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Semiconductors

Every analyzed stock in Semiconductors178 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Semiconductors risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
63 /100 High ▼ -1 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
82 /100 Extreme ▲ +1 slight
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 72 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 72 stocks.
85 Extreme
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
71 High
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
55.2%
Extreme
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
77%
High
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
54%
Elevated
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 104 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Divergence: insiders are defensive while macro conditions (credit, curve, volatility) stay calm. Insiders are strong judges of their own companies but poor macro timers — historically this pattern favors selective stock-picking (see the opportunistic-buy signals) over exiting the market wholesale.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
This week in Semiconductors
Semiconductors — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Semiconductors: China Tariff Talks, AI Memory, and Quantum Computing in Focus →
This week saw attention on semiconductor stocks as China tariff discussions eased, potentially impacting several companies. The ongoing demand for AI memory and the long-term prospects of quantum computing also drew interest, while the sector's overall…
ONTO
ONTO INNOVATION INC.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$281.26
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +30.8%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
OSIS
OSI SYSTEMS INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 68 · High
Price$204.29
Model IV$45.07
P/IV4.81
Premium +353% Return to IV: -77.9%
Market implies +31.7%/yr vs model +12.7% · above model
OST
Ostin Technology Group Co., Ltd.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1.70
Model IV$24.55
P/IV0.07
Discount 93% Return to IV: +1,348.2%
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
PDFS
PDF SOLUTIONS INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$47.77
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +35.4%/yr vs model +18.5% · above model
PENG
Penguin Solutions, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$46.59
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +29.3%/yr vs model +8.3% · above model
PI
IMPINJ INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$176.82
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +34.5%/yr vs model +17.4% · above model
PLAB
PHOTRONICS INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 67 · High
Price$28.99
Model IV$17.66
P/IV1.83
Premium +64% Return to IV: -39.1%
Market implies +14.1%/yr vs model +8.9% · above model
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$172.56
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +45.8%/yr vs model +30.5% · above model
PLXS
PLEXUS CORP
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$255.34
Model IV$57.41
P/IV4.67
Premium +345% Return to IV: -77.5%
Market implies +28.1%/yr vs model +7.6% · above model
POET
POET TECHNOLOGIES INC.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$7.95
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
POWI
POWER INTEGRATIONS INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$52.28
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +33.0%/yr vs model -1.9% · above model
PRSO
Peraso Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$0.46
Model IV$7.81
P/IV0.14
Discount 94% Return to IV: +1,582.7%
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +21.1% · below model
PXLW
PIXELWORKS, INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$7.14
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +85.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
Q
Qnity Electronics, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$126.40
Model IV$49.98
P/IV3.12
Premium +153% Return to IV: -60.5%
Market implies +22.3%/yr vs model +9.6% · above model
QCOM
QUALCOMM INC/DE
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$181.97
Model IV$128.36
P/IV1.96
Premium +42% Return to IV: -29.5%
Market implies +13.0%/yr vs model +9.6% · above model
QRVO
Qorvo, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$116.65
Model IV$76.12
P/IV1.36
Premium +53% Return to IV: -34.7%
Market implies +9.2%/yr vs model +3.6% · above model
QUIK
QUICKLOGIC Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$10.82
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +65.9%/yr vs model +2.8% · above model
RFIL
R F INDUSTRIES LTD
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$10.32
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +33.8%/yr vs model +9.8% · above model
RMBS
RAMBUS INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$80.39
Model IV$44.88
P/IV3.24
Premium +79% Return to IV: -44.2%
Market implies +24.5%/yr vs model +19.7% · above model
SANM
SANMINA CORP
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$216.00
Model IV$97.36
P/IV2.67
Premium +122% Return to IV: -54.9%
Market implies +20.9%/yr vs model +11.0% · above model
SEDG
SOLAREDGE TECHNOLOGIES, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 60 · High
Price$34.68
Model IV$18.15
P/IV4.21
Premium +91% Return to IV: -47.7%
Market implies +15.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
SELX
Semilux International Ltd.
