Able View Global Inc. (ABLVW) Stock Analysis

Price updated yesterday · SEC data refreshed 7 days ago ⓘ · Not investment advice

Able View Global Inc.

ABLVW Consumer Cyclical E-Commerce📄 SEC filings ↗
Speculative
Long-term trend (200d) 11% below 200-day Risk 49/100 Elevated
▾ What's in the 49/100 risk score? (higher = riskier)
Fundamental health (43%) 51/100 → +21.9
leverage 20/100 · FCF trend 90/100 · Altman Z not scored — input unavailable (see Financial Health)
Smart money (short interest + insider buying) (31%) 59/100 → +18.5
Macro backdrop (VIX, curve, credit, fear/greed + week-over-week momentum) (26%) 33/100 → +8.5
Total49/100

Contributions (weight × component score) sum to the total. This near-term score now includes fundamental health (leverage, FCF trend). It excludes the Altman Z score, whose retained-earnings input this filer does not report separately. See the Financial Health section for the full balance-sheet read.

💵 Price $0.02 · yesterday 📄 Financials SEC EDGAR · refreshed 7 days ago
📍 START HERE

How to read ABLVW (speculative micro-cap)

No model can pin a precise fair value on a company this small — but that does not mean there is nothing to learn. The useful questions are what the price is betting on, and whether the company can survive long enough to deliver it.

Where to start — the sections that matter most for this stock
  1. 1 Reverse-DCF — what growth the price assumes ↓
    The single most useful number here: it backs out the growth the market is paying for. If that figure is "historically unprecedented," the price is running on hype, not fundamentals.
  2. 2 Cash runway ↓
    A pre-profit micro-cap lives or dies on whether it can fund itself to profitability before running out of money and diluting you.
  3. 3 The raw financial statements + the 10-K ↓
    At this scale, the actual numbers, insider ownership, and share-count trend tell you more than any ratio.
Or — what are you trying to decide?
A note on process: fear-driven decisions — including fear of missing out — tend to be the expensive ones. A stock up 10% a day for three days is excitement, not evidence. Whichever reader you are, the data below is there to be checked before anything is decided.
🚀
"It's surging — should I chase it?"
The momentum / FOMO trade. Before you chase, see whether the people who know it best are quietly selling into the rally.
🏷️
"Is it a cheap bargain?"
The deep-value trade. How far below assets and our value it trades — and whether it's cheap for a reason.
ⓘ Foreign filer — financials appear to be reported in a non-U.S. currency

ABLVW looks like a foreign company (ADR) whose SEC filings are denominated in its home currency, while the share price is in U.S. dollars. Mixing the two would produce a meaningless dollar fair-value, so we suppress the single intrinsic-value number rather than show a wrong one.

What to use instead: the growth trends, margins and ratios below (which are currency-independent), the peer comparison, and the company's own filings. A currency-converted valuation is on our roadmap.

ⓘ Why does ABLVW trade at $0.02?

Able View Global Inc. has 49.4 million shares outstanding. At $0.02 per share, the market values all outstanding ABLVW equity at $1 million. That's market capitalization, not enterprise value — enterprise value also accounts for debt and cash. The share price by itself tells you almost nothing — a company can pick any share price by splitting or issuing more shares. What matters is the total value (Market Cap?Market Cap — The total dollar value the market is assigning to the entire company.
Why it matters: This is the number that actually matters when comparing companies. Two companies with the same business but different share counts have the same market cap.
Reference: Mega cap >$200B · Large $10–200B · Mid $2–10B · Small $300M–2B · Micro <$300M
Full explanation →) compared to what the business actually produces. This page values ABLVW in Per Share?Per Share — A company-level figure divided by total shares — what one share represents.
Why it matters: Per-share metrics are the only way to fairly compare two companies with different share counts.
Full explanation → economics — what each share represents of the underlying business. Play with the share-price calculator on the homepage →

Loading insider & short-seller data…
Checking filings for failure warnings…
⚠️ BUSINESS-MODEL ADVISORY — SPECULATIVE NANO / MICRO-CAP

How to read a company this small

ABLVW is too small and/or too volatile for the valuation lenses we use on larger, more stable companies. The numbers shown below should be taken as rough orientation only.

