TERADYNE, INC (TER) Stock Analysis
TERADYNE, INC
▾ What's in the 35/100 risk score? (higher = riskier)
Contributions (weight × component score) sum to the total. This near-term score now includes fundamental health (leverage, FCF trend). It excludes the the Altman Z score, whose retained-earnings input this filer does not report separately, which relies on a proxied (estimated) input. See the Financial Health section for the full balance-sheet read.
How to read TER (regulated utility)
A regulator sets what a utility can earn, so its value tracks book value, dividend yield and payout — not a free-market DCF.
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Utility lens (P/B, yield, payout) ↓
These are the metrics utility-fund managers actually use.
Standard DCF doesn't fit TER well — but that's expected for this kind of business. The Utility Valuation Lens below uses the metrics actually used by analysts who value instruments for meas & testing of electricity & elec signals. Reverse DCF + Football Field also work as cross-checks.
How to read a company this small
This is a crypto-mining operation, not a traditional business. The SEC may have classified it as "Financial Services" but the economics are completely different from a bank.
- Bitcoin (or other crypto) price — the most important variable; mining revenue scales linearly with the coin price
- Hash rate / network difficulty — how much of the total mining capacity this company controls
- Cost of electricity — typically 60-80% of operating cost; cheap power = competitive edge
- Hardware refresh cycle — ASIC miners depreciate fast (2-3 years); CapEx is huge and recurring
- Balance-sheet crypto holdings — how much BTC sits on their balance sheet (HODL strategy)
- Capital structure — share issuance is constant; check for dilution
P/B, ROE, ROA, P/E — these are bank-style metrics that don't describe a crypto miner. Standard DCF projects revenue trajectory but crypto price is wildly volatile so projections are speculative.
The 10-K explains hash rate, fleet size, electricity cost per kWh, and crypto holdings. Quarterly reports show production numbers. Glassnode and CoinMetrics track on-chain economics.
Classified as Cryptocurrency Mining Company (confidence 90%). Disagree? An admin can override via the post edit screen.
⚠ We found only 1 genuine same-industry (Instruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec Signals) comparable — fewer than the 4 we require for a reliable median. The 3 names in the table below therefore include 2 broader Healthcare names marked fallback, whose business models and margins differ — which is why any median below is computed over that wider set, not over true comparables. So we do not derive a peer-implied share value here. Read the multiples as rough context only.
How does TER stack up against its closest peers?
Ideally we compare TER only to same-industry peers, but too few exist in our universe right now, so the basket below mixes in broader-sector names. Treat the multiples as rough context, not a valuation. For a leveraged business, EV/EBIT and FCF yield (both in the table) are usually more reliable than EV/Sales, because revenue multiples ignore differences in margins and debt.
▾ What's "EV / Sales" in plain English?
EV (Enterprise Value) = market cap + total debt − cash. It's "what you'd pay to buy the entire company outright" — you pay the market cap to shareholders and take over their debt, but you keep their cash. EV is fairer than market cap alone because it includes the debt the new owner inherits.
EV / Sales = EV ÷ annual revenue. So "2.5×" means investors pay $2.50 of enterprise value per $1 of yearly sales. Higher = market is paying more per dollar of sales (usually because they expect future growth or fat margins).
p25 / median / p75 are the 25th, 50th (middle), and 75th percentile of the peers' multiples. Half the peers fall between p25 and p75. The median (p50) is the typical peer — that's the benchmark we compare to.
Bold middle number = median peer. Half the peers trade above it, half below. Computed over 3 peers (broad — see caveat); implausible multiples excluded.
⚠️ Important caveat: peer multiples only work if the peers are genuinely comparable. Always check the peer list below — if the auto-picker grabbed micro-caps or unrelated businesses, the comparison is noise. A medical-device giant priced against tiny biotech startups won't produce a useful signal.
▾ View peer list (3)
Quality & solvency checks
Cheap stocks can be cheap for a reason. These screens warn when a low valuation comes paired with structural fragility.
