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Theme

E-commerce

Every analyzed stock in E-commerce — 318 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

E-commerce risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
46 /100 Elevated ▲ +3 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
61 /100 High ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 214 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
50 Elevated
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 214 stocks.
39 Moderate
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
52 Elevated
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
50.3%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
58%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
36%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 224 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in E-commerce
E-commerce — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): E-commerce Risk Elevated; Amazon Sees Investor Inflows; MercadoLibre’s Unique Achievement →
The E-commerce theme's risk score increased this week. Several investment firms made significant new investments in Amazon.com, Inc. Meanwhile, MercadoLibre achieved a milestone that other major e-commerce companies have not.
WWW
WOLVERINE WORLD WIDE INC /DE/
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 63 · High
Price$19.12
Model IV$7.02
P/IV2.50
Premium +172% Return to IV: -63.3%
Market implies +8.2%/yr vs model -5.5% · above model
XELB
XCel Brands, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$0.89
Model IV$0.47
P/IV4.68
Premium +91% Return to IV: -47.7%
XMAX
XMax Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$8.55
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +19.4%/yr vs model +7.4% · above model
XMTR
Xometry, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$86.11
Model IV$49.08
P/IV1.94
Premium +75% Return to IV: -43.0%
Market implies +12.7%/yr vs model +33.2% · below model
XPO
XPO, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$182.18
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +32.3%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model
XYZ
Block, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$79.49
Model IV$24.08
P/IV3.14
Premium +230% Return to IV: -69.7%
Market implies +25.5%/yr vs model +9.3% · above model
YAAS
Youxin Technology Ltd
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1.39
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +77.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
YCBD
cbdMD, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$0.46
Model IV$2.09
P/IV0.38
Discount 78% Return to IV: +353.2%
Market implies -34.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
YETI
YETI Holdings, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 64 · High
Price$39.39
Model IV$27.39
P/IV1.75
Premium +44% Return to IV: -30.5%
Market implies +12.2%/yr vs model +8.4% · above model
YHC
LQR House Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$1.41
Model IV$0.37
P/IV2.46
Premium +282% Return to IV: -73.8%
Market implies +11.1%/yr vs model +37.6% · below model
YJ
Yunji Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$1.99
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +71.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
YMM
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$8.17
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +49.9%/yr vs model +21.1% · above model
YSG
Yatsen Holding Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$2.58
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +38.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
ZBRA
ZEBRA TECHNOLOGIES CORP
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$350.37
Model IV$149.09
P/IV1.63
Premium +135% Return to IV: -57.4%
Market implies +16.1%/yr vs model +4.3% · above model
ZD
ZIFF DAVIS, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Communication Services Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$56.22
Model IV$99.97
P/IV0.15
Discount 44% Return to IV: +77.8%
Market implies -3.1%/yr vs model +6.7% · below model
ZGN
Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$11.61
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ZKH
ZKH Group Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$2.91
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$20.90
Model IV$36.29
P/IV0.61
Discount 42% Return to IV: +73.6%
Market implies +0.5%/yr vs model +8.9% · below model