✅ What actually drives value for this kind of company
  • Market cap $879,141 — nano-cap territory (below $50M)
❌ Metrics that DON'T apply (ignore these even if you see them below)

Growth percentages on tiny revenue bases (1000% going from $200K to $2M is not predictive). P/E and ROE swing wildly with small earnings changes. Peer comparisons fail because there often aren't comparable companies at this scale.

📚 Where to actually look

Start with the Reverse-DCF above — it backs out the growth the price is betting on; if that figure is "historically unprecedented," the price is running on hype, not fundamentals. Then the cash runway (can it fund itself to profitability before diluting you?). Then the raw Financials table and the 10-K on SEC EDGAR — at this scale, insider ownership and the share-count trend often matter more than any ratio.

Classified as Speculative Nano / Micro-cap (confidence 80%). Disagree? An admin can override via the post edit screen.

FINANCIAL HEALTH SCREENS

Quality & solvency checks

Cheap stocks can be cheap for a reason. These screens warn when a low valuation comes paired with structural fragility.

Altman Z-Score?Altman Z-Score — A bankruptcy-risk score combining 5 financial ratios into one number. Predictive of bankruptcy within 2 years.
Why it matters: Cheap-looking stocks (low P/E or P/B) often have low Z-scores because the market knows the company is dying. Z-score warns you before you fall into a value trap.
Reference: > 3.0 = safe zone · 1.81–3.0 = grey zone · < 1.81 = distress zone
Full explanation →
n/a
Not reliably computable

We can't produce a trustworthy Altman Z here: retained earnings weren't separately reported in our data, so a core input would have to be fabricated. Rather than show a categorical "distress" verdict from an invented number, we mark it unavailable. Judge financial health from the leverage, cash position, and the measurable Piotroski checks instead.

Piotroski F-Score?Piotroski F-Score — A 9-point quality checklist scoring profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.
Why it matters: High score = fundamentals improving. Low score = deteriorating. Especially powerful for filtering cheap stocks: cheap + high F-score historically outperforms; cheap + low F-score is often a value trap.
Reference: 7–9 = strong · 4–6 = mediocre · 0–3 = weak
Full explanation →
5 / 9
Mediocre
▾ The checks — what passed, what didn't (and what we couldn't measure)
  • ✓ Positive net income
    Net income $0.8M in FY2025.
  • ✓ Positive operating cash flow
    Operating cash flow $1.2M (was -$2.2M the prior year).
  • ✓ Cash flow backs up reported profit
    Operating cash flow $1.2M vs net income $0.8M.
  • ✓ Return on assets improving
    Return on assets 2.4% vs -15.6% a year ago.
  • ✗ Debt load (vs assets)
    Long-term debt is 6.3% of assets vs 4.6% a year ago ($2.2M of $34.6M assets).
    Why this matters: Rising debt relative to assets means more risk and more cash going to interest instead of shareholders. Falling debt is a sign of strengthening.
  • ✗ Short-term liquidity (current ratio)
    Current ratio 1.62x vs 2.31x a year ago.
    Why this matters: The current ratio compares assets it can turn to cash within a year against bills due within a year. Below 1.0 means it may struggle to cover near-term obligations.
  • ✗ Share count (dilution)
    Share count rose 16.0% (42.6M → 49.4M year-over-year).
    Why this matters: Issuing lots of new shares splits the pie into more pieces, shrinking your slice. Stable or falling share count protects existing owners.
  • ✗ Pricing power (gross margin)
    Gross margin 11.3% vs 11.4% a year ago.
    Why this matters: Rising gross margin means stronger pricing power or lower input costs — a sign of competitive strength. Falling margin signals pressure.
  • ✓ Sales per asset (asset turnover)
    Asset turnover 3.04x vs 2.66x a year ago.

Missing data is never counted as a pass or a fail — it's shown as n/a and excluded from the denominator. Each check compares the company against its own prior year.

INTERACTIVE — TWEAK YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

What if you assume different inputs?

Here's where we land — and what happens if you change the assumptions. Drag the sliders to set your own Discount Rate?Discount Rate — The annual return you demand for taking single-stock risk instead of buying a safe Treasury or index fund.
Why it matters: Higher discount rate = stricter valuation (a stock has to produce more cash to be worth holding). Lower = more generous.
Reference: 8–12% is standard · 9–10% matches S&P 500 historical return · Below 7% is illogical for single-stock risk
Full explanation → (the annual return you demand for single-stock risk) and terminal growth; the value updates live so you can see whether the stock looks cheaper or richer. The discount rate starts at 10.0%, the figure our model used for ABLVW. Open Advanced to also change beta, growth and the rate path.