Why it matters: Cheap-looking stocks (low P/E or P/B) often have low Z-scores because the market knows the company is dying. Z-score warns you before you fall into a value trap.
Reference: > 3.0 = safe zone · 1.81–3.0 = grey zone · < 1.81 = distress zone
Full explanation →
We can't produce a trustworthy Altman Z here: retained earnings weren't separately reported in our data, so a core input would have to be fabricated. Rather than show a categorical "distress" verdict from an invented number, we mark it unavailable. Judge financial health from the leverage, cash position, and the measurable Piotroski checks instead.
Why it matters: High score = fundamentals improving. Low score = deteriorating. Especially powerful for filtering cheap stocks: cheap + high F-score historically outperforms; cheap + low F-score is often a value trap.
Reference: 7–9 = strong · 4–6 = mediocre · 0–3 = weak
Full explanation →
▾ The checks — what passed, what didn't (and what we couldn't measure)
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✓ Positive net incomeNet income $554.0M in the latest year.
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✓ Positive operating cash flowOperating cash flow $674.4M (was $672.2M the prior year).
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✓ Cash flow backs up reported profitOperating cash flow $674.4M vs net income $554.0M.
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✗ Return on assets improvingReturn on assets 13.2% vs 14.6% a year ago.Why this matters: Is the company squeezing more profit out of each dollar of assets than last year? Rising = getting more efficient; falling = the opposite.
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✓ Debt load (vs assets)Long-term debt is 0.0% of assets vs 0.0% a year ago ($0.0M now).
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✗ Short-term liquidity (current ratio)Current ratio 1.75x vs 2.91x a year ago.Why this matters: The current ratio compares assets it can turn to cash within a year against bills due within a year. Below 1.0 means it may struggle to cover near-term obligations.
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✓ Share count (dilution)Share count declined 2.2% (163.3M → 159.7M year-over-year), so the no-dilution check passed. (This 1-year change differs from the ~4%/yr multi-year buyback CAGR the DCF cites.)
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✗ Pricing power (gross margin)Gross margin 58.2% vs 58.5% a year ago.Why this matters: Rising gross margin means stronger pricing power or lower input costs — a sign of competitive strength. Falling margin signals pressure.
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✓ Sales per asset (asset turnover)Asset turnover 0.76x vs 0.76x a year ago.
Missing data is never counted as a pass or a fail — it's shown as n/a and excluded from the denominator. Each check compares the company against its own prior year.
What if you assume different inputs?
Here's where we land — and what happens if you change the assumptions. Drag the sliders to set your own Discount RateDiscount Rate — The annual return you demand for taking single-stock risk instead of buying a safe Treasury or index fund.
Why it matters: Higher discount rate = stricter valuation (a stock has to produce more cash to be worth holding). Lower = more generous.
Reference: 8–12% is standard · 9–10% matches S&P 500 historical return · Below 7% is illogical for single-stock risk
Full explanation → (the annual return you demand for single-stock risk) and terminal growth; the value updates live so you can see whether the stock looks cheaper or richer. The discount rate starts at 10.0%, the figure our model used for TER. Open Advanced to also change beta, growth and the rate path.
Note: no headline intrinsic value is published for this stock (the valuation is held for a data-quality reason — see the notes above). The calculator below is a what-if tool: the values it produces are your assumptions played out, not our estimate.
A full intrinsic value isn't shown for TER because the valuation is currently held for a data-quality reason (see the guardrail notes above). The reverse-DCF reading still works — it needs only the price and cash flow — but we won't publish a forward value until the underlying data passes our checks.
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⚙ Advanced — tinker with every input (beta, growth, rate path, margin → full intrinsic value)
A standard discounted cash flowDCF — Discounted Cash Flow — sums up all future cash a business will produce, adjusted for the fact that future dollars are worth less than dollars today.
Why it matters: It is the most fundamentally honest valuation method when applicable — but only works for companies with predictable, positive cash flow.
Reference: Best for: mature, profitable businesses. Fails for: pre-profit growth, banks, REITs.
