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Cybersecurity

Every analyzed stock in Cybersecurity45 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Cybersecurity risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
54 /100 Elevated ▼ -6 mild
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
79 /100 High ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 28 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 28 stocks.
79 High
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
45 Elevated
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
48.9%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
43%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
54%
Elevated
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 28 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
This week in Cybersecurity
Cybersecurity — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): AI’s Growing Role in Cybersecurity: Opportunities and Challenges →
This week, artificial intelligence continued to be a central topic in cybersecurity, with discussions around its increasing use in defense, the challenges posed by AI-driven attacks, and its influence on stock valuations. The sector's risk score…
AKAM
AKAMAI TECHNOLOGIES INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 62 · High
Price$105.40
Model IV$77.64
P/IV1.93
Premium +36% Return to IV: -26.3%
Market implies +12.2%/yr vs model +10.1% · in line
ALAR
Alarum Technologies Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$2.19
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
ARQQ
Arqit Quantum Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$20.05
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
ARQQW
Arqit Quantum Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$0.01
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
ATEN
A10 Networks, Inc.
Fairly valued
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$24.74
Model IV$10.57
P/IV0.94
Premium +134% Return to IV: -57.3%
Market implies +17.6%/yr vs model +8.4% · above model
BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$75.90
Model IV$236.46
P/IV0.33
Discount 68% Return to IV: +211.5%
Market implies -6.6%/yr vs model +9.5% · below model
BB
BLACKBERRY Ltd
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$7.67
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +26.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
BLZE
Backblaze, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$12.40
Model IV$4.63
P/IV1.79
Premium +168% Return to IV: -62.7%
Market implies +19.3%/yr vs model +21.3% · in line
BTQ
BTQ Technologies Corp.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$2.83
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
CACI
CACI INTERNATIONAL INC /DE/
Undervalued
Technology Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$621.17
Model IV$699.99
P/IV0.73
Discount 11% Return to IV: +12.7%
Market implies +8.4%/yr vs model +12.8% · below model
CHKP
CHECK POINT SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$131.64
Model IV$293.67
P/IV0.46
Discount 55% Return to IV: +123.1%
Market implies -1.0%/yr vs model +11.7% · below model
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$206.74
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +9.1%/yr vs model +34.9% · below model
CSCO
CISCO SYSTEMS, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$112.13
Model IV$39.27
P/IV2.79
Premium +186% Return to IV: -65.0%
Market implies +20.7%/yr vs model +7.3% · above model
CYCU
Cycurion, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 25 · Moderate
Price$3.42
Model IV$8.93
P/IV0.10
Discount 62% Return to IV: +161.2%
Market implies -19.1%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
CYCUW
Cycurion, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$0.02
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
DELL
Dell Technologies Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$567.29
Model IV$149.85
P/IV2.81
Premium +279% Return to IV: -73.6%
Market implies +27.2%/yr vs model +9.2% · above model
FTNT
Fortinet, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 60 · High
Price$170.18
Model IV$85.25
P/IV1.62
Premium +100% Return to IV: -49.9%
Market implies +24.3%/yr vs model +19.4% · above model
GEN
Gen Digital Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$31.23
Model IV$54.38
P/IV0.47
Discount 43% Return to IV: +74.1%
Market implies +4.2%/yr vs model +14.6% · below model
GENVR
Gen Digital Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$5.90
Model IV$27.28
P/IV0.07
Discount 78% Return to IV: +362.3%
Market implies -16.1%/yr vs model +14.6% · below model
GRRR
Gorilla Technology Group Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$13.59
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
HUBC
Hub Cyber Security Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$0.34
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
HUBCZ
Hub Cyber Security Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$0.01
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
INTZ
INTRUSION INC
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$0.89
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +41.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
MOB
Mobilicom Ltd
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$4.79
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$314.18
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +34.9%/yr vs model +34.8% · in line
NIXX
Nixxy, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$0.54
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +44.9% · below model
NTSK
Netskope Inc
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$17.47
Model IV$7.86
P/IV1.54
Premium +122% Return to IV: -55.0%
Market implies +16.7%/yr vs model +32.0% · below model
PANW
Palo Alto Networks Inc
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$330.65
Model IV$70.03
P/IV4.02
Premium +372% Return to IV: -78.8%
Market implies +19.7%/yr vs model +21.3% · in line
PSN
PARSONS CORP
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 25 · Moderate
Price$45.75
Model IV$91.08
P/IV0.65
Discount 50% Return to IV: +99.1%
Market implies +2.0%/yr vs model +14.5% · below model
QNC
Quantum eMotion Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$1.70
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
RBRK
Rubrik, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 62 · High
Price$86.65
Model IV$23.97
P/IV3.28
Premium +261% Return to IV: -72.3%
Market implies +21.3%/yr vs model +30.0% · below model
RDWR
RADWARE LTD
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$27.90
Model IV$6.51
P/IV4.66
Premium +329% Return to IV: -76.7%
Market implies +23.8%/yr vs model +6.0% · above model
S
SentinelOne, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$19.75
Model IV$24.72
P/IV0.67
Discount 20% Return to IV: +25.2%
Market implies -2.5%/yr vs model +48.7% · below model
SAIL
SailPoint, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 60 · High
Price$19.98
Model IV$4.27
P/IV4.41
Premium +368% Return to IV: -78.6%
Market implies +25.0%/yr vs model +23.8% · in line
SILC
SILICOM LTD.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 63 · High
Price$42.25
Model IV$8.44
P/IV4.77
Premium +401% Return to IV: -80.0%
Market implies +23.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
SPCB
SuperCom Ltd
Overvalued
Technology Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$9.97
Model IV$8.47
P/IV1.40
Premium +18% Return to IV: -15.1%
Market implies +3.3%/yr vs model +22.8% · below model
TENB
Tenable Holdings, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 60 · High
Price$35.08
Model IV$14.02
P/IV2.01
Premium +150% Return to IV: -60.0%
Market implies +24.4%/yr vs model +15.2% · above model
TLS
TELOS CORP
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 62 · High
Price$4.23
Model IV$2.19
P/IV2.19
Premium +94% Return to IV: -48.3%
Market implies +13.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
VBNK
VersaBank
Valuation N/A
Financial Services Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$22.62
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
VHC
VirnetX Holding Corp
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 62 · High
Price$11.50
Model IV$3.88
P/IV4.50
Premium +197% Return to IV: -66.3%
VRNS
VARONIS SYSTEMS INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$45.12
Model IV$10.10
P/IV3.38
Premium +347% Return to IV: -77.6%
Market implies +25.5%/yr vs model +12.4% · above model
VRSN
VERISIGN INC/CA
Undervalued
Technology Risk 24 · Moderate
Price$292.71
Model IV$380.82
P/IV0.75
Discount 23% Return to IV: +30.1%
Market implies +6.1%/yr vs model +11.6% · below model
WKEY
Wisekey International Holding S.A.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$6.36
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
WYY
WIDEPOINT CORP
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$10.83
Model IV$8.06
P/IV1.40
Premium +34% Return to IV: -25.6%
Market implies +12.8%/yr vs model +13.8% · in line
ZS
Zscaler, Inc.
Fairly valued
Technology Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$191.73
Model IV$174.48
P/IV0.80
Premium +10% Return to IV: -9.0%
Market implies -0.7%/yr vs model +41.2% · below model