← All themes
Theme

Semiconductors

Every analyzed stock in Semiconductors178 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Semiconductors risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
63 /100 High ▼ -1 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
82 /100 Extreme ▲ +1 slight
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 72 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 72 stocks.
85 Extreme
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
71 High
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
55.2%
Extreme
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
77%
High
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
54%
Elevated
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 104 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Divergence: insiders are defensive while macro conditions (credit, curve, volatility) stay calm. Insiders are strong judges of their own companies but poor macro timers — historically this pattern favors selective stock-picking (see the opportunistic-buy signals) over exiting the market wholesale.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
This week in Semiconductors
Semiconductors — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Semiconductors: China Tariff Talks, AI Memory, and Quantum Computing in Focus →
This week saw attention on semiconductor stocks as China tariff discussions eased, potentially impacting several companies. The ongoing demand for AI memory and the long-term prospects of quantum computing also drew interest, while the sector's overall…
GFS
GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$46.95
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
GSIT
GSI TECHNOLOGY INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$5.11
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +57.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
HIMX
Himax Technologies, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$14.73
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
HUBB
HUBBELL INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$460.40
Model IV$283.77
P/IV1.67
Premium +62% Return to IV: -38.4%
Market implies +15.0%/yr vs model +10.2% · above model
HUHU
HUHUTECH International Group Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$3.95
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +33.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
ICG
Intchains Group Ltd
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$0.97
Model IV$0.31
P/IV2.64
Premium +208% Return to IV: -67.6%
Market implies +16.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · in line
ICHR
ICHOR HOLDINGS, LTD.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 68 · High
Price$51.09
Model IV$21.38
P/IV3.35
Premium +139% Return to IV: -58.2%
Market implies +20.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
IMOS
CHIPMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$55.33
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
INDI
indie Semiconductor, Inc.
Fairly valued
Technology Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$3.08
Model IV$3.35
P/IV1.49
Discount 8% Return to IV: +8.7%
Market implies +5.0%/yr vs model +45.6% · below model
INTC
INTEL CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$97.19
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +41.7%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
INTT
INTEST CORP
Deeply overvalued
Healthcare Risk 70 · High
Price$11.42
Model IV$4.63
P/IV3.64
Premium +147% Return to IV: -59.4%
Market implies +17.1%/yr vs model +8.3% · above model
IPGP
IPG PHOTONICS CORP
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 63 · High
Price$79.99
Model IV$24.94
P/IV4.59
Premium +221% Return to IV: -68.8%
Market implies +19.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
IPWR
Ideal Power Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$4.79
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +121.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
JBL
JABIL INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$298.72
Model IV$115.16
P/IV3.17
Premium +159% Return to IV: -61.4%
Market implies +20.7%/yr vs model +7.9% · above model
JKS
JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$11.35
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +21.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
KE
Kimball Electronics, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$26.17
Model IV$7.73
P/IV3.36
Premium +239% Return to IV: -70.5%
Market implies +22.0%/yr vs model +6.1% · above model
KLAC
KLA CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$180.64
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +36.6%/yr vs model +10.7% · above model
KLIC
KULICKE & SOFFA INDUSTRIES INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$86.13
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +36.1%/yr vs model -5.7% · above model
KOPN
KOPIN CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$4.34
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +77.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
KTCC
KEY TRONIC CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$2.44
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies -31.6%/yr vs model +3.7% · below model
KULR
KULR Technology Group, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 60 · High
Price$2.30
Model IV$1.35
P/IV3.54
Premium +70% Return to IV: -41.2%
Market implies +13.5%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
LAES
SEALSQ Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$2.38
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +79.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
LASR
NLIGHT, INC.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$40.37
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +47.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
LEDS
SemiLEDs Corp
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$2.15
Model IV$3.54
P/IV0.64
Discount 39% Return to IV: +64.7%
Market implies +7.2%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model
LFUS
LITTELFUSE INC /DE
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$432.30
Model IV$135.06
P/IV3.46
Premium +220% Return to IV: -68.8%
Market implies +19.8%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
LGL
LGL GROUP INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$6.78
Model IV$1.57
P/IV4.54