Full explanation → (DCF) valuation is not meaningful for Teradyne, Inc. because the model used is a revenue/margin projection, and the market price is 17.9x the model's intrinsic valueIntrinsic Value — Our DCF model's estimate of what each share is mathematically worth based on projected cash flows.
Why it matters: Compare to current price. Below IV = potentially undervalued. Above IV = priced for growth that must actually happen.
Reference: Model-derived; quality depends on data and assumptions.
Full explanation →, suggesting significant optionality or future growth is being priced in beyond trailing cash flows. Investors are likely betting on the company's ability to re-accelerate revenue growth and expand margins, which are currently declining and compressing, respectively. The primary quantifiable risk is the continued revenue decline of -3.7% per year over the last four years.
As of 2 months ago
Anatomy of a share
What you're buying per share. Bars are at the same scale so you can see the relative size of revenue, costs, cash flow, and debt — not just read them in a table.
What's free cash flow / what do these mean?
Revenue per share — how much the business earns from customers, divided by the number of shares outstanding. Top of the income statement.
Earnings per share — profit left after operating costs, interest, and taxes, per share. Two versions appear on this page and are not interchangeable: GAAP diluted EPS uses the company's weighted-average diluted share count during the reporting period (this is the "earnings" in "price-to-earnings"); net income per current share divides annual net income by today's share count. They differ whenever the share count has changed.
Owner-earnings free cash flow per share — the cash the business produces for shareholders. Savng's owner-earnings FCF subtracts capital expenditures and stock-based compensation from operating cash flow (SBC is a real dilution cost even though it's non-cash). This is deliberately more conservative than "standard" FCF, which subtracts only capital expenditures — so our figure is lower than the headline FCF you'll see elsewhere. FCF funds dividends, buybacks, debt repayment, and acquisitions; a company can report positive earnings yet negative FCF.
Debt per share — total interest-bearing borrowings divided by shares. High debt-per-share next to thin FCF-per-share is a fragility signal.
What you actually need to decide
Every stock price is a disagreement. Here's the single thing that must go right for the bulls, the single thing that breaks the thesis, and the concrete signposts to watch so you can update your view as real results arrive.
- Reported revenue growth rate in upcoming quarters
- Gross margin trends in future earnings reports
- Announcements of new product wins or market expansions
The trend, in plain numbers (2024 → 2025)
Straight from the financial statements — no model, no opinion. For a small or unprofitable company, the direction of these numbers usually tells you more than any single valuation.
- Revenue grew +13% to $3.19B.
- Net income grew +2% to $554.0M.
- Free cash flow fell to $386.4M.
Roughly flat: Gross margin held to 58% (0 pts).
Management & Leadership
Teradyne, Inc. is led by Greg Smith, who has served as CEO since 2014. The company's executive team focuses on delivering automated test solutions and robotics to a global customer base. Michael Bradley serves as the President of the Semiconductor Test Division.
What They Make
Teradyne, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells automatic test equipment and industrial robotics. Its products are primarily used by manufacturers of semiconductors, wireless products, data storage, and complex electronic systems.
End Markets
Revenue Drivers
Why Is It Priced Like This?
Why Customers Pay
What we use instead: earnings (P/E, EV/EBIT), book value (P/B) — computed from the figures this company does report, shown in the sections below. Those numbers are unaffected by the missing cash-flow data.
The market is likely pricing in expectations for future revenue re-acceleration and margin expansion, given that the current price is 17.9x the model's intrinsic valueIntrinsic Value — Our DCF model's estimate of what each share is mathematically worth based on projected cash flows.
Why it matters: Compare to current price. Below IV = potentially undervalued. Above IV = priced for growth that must actually happen.
Reference: Model-derived; quality depends on data and assumptions.
Full explanation →. The market may be assigning value to the potential for new product cycles in semiconductor test or expansion into new robotics applications, which is not fully captured by the backward-looking model. Despite current revenue declining and gross margin compressing, the company has been profitable for five consecutive years and has positive operating cash flow, suggesting underlying business health that could support future growth.
Business Model & Valuation
How They Make Money
The company has positive operating cash flow and has been profitable for five consecutive years, suggesting it can fund its operations internally, though specific dividend or buyback rates are not provided.
