Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
ARCB
Deeply overvalued
ARCBEST CORP /DE/
Price$137.76
Model IV$58.25
P/IV2.35
Premium +136%
Return to IV: -57.7%
Market implies +18.1%/yr
vs model +6.8% · above model
CVLG
Overvalued
COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC.
Price$35.44
Model IV$28.77
P/IV1.38
Premium +23%
Return to IV: -18.8%
Market implies +1.7%/yr
vs model +2.7% · in line
ETS
Deeply overvalued
Elite Express Holding Inc.
Price$1.11
Model IV$0.40
P/IV1.38
Premium +178%
Return to IV: -64.0%
Market implies +2.0%/yr
vs model +21.6% · below model
FLX
Valuation N/A
BingEx Ltd
Price$2.11
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +26.8%/yr
vs model -2.9% · above model
HTLD
Valuation N/A
HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC
Price$12.23
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +22.6%/yr
vs model +50.0% · below model
HXHX
Valuation N/A
Haoxin Holdings Ltd
Price$0.51
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -8.6%/yr
vs model +4.5% · below model
JBHT
Deeply overvalued
HUNT J B TRANSPORT SERVICES INC
Price$282.32
Model IV$151.18
P/IV1.83
Premium +87%
Return to IV: -46.5%
Market implies +12.8%/yr
vs model +5.2% · above model
KNX
Undervalued
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.
Price$73.30
Model IV$95.79
P/IV0.79
Discount 23%
Return to IV: +30.7%
Market implies +1.6%/yr
vs model +6.4% · below model
LSTR
Deeply overvalued
LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC
Price$182.99
Model IV$56.80
P/IV3.64
Premium +222%
Return to IV: -69.0%
Market implies +12.9%/yr
vs model -1.2% · above model
MRTN
Undervalued
MARTEN TRANSPORT LTD
Price$15.27
Model IV$20.23
P/IV0.85
Discount 25%
Return to IV: +32.5%
Market implies -1.8%/yr
vs model +3.6% · below model
ODFL
Deeply overvalued
OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE, INC.
Price$210.97
Model IV$54.73
P/IV4.31
Premium +285%
Return to IV: -74.1%
Market implies +21.6%/yr
vs model +3.0% · above model
PAMT
Fairly valued
PAMT CORP
Price$13.61
Model IV$12.80
P/IV3.46
Premium +6%
Return to IV: -6.0%
Market implies +2.1%/yr
vs model +2.0% · in line
SAIA
Deeply overvalued
SAIA INC
Price$380.22
Model IV$107.44
P/IV4.40
Premium +254%
Return to IV: -71.7%
Market implies +20.7%/yr
vs model +9.0% · above model
SFWL
Valuation N/A
SHENGFENG DEVELOPMENT Ltd
Price$0.89
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SNDR
Deeply overvalued
Schneider National, Inc.
Price$35.63
Model IV$11.91
P/IV2.97
Premium +199%
Return to IV: -66.6%
Market implies +18.1%/yr
vs model +3.0% · above model
TFII
Valuation N/A
TFI International Inc.
Price$146.64
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
TOPP
Valuation N/A
Toppoint Holdings Inc.
Price$0.26
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -12.5%/yr
vs model +2.0% · below model
ULH
Fairly valued
UNIVERSAL LOGISTICS HOLDINGS, INC.
Price$19.66
Model IV$20.59
P/IV0.77
Discount 5%
Return to IV: +4.7%
Market implies +4.1%/yr
vs model +2.0% · in line
UPS
Overvalued
UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC
Price$105.54
Model IV$89.91
P/IV1.19
Premium +17%
Return to IV: -14.8%
Market implies +5.5%/yr
vs model +3.8% · in line
WERN
Overvalued
WERNER ENTERPRISES INC
Price$39.11
Model IV$32.61
P/IV1.27
Premium +20%
Return to IV: -16.6%
Market implies +2.5%/yr
vs model +2.0% · in line
ZTO
Deeply undervalued
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
Price$22.90
Model IV$36.29
P/IV0.61
Discount 37%
Return to IV: +58.5%
Market implies +1.6%/yr
vs model +8.9% · below model
