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Theme

E-commerce

Every analyzed stock in E-commerce — 318 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

E-commerce risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
46 /100 Elevated ▲ +3 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
61 /100 High ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 214 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
50 Elevated
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 214 stocks.
39 Moderate
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
52 Elevated
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
50.3%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
58%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
36%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 224 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in E-commerce
E-commerce — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): E-commerce Risk Elevated; Amazon Sees Investor Inflows; MercadoLibre’s Unique Achievement →
The E-commerce theme's risk score increased this week. Several investment firms made significant new investments in Amazon.com, Inc. Meanwhile, MercadoLibre achieved a milestone that other major e-commerce companies have not.
GWW
W.W. GRAINGER, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 68 · High
Price$1,280.00
Model IV$587.90
P/IV2.10
Premium +118% Return to IV: -54.1%
Market implies +18.2%/yr vs model +9.7% · above model
GXO
GXO Logistics, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$45.84
Model IV$137.60
P/IV0.36
Discount 67% Return to IV: +200.2%
Market implies -17.1%/yr vs model +13.5% · below model
HAIN
HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$0.62
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -12.5%/yr vs model +4.9% · below model
HELE
HELEN OF TROY LTD
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$26.81
Model IV$47.60
P/IV0.57
Discount 44% Return to IV: +77.5%
Market implies -9.0%/yr vs model +1.3% · below model
HEPS
D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$2.62
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HIMS
Hims & Hers Health, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Healthcare Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$27.51
Model IV$39.25
P/IV0.67
Discount 30% Return to IV: +42.7%
Market implies +0.6%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
HIPO
Hippo Holdings Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 73 · High
Price$32.55
Model IV$8.92
P/IV2.90
Premium +265% Return to IV: -72.6%
HITI
High Tide Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$2.53
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HNST
Honest Company, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$5.55
Model IV$2.55
P/IV1.37
Premium +118% Return to IV: -54.1%
Market implies +11.4%/yr vs model +3.9% · above model
HOFT
HOOKER FURNISHINGS Corp
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$13.94
Model IV$8.39
P/IV0.30
Premium +66% Return to IV: -39.8%
Market implies -4.8%/yr vs model -6.7% · in line
HOUR
Hour Loop, Inc
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$1.84
Model IV$1.68
P/IV1.13
Premium +9% Return to IV: -8.5%
Market implies +13.8%/yr vs model +18.3% · below model
HTLM
HomesToLife Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$1.80
Model IV$8.77
P/IV0.23
Discount 79% Return to IV: +387.3%
Market implies -3.5%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model
IBEX
IBEX Ltd
Overvalued
Technology Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$39.80
Model IV$27.39
P/IV1.16
Premium +45% Return to IV: -31.2%
Market implies +13.3%/yr vs model +11.6% · in line
IBTA
Ibotta, Inc.
Overvalued
Technology Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$42.40
Model IV$34.70
P/IV0.99
Premium +22% Return to IV: -18.2%
Market implies +14.0%/yr vs model +15.9% · in line
ILPT
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust
Valuation N/A
Financial Services Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$7.73
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
INGN
Inogen Inc
Deeply undervalued
Healthcare Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$5.31
Model IV$9.60
P/IV0.68
Discount 45% Return to IV: +80.7%
Market implies -12.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
INUV
Inuvo, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$0.62
Model IV$5.53
P/IV0.29
Discount 89% Return to IV: +793.5%
Market implies -48.4%/yr vs model +9.6% · below model
IP
INTERNATIONAL PAPER CO /NEW/
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$33.99
Model IV$25.01
P/IV1.34
Premium +36% Return to IV: -26.4%
Market implies +8.5%/yr vs model +5.1% · above model
IPW
iPower Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 65 · High
Price$1.77
Model IV$0.96
P/IV4.01
Premium +84% Return to IV: -45.8%
Market implies +8.9%/yr vs model +5.2% · above model
IZM
ICZOOM Group Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$0.21
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -42.2%/yr vs model -7.2% · below model
JD
JD.com, Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$27.06
Model IV$29.75
P/IV0.97
Discount 9% Return to IV: +9.9%
Market implies +4.9%/yr vs model +7.5% · in line
JEM
707 Cayman Holdings Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$4.01
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +19.8%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
JILL
J.Jill, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$23.63
Model IV$15.87
P/IV0.80
Premium +49% Return to IV: -32.8%
Market implies +5.8%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
JL
J-Long Group Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$4.74
Model IV$26.55
P/IV0.24
Discount 82% Return to IV: +460.1%
Market implies -23.3%/yr vs model +7.0% · below model
JMIA
Jumia Technologies AG
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$7.45
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
JWEL
Jowell Global Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$2.24
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
JYD
Jayud Global Logistics Ltd
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$0.82
