Yatra Online, Inc. (YTRA) Stock Analysis

Price updated today · SEC data refreshed 11 days ago · Not investment advice

Yatra Online, Inc.

YTRA Industrials Transportation Services📄 SEC filings ↗
Valuation N/A
▾ What's in the 30/100 risk score? (higher = riskier)
Fundamental health (43%) 20/100 → +8.6
leverage 20/100
Smart money (short interest + insider buying) (31%) 46/100 → +14.5
Macro backdrop (VIX, curve, credit, fear/greed + week-over-week momentum) (26%) 28/100 → +7.2
Total30/100

Contributions (weight × component score) sum to the total. This near-term score now includes fundamental health (leverage, FCF trend). See the Financial Health section for the full balance-sheet read.

💵 Price $0.94 · today 📄 Financials SEC EDGAR · refreshed 11 days ago

How to read YTRA

We are not publishing an intrinsic value for this one — the section below says exactly why. Everything on this page that comes straight from the filings and the tape is still here; treat the missing valuation as a known gap, not as a verdict on the business.

Where to start — the sections that matter most for this stock
  1. 1 Reported earnings & margins ↓
    What the company actually reported — unaffected by the valuation being held.
  2. 2 Balance sheet & book value ↓
    Assets, liabilities and equity as filed.
  3. 3 Who's selling & betting against it ↓
    Insider and short-interest behaviour needs no valuation model.
Or — what are you trying to decide?
One rule first: never trade out of fear — and that includes the fear of missing out. A stock up 10% a day for three days is excitement, not data. If you can't point to the evidence behind a trade, you're more likely to lose. So whichever of these you are, check the data below before you act.
🚀
"It's surging — should I chase it?"
The momentum / FOMO trade. Before you chase, see whether the people who know it best are quietly selling into the rally.
🏷️
"Is it a cheap bargain?"
The deep-value trade. How far below assets and our value it trades — and whether it's cheap for a reason.
ⓘ A share-count quirk blocked the per-share math

The share count we read for YTRA looks wrong — common for multi-class / founder-controlled filers that report shares per share-class. That makes per-share figures (including intrinsic value) misleading, so we suppressed them. The company's total financials below are sound.

What to use instead: Lean on the totals — revenue, net income, cash flow — and the balance sheet. Multi-class share counts are being corrected; once fixed, the per-share valuation returns automatically.

This note is only about the single DCF fair-value number — YTRA's full financial statements, health scores, and written analysis are all below.

Loading insider & short-seller data…

Quality & solvency checks

Cheap stocks can be cheap for a reason. These screens warn when a low valuation comes paired with structural fragility.

Altman Z-Score?Altman Z-Score — A bankruptcy-risk score combining 5 financial ratios into one number. Predictive of bankruptcy within 2 years.
Why it matters: Cheap-looking stocks (low P/E or P/B) often have low Z-scores because the market knows the company is dying. Z-score warns you before you fall into a value trap.
Reference: > 3.0 = safe zone · 1.81–3.0 = grey zone · < 1.81 = distress zone
Full explanation →
Not available for this filer

The Z-score needs working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, sales and total assets from the latest balance sheet, and at least one of those isn't reported in machine-readable form here — common for foreign private issuers. We leave it blank rather than compute a distress verdict from an estimated input. It doesn't affect the reported figures in the financial tables below.

Piotroski F-Score?Piotroski F-Score — A 9-point quality checklist scoring profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.
Why it matters: High score = fundamentals improving. Low score = deteriorating. Especially powerful for filtering cheap stocks: cheap + high F-score historically outperforms; cheap + low F-score is often a value trap.
Reference: 7–9 = strong · 4–6 = mediocre · 0–3 = weak
Full explanation →
Not available for this filer

The F-score compares two consecutive years of income, cash-flow and balance-sheet data. We have 5 years of income data for this filer, but no machine-readable cash-flow statement or balance sheet — so several of the nine checks have no input at all. We show nothing rather than score a partial year against itself. The reported figures in the financial tables below are unaffected.

Price$0.94
Model IVNot applicable — DCF couldn't price this stock. See Reverse DCF and Football Field below.