Premium +333% Return to IV: -76.9%
Market implies +7.9%/yr vs model +14.1% · below model
LNKS
Linkers Industries Ltd
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$1.00
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
LPL
LG Display Co., Ltd.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 22 · Moderate
Price$3.13
Model IV$80.11
P/IV0.07
Discount 96% Return to IV: +2,459.4%
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +12.0% · below model
LPTH
LIGHTPATH TECHNOLOGIES INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$9.20
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +65.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
LRCX
LAM RESEARCH CORP
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$298.22
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +27.3%/yr
LSCC
LATTICE SEMICONDUCTOR CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$119.76
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +61.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
MCHP
MICROCHIP TECHNOLOGY INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$74.20
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +19.8%/yr vs model -1.7% · above model
MCHPP
MICROCHIP TECHNOLOGY INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 62 · High
Price$63.64
Model IV$17.28
P/IV4.64
Premium +268% Return to IV: -72.8%
Market implies +15.9%/yr vs model -1.7% · above model
MEI
METHODE ELECTRONICS INC
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$13.62
Model IV$23.97
P/IV0.48
Discount 43% Return to IV: +76.0%
Market implies -5.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
MKSI
MKS INC
Deeply overvalued
Healthcare Risk 61 · High
Price$267.31
Model IV$71.04
P/IV4.56
Premium +276% Return to IV: -73.4%
Market implies +27.0%/yr vs model +8.2% · above model
MOBX
MOBIX LABS, INC
Overvalued
Technology Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$1.11
Model IV$0.86
P/IV2.80
Premium +29% Return to IV: -22.7%
Market implies -5.7%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
MOBXW
MOBIX LABS, INC
Undervalued
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$0.10
Model IV$0.14
P/IV0.79
Discount 29% Return to IV: +41.1%
Market implies -6.3%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
MPTI
M-tron Industries, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 61 · High
Price$79.49
Model IV$45.23
P/IV2.01
Premium +76% Return to IV: -43.1%
Market implies +20.5%/yr vs model +17.2% · above model
MPWR
MONOLITHIC POWER SYSTEMS INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$1,142.46
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +33.6%/yr vs model +23.3% · above model
MRAM
EVERSPIN TECHNOLOGIES INC.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$16.22
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +42.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
MRCY
MERCURY SYSTEMS INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$80.61
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +29.2%/yr vs model +3.4% · above model
MRVL
Marvell Technology, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$236.10
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +45.6%/yr vs model +16.4% · above model
MTSI
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$274.90
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +35.1%/yr vs model +12.4% · above model
MU
MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$924.03
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +55.4%/yr vs model +7.8% · above model
MVIS
MICROVISION, INC.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$1.64
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +96.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
MX
MAGNACHIP SEMICONDUCTOR Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$2.95
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +19.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
MXL
MAXLINEAR, INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$64.79
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +61.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
NA
Nano Labs Ltd
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$2.48
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +25.2%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
NEON
Neonode Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$0.83
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +26.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
NNDM
Nano Dimension Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1.53
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
NPO
Enpro Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 69 · High
Price$293.88
Model IV$91.73
P/IV3.35
Premium +220% Return to IV: -68.8%
Market implies +23.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
NSYS
NORTECH SYSTEMS INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$11.19
Model IV$7.71
P/IV1.94
Premium +45% Return to IV: -31.1%
Market implies +4.7%/yr vs model +4.1% · in line
NVDA
NVIDIA CORP
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$212.17
Model IV$83.33
P/IV2.62
Premium +155% Return to IV: -60.7%
Market implies +29.3%/yr vs model +20.0% · above model
NVEC
NVE CORP /NEW/
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 62 · High
Price$100.51
Model IV$31.59
P/IV3.10
Premium +218% Return to IV: -68.6%
Market implies +18.6%/yr vs model +3.4% · above model
NVMI
NOVA LTD.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$371.81
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$11.63
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +9.7%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors N.V.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 61 · High
Price$226.35
Model IV$104.39
P/IV3.08
Premium +117% Return to IV: -53.9%
Market implies +17.7%/yr vs model +7.4% · above model
NXT
Nextpower Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$79.79
Model IV$58.30
P/IV2.68
Premium +37% Return to IV: -26.9%
Market implies +21.1%/yr vs model +21.1% · in line
OLED
UNIVERSAL DISPLAY CORP PA
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$83.56
Model IV$39.52
P/IV2.33
Premium +111% Return to IV: -52.7%
Market implies +16.0%/yr vs model +6.5% · above model
ON
ON SEMICONDUCTOR CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$76.14
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +23.0%/yr vs model +4.9% · above model