Growth / Revenue DCF
Extreme market premium (P/FCF 152x): market is pricing future growth far beyond current FCF. Using revenue/margin model.
Show advanced inputs
| RevenueGrowth | 2.0% |
What this model does NOT do: this is a consolidated owner-earnings FCF model. Standalone segment assumptions: none. It does not project its revenue segments independently; their combined effect is embedded in the historical revenue and cash-flow trend the model extrapolates. The calculator above can only approximate a segment's impact through the single consolidated growth rate — it cannot model any one line separately. For a true segment-level view, build a separate model from the company's segment disclosures.
Maturity & Competitive Position
Moat Signals
Revenue has been declining at -3.7% per year over the last four years, from $3703M to $3190M, while net income has been positive for five consecutive years.
Geography & Markets
Teradyne, Inc. is a global company with significant operations and customer bases across North America, Europe, and Asia, particularly in regions with strong semiconductor manufacturing and industrial automation industries. Specific geographic revenue mix percentages are not available from current data.
Geographic Risks
Market Signals
These are timing signals, not value signals — they describe the stock's recent price behavior, not what the business is worth. Use them for the "the thesis looks good, but is now the moment?" question. Each tile below explains what it's saying.
Why it matters: Short-term contrarian indicator. Extreme readings often precede mean reversion, though not always.
Reference: 30–70 normal · >70 overbought · <30 oversold
Full explanation → (14)54.7NeutralMomentum is balanced — neither overbought nor oversold.
Why it matters: When the fast line crosses above the slow line, short-term momentum is turning up; below, turning down. A timing cue, not a value signal.
Reference: Line above signal = bullish momentum · below = bearish
Full explanation →BullishLine above signalThe fast trend is above the slow trend — short-term momentum is currently upward.
Technicals describe price, not the business. A great company can have a "bearish" tape (a buying chance) and a weak one a "bullish" tape (a trap). Pair these with the valuation and health sections above.
QUALITY
Data Quality & Risk Flags (5 notes — click to expand/collapse)
Guardrail Notes (5)
- Revenue/margin projection model used - trailing FCF may understate growth runway at current scale.
- Terminal growth (3%) capped to 1.6% (80% of near-term growth 2%).
- Price is 17.9x model IV - market may be pricing optionality, narrative catalysts, or margin expansion beyond what trailing cash flows support.
- Extreme valuation (P/IV 17.8839x, IV $20.93 vs price $374.31); output dominated by data/units issue (often a multi-class share-count mismatch). Suppressed.
- DATA UNAVAILABLE: per-share values suppressed due to missing/unreliable shares data.
FINANCIALS
Financial Statements (5-year tables — click to expand)
From TERADYNE, INC's SEC filings (EDGAR).
Income (5yr)
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.2B | 554.0M | $3.47 |
| 2024 | 2.8B | 542.4M | $3.32 |
| 2023 | 2.7B | 448.8M | $2.73 |
| 2022 | 3.2B | 715.5M | $4.22 |
| 2021 | 3.7B | 1.0B | $5.53 |
Cash Flow (5yr)
| Year | Operating CF | CapEx | − SBC & adj. | Free Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 674.4M | 224.0M | 64.0M | 386.4M |
| 2024 | 672.2M | 198.1M | 60.1M | 414.0M |
| 2023 | 585.2M | 159.6M | 57.7M | 367.9M |
| 2022 | 577.9M | 163.2M | 48.2M | 366.4M |
| 2021 | 1.1B | 132.5M | 45.6M | 920.3M |
How we define FCF: operating cash flow − capital expenditure − stock-based compensation (owner-earnings basis — SBC is a real cost to shareholders even though it's non-cash). Latest year: 674.4M − 224.0M − 64.0M (SBC & adj.) = 386.4M. This is the same owner-earnings FCF definition the valuation model uses, though the DCF's starting value is a projected from revenue × terminal margin, not this single year.
Balance Sheet
| Total Assets | 4.2B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.4B |
| Equity | 2.8B |
