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Solar

Every analyzed stock in Solar — 24 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Solar risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
56 /100 Elevated ▼ -7 mild
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
77 /100 High ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 14 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 14 stocks.
75 High
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
58 Elevated
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
52.0%
Elevated
Insider data still collecting — showing market-wide short-selling only. Fill it via Admin → Risk Alerts → "Drain the whole universe".
Smart money is showing the neutral market-wide short-selling reading — the insider buyers'-strike signal turns on once the data finishes collecting (Admin → Risk Alerts → "Collect smart-money now" or "Drain the whole universe").
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Divergence: insiders are defensive while macro conditions (credit, curve, volatility) stay calm. Insiders are strong judges of their own companies but poor macro timers — historically this pattern favors selective stock-picking (see the opportunistic-buy signals) over exiting the market wholesale.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Solar
Solar — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Solar Sector Sees Efficiency Gains, Stock Movement, and India Focus →
This week, the solar sector experienced notable developments including a new high-efficiency solar cell and varied stock performance among key players. Interest in India's clean energy manufacturing sector was highlighted, while broader market conditions indicated increased…
ARRY
Array Technologies, Inc.
Fairly valued
Technology Risk 70 · High
Price$4.62
Model IV$5.02
P/IV1.81
Discount 8% Return to IV: +8.7%
Market implies +6.6%/yr vs model +11.1% · below model
ASTI
Ascent Solar Technologies, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$2.86
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +105.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
BEP
Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$30.39
Model IV$17.29
P/IV2.15
Premium +76% Return to IV: -43.1%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable Corp
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 60 · High
Price$30.77
Model IV$17.23
P/IV2.32
Premium +79% Return to IV: -44.0%
BEPH
Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$14.90
Model IV$10.42
P/IV1.41
Premium +43% Return to IV: -30.1%
BEPI
Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$15.75
Model IV$13.57
P/IV1.38
Premium +16% Return to IV: -13.8%
BEPJ
Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.
Overvalued
Utilities Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$22.45
Model IV$18.18
P/IV1.38
Premium +23% Return to IV: -19.0%
CSIQ
Canadian Solar Inc.
Undervalued
Technology Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$12.76
Model IV$23.23
P/IV0.82
Discount 45% Return to IV: +82.1%
Market implies -5.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
DQ
DAQO NEW ENERGY CORP.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$11.54
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +41.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$36.66
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +28.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
FSLR
FIRST SOLAR, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$209.03
Model IV$231.96
P/IV1.32
Discount 10% Return to IV: +11.0%
Market implies +9.9%/yr vs model +14.5% · below model
FTCI
FTC Solar, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$2.30
Model IV$1.57
P/IV3.50
Premium +46% Return to IV: -31.6%
Market implies +10.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
JKS
JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$11.35
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +21.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
MWH
SOLV Energy, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$25.71
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
PN
Skycorp Solar Group Ltd
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$2.40
Model IV$2.20
P/IV1.70
Premium +9% Return to IV: -8.3%
Market implies +6.8%/yr vs model +9.9% · below model
RNW
ReNew Energy Global plc
Valuation N/A
Utilities
Price$6.83
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SEDG
SOLAREDGE TECHNOLOGIES, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 60 · High
Price$34.68
Model IV$18.15
P/IV4.21
Premium +91% Return to IV: -47.7%
Market implies +15.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
SHMD
SCHMID Group N.V.
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$3.38
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SMXT
SolarMax Technology, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$1.89
Model IV$3.29
P/IV0.17
Discount 43% Return to IV: +74.2%
Market implies -13.9%/yr vs model +26.7% · below model
SPWR
SunPower Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$0.33
Model IV$1.49
P/IV0.71
Discount 78% Return to IV: +354.5%
Market implies -26.6%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
SUNE
SUNation Energy, Inc.
Overvalued
Industrials Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$3.24
Model IV$2.81
P/IV0.93
Premium +16% Return to IV: -13.4%
Market implies +6.0%/yr vs model +10.0% · below model
TURB
Turbo Energy, S.A.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$1.15
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
TYGO
TIGO ENERGY, INC.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$1.03
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
VIVO
VivoPower PLC
Valuation N/A
Utilities Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$3.99
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page