Note: no headline intrinsic value is published for this stock (the valuation is held for a data-quality reason — see the notes above). The calculator below is a what-if tool: the values it produces are your assumptions played out, not our estimate.

4.5% (risk-free)9-10% normal18% (deep-risk)
0%2-3% (GDP)5% (rarely sustainable)

A full intrinsic value isn't shown for ABLVW because the valuation is currently held for a data-quality reason (see the guardrail notes above). The reverse-DCF reading still works — it needs only the price and cash flow — but we won't publish a forward value until the underlying data passes our checks.

For comparison — the revenue growth today's price already assumes
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—

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⚙ Advanced — tinker with every input (beta, growth, rate path, margin → full intrinsic value)
Where the discount rate comes from — discount rate = risk-free + beta × equity-risk-premium
What you'd earn risk-free from government bonds — the floor under every other rate. Slide it down to model the market expecting rate cuts (value rises); up for higher-for-longer.
The extra yearly return investors demand for owning stocks instead of safe bonds — the price of risk. History runs ~4.5–6.5%; we default to 5.5% (slightly conservative). It's an estimate, not a law — lower it if you think equities are less risky than that.
Inflation reduces the purchasing power of a nominal return: a 9% gain at 3% inflation is about 6% in real terms. The intrinsic value above is already in today's dollars (a nominal DCF carries inflation in both the growth and the discount rate), so this switch does not change the value — it restates the return in real terms.
Higher beta → higher discount rate (sets the rate above). 1.0 = moves with the market.
What you think ABLVW can grow revenue for ~5 years, then fades to terminal.
For a pre-profit company: the % of revenue that eventually becomes free cash flow once mature. (Our published value uses the sector norm.)
All inputs start at the values our model used.

    Copy shareable link to this scenario →

    Price$0.02
    Model IVNot applicable — DCF couldn't price this stock. The other valuation lenses on this page (reverse-DCF, peers, sector lens — whichever apply to this filer) carry the read instead.

    Able View Global Inc. The market is likely discounting the stock due to declining revenue (-2.7%/yr over 4yr) and compressing gross margins (22.5% to 11.3%). The biggest risk to our model's base assumptions is that operating cash flow, which has been positive only 2/5 years, continues to decline rather than stabilizing or growing at the modeled 0.5% rate.

    ⚠️ Revenue declining

    As of 7 days ago

    ANATOMY

    Anatomy of a share

    What you're buying per share. Bars are at the same scale so you can see the relative size of revenue, costs, cash flow, and debt — not just read them in a table.

    ABLVW Able View Global Inc. stock anatomy showing per-share revenue, operating expenses, free cash flow, and debt
    0.8%
    profit
    Where each $1 of revenue goes
    Net profit — 0.8¢ of every dollar ($0.02/sh = latest fiscal-year net income ÷ current shares. The table below shows GAAP diluted EPS of $0.02, computed on that year's weighted-average diluted shares — the share count moved, which is why they differ)
    Costs & taxes — 99.2¢ (on $2.13 revenue/sh)
    Net margin = net income ÷ revenue (most recent fiscal year).
    Plain English: each share (at $0) represents $2.13 of revenue per share per year, $0.02 of net income per current share, and $0.02 of free cash flow per share from the latest fiscal year. Each share carries $0.04 of total debt (interest-bearing borrowings, current + long-term).
    What's free cash flow / what do these mean?

    Revenue per share — how much the business earns from customers, divided by the number of shares outstanding. Top of the income statement.

    Earnings per share — profit left after operating costs, interest, and taxes, per share. Two versions appear on this page and are not interchangeable: GAAP diluted EPS uses the company's weighted-average diluted share count during the reporting period (this is the "earnings" in "price-to-earnings"); net income per current share divides annual net income by today's share count. They differ whenever the share count has changed.

    Owner-earnings free cash flow per share — the cash the business produces for shareholders. Savng's owner-earnings FCF subtracts capital expenditures and stock-based compensation from operating cash flow (SBC is a real dilution cost even though it's non-cash). This is deliberately more conservative than "standard" FCF, which subtracts only capital expenditures — so our figure is lower than the headline FCF you'll see elsewhere. FCF funds dividends, buybacks, debt repayment, and acquisitions; a company can report positive earnings yet negative FCF.

