Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
BJ
Deeply overvalued
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
Price$99.04
Model IV$42.82
P/IV2.12
Premium +131%
Return to IV: -56.8%
Market implies +17.4%/yr
vs model +7.6% · above model
COST
Deeply overvalued
COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW
Price$947.92
Model IV$423.29
P/IV2.23
Premium +124%
Return to IV: -55.3%
Market implies +17.0%/yr
vs model +7.9% · above model
DG
Deeply undervalued
DOLLAR GENERAL CORP
Price$124.27
Model IV$224.90
P/IV0.55
Discount 45%
Return to IV: +81.0%
Market implies -1.8%/yr
vs model +7.3% · below model
DLTR
Deeply overvalued
DOLLAR TREE, INC.
Price$118.62
Model IV$49.06
P/IV2.37
Premium +142%
Return to IV: -58.6%
Market implies +9.7%/yr
vs model -0.2% · above model
FIVE
Deeply overvalued
FIVE BELOW, INC
Price$209.73
Model IV$121.67
P/IV1.87
Premium +72%
Return to IV: -42.0%
Market implies +17.3%/yr
vs model +12.0% · above model
MNSO
Valuation N/A
MINISO Group Holding Ltd
Price$9.07
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
OLLI
Overvalued
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Price$86.71
Model IV$67.49
P/IV1.21
Premium +28%
Return to IV: -22.2%
Market implies +12.3%/yr
vs model +11.2% · in line
PSMT
Deeply overvalued
PRICESMART INC
Price$167.22
Model IV$59.71
P/IV2.90
Premium +180%
Return to IV: -64.3%
Market implies +20.7%/yr
vs model +8.6% · above model
TGT
Deeply overvalued
TARGET CORP
Price$154.76
Model IV$74.28
P/IV2.13
Premium +108%
Return to IV: -52.0%
Market implies +11.9%/yr
vs model +2.2% · above model
WMT
Deeply overvalued
Walmart Inc.
Price$110.56
Model IV$28.82
P/IV3.75
Premium +284%
Return to IV: -73.9%
Market implies +23.0%/yr
vs model +6.3% · above model