Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
BP
Deeply overvalued
BP PLC
Price$46.36
Model IV$27.29
P/IV1.63
Premium +70%
Return to IV: -41.1%
Market implies +10.7%/yr
vs model +4.0% · above model
COP
Fairly valued
CONOCOPHILLIPS
Price$134.19
Model IV$119.08
P/IV1.08
Premium +13%
Return to IV: -11.3%
Market implies +5.6%/yr
vs model +4.8% · in line
CVX
Deeply overvalued
CHEVRON CORP
Price$211.55
Model IV$133.20
P/IV1.52
Premium +59%
Return to IV: -37.0%
Market implies +9.8%/yr
vs model +4.0% · above model
EQNR
Deeply undervalued
EQUINOR ASA
Price$42.93
Model IV$90.27
P/IV0.48
Discount 52%
Return to IV: +110.3%
Market implies -7.5%/yr
vs model +4.0% · below model
IMO
Deeply overvalued
IMPERIAL OIL LTD
Price$122.79
Model IV$87.42
P/IV1.43
Premium +40%
Return to IV: -28.8%
Market implies +7.8%/yr
vs model +3.7% · above model
MPC
Deeply overvalued
Marathon Petroleum Corp
Price$463.34
Model IV$176.10
P/IV2.21
Premium +163%
Return to IV: -62.0%
Market implies +16.6%/yr
vs model +3.6% · above model
PBF
Deeply overvalued
PBF Energy Inc.
Price$89.34
Model IV$15.86
P/IV4.53
Premium +463%
Return to IV: -82.2%
Market implies +27.2%/yr
vs model +3.4% · above model
PSX
Deeply overvalued
Phillips 66
Price$281.60
Model IV$141.78
P/IV1.81
Premium +99%
Return to IV: -49.7%
Market implies +12.9%/yr
vs model +4.1% · above model
SU
Valuation N/A
SUNCOR ENERGY INC
Price$70.91
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +0.7%/yr
SUN
Deeply overvalued
Sunoco LP
Price$72.96
Model IV$25.65
P/IV2.93
Premium +184%
Return to IV: -64.8%
Market implies +18.9%/yr
vs model +5.6% · above model
VLO
Deeply overvalued
VALERO ENERGY CORP/TX
Price$443.80
Model IV$181.93
P/IV2.07
Premium +144%
Return to IV: -59.0%
Market implies +15.5%/yr
vs model +3.4% · above model
XOM
Deeply overvalued
EXXON MOBIL CORP
Price$168.50
Model IV$104.97
P/IV1.56
Premium +61%
Return to IV: -37.7%
Market implies +9.9%/yr
vs model +4.0% · above model
YPF
Undervalued
YPF SOCIEDAD ANONIMA
Price$49.90
Model IV$62.87
P/IV0.79
Discount 21%
Return to IV: +26.0%
Market implies -4.3%/yr
vs model +7.8% · below model