    Debt per share — total interest-bearing borrowings divided by shares. High debt-per-share next to thin FCF-per-share is a fragility signal.

    THE KEY DEBATE

    What you actually need to decide

    Every stock price is a disagreement. Here's the single thing that must go right for the bulls, the single thing that breaks the thesis, and the concrete signposts to watch so you can update your view as real results arrive.

    🐂 The Bull Case
    The bull case hinges on the company's operating cash flow, which has been positive in 2 of the last 5 years, stabilizing and growing around the modeled 0.5% business rate, while gross margins recover from 11.3%.
    🐻 The Bear Case
    The bear case is that revenue continues its -2.7%/yr decline, and gross margins continue to compress from 11.3%, leading to further deterioration in operating cash flow, which has only been positive in 2 of the last 5 years, worsening beyond the market's implied -20.0% annual decline in per-share cash flow.
    📌 Signposts to watch — update your view as these print
    • Stabilization or growth in quarterly revenue figures
    • Improvement in gross margin percentage
    • Consistent positive operating cash flow
    MOMENTUM — WHAT'S GETTING BETTER & WORSE

    The trend, in plain numbers (FY2024 → FY2025, latest reported)

    Straight from the financial statements — no model, no opinion. For a small or unprofitable company, the direction of these numbers usually tells you more than any single valuation.

    ✅ Improving
    • Free cash flow turned positive at $1.2M.
    • Swung to a profit of $820K (from a loss the prior year).
    ⚠ Worsening
    • Revenue fell -17% to $105.2M.

    Roughly flat: Gross margin held to 11% (0 pts).

    WHO

    Management & Leadership

    Limited executive data available. Able View Global Inc. operates in the e-commerce sector, focusing on consumer goods.

    WHAT

    What They Make

    Able View Global Inc. is an e-commerce company that sells consumer goods, with customers directly paying for products purchased through its platforms.

    End Markets

    E-commerceConsumer GoodsOnline Retail

    Revenue Drivers

    Product sales
    Online transactions
    Digital storefronts
    Market Cap: 879,141Beta: 0.58
    WHY

    Why Is It Priced Like This?

    Why Customers Pay

    Convenient online shopping experience
    Access to a variety of consumer products
    Competitive pricing
    No discounted-cash-flow value for this filer This company reports its financials in its home currency while the shares trade here in dollars. Mixing the two produces a per-share value that looks real but isn't, so we hold the valuation rather than publish a number we can't stand behind. The reported figures below are the company's own.

    What we use instead: earnings (P/E, EV/EBIT), book value (P/B) — computed from the figures this company does report, shown in the sections below. Those numbers are unaffected by the missing cash-flow data.

    This is likely due to the company's declining revenue (-2.7%/yr over 4yr) and compressing gross margins (22.5% to 11.3%), which suggest deteriorating business fundamentals. Separately, the reverse DCF?Reverse DCF — Instead of asking "what is this stock worth?", asks "what growth rate is the current market price already assuming?"
    Why it matters: It crystallizes the bull thesis as a single number you can argue with. If the market expects 40% growth for 10 years and you do not believe that, the stock is overvalued.
    Reference: 10–15% = sustainable for strong companies · 20–25% = exceptional · 30%+ = historically very rare
    Full explanation →     implies the price is consistent with roughly a -20.0% annual per-share cash-flow decline, indicating the market expects a significant multi-year contraction.

    HOW

    Business Model & Valuation

    How They Make Money

    Direct-to-consumer product sales
    Online platform fees
    Merchandise distribution

    The company has rising long-term debt, increasing from $0M to $2M, and has funded itself through a combination of positive operating cash flow in recent years and potentially debt financing.

    Free Cash Flow DCF

    Owner-earnings FCF DCF: positive free cash flow (operating cash flow − capex − stock-based comp) in a sector suited for cash-flow-based valuation. FCF negative in 3/5 years.

    Show advanced inputs
    Revenue Growth-2.7%
    Sector Default8.0%
    Sector Default SourceConsumer Cyclical sector default
    Best Estimate0.5%
    Methodblend(70% revenue_cagr, 30% sector)
    Growth Basistotal

    What this model does NOT do: this is a consolidated owner-earnings FCF model. Standalone segment assumptions: none. It does not project its revenue segments independently; their combined effect is embedded in the historical revenue and cash-flow trend the model extrapolates. The calculator above can only approximate a segment's impact through the single consolidated growth rate — it cannot model any one line separately. For a true segment-level view, build a separate model from the company's segment disclosures.

