Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
ARCB
Deeply overvalued
ARCBEST CORP /TX/
Price$129.96
Model IV$66.19
P/IV1.99
Premium +96%
Return to IV: -49.1%
Market implies +13.3%/yr
vs model +4.7% · above model
CVLG
Fairly valued
COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC.
Price$32.71
Model IV$28.77
P/IV1.38
Premium +14%
Return to IV: -12.0%
Market implies +0.6%/yr
vs model +2.7% · in line
ETS
Deeply overvalued
Elite Express Holding Inc.
Price$1.48
Model IV$0.40
P/IV1.38
Premium +272%
Return to IV: -73.1%
Market implies +5.5%/yr
vs model +21.6% · below model
FLX
Valuation N/A
BingEx Ltd
Price$1.55
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +22.3%/yr
vs model -2.9% · above model
HTLD
Overvalued
HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC
Price$11.35
Model IV$9.27
P/IV1.26
Premium +22%
Return to IV: -18.3%
Market implies +7.1%/yr
vs model +6.4% · in line
HXHX
Valuation N/A
Haoxin Holdings Ltd
Price$0.34
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -13.8%/yr
vs model +4.5% · below model
JBHT
Deeply overvalued
HUNT J B TRANSPORT SERVICES INC
Price$228.42
Model IV$151.18
P/IV1.83
Premium +51%
Return to IV: -33.8%
Market implies +9.9%/yr
vs model +5.2% · above model
KNX
Deeply overvalued
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.
Price$65.05
Model IV$14.53
P/IV4.62
Premium +348%
Return to IV: -77.7%
Market implies +25.7%/yr
vs model +5.9% · above model
LSTR
Deeply overvalued
LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC
Price$169.47
Model IV$56.80
P/IV3.64
Premium +198%
Return to IV: -66.5%
Market implies +11.9%/yr
vs model -1.2% · above model
MRTN
Valuation N/A
MARTEN TRANSPORT LTD
Price$12.79
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +37.4%/yr
ODFL
Deeply overvalued
OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE, INC.
Price$181.65
Model IV$54.73
P/IV4.31
Premium +232%
Return to IV: -69.9%
Market implies +19.5%/yr
vs model +3.0% · above model
PAMT
Fairly valued
PAMT CORP
Price$12.54
Model IV$12.80
P/IV3.46
Discount 2%
Return to IV: +2.1%
Market implies +0.9%/yr
vs model +2.0% · in line
SAIA
Deeply overvalued
SAIA INC
Price$341.26
Model IV$121.42
P/IV2.83
Premium +181%
Return to IV: -64.4%
Market implies +15.7%/yr
vs model +9.0% · above model
SFWL
Valuation N/A
SHENGFENG DEVELOPMENT Ltd
Price$8.45
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr
SNDR
Deeply overvalued
Schneider National, Inc.
Price$31.73
Model IV$11.91
P/IV2.97
Premium +166%
Return to IV: -62.5%
Market implies +16.5%/yr
vs model +3.0% · above model
TFII
Valuation N/A
TFI International Inc.
Price$115.14
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
TOPP
Deeply undervalued
Toppoint Holdings Inc.
Price$0.18
Model IV$0.27
P/IV0.53
Discount 33%
Return to IV: +49.5%
Market implies -14.1%/yr
vs model +2.0% · below model
ULH
Undervalued
UNIVERSAL LOGISTICS HOLDINGS, INC.
Price$17.36
Model IV$24.13
P/IV0.67
Discount 28%
Return to IV: +39.0%
Market implies -3.5%/yr
vs model +3.3% · below model
UPS
Fairly valued
UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC
Price$94.13
Model IV$86.65
P/IV1.08
Premium +9%
Return to IV: -7.9%
Market implies +4.2%/yr
vs model +3.5% · in line
WERN
Fairly valued
WERNER ENTERPRISES INC
Price$33.00
Model IV$29.55
P/IV1.16
Premium +12%
Return to IV: -10.5%
Market implies +5.6%/yr
vs model +4.8% · in line
ZTO
Deeply undervalued
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
Price$19.90
Model IV$36.29
P/IV0.61
Discount 45%
Return to IV: +82.4%
Market implies -0.1%/yr
vs model +8.9% · below model