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
KHC
Kraft Heinz Co
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$24.60
Model IV$87.38
P/IV0.27
Discount 72% Return to IV: +255.2%
Market implies -11.8%/yr vs model +4.0% · below model
KLAR
Klarna Group plc
Valuation N/A
Financial Services Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$13.83
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
KOSS
KOSS CORP
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$3.41
Model IV$1.13
P/IV3.60
Premium +201% Return to IV: -66.8%
Market implies +13.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
KPLT
Katapult Holdings, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$9.43
Model IV$102.19
P/IV0.06
Discount 91% Return to IV: +983.6%
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
KSPI
Joint Stock Co Kaspi.kz
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$98.76
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
KSS
KOHLS Corp
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$17.23
Model IV$39.48
P/IV0.36
Discount 56% Return to IV: +129.1%
Market implies -13.4%/yr vs model +2.6% · below model
KTB
Kontoor Brands, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$67.00
Model IV$114.97
P/IV0.62
Discount 42% Return to IV: +71.6%
Market implies -1.6%/yr vs model +7.2% · below model
KVYO
Klaviyo, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$16.36
Model IV$7.65
P/IV2.07
Premium +114% Return to IV: -53.2%
Market implies +29.3%/yr vs model +25.0% · above model
LANV
Lanvin Group Holdings Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$1.10
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
LE
LANDS' END, INC.
Overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 65 · High
Price$10.37
Model IV$9.49
P/IV1.24
Premium +9% Return to IV: -8.5%
Market implies +1.0%/yr vs model +1.0% · in line
LEVI
LEVI STRAUSS & CO
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$20.16
Model IV$9.06
P/IV2.56
Premium +123% Return to IV: -55.1%
Market implies +15.3%/yr vs model +4.5% · above model
LFMD
LifeMD, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Healthcare Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$3.05
Model IV$5.34
P/IV0.80
Discount 43% Return to IV: +75.0%
Market implies -6.8%/yr vs model +20.2% · below model
LFMDP
LifeMD, Inc.
Fairly valued
Healthcare Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$23.32
Model IV$25.60
P/IV0.93
Discount 9% Return to IV: +9.8%
Market implies -10.9%/yr vs model +20.2% · below model
LITB
LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$3.15
Model IV$1.00
P/IV3.34
Premium +214% Return to IV: -68.1%
Market implies +12.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
LOVE
Lovesac Co
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$14.94
Model IV$26.72
P/IV0.58
Discount 44% Return to IV: +78.8%
Market implies -1.7%/yr vs model +10.7% · below model
LOW
LOWES COMPANIES INC
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$196.82
Model IV$199.95
P/IV1.07
Discount 2% Return to IV: +1.6%
Market implies +2.4%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
LPA
Logistic Properties of the Americas
Valuation N/A
Real Estate Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$3.38
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
LRN
Stride, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$82.70
Model IV$271.38
P/IV0.34
Discount 70% Return to IV: +228.1%
Market implies -7.1%/yr vs model +9.8% · below model
LSF
Laird Superfood, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$3.92
Model IV$1.63
P/IV2.16
Premium +141% Return to IV: -58.5%
Market implies +8.4%/yr vs model +7.9% · in line
LSPD
Lightspeed Commerce Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$10.11
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
LUCYW
Innovative Eyewear Inc
Valuation N/A
Healthcare Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$0.04
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr
LULU
lululemon athletica inc.
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$98.97
Model IV$168.71
P/IV0.78
Discount 41% Return to IV: +70.5%
Market implies +5.5%/yr vs model +15.4% · below model
LUXE
LuxExperience B.V.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$7.39
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$9.88
Model IV$85.96
P/IV0.11
Discount 89% Return to IV: +770.0%
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
LX
LexinFintech Holdings Ltd.
Deeply undervalued
Financial Services Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$0.79
Model IV$19.21
P/IV0.11
Discount 96% Return to IV: +2,321.4%
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +7.1% · below model
LZB
LA-Z-BOY INC
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$30.64
Model IV$40.70
P/IV0.92
Discount 25% Return to IV: +32.8%
Market implies +2.0%/yr vs model +8.2% · below model
M
Macy's, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$22.08
Model IV$51.34
P/IV0.42
Discount 57% Return to IV: +132.5%
Market implies -7.3%/yr vs model +6.1% · below model
MED
MEDIFAST INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$12.04
Model IV$22.81
P/IV0.55
Discount 47% Return to IV: +89.4%
Market implies -15.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
MELI
MERCADOLIBRE INC
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$1,897.37
Model IV$5,908.70
P/IV0.29
Discount 68% Return to IV: +211.4%
Market implies +3.1%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model
MOGU
MOGU Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$1.88
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +81.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
MOV
MOVADO GROUP INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 64 · High
Price$33.28
Model IV$24.93
P/IV1.54
Premium +33% Return to IV: -25.1%
Market implies +6.8%/yr vs model +4.1% · in line
MSM
MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO INC
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$119.88
Model IV$72.56
P/IV1.51
Premium +65% Return to IV: -39.5%
Market implies +10.6%/yr vs model +4.5% · above model
MYSZ
My Size, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$2.32
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model