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Theme

E-commerce

Every analyzed stock in E-commerce — 318 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

E-commerce risk

Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme

⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months

46 /100 Elevated ▲ +3 slight

Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history

61 /100 High ◆ flat

▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.

Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 214 stocks valued

Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.

50 Elevated

Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 214 stocks.

39 Moderate

Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.

52 Elevated

Smart money — the three inputs

Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.

50.3%

Elevated

Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.

58%

Elevated

Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.

36%

Moderate

Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 224 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.

Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.

Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.

Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.

Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest

This week in E-commerce

E-commerce — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): E-commerce Risk Elevated; Amazon Sees Investor Inflows; MercadoLibre’s Unique Achievement →

The E-commerce theme's risk score increased this week. Several investment firms made significant new investments in Amazon.com, Inc. Meanwhile, MercadoLibre achieved a milestone that other major e-commerce companies have not.

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 56 · Elevated

Premium +82% Return to IV: -45.0%

Market implies +19.5%/yr vs model +14.3% · above model

Capri Holdings Ltd

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 65 · High

Premium +45% Return to IV: -31.1%

Market implies +12.2%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model

Industrials Risk 31 · Moderate

Limited data — see page

Industrials Risk 36 · Moderate

Market implies -25.0%/yr vs model +27.6% · below model

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 68 · High

Premium +80% Return to IV: -44.5%

Market implies +10.8%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 45 · Elevated

Model IV$324.79

Discount 66% Return to IV: +191.3%

Market implies -1.8%/yr vs model +16.8% · below model

Deeply undervalued

Technology Risk 26 · Moderate

Discount 55% Return to IV: +123.9%

Market implies -8.1%/yr vs model +6.9% · below model

CROWN CRAFTS INC

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 26 · Moderate

Discount 75% Return to IV: +303.3%

Market implies -20.6%/yr vs model +4.1% · below model

COSTAR GROUP, INC.

Deeply overvalued

Technology Risk 57 · Elevated

Premium +74% Return to IV: -42.5%

Market implies +13.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model

CuriosityStream Inc.

Deeply undervalued

Communication Services Risk 36 · Moderate

Discount 71% Return to IV: +250.9%

Market implies -22.4%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model

Torrid Holdings Inc.

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 52 · Elevated

Discount 76% Return to IV: +312.5%

Market implies -29.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model

COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC.

Deeply overvalued

Industrials Risk 58 · Elevated

Premium +24% Return to IV: -19.2%

Market implies +1.8%/yr vs model +2.7% · in line

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 61 · High

Premium +58% Return to IV: -36.7%

Market implies +16.0%/yr vs model +11.0% · above model

Digital Brands Group, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated

Market implies +45.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model

Designer Brands Inc.

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 44 · Elevated

Discount 50% Return to IV: +99.3%

Market implies -6.7%/yr vs model +7.0% · below model

DDC Enterprise Ltd

Consumer Defensive

Limited data — see page

Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd

Consumer Cyclical

Limited data — see page

DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP

Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate

Model IV$157.58

Discount 48% Return to IV: +93.9%

Market implies +1.5%/yr vs model +12.8% · below model

1stdibs.com, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 31 · Moderate

Market implies +39.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model

Communication Services Risk 43 · Elevated

Model IV$108.13

Discount 2% Return to IV: +1.6%

Market implies +6.7%/yr vs model +8.6% · in line

DICK'S SPORTING GOODS, INC.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 62 · High

Model IV$123.98

Premium +9% Return to IV: -8.2%

Market implies +11.2%/yr vs model +12.6% · in line

Technology Risk 26 · Moderate

Limited data — see page

DULUTH HOLDINGS INC.

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 54 · Elevated

Premium +86% Return to IV: -46.3%

Market implies +5.1%/yr vs model -1.2% · above model

Dogness (International) Corp

Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate

Discount 25% Return to IV: +32.9%

Market implies -12.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model

DESTINATION XL GROUP, INC.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 46 · Elevated

Market implies -24.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model

Deeply overvalued

Technology Risk 67 · High

Premium +100% Return to IV: -50.1%

Market implies +16.6%/yr vs model +8.7% · above model

Financial Services Risk 39 · Moderate

Market implies -36.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Defensive Risk 52 · Elevated

Premium +231% Return to IV: -69.8%

Market implies +36.8%/yr vs model +25.0% · above model

Eastern International Ltd.

