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Energy

Every analyzed stock in Energy — 165 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Energy risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
34 /100 Moderate ▼ -2 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
44 /100 Elevated ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 112 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
35 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 112 stocks.
17 Low
▲ +1
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
58 Elevated
◆ flat
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
53.2%
High
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
55%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
45%
Elevated
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 109 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Divergence: insiders are defensive while macro conditions (credit, curve, volatility) stay calm. Insiders are strong judges of their own companies but poor macro timers — historically this pattern favors selective stock-picking (see the opportunistic-buy signals) over exiting the market wholesale.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Energy
Energy — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Energy Sector Outperforms S&P 500, Valuations Remain Low Amid Rising Oil and Yields →
The energy sector continued to show strength this week, outperforming the broader S&P 500, with several stocks identified as undervalued despite climbing oil prices and bond yields. However, clean energy and nuclear stocks experienced declines, indicating…
ACDC
ProFrac Holding Corp.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$4.88
Model IV$22.20
P/IV0.28
Discount 78% Return to IV: +354.9%
Market implies -14.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
AESI
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
Overvalued
Energy Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$14.16
Model IV$13.72
P/IV1.22
Premium +3% Return to IV: -3.1%
Market implies +6.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · in line
AGIG
ABUNDIA GLOBAL IMPACT GROUP, INC.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$1.15
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +25.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
AMPY
Amplify Energy Corp.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$4.93
Model IV$13.75
P/IV0.34
Discount 64% Return to IV: +179.0%
Market implies -19.4%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$197.85
Model IV$468.45
P/IV0.42
Discount 58% Return to IV: +136.8%
Market implies -9.5%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
ANNA
AleAnna, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$3.39
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +40.1%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model
ANNAW
AleAnna, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$0.35
Model IV$0.10
P/IV2.87
Premium +256% Return to IV: -71.9%
Market implies +18.0%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model
APA
APA Corp
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$45.03
Model IV$170.09
P/IV0.21
Discount 74% Return to IV: +277.7%
Market implies -14.3%/yr vs model +3.5% · below model
AR
ANTERO RESOURCES Corp
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$38.43
Model IV$33.27
P/IV1.07
Premium +16% Return to IV: -13.4%
Market implies -1.2%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
AREC
American Resources Corp
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$2.14
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +55.1%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model
ARLP
ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$26.14
Model IV$104.69
P/IV0.24
Discount 75% Return to IV: +300.5%
Market implies -12.2%/yr vs model +7.2% · below model
BATL
BATTALION OIL CORP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1.34
Model IV$30.03
P/IV0.05
Discount 96% Return to IV: +2,141.0%
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +6.2% · below model
BKV
BKV Corp
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$24.23
Model IV$9.93
P/IV2.67
Premium +144% Return to IV: -59.0%
Market implies +8.9%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
BORR
Borr Drilling Ltd
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$4.27
Model IV$2.42
P/IV2.08
Premium +77% Return to IV: -43.4%
Market implies +13.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
BP
BP PLC
Valuation N/A
Energy
Price$45.93
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BRN
BARNWELL INDUSTRIES INC
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$1.03
Model IV$0.75
P/IV1.39
Premium +37% Return to IV: -27.2%
Market implies -2.7%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
BSM
Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
Valuation N/A
Energy
Price$14.99
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BTE
BAYTEX ENERGY CORP.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$5.17
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BTU
PEABODY ENERGY CORP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$27.35
Model IV$45.65
P/IV0.59
Discount 40% Return to IV: +66.9%
Market implies -3.2%/yr vs model +3.9% · below model
CHRD
Chord Energy Corp
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$157.00
Model IV$727.47
P/IV0.18
Discount 78% Return to IV: +363.4%
Market implies -13.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
CKX
CKX LANDS, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$10.90
Model IV$2.53
P/IV4.20
Premium +331% Return to IV: -76.8%
Market implies +17.9%/yr vs model +3.3% · above model
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc. /DE/
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$12.50
Model IV$7.01
P/IV1.95
Premium +78% Return to IV: -43.9%
Market implies +9.7%/yr vs model +3.2% · above model
CLMT
Calumet, Inc. /DE
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 64 · High
Price$56.80
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +37.7%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
CNQ
CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LTD
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$50.32
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CNR
Core Natural Resources, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$96.30
Model IV$162.22
P/IV0.55
Discount 41% Return to IV: +68.5%
Market implies -0.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
CNX
