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Theme

E-commerce

Every analyzed stock in E-commerce — 318 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

E-commerce risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
40 /100 Elevated ▼ -3 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
61 /100 High ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 214 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 214 stocks.
39 Moderate
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
52 Elevated
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
50.3%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
59%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
36%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 228 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in E-commerce
E-commerce — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): E-commerce Risk Elevated; Amazon Sees Investor Inflows; MercadoLibre’s Unique Achievement →
The E-commerce theme's risk score increased this week. Several investment firms made significant new investments in Amazon.com, Inc. Meanwhile, MercadoLibre achieved a milestone that other major e-commerce companies have not.
ABLV
Able View Global Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$0.98
Model IV$0.40
P/IV2.75
Premium +145% Return to IV: -59.2%
Market implies +12.1%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
ABLVW
Able View Global Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$0.02
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +0.5% · below model
ABNB
Airbnb, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$168.32
Model IV$127.32
P/IV1.05
Premium +32% Return to IV: -24.4%
Market implies +17.3%/yr vs model +17.3% · in line
ACIW
ACI WORLDWIDE, INC.
Fairly valued
Technology Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$52.09
Model IV$51.34
P/IV0.85
Premium +1% Return to IV: -1.4%
Market implies +9.1%/yr vs model +11.2% · in line
ACVA
ACV Auctions Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 60 · High
Price$10.41
Model IV$1.80
P/IV3.64
Premium +477% Return to IV: -82.7%
Market implies +37.9%/yr vs model +18.1% · above model
AENT
ALLIANCE ENTERTAINMENT HOLDING CORP
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$5.12
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +100.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
AENTW
ALLIANCE ENTERTAINMENT HOLDING CORP
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$0.26
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +6.0% · below model
AEO
AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$15.43
Model IV$10.66
P/IV1.48
Premium +45% Return to IV: -30.9%
Market implies +12.3%/yr vs model +8.1% · above model
AFRM
Affirm Holdings, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Financial Services Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$71.44
Model IV$14.89
P/IV0.33
Premium +380% Return to IV: -79.2%
Market implies +39.7%/yr vs model +21.2% · above model
AGCC
Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$13.70
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +40.0%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
AKA
A.K.A. BRANDS HOLDING CORP.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$10.89
Model IV$33.91
P/IV0.28
Discount 68% Return to IV: +211.4%
Market implies -21.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
AKAM
AKAMAI TECHNOLOGIES INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 62 · High
Price$105.40
Model IV$77.64
P/IV1.93
Premium +36% Return to IV: -26.3%
Market implies +12.2%/yr vs model +10.1% · in line
AMPL
Amplitude, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$12.59
Model IV$5.07
P/IV1.54
Premium +148% Return to IV: -59.7%
Market implies +13.1%/yr vs model +19.7% · below model
AMSS
AMASS BRANDS
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$0.72
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
AMZE
AMAZE HOLDINGS, INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$0.16
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +3.8%/yr vs model +3.7% · in line
AMZN
AMAZON COM INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 61 · High
Price$248.42
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +39.0%/yr
ANF
ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO /DE/
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$145.23
Model IV$141.62
P/IV0.55
Premium +3% Return to IV: -2.5%
Market implies +10.5%/yr vs model +12.8% · in line
ANGI
Angi Inc.
Fairly valued
Technology Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$4.99
Model IV$4.61
P/IV1.27
Premium +8% Return to IV: -7.7%
Market implies -1.5%/yr vs model +0.1% · in line
ANGX
Angel Studios, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Communication Services Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$5.45
Model IV$1.66
P/IV1.67
Premium +229% Return to IV: -69.6%
Market implies +21.1%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
ARHS
Arhaus, Inc.
Overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 60 · High
Price$8.10
Model IV$5.99
P/IV1.28
Premium +35% Return to IV: -26.1%
Market implies +13.8%/yr vs model +12.7% · in line
AS
Amer Sports, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$28.07
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ATER
Aterian, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$0.77
Model IV$4.76
P/IV0.23
Discount 84% Return to IV: +515.2%
Market implies -39.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
ATHM
Autohome Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 63 · High
Price$21.68
Model IV$4.00
P/IV4.37
Premium +442% Return to IV: -81.5%
Market implies +22.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
AZI
Autozi Internet Technology (Global) Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Industrials
Price$1.25
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$109.23
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +31.0%/yr vs model +2.5% · above model
BARK
Bark, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$9.59
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +27.4%/yr vs model +6.3% · above model
BBBY
BED BATH & BEYOND, INC.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$3.62
Model IV$3.51
P/IV2.86
Premium +3% Return to IV: -3.1%