A standard discounted cash flow?DCF — Discounted Cash Flow — sums up all future cash a business will produce, adjusted for the fact that future dollars are worth less than dollars today.
Why it matters: It is the most fundamentally honest valuation method when applicable — but only works for companies with predictable, positive cash flow.
Reference: Best for: mature, profitable businesses. Fails for: pre-profit growth, banks, REITs.
Full explanation →
(DCF) valuation is not meaningful for Yatra Online, Inc. because the company has negative free cash flow?Free Cash Flow (FCF) — Operating cash flow minus capital spending: cash left after a company covers operating costs, taxes and interest and reinvests in the business — but BEFORE repaying debt principal or paying dividends. The cash actually available to investors.
Why it matters: A company can show big profits on paper while burning through cash. FCF is what actually fills the bank account.
Reference: Healthy mature businesses convert 8–15% of revenue into FCF · Growth companies often negative
Full explanation →
, indicating it is in a cash-burning growth stage. Valuing it would require projecting a clear path to sustained positive free cash flow, which is difficult given its current financial profile. Investors are likely betting on continued revenue growth, which has been strong at 52.1% annually over four years, and the potential for future profitability. The biggest risk to our own assumptions is that the company's revenue growth, while significant, may not translate into consistent positive net income, as it has only been profitable in 1 out of the last 5 years.

⚠️ FCF negative: revenue/margin growth model projects future cash flows from revenue trajectory.

As of 11 days ago

Anatomy of a share

What you're buying per share. Bars are at the same scale so you can see the relative size of revenue, costs, cash flow, and debt — not just read them in a table.

Per-share economics aren't reliable for this filer. Its income statement or share count isn't fully reported to SEC EDGAR (common for foreign private issuers and thinly-disclosed OTC names), so we don't break it down per share here — the figures would be misleading. See the financial tables below for what is reported.

What you actually need to decide

Every stock price is a disagreement. Here's the single thing that must go right for the bulls, the single thing that breaks the thesis, and the concrete signposts to watch so you can update your view as real results arrive.

🐂 The Bull Case
For the bull case, Yatra must continue to expand its market share and improve its operating margins to achieve consistent profitability, building on its strong revenue growth from $17M to $93M. This would demonstrate the scalability of its platform and validate the market's growth expectations.
🐻 The Bear Case
The bear case centers on the risk that Yatra's significant revenue growth does not translate into sustained positive net income, as it has only been profitable in 1 out of 5 years. If operating expenses continue to outpace revenue growth, or if competitive pressures intensify, the company may struggle to achieve consistent profitability, leading to continued cash burn.
📌 Signposts to watch — update your view as these print
  • Consistent positive net income in upcoming quarters
  • Continued year-over-year revenue growth above 40%
  • Improvement in free cash flow towards positive territory

The trend, in plain numbers (2024 → 2025)

Straight from the financial statements — no model, no opinion. For a small or unprofitable company, the direction of these numbers usually tells you more than any single valuation.

✅ Improving
  • Revenue grew +85% to $93.1M.
  • Swung to a profit of $274K (from a loss the prior year).
⚠ Worsening

Nothing clearly worsening year-over-year.

Management & Leadership

Dhruv Shringi is the Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Yatra Online, Inc., a position he has held since the company's inception. He is a key figure in guiding the company's strategic direction and expansion in the online travel sector.

Dhruv Shringi
Chief Executive Officer
Manish Amin
Co-Founder & Chief Information Officer

What They Make

Yatra Online, Inc. is an online travel agency that provides a comprehensive range of travel-related services. Its paying customers include individual travelers and corporate clients who book flights, hotels, holiday packages, and other travel services through its platform.

End Markets

Leisure TravelBusiness TravelHospitality

Revenue Drivers

Air ticket bookings
Hotel bookings
Holiday packages
Beta: 1.03

Why Is It Priced Like This?

Why Customers Pay

Convenient one-stop booking for travel services
Competitive pricing and deals on flights and hotels
Access to a wide inventory of travel options
No discounted-cash-flow value for this filer No machine-readable cash-flow statement in this filer's EDGAR submissions — common for foreign private issuers (20-F/6-K). That makes a discounted-cash-flow valuation impossible: there is no free cash flow to discount. It does not affect the income-statement or balance-sheet figures below.

What we use instead: earnings (P/E, EV/EBIT), book value (P/B) — computed from the figures this company does report, shown in the sections below. Those numbers are unaffected by the missing cash-flow data.

The market is likely pricing Yatra based on its significant revenue growth of 52.1% per year over the last four years, indicating strong market penetration and expansion in the online travel sector. The market may be assigning value to the potential for network effects in its platform, which is not in the model, as more users and suppliers could lead to a more dominant market position. Additionally, the market may be assigning value to the company's ability to eventually achieve consistent profitability, given it has been profitable in 1 out of 5 years, which is not in the model.

Business Model & Valuation

How They Make Money

Commissions on flight bookings
Commissions on hotel and package bookings
Fees for corporate travel services

The company funds its operations and growth primarily through equity raises, as indicated by its negative free cash flow?Free Cash Flow (FCF) — Operating cash flow minus capital spending: cash left after a company covers operating costs, taxes and interest and reinvests in the business — but BEFORE repaying debt principal or paying dividends. The cash actually available to investors.
Why it matters: A company can show big profits on paper while burning through cash. FCF is what actually fills the bank account.
Reference: Healthy mature businesses convert 8–15% of revenue into FCF · Growth companies often negative
Full explanation →
, and does not currently pay dividends or engage in share buybacks.