Fairly valued
Technology Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$0.34
Model IV$0.25
P/IV1.05
Premium +37% Return to IV: -27.2%
Market implies -3.9%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
SHLS
Shoals Technologies Group, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 67 · High
Price$7.30
Model IV$5.51
P/IV2.26
Premium +32% Return to IV: -24.5%
Market implies +9.9%/yr vs model +22.2% · below model
SIMO
Silicon Motion Technology CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$239.20
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +61.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
SITM
SITIME Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$635.66
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +77.8%/yr vs model +10.5% · above model
SKYT
SkyWater Technology, Inc
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$32.46
Model IV$24.48
P/IV1.59
Premium +33% Return to IV: -24.6%
Market implies +10.4%/yr vs model +39.5% · below model
SLAB
SILICON LABORATORIES INC.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$220.33
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +25.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
SMTC
SEMTECH CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$167.24
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +46.7%/yr vs model +10.0% · above model
SMTK
SmartKem, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$2.24
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +35.5%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
SNPS
SYNOPSYS INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 62 · High
Price$397.38
Model IV$108.86
P/IV4.37
Premium +265% Return to IV: -72.6%
Market implies +20.1%/yr vs model +13.8% · above model
SPCB
SuperCom Ltd
Overvalued
Technology Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$9.97
Model IV$8.47
P/IV1.40
Premium +18% Return to IV: -15.1%
Market implies +3.3%/yr vs model +22.8% · below model
SQNS
SEQUANS COMMUNICATIONS
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$2.86
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
SSM
Sono Group N.V.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$2.11
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
STM
STMicroelectronics N.V.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$51.51
Model IV$31.82
P/IV2.18
Premium +62% Return to IV: -38.2%
Market implies +10.2%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
SVCO
Silvaco Group, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$6.71
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +19.9%/yr vs model +7.8% · above model
SWKS
SKYWORKS SOLUTIONS, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 61 · High
Price$88.35
Model IV$57.30
P/IV1.36
Premium +54% Return to IV: -35.1%
Market implies +7.7%/yr vs model +1.6% · above model
SYNA
SYNAPTICS Inc
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 60 · High
Price$101.03
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +28.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
TE
T1 Energy Inc.
Fairly valued
Technology Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$4.61
Model IV$10.07
P/IV1.05
Discount 54% Return to IV: +118.4%
Market implies -10.6%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
TER
TERADYNE, INC
Valuation N/A
Healthcare Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$332.85
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +49.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
TOYO
TOYO Co., Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$4.40
Model IV$28.60
P/IV0.51
Discount 85% Return to IV: +549.9%
Market implies -15.3%/yr vs model +16.0% · below model
TRT
TRIO-TECH INTERNATIONAL
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 65 · High
Price$10.10
Model IV$7.05
P/IV1.80
Premium +43% Return to IV: -30.2%
Market implies -0.2%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
TSEM
TOWER SEMICONDUCTOR LTD
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$211.52
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +56.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
TSM
TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO LTD
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$418.01
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +27.1%/yr
TTMI
TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$112.46
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +25.6%/yr vs model +8.9% · above model
TXN
TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$263.42
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +25.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
TYGO
TIGO ENERGY, INC.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$1.03
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
UCTT
Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 69 · High
Price$74.04
Model IV$37.96
P/IV2.25
Premium +95% Return to IV: -48.7%
Market implies +17.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
UMC
UNITED MICROELECTRONICS CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$21.90
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +53.4%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
VECO
VEECO INSTRUMENTS INC
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$44.83
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +31.7%/yr vs model +3.3% · above model
VIAV
VIAVI SOLUTIONS INC.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$38.75
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +32.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
VICR
VICOR CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$197.91
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +40.4%/yr vs model +5.8% · above model
VLN
Valens Semiconductor Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1.66
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +41.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
VPG
Vishay Precision Group, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$60.49
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +23.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
VREX
Varex Imaging Corp
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$18.46
Model IV$22.56
P/IV0.45
Discount 18% Return to IV: +22.2%
Market implies -1.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$237.39
Model IV$75.46
P/IV4.18
Premium +215% Return to IV: -68.2%
Market implies +31.4%/yr vs model +17.3% · above model
VSH
VISHAY INTERTECHNOLOGY INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$33.21
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +24.6%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
WOLF
WOLFSPEED, INC.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$25.92
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +37.4%/yr vs model +9.6% · above model
XPER
Xperi Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$5.75
Model IV$8.39
P/IV0.95
Discount 31% Return to IV: +45.9%
Market implies -5.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model