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Semiconductors

Every analyzed stock in Semiconductors178 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Semiconductors risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
64 /100 High ◆ flat
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
82 /100 Extreme ▲ +1 slight
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 72 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
35 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 72 stocks.
85 Extreme
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
71 High
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
55.2%
Extreme
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
77%
High
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
54%
Elevated
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 105 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Divergence: insiders are defensive while macro conditions (credit, curve, volatility) stay calm. Insiders are strong judges of their own companies but poor macro timers — historically this pattern favors selective stock-picking (see the opportunistic-buy signals) over exiting the market wholesale.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
This week in Semiconductors
Semiconductors — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Semiconductors: China Tariff Talks, AI Memory, and Quantum Computing in Focus →
This week saw attention on semiconductor stocks as China tariff discussions eased, potentially impacting several companies. The ongoing demand for AI memory and the long-term prospects of quantum computing also drew interest, while the sector's overall…
AAOI
APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS, INC.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$95.29
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +44.9%/yr vs model +21.2% · above model
ACLS
AXCELIS TECHNOLOGIES INC
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$113.43
Model IV$30.66
P/IV4.91
Premium +270% Return to IV: -73.0%
Market implies +26.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
ACMR
ACM Research, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$72.00
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +31.4%/yr vs model +36.5% · below model
ADEA
Adeia Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Communication Services Risk 68 · High
Price$24.66
Model IV$10.77
P/IV2.48
Premium +129% Return to IV: -56.3%
Market implies +16.6%/yr vs model +4.6% · above model
ADI
ANALOG DEVICES INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$361.35
Model IV$139.94
P/IV2.96
Premium +158% Return to IV: -61.3%
Market implies +22.3%/yr vs model +11.1% · above model
AEHR
AEHR TEST SYSTEMS
Valuation N/A
Healthcare Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$83.37
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +56.5%/yr vs model +37.3% · above model
AEIS
ADVANCED ENERGY INDUSTRIES INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$254.35
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +27.3%/yr vs model +5.4% · above model
AIP
Arteris, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$20.61
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +47.0%/yr vs model +16.9% · above model
ALAB
Astera Labs, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$257.04
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +39.7%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
ALGM
ALLEGRO MICROSYSTEMS, INC.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$33.85
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +31.9%/yr vs model +3.7% · above model
ALMU
Aeluma, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$13.41
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +68.8%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
AMAT
APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$456.49
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +36.0%/yr vs model +10.5% · above model
AMBA
AMBARELLA INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$64.33
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +42.0%/yr vs model +4.2% · above model
AMBQ
Ambiq Micro, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$63.52
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +59.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
AMD
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$504.20
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +41.2%/yr vs model +20.5% · above model
AMKR
AMKOR TECHNOLOGY, INC.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$51.73
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +27.5%/yr vs model +5.2% · above model
AOSL
ALPHA & OMEGA SEMICONDUCTOR Ltd
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$25.78
Model IV$15.14
P/IV3.00
Premium +70% Return to IV: -41.3%
Market implies +14.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
APH
AMPHENOL CORP /DE/
Fairly valued
Technology Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$83.92
Model IV$74.05
P/IV2.01
Premium +13% Return to IV: -11.8%
Market implies +15.9%/yr vs model +18.1% · in line
ARM
ARM HOLDINGS PLC /UK
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$239.01
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +71.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
ARRY
Array Technologies, Inc.