Industrials Risk 42 · Elevated

Limited data — see page

Consumer Cyclical Risk 62 · High

Premium +34% Return to IV: -25.4%

Market implies -1.8%/yr vs model -2.1% · in line

Technology Risk 57 · Elevated

Premium +11% Return to IV: -9.8%

Market implies +10.9%/yr vs model +11.4% · in line

EverQuote, Inc.

Deeply undervalued

Technology Risk 36 · Moderate

Discount 31% Return to IV: +44.9%

Market implies +4.1%/yr vs model +13.0% · below model

EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC

Deeply overvalued

Industrials Risk 62 · High

Premium +171% Return to IV: -63.1%

Market implies +9.8%/yr vs model -0.9% · above model

Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc.

Communication Services Risk 44 · Elevated

Market implies +30.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model

Deeply overvalued

Industrials Risk 54 · Elevated

Model IV$199.54

Premium +56% Return to IV: -36.0%

Market implies +8.8%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 65 · High

Premium +402% Return to IV: -80.1%

Market implies +30.6%/yr vs model +9.9% · above model

1 800 FLOWERS COM INC

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 44 · Elevated

Discount 73% Return to IV: +273.3%

Market implies -23.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model

FLEXSTEEL INDUSTRIES INC

Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated

Premium +13% Return to IV: -11.7%

Market implies +6.6%/yr vs model +7.0% · in line

Kandal M Venture Ltd

Consumer Cyclical

Limited data — see page

Consumer Cyclical Risk 55 · Elevated

Premium +27% Return to IV: -21.2%

Market implies +6.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model

Shift4 Payments, Inc.

Technology Risk 49 · Elevated

Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model

Deeply overvalued

Communication Services Risk 29 · Moderate

Premium +43% Return to IV: -30.1%

Market implies +8.2%/yr vs model +4.3% · above model

FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC

Deeply overvalued

Financial Services Risk 73 · High

Premium +63% Return to IV: -38.5%

Deeply overvalued

Technology Risk 60 · High

Premium +83% Return to IV: -45.4%

Market implies +6.3%/yr vs model +15.2% · below model

FITLIFE BRANDS, INC.

Deeply undervalued

Healthcare Risk 23 · Moderate

Discount 82% Return to IV: +452.1%

Market implies -5.2%/yr vs model +24.5% · below model

Fiverr International Ltd.

Technology Risk 44 · Elevated

Discount 29% Return to IV: +41.2%

Market implies +2.6%/yr vs model +10.4% · below model

Consumer Cyclical Risk 55 · Elevated

Premium +14% Return to IV: -12.1%

Market implies +4.5%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line

Consumer Cyclical Risk 39 · Moderate

Discount 24% Return to IV: +30.8%

Market implies +0.7%/yr vs model +7.0% · below model

GigaCloud Technology Inc

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 34 · Moderate

Model IV$105.58

Discount 51% Return to IV: +103.6%

Market implies +7.4%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model

GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL Co

Industrials Risk 40 · Elevated

Premium +20% Return to IV: -16.4%

Market implies +6.8%/yr vs model +6.5% · in line

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate

Discount 94% Return to IV: +1,554.9%

Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model

G III APPAREL GROUP LTD /DE/

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 33 · Moderate

Model IV$115.81

Discount 76% Return to IV: +317.2%

Market implies -17.2%/yr vs model +6.2% · below model

Gildan Activewear Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate

Limited data — see page

Global-E Online Ltd.

Technology Risk 48 · Elevated

Premium +28% Return to IV: -21.8%

Market implies +22.5%/yr vs model +25.0% · in line

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 66 · High

Premium +185% Return to IV: -65.0%

Market implies +8.2%/yr vs model -5.9% · above model

Greenlane Holdings, Inc.

Industrials Risk 42 · Elevated

Market implies +34.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model

Canada Goose Holdings Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Limited data — see page

Deeply undervalued

Technology Risk 32 · Moderate

Discount 39% Return to IV: +63.8%

Market implies -4.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model

Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate

Market implies -16.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model

Technology Risk 60 · High

Market implies +29.6%/yr vs model -7.1% · above model