    WHEN

    Maturity & Competitive Position

    Mature / low-growth

    Revenue has been declining at -2.7%/yr over the last four years, from $117M to $105M.

    WHERE

    Geography & Markets

    Not available from current data sources. The company operates in the e-commerce sector, suggesting a potentially broad but unspecified geographic reach.

    Geographic Risks

    Geographic concentration risk (not specified)
    Competition in the e-commerce sector
    SIGNALS

    Market Signals

    These are timing signals, not value signals — they describe the stock's recent price behavior, not what the business is worth. Use them for the "the thesis looks good, but is now the moment?" question. Each tile below explains what it's saying.

    Model bullish, tape bearish - divergence suggests timing risk.
    RSI?RSI — Relative Strength Index — a 0-100 momentum gauge. Above 70 = overbought; below 30 = oversold.
    Why it matters: Short-term contrarian indicator. Extreme readings often precede mean reversion, though not always.
    Reference: 30–70 normal · >70 overbought · <30 oversold
    Full explanation →     (14)    40.3NeutralMomentum is balanced — neither overbought nor oversold.
    MACD?MACD — Moving Average Convergence Divergence — compares a fast and a slow price trend to gauge momentum direction.
    Why it matters: When the fast line crosses above the slow line, short-term momentum is turning up; below, turning down. A timing cue, not a value signal.
    Reference: Line above signal = bullish momentum · below = bearish
    Full explanation →    BearishLine below signalThe fast trend is below the slow trend — short-term momentum is currently downward.
    50-Day Average$0.02Price below (-11.0%)Price below its 50-day average = near-term downtrend.
    200-Day Average$0.02Price belowThe 200-day line is the long-term trend divider — above it is generally considered a bull market for the stock.
    50 vs 200 CrossDeath50-day below 200-dayA "death cross" — the medium trend is below the long trend (often read as bearish).

    Technicals describe price, not the business. A great company can have a "bearish" tape (a buying chance) and a weak one a "bullish" tape (a trap). Pair these with the valuation and health sections above.

    QUALITY

    Data Quality & Risk Flags (4 notes — click to expand/collapse)
    HIGH Revenue declining
    Guardrail Notes (3)
    • Terminal growth set to 0.4% — the lowest of the applicable caps (binding: 80% of near-term growth (0.5%)). We use one effective terminal rate everywhere on the page.
    • Model implies no positive equity value under these assumptions. Valuation is speculative/low-confidence.
    • Illiquidity discount 25% applied (small/micro-cap — harder to exit, demand a margin).
    FINANCIALS

    Financial Statements (5-year tables — click to expand)

    From Able View Global Inc.'s SEC filings (EDGAR).

    Income (5yr)

    YearRevenueNet IncomeEPS
    2025105.2M820,018$0.02
    2024126.8M-7.4M$-0.17
    2023129.3M9.8M$0.24
    2022145.3M7.9M$0.20
    2021117.3M8.7M$0.23

    Cash Flow (5yr)

    YearOperating CFCapEx− SBCFree Cash Flow
    2025 1.2M 27,171 — 1.2M
    2024 -2.2M 65,857 — -2.3M
    2023 23.6M 66,982 — 23.5M
    2022 -12.8M 195,640 — -13.0M
    2021 -1.9M 174,900 — -2.1M

    How we define FCF: operating cash flow − capital expenditure − stock-based compensation (owner-earnings basis — SBC is a real cost to shareholders even though it's non-cash). This is the same owner-earnings FCF definition the valuation model uses.

    Balance Sheet

    Total Assets34.6M
    Total Liabilities26.8M
    Equity7.8M
    Total Debt2.2M
    YOU MIGHT ALSO LIKE

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    PG
    Methodology by Pouyan Golshani, MD — founder of Gighz. Savng was built by a physician for busy professionals: every number on this page comes from SEC filings (EDGAR) and FINRA data through transparent, rules-based models — no analyst opinions, no hidden inputs. How we calculate every number →
    ⚠️ Not investment advice. Automated model outputs, last refreshed 7 days ago (the analysis-refresh date, not the latest filing period). All models have blind spots. Full disclaimer →
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