Market implies +6.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
BBW
BUILD-A-BEAR WORKSHOP INC
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$27.58
Model IV$47.81
P/IV0.78
Discount 42% Return to IV: +73.4%
Market implies -0.1%/yr vs model +11.0% · below model
BBWI
Bath & Body Works, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$18.57
Model IV$54.18
P/IV0.37
Discount 66% Return to IV: +191.8%
Market implies -10.5%/yr vs model +7.0% · below model
BFH
BREAD FINANCIAL HOLDINGS, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Financial Services Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$106.37
Model IV$553.61
P/IV0.16
Discount 81% Return to IV: +420.5%
Market implies -21.4%/yr vs model +6.5% · below model
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 66 · High
Price$31.13
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BLIN
Bridgeline Digital, Inc.
Undervalued
Technology Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$0.88
Model IV$1.64
P/IV0.75
Discount 46% Return to IV: +85.6%
Market implies -15.2%/yr vs model +3.8% · below model
BNKK
BONK, INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$1.39
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +53.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
BOBS
Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$15.85
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BODI
Beachbody Company, Inc.
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 61 · High
Price$5.23
Model IV$7.14
P/IV1.53
Discount 27% Return to IV: +36.5%
Market implies -18.0%/yr vs model -10.0% · below model
BQ
Boqii Holding Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$0.85
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
BRBR
BELLRING BRANDS, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$9.14
Model IV$71.33
P/IV0.12
Discount 87% Return to IV: +680.4%
Market implies -16.8%/yr vs model +13.2% · below model
BRCC
BRC Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$8.56
Model IV$3.26
P/IV0.39
Premium +162% Return to IV: -61.9%
Market implies +10.1%/yr vs model +14.3% · below model
BRIA
BrilliA Inc
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$1.44
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BRLS
Borealis Foods Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$1.40
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +1.6%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
BRLSW
Borealis Foods Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$0.06
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -31.3%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
BRLT
Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$1.41
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -30.9%/yr vs model +4.9% · below model
BSET
BASSETT FURNITURE INDUSTRIES INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$17.69
Model IV$12.38
P/IV1.21
Premium +43% Return to IV: -30.0%
Market implies +3.6%/yr vs model +1.3% · in line
BWMX
BETTERWARE DE MEXICO, S.A.P.I. DE C.V
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$15.54
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BYAH
Park Ha Biological Technology Co., Ltd.
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$2.38
Model IV$1.12
P/IV1.09
Premium +113% Return to IV: -53.0%
Market implies +3.1%/yr vs model +9.6% · below model
BZFD
BuzzFeed, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Communication Services Risk 25 · Moderate
Price$1.11
Model IV$2.15
P/IV0.76
Discount 48% Return to IV: +93.7%
Market implies -10.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
BZFDW
BuzzFeed, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Communication Services Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$0.01
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
BZUN
Baozun Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$2.73
Model IV$3.03
P/IV0.85
Discount 10% Return to IV: +11.1%
Market implies +3.3%/yr vs model +7.0% · below model
CABR
Caring Brands, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$1.19
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +123.3%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
CAG
CONAGRA BRANDS INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$14.60
Model IV$63.78
P/IV0.21
Discount 77% Return to IV: +336.8%
Market implies -16.0%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
CAL
CALERES INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 66 · High
Price$12.51
Model IV$7.96
P/IV1.83
Premium +57% Return to IV: -36.4%
Market implies +11.1%/yr vs model +6.2% · above model
CART
Maplebear Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$51.07
Model IV$95.23
P/IV0.42
Discount 46% Return to IV: +86.5%
Market implies +5.2%/yr vs model +17.3% · below model
CDW
CDW Corp
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$153.79
Model IV$130.96
P/IV0.96
Premium +17% Return to IV: -14.8%
Market implies +6.6%/yr vs model +5.2% · in line
CHWY
Chewy, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$21.35
Model IV$12.91
P/IV1.55
Premium +65% Return to IV: -39.5%
Market implies +13.7%/yr vs model +8.6% · above model
CMRC
Commerce.com, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$3.64
Model IV$6.84
P/IV0.46
Discount 47% Return to IV: +88.0%
Market implies -10.6%/yr vs model +11.7% · below model
CNET
ZW Data Action Technologies Inc.
Overvalued
Technology Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$1.23
Model IV$0.95
P/IV0.70
Premium +29% Return to IV: -22.6%
Market implies +0.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · in line
CNXC
Concentrix Corp
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$28.24
Model IV$151.92
P/IV0.19
Discount 81% Return to IV: +437.9%
Market implies -15.3%/yr vs model +14.2% · below model
COLM
COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$57.67
Model IV$57.19
P/IV1.16
Premium +1% Return to IV: -0.8%
Market implies +6.8%/yr vs model +7.9% · in line
COST
COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$901.35
Model IV$364.14
P/IV2.48
Premium +148% Return to IV: -59.6%
Market implies +18.9%/yr vs model +8.6% · above model
COTY
COTY INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$2.70
Model IV$4.65
P/IV0.46
Discount 42% Return to IV: +72.2%
Market implies -3.2%/yr vs model +5.9% · below model