CNX Resources Corp
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$35.39
Model IV$56.46
P/IV0.60
Discount 37% Return to IV: +59.5%
Market implies 0.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
COP
CONOCOPHILLIPS
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$136.67
Model IV$125.86
P/IV1.09
Premium +9% Return to IV: -7.9%
Market implies +5.8%/yr vs model +5.8% · in line
CRC
California Resources Corp
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$57.64
Model IV$124.02
P/IV0.48
Discount 54% Return to IV: +115.2%
Market implies -3.6%/yr vs model +7.6% · below model
CRGY
Crescent Energy Co
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$14.59
Model IV$67.06
P/IV0.46
Discount 78% Return to IV: +359.6%
Market implies -13.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
CRK
COMSTOCK RESOURCES INC
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$14.78
Model IV$21.76
P/IV0.61
Discount 32% Return to IV: +47.2%
Market implies +1.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
CVE
CENOVUS ENERGY INC.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$33.27
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CVI
CVR ENERGY INC
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$48.63
Model IV$42.66
P/IV0.78
Premium +14% Return to IV: -12.3%
Market implies +4.3%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
CVX
CHEVRON CORP
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$217.77
Model IV$132.76
P/IV1.61
Premium +64% Return to IV: -39.0%
Market implies +10.2%/yr vs model +3.9% · above model
DEC
Diversified Energy Co
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$14.88
Model IV$35.19
P/IV0.41
Discount 58% Return to IV: +136.5%
Market implies -15.6%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
DINO
HF Sinclair Corp
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$112.25
Model IV$123.91
P/IV0.56
Discount 9% Return to IV: +10.4%
Market implies +5.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · in line
DK
Delek US Holdings, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$74.47
Model IV$56.41
P/IV0.79
Premium +32% Return to IV: -24.3%
Market implies +6.1%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
DKL
Delek Logistics Partners, LP
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$56.90
Model IV$50.33
P/IV0.98
Premium +13% Return to IV: -11.5%
Market implies +8.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · in line
DMLP
DORCHESTER MINERALS, L.P.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$29.55
Model IV$56.62
P/IV0.48
Discount 48% Return to IV: +91.6%
Market implies -2.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
DVN
DEVON ENERGY CORP/DE
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$50.23
Model IV$107.75
P/IV0.41
Discount 53% Return to IV: +114.5%
Market implies -5.7%/yr vs model +4.8% · below model
DWSN
DAWSON GEOPHYSICAL CO
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$3.22
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +62.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
E
ENI SPA
Overvalued
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$55.40
Model IV$44.25
P/IV1.27
Premium +25% Return to IV: -20.1%
Market implies +4.6%/yr vs model +1.6% · in line
EC
ECOPETROL S.A.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$18.26
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
EGY
VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$6.32
Model IV$25.19
P/IV0.21
Discount 75% Return to IV: +298.6%
Market implies -12.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
ENB
ENBRIDGE INC
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$48.16
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +83.9%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model
EOG
EOG RESOURCES INC
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$147.36
Model IV$366.40
P/IV0.36
Discount 60% Return to IV: +148.6%
Market implies -7.7%/yr vs model +4.7% · below model
EONR
EON Resources Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$0.62
Model IV$7.15
P/IV0.08
Discount 91% Return to IV: +1,059.6%
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
EP
EMPIRE PETROLEUM CORP
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$2.50
Model IV$0.88
P/IV2.87
Premium +183% Return to IV: -64.6%
Market implies +16.4%/yr vs model +5.1% · above model
EPM
EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$3.72
Model IV$18.45
P/IV0.23
Discount 80% Return to IV: +395.8%
Market implies -16.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
EPSN
Epsilon Energy Ltd.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$6.27
Model IV$13.35
P/IV0.42
Discount 53% Return to IV: +113.0%
Market implies -7.8%/yr vs model +4.7% · below model
EQNR
EQUINOR ASA
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$45.75
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
EQT
EQT Corp
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$54.07
Model IV$48.89
P/IV1.12
Premium +11% Return to IV: -9.6%
Market implies +5.8%/yr vs model +5.5% · in line
EXE
EXPAND ENERGY Corp
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$94.83
Model IV$108.29
P/IV0.86
Discount 12% Return to IV: +14.2%
Market implies +4.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
FANG
Diamondback Energy, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$204.97
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -4.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
FTW
PRESIDIO PRODUCTION Co
Valuation N/A
Energy
Price$10.53
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GBR
New Concept Energy, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$0.75
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GEL
GENESIS ENERGY LP
Overvalued
Energy Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$15.59
Model IV$13.32
P/IV1.13
Premium +17% Return to IV: -14.6%
Market implies -2.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
GFR
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$6.52
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GLND
Greenland Energy Co
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$1.22
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GLNDW
Greenland Energy Co
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$0.32
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GPOR
GULFPORT ENERGY CORP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$173.25
Model IV$867.27
P/IV0.19
Discount 80% Return to IV: +400.6%
Market implies -14.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model