Fairly valued
Technology Risk 70 · High
Price$4.62
Model IV$5.02
P/IV1.81
Discount 8% Return to IV: +8.7%
Market implies +6.6%/yr vs model +11.1% · below model
ARW
ARROW ELECTRONICS, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 65 · High
Price$213.85
Model IV$53.94
P/IV3.98
Premium +296% Return to IV: -74.8%
Market implies +18.2%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
ASML
ASML HOLDING NV
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$1,575.15
Model IV$433.47
P/IV3.92
Premium +263% Return to IV: -72.5%
Market implies +28.6%/yr vs model +11.5% · above model
ASTI
Ascent Solar Technologies, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$2.86
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +105.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$37.08
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
ASYS
AMTECH SYSTEMS INC
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$14.91
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +24.6%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
ATOM
Atomera Inc
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$4.15
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +133.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$339.27
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +31.9%/yr vs model +23.5% · above model
AVT
AVNET INC
Fairly valued
Industrials Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$99.63
Model IV$94.90
P/IV0.92
Premium +5% Return to IV: -4.7%
Market implies +6.8%/yr vs model +7.4% · in line
AXTI
AXT INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$64.77
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +87.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
BELFA
BEL FUSE INC /NJ
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$190.92
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
BELFB
BEL FUSE INC /NJ
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$250.36
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
BHE
BENCHMARK ELECTRONICS INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 65 · High
Price$77.80
Model IV$32.50
P/IV2.60
Premium +139% Return to IV: -58.2%
Market implies +18.3%/yr vs model +6.4% · above model
BZAI
Blaize Holdings, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$0.56
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +13.3%/yr vs model +15.0% · in line
BZAIW
Blaize Holdings, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$0.11
Model IV$0.21
P/IV0.53
Discount 47% Return to IV: +89.0%
Market implies -9.4%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
CAMT
CAMTEK LTD
Valuation N/A
Healthcare Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$147.97
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
CAN
Canaan Inc.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$0.34
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +30.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
CBRS
Cerebras Systems Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$191.93
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
CDNS
CADENCE DESIGN SYSTEMS INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 60 · High
Price$289.37
Model IV$76.90
P/IV4.88
Premium +276% Return to IV: -73.4%
Market implies +29.8%/yr vs model +13.5% · above model
CEVA
CEVA INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$29.01
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +57.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
CLS
CELESTICA INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$316.08
Model IV$177.80
P/IV2.17
Premium +78% Return to IV: -43.7%
Market implies +15.4%/yr vs model +15.0% · in line
COHR
COHERENT CORP.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$266.50
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +30.1%/yr vs model +17.0% · above model
COHU
COHU INC
Valuation N/A
Healthcare Risk 62 · High
Price$57.08
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +36.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$162.95
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +49.4%/yr vs model +50.0% · in line
CRUS
CIRRUS LOGIC, INC.
Fairly valued
Technology Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$118.79
Model IV$194.00
P/IV0.88
Discount 39% Return to IV: +63.3%
Market implies +0.5%/yr vs model +8.4% · below model
CRWV
CoreWeave, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 69 · High
Price$82.98
Model IV$24.79
P/IV4.42
Premium +235% Return to IV: -70.1%
Market implies +25.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
CSIQ
Canadian Solar Inc.
Undervalued
Technology Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$12.76
Model IV$23.23
P/IV0.82
Discount 45% Return to IV: +82.1%
Market implies -5.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
CTS
CTS CORP
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$57.85
Model IV$36.07
P/IV1.78
Premium +60% Return to IV: -37.7%
Market implies +11.3%/yr vs model +6.6% · above model
CVV
CVD EQUIPMENT CORP
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$4.68
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +55.0%/yr vs model +11.9% · above model
DIOD
DIODES INC /DEL/
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$95.01
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +26.7%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
DNA
Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$6.75
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +54.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
DQ
DAQO NEW ENERGY CORP.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$11.54
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +41.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
ELTK
ELTEK LTD
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$8.15
Model IV$24.91
P/IV0.37
Discount 67% Return to IV: +205.7%
Market implies -24.8%/yr vs model +11.2% · below model
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$36.66
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +28.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
ENTG
ENTEGRIS INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$140.37
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +35.6%/yr vs model +8.4% · above model
ESP
ESPEY MFG & ELECTRONICS CORP
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$63.69
Model IV$134.21
P/IV0.43
Discount 53% Return to IV: +110.7%
Market implies -2.7%/yr vs model +12.0% · below model
FLEX
FLEX LTD.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$108.00
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +29.9%/yr vs model +9.8% · above model
FORM
FORMFACTOR INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$114.95
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +44.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
FSLR
FIRST SOLAR, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$209.03
Model IV$231.96
P/IV1.32
Discount 10% Return to IV: +11.0%
Market implies +9.9%/yr vs model +14.5% · below model
FTCI
FTC Solar, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$2.30
Model IV$1.57
P/IV3.50
Premium +46% Return to IV: -31.6%
Market implies +10.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
GCTS
GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 73 · High
Price$1.91
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +25.8%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model