IV2.20
Premium +123% Return to IV: -55.1%
Owner yield 1.9% 10-yr IRR -2.4% · moderate
Market implies +17.4%/yr vs model +8.1% · above model
FIVE
FIVE BELOW, INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$236.14
Model IV$121.67
P/IV1.87
Premium +94% Return to IV: -48.5%
Owner yield 1.7% 10-yr IRR -0.7% · grower
Market implies +19.0%/yr vs model +12.0% · above model
GD
GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$353.90
Model IV$311.24
P/IV1.13
Premium +14% Return to IV: -12.1%
Owner yield 3.6% 10-yr IRR 5.3% · moderate
Market implies +8.2%/yr vs model +8.1% · in line
GM
General Motors Co
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$83.95
Model IV$180.57
P/IV0.46
Discount 54% Return to IV: +115.1%
Owner yield 14.6% 10-yr IRR 27.5% · moderate
Market implies -4.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
GME
GameStop Corp.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$22.76
Model IV$7.41
P/IV2.86
Premium +207% Return to IV: -67.4%
Owner yield 1.3% 10-yr IRR -14.8% · steady
Market implies +9.2%/yr vs model -5.9% · above model
H
Hyatt Hotels Corp
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$156.95
Model IV
P/IV
Owner yield 2.7% 10-yr IRR 6.7% · grower
Market implies +41.5%/yr vs model +21.1% · above model
HAS
HASBRO, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$87.72
Model IV$44.55
P/IV1.93
Premium +97% Return to IV: -49.2%
Owner yield 5.9% 10-yr IRR 3.4% · steady
Market implies +5.3%/yr vs model -2.9% · above model
HD
HOME DEPOT, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$297.20
Model IV$206.27
P/IV1.45
Premium +44% Return to IV: -30.6%
Owner yield 5.1% 10-yr IRR 6.8% · steady
Market implies +8.2%/yr vs model +3.9% · above model
HII
HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$276.10
Model IV$407.96
P/IV0.71
Discount 32% Return to IV: +47.8%
Owner yield 4.6% 10-yr IRR 8.4% · moderate
Market implies +1.3%/yr vs model +7.9% · below model
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$307.08
Model IV$267.52
P/IV1.14
Premium +15% Return to IV: -12.9%
Owner yield 2.4% 10-yr IRR 5.0% · grower
Market implies +15.1%/yr vs model +16.5% · in line
HMC
HONDA MOTOR CO LTD
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$32.53
Model IV
P/IV
HTHT
H World Group Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$43.65
Model IV$95.58
P/IV0.45
Discount 54% Return to IV: +119.0%
Owner yield 6.6% 10-yr IRR 18.1% · grower
Market implies +0.2%/yr vs model +13.5% · below model
IHG
INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$154.60
Model IV
P/IV
JD
JD.com, Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$27.28
Model IV$29.75
P/IV0.97
Discount 8% Return to IV: +9.1%
Owner yield 6.8% 10-yr IRR 13.8% · moderate
Market implies +5.0%/yr vs model +7.5% · in line
LI
Li Auto Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$11.52
Model IV$4.59
P/IV3.27
Premium +151% Return to IV: -60.2%
Owner yield 7.5% 10-yr IRR 15.5% · moderate
Market implies +19.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
LMT
LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP
Overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$535.40
Model IV$442.64
P/IV1.21
Premium +21% Return to IV: -17.3%
Owner yield 4.7% 10-yr IRR 6.0% · steady
Market implies +6.2%/yr vs model +4.4% · in line
LOW
LOWES COMPANIES INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$190.98
Model IV$145.87
P/IV1.32
Premium +31% Return to IV: -23.6%
Owner yield 6.5% 10-yr IRR 7.4% · steady
Market implies +4.1%/yr vs model +0.5% · above model
LULU
lululemon athletica inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$101.30
Model IV$168.71
P/IV0.78
Discount 40% Return to IV: +66.5%
Owner yield 11.5% 10-yr IRR 29.1% · grower
Market implies +5.8%/yr vs model +15.4% · below model
LVS
LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$40.26
Model IV$122.20
P/IV0.41
Discount 67% Return to IV: +203.5%
Owner yield 6.8% 10-yr IRR 19.8% · grower
Market implies +3.8%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model
MAR
MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL INC /MD/
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$342.66
Model IV$254.98
P/IV1.33
Premium +34% Return to IV: -25.6%
Owner yield 2.4% 10-yr IRR 4.5% · grower
Market implies +15.2%/yr vs model +14.5% · in line
MCD
MCDONALDS CORP
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$247.88
Model IV$172.09
P/IV1.44
Premium +44% Return to IV: -30.6%
Owner yield 3.9% 10-yr IRR 3.9% · steady
Market implies +9.2%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
MGA
MAGNA INTERNATIONAL INC
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$63.01
Model IV$69.82
P/IV0.93
Discount 10% Return to IV: +10.8%
Owner yield 8.2% 10-yr IRR 14.6% · steady
Market implies +2.8%/yr vs model +5.0% · in line
MOD
MODINE MANUFACTURING CO
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$197.62
Model IV
P/IV
Owner yield 1.0% 10-yr IRR -9.4% · moderate
Market implies +43.9%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$36.10
Model IV$27.41
P/IV1.69
Premium +32% Return to IV: -24.1%
Owner yield 9.2% 10-yr IRR 16.3% · steady
Market implies +8.1%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
ONON
On Holding AG
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$27.32
Model IV
P/IV
ORLY
O REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$82.88
Model IV$45.10
P/IV1.88
Premium +84% Return to IV: -45.6%
Owner yield 2.6% 10-yr IRR 1.0% · moderate
Market implies +14.5%/yr vs model +7.6% · above model
PAG
PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, INC.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$212.16
Model IV$234.66
P/IV0.71
Discount 10% Return to IV: +10.6%
Owner yield 5.4% 10-yr IRR 12.4% · moderate
Market implies +6.9%/yr vs model +10.3% · below model
PCAR
PACCAR INC
Overvalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$114.73
Model IV$97.59
P/IV1.19
Premium +18% Return to IV: -14.9%
Owner yield 6.0% 10-yr IRR 10.5% · steady
Market implies +7.0%/yr vs model +5.8% · in line
QSR
Restaurant Brands International Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical
Price$72.56
Model IV$104.64
P/IV0.71
Discount 31% Return to IV: +44.2%
Owner yield 4.0% 10-yr IRR 9.2% · moderate
Market implies +4.9%/yr vs model +11.7% · below model
RACE
Ferrari N.V.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$416.13
Model IV
P/IV
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$15.36
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +83.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
RKLB
Rocket Lab Corp
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$69.89
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +123.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model