Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
This week in Critical Minerals
Critical Minerals — Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2026 (Wk 40): Critical Minerals: Permitting, Scoping Studies, and Project Groundbreaking Mark Week 2026-W40 →This week saw several critical minerals companies advance their projects through permitting, technical reports, and groundbreaking ceremonies, indicating progress in developing new supply. However, some stocks experienced pullbacks, suggesting investor re-evaluation after previous rallies and ongoing…
AREC
Valuation N/A
American Resources Corp
Price$1.70
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +51.2%/yr
vs model +4.0% · above model
B
Deeply overvalued
BARRICK MINING CORP
Price$40.72
Model IV$10.05
P/IV4.35
Premium +305%
Return to IV: -75.3%
Market implies +26.4%/yr
vs model +7.8% · above model
CGAU
Valuation N/A
Centerra Gold Inc.
Price$21.69
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CRML
Valuation N/A
Critical Metals Corp.
Price$7.36
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +76.8%/yr
vs model +5.0% · above model
EAF
Deeply overvalued
GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTD
Price$9.40
Model IV$6.15
P/IV1.62
Premium +53%
Return to IV: -34.5%
Market implies +8.9%/yr
vs model +2.0% · above model
ELBM
Valuation N/A
Electra Battery Materials Corp
Price$0.51
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +32.0%/yr
vs model +5.0% · above model
GFI
Valuation N/A
GOLD FIELDS LTD
Price$36.17
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +30.7%/yr
vs model +6.8% · above model
LAC
Valuation N/A
LITHIUM AMERICAS CORP.
Price$2.54
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +54.1%/yr
vs model +5.0% · above model
LZM
Valuation N/A
Lifezone Metals Ltd
Price$3.84
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MP
Valuation N/A
MP Materials Corp. / DE
Price$48.53
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +94.8%/yr
NAK
Valuation N/A
NORTHERN DYNASTY MINERALS LTD
Price$1.30
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +46.7%/yr
vs model +5.0% · above model
NICM
Valuation N/A
NICOLA MINING INC.
Price$5.31
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NMG
Valuation N/A
Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc.
Price$1.15
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NVX
Valuation N/A
NOVONIX Ltd
Price$2.56
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +34.2%/yr
REA
Valuation N/A
Rare Earths Americas, Inc.
Price$10.11
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
RGLD
Valuation N/A
ROYAL GOLD INC
Price$234.35
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +28.9%/yr
SA
Valuation N/A
SEABRIDGE GOLD INC
Price$27.44
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SLSR
Valuation N/A
Solaris Resources Inc.
Price$7.13
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
TMC
Valuation N/A
TMC the metals Co Inc.
Price$3.70
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +64.5%/yr
vs model +5.0% · above model
TMCWW
Valuation N/A
TMC the metals Co Inc.
Price$0.00
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr
TMQ
Valuation N/A
Trilogy Metals Inc.
Price$2.97
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +49.1%/yr
vs model +5.0% · above model
USAR
Valuation N/A
USA Rare Earth, Inc.
Price$13.74
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +88.7%/yr
vs model +5.0% · above model
USAU
Valuation N/A
U.S. GOLD CORP.
Price$14.30
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +83.1%/yr
vs model +5.0% · above model
UUUU
Valuation N/A
ENERGY FUELS INC
Price$11.26
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +84.9%/yr
vs model +5.0% · above model
WPM
Valuation N/A
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.
Price$137.65
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +43.6%/yr
vs model +8.0% · above model
WWR
Valuation N/A
WESTWATER RESOURCES, INC.
Price$0.48
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +28.5%/yr
vs model +5.0% · above model
