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Theme

Streaming

Every analyzed stock in Streaming16 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Streaming risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
28 /100 Moderate ▼ -3 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
45 /100 Elevated ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 12 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
28 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 12 stocks.
14 Low
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
51 Elevated
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
45.8%
Moderate
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
100%
Extreme
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
33%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 3 stocks (sector basket); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
AMCX
AMC Global Media Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Communication Services Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$12.02
Model IV$31.92
P/IV0.30
Discount 62% Return to IV: +165.5%
Market implies -20.8%/yr vs model -2.4% · below model
BMR
Beamr Imaging Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$1.32
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +55.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
CNVS
Cineverse Corp.
Deeply undervalued
Communication Services Risk 25 · Moderate
Price$2.87
Model IV$23.45
P/IV0.10
Discount 88% Return to IV: +717.2%
Market implies -17.4%/yr vs model +24.3% · below model
DIS
Walt Disney Co
Fairly valued
Communication Services Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$106.85
Model IV$100.44
P/IV1.01
Premium +6% Return to IV: -6.0%
Market implies +7.7%/yr vs model +8.5% · in line
FUBO
FuboTV Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Communication Services Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$9.80
Model IV$37.33
P/IV0.27
Discount 74% Return to IV: +280.9%
Market implies -20.0%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
GAIA
GAIA, INC
Deeply undervalued
Communication Services Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$1.31
Model IV$5.17
P/IV0.45
Discount 75% Return to IV: +294.5%
Market implies -25.8%/yr vs model +5.6% · below model
HUYA
HUYA Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$2.34
Model IV$4.49
P/IV0.56
Discount 48% Return to IV: +92.0%
Market implies -10.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
JOYY
JOYY Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$72.17
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +48.8%/yr vs model +7.0% · above model
JWEL
Jowell Global Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$3.09
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
LION
Lionsgate Studios Corp.
Deeply undervalued
Communication Services Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$11.99
Model IV$33.18
P/IV0.43
Discount 64% Return to IV: +176.7%
Market implies -18.1%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
NFLX
NETFLIX INC
Deeply overvalued
Communication Services Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$78.16
Model IV$55.28
P/IV1.27
Premium +41% Return to IV: -29.3%
Market implies +12.6%/yr vs model +10.1% · in line
PSKY
Paramount Skydance Corp
Deeply overvalued
Communication Services Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$9.38
Model IV$5.99
P/IV1.77
Premium +57% Return to IV: -36.1%
Market implies +8.5%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
SPOT
Spotify Technology S.A.
Valuation N/A
Communication Services Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$489.60
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
STRZ
STARZ ENTERTAINMENT CORP /CN/
Deeply undervalued
Communication Services Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$28.00
Model IV$80.51
P/IV0.29
Discount 65% Return to IV: +187.5%
Market implies -17.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
TOON
Kartoon Studios, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Communication Services Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$0.63
Model IV$4.20
P/IV0.17
Discount 85% Return to IV: +564.7%
Market implies -39.8%/yr vs model +49.5% · below model
WBD
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Communication Services Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$27.75
Model IV$83.08
P/IV0.07
Discount 67% Return to IV: +199.4%
Market implies +4.2%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model