Growth / Revenue DCF

No cash flow statement data available - using revenue/margin growth model as fallback.

Show advanced inputs
RevenueGrowth50.0%

What this model does NOT do: this is a consolidated owner-earnings FCF model. Standalone segment assumptions: none. It does not project its revenue segments independently; their combined effect is embedded in the historical revenue and cash-flow trend the model extrapolates. The calculator above can only approximate a segment's impact through the single consolidated growth rate — it cannot model any one line separately. For a true segment-level view, build a separate model from the company's segment disclosures.

Maturity & Competitive Position

Growth / re-investment phase

Moat Signals

Brand recognition in its primary market
Established user base and booking platform
Supplier relationships with airlines and hotels

Revenue has been growing at 52.1% per year over the last four years, from $17M to $93M.

Geography & Markets

Yatra Online, Inc. primarily operates in India, serving both domestic and international travel needs for customers within the region. Exact geographic revenue mix is not available from current data sources.

Geographic Risks

Concentration risk in the Indian travel market
Intense competition from other online travel agencies

Market Signals

These are timing signals, not value signals — they describe the stock's recent price behavior, not what the business is worth. Use them for the "the thesis looks good, but is now the moment?" question. Each tile below explains what it's saying.

Model neutral, tape bearish
RSI?RSI — Relative Strength Index — a 0-100 momentum gauge. Above 70 = overbought; below 30 = oversold.
Why it matters: Short-term contrarian indicator. Extreme readings often precede mean reversion, though not always.
Reference: 30–70 normal · >70 overbought · <30 oversold
Full explanation →
(14)
47.0NeutralMomentum is balanced — neither overbought nor oversold.
MACD?MACD — Moving Average Convergence Divergence — compares a fast and a slow price trend to gauge momentum direction.
Why it matters: When the fast line crosses above the slow line, short-term momentum is turning up; below, turning down. A timing cue, not a value signal.
Reference: Line above signal = bullish momentum · below = bearish
Full explanation →
BullishLine above signalThe fast trend is above the slow trend — short-term momentum is currently upward.
50-Day Average$0.90Price above (+4.8%)Price above its 50-day average = near-term uptrend.
200-Day Average$1.27Price belowThe 200-day line is the long-term trend divider — above it is generally considered a bull market for the stock.
50 vs 200 CrossDeath50-day below 200-dayA "death cross" — the medium trend is below the long trend (often read as bearish).

Technicals describe price, not the business. A great company can have a "bearish" tape (a buying chance) and a weak one a "bullish" tape (a trap). Pair these with the valuation and health sections above.

Data Quality & Risk Flags (7 notes — click to expand/collapse)

Guardrail Notes (7)
  • FCF negative: revenue/margin growth model projects future cash flows from revenue trajectory.
  • Shares from unknown — per-share values may be less accurate.
  • Illiquidity discount 25% applied (small/micro-cap — harder to exit, demand a margin).
  • Shares/market cap missing or defaulted; per-share valuation unreliable.
  • Shares defaulted to 1; IV is NOT meaningful — treat as data-unavailable.
  • VALUATION HELD (MISSING_SHARE_COUNT): per-share values suppressed due to shares/market cap missing or unreliable.
  • Extreme valuation gap (P/IV null): result may be dominated by model assumptions, share count issues, or sector-specific dynamics. Treat as low confidence.

Financial Statements (5-year tables — click to expand)

From Yatra Online, Inc.'s SEC filings (EDGAR).

Income (5yr)

YearRevenueNet IncomeEPS
202593.1M274,000$0.00
202450.3M-4.4M
202346.6M-3.5M
202226.2M-6.4M
202117.4M-16.3M

Balance Sheet

Total Assets154.6M
Total Liabilities62.1M
Equity

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Same sector and industry, similar fundamentals shape. Verify everything yourself — this list is computed mechanically and does not reflect our judgment about whether any of these are a good investment.

PG
Methodology by Pouyan Golshani, MD — founder of Gighz. Savng was built by a physician for busy professionals: every number on this page comes from SEC filings (EDGAR) and FINRA data through transparent, rules-based models — no analyst opinions, no hidden inputs. How we calculate every number →
⚠️ Not investment advice. Automated model outputs, last refreshed 11 days ago (the analysis-refresh date, not the latest filing period). All models have blind spots. Full disclaimer →
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