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Verdict

Deep Overvalued

Every analyzed stock in Deep Overvalued — 1,218 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
"Deep Overvalued" by: Model value (price vs DCF) Owner-earnings return (equity bond)

This lens: price against our probability-weighted DCF value (P/IV). Its own forward record began accruing on 2026-09-10 (daily snapshots); until a year of it exists, the panel below tests the nearest cousin we can measure point-in-time — cheap on book value — and says so.

Market state today: Calm — the S&P 500 closed 3.1% below its 1-year high (as of 2026-09-16). Our rule, the same one used to split every backtest on this site: sell-off = 10% or more below the 1-year high, borderline from 5%, calm otherwise. A further 7.2% fall from here would put us in a sell-off. Since 2006 the market has been in a sell-off 16.6% of the time, across 13 episodes (red bands).
2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
S&P 500 (SPY, adjusted) distance from its trailing 1-year high, weekly. Amber band: borderline (−5% to −10%). Red band: sell-off (below −10%). The dot is today. History to 2026-08-19 from the research database; today from the live feed.
Backtest · point in time · 8,702 entries in the study

Does this screen work? The record for exactly these filters

Screen tested: Proxy: price-to-book ≤ 1.2 (undervalued band has no point-in-time history yet) · bought the day of the annual report, held 12 months
Probable Buy every company that met this screen on the day it filed its annual report, hold 12 months: on average it beat the S&P 500 by +12.6 pts (1,427 entries, 311 companies, very unlikely to be luck). 50% of entries beat the S&P; 25% beat it by 30 points or more; 30% trailed it by 20 points or more. Owning everything instead averaged +1.7 pts, so the screen's edge is +10.9 pts.
+12.6 ptsvs S&P, average
50%beat the S&P
25%up 30+ pts vs S&P
30%down 20+ pts vs S&P
+14.0 ptsvs small caps, 12 mo
−15.1 pts 2019worst year to buy ?
6.1luck check ?
Does the holding period matter?3 mo: +2.3 pts 49% beat6 mo: +4.6 pts 49% beat12 mo: +12.6 pts 50% beat24 mo: +21.8 pts 46% beat3 yr, per yr: +1.3 pts 40% beat
Market state at entryCompany-yearsvs S&P 12 movs small caps
Calm ◀ today1,245+7.9 pts t 4.6+10.1 pts
Sell-off (S&P ≥10% off high)182+44.5 pts t 4.0+40.7 pts
Sector (SEC group)nvs S&P 12 mo3 yrs / yr
Industrials & manufacturing466+13.0 pts t 4.0−2.2 pts
Energy126+7.4 pts t 1.2−7.8 pts
Other115+8.4 pts t 1.8+3.8 pts
Tech hardware & semis113+10.9 pts t 1.6+2.3 pts
Services96+11.9 pts t 2.7+12.2 pts
Retail & consumer87+17.2 pts t 2.1+10.2 pts
Finance & real estate72−1.7 pts t -0.5−2.4 pts
Utilities65+5.6 pts t 0.6−1.2 pts
Construction53+13.2 pts t 1.7−2.4 pts
Biotech & pharma44+47.1 pts t 1.6+10.0 pts
Telecom & media43+14.0 pts t 0.7−6.3 pts
Software & IT services35+39.9 pts t 1.8+1.2 pts

Holds up out of sample? Before 2018: +10.7 pts (n 629, t 6.0). From 2018: +14.0 pts (n 798, t 4.1). Same sign in both halves.

Year2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
vs S&P+13 pts+5 pts+14 pts+18 pts−4 pts−4 pts+22 pts+12 pts−3 pts−15 pts+87 pts+8 pts+17 pts−9 pts−7 pts+15 pts
n254310610178841118178991297276108121115

Read the research behind this screen: Price-to-book still sorts, across all sizes → · Test your own combination in the Screen Lab →

Our model values are recomputed daily but were never stored historically, so this band cannot be backtested honestly yet. Daily snapshots began 2026-09-10; a true record accrues from there. Until then the nearest tested cousin is shown — cheap on book value — and labelled as a proxy. Point-in-time: each entry is one company bought at the first close after its 10-K filing date, using only filings available that day, held 12 months; result = total return minus SPY over the same months (vs IWM for 12 months; 3-yr annualised). Survivorship-tilted universe; no costs; read spreads, not levels. Educational, hypothetical, before costs.

Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
RCON
Recon Technology, Ltd
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1.21
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +25.6%/yr vs model +5.2% · above model
RDCM
RADCOM LTD
Fairly valued
Technology Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$10.21
Model IV$11.36
P/IV1.31
Discount 10% Return to IV: +11.3%
Market implies +8.1%/yr vs model +14.4% · below model
RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 61 · High
Price$162.38
Model IV$51.24
P/IV3.44
Premium +217% Return to IV: -68.4%
Market implies +36.2%/yr vs model +25.0% · above model
RDNW
RideNow Group, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 64 · High
Price$5.63
Model IV$2.12
P/IV3.67
Premium +166% Return to IV: -62.4%
Market implies +17.5%/yr vs model +6.4% · above model
RDVT
Red Violet, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$76.29
Model IV$38.68
P/IV1.47
Premium +97% Return to IV: -49.3%
Market implies +21.9%/yr vs model +17.4% · above model
RDWR
RADWARE LTD
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$27.90
Model IV$6.51
P/IV4.66
Premium +329% Return to IV: -76.7%
Market implies +23.8%/yr vs model +6.0% · above model
RDZN
Roadzen Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$1.14
Model IV$1.13
P/IV1.66
Premium +1% Return to IV: -0.8%
Market implies +4.3%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
REAL
TheRealReal, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 60 · High
Price$9.83
Model IV$3.33
P/IV2.90
Premium +195% Return to IV: -66.1%
Market implies +21.9%/yr vs model +10.3% · above model
REBN
Reborn Coffee, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$0.79
Model IV$1.46
P/IV1.37
Discount 46% Return to IV: +86.3%
Market implies -11.3%/yr vs model +38.4% · below model
REE
REE Automotive Ltd.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$0.08
Model IV$0.11
P/IV4.02
Discount 27% Return to IV: +36.5%
Market implies -3.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
REFR
RESEARCH FRONTIERS INC
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 75 · High
Price$0.39
Model IV$0.22
P/IV3.54
Premium +79% Return to IV: -44.1%
RELL
RICHARDSON ELECTRONICS, LTD.
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 62 · High
Price$16.28
Model IV$4.06
P/IV4.18
Premium +301% Return to IV: -75.0%
Market implies +22.8%/yr vs model +4.8% · above model
REX
REX AMERICAN RESOURCES Corp
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 65 · High
Price$41.62
Model IV$19.64
P/IV2.38
Premium +112% Return to IV: -52.8%
Market implies +5.5%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
REZI
RESIDEO TECHNOLOGIES, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 66 · High
Price$19.11
Model IV$15.18
P/IV2.06
Premium +26% Return to IV: -20.6%
Market implies +8.8%/yr vs model +6.2% · in line
RGCO
RGC RESOURCES INC
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$21.32
Model IV$17.35
P/IV1.33
Premium +23% Return to IV: -18.6%
RGP
RESOURCES CONNECTION, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$4.23
Model IV$3.16
P/IV1.43
Premium +34% Return to IV: -25.2%
Market implies +4.4%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
RGR
STURM RUGER & CO INC
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$37.63
Model IV$18.47
P/IV2.12
Premium +104% Return to IV: -50.9%
Market implies +5.9%/yr vs model -0.9% · above model
RH
RH
Overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$134.17
Model IV$112.28
P/IV1.32
Premium +19% Return to IV: -16.3%
Market implies +8.7%/yr vs model +7.0% · in line
RHP
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 67 · High
Price$121.99
Model IV$77.81
P/IV1.48
Premium +57% Return to IV: -36.2%
RIG
Transocean Ltd.
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$5.67
Model IV$3.62
P/IV1.71
Premium +57% Return to IV: -36.2%
Market implies +12.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
RILY
BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
Undervalued
Financial Services Risk 71 · High
Price$5.99
Model IV$7.17
P/IV1.30
Discount 16% Return to IV: +19.7%
Market implies +1.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · in line
RIME
Algorhythm Holdings, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Technology Risk 62 · High
Price$0.24
Model IV$0.39
P/IV1.99
Discount 38% Return to IV: +62.0%
Market implies -7.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
RITM
Rithm Capital Corp.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$9.74
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
RMBS
RAMBUS INC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$80.39
Model IV$44.88
P/IV3.24
Premium +79% Return to IV: -44.2%
Market implies +24.5%/yr vs model +19.7% · above model
RMCO
Royalty Management Holding Corp
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$2.56
Model IV$0.56
P/IV4.14
Premium +361% Return to IV: -78.3%
RNG
RingCentral, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 68 · High
Price$68.92
Model IV$24.97
P/IV1.73
Premium +176% Return to IV: -63.8%
Market implies +24.1%/yr vs model +12.0% · above model
ROAD
Construction Partners, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 64 · High
Price$96.91
Model IV$66.37
P/IV1.75
Premium +46% Return to IV: -31.5%
Market implies +24.3%/yr vs model +24.6% · in line
ROG
ROGERS CORP
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 60 · High
Price$131.03
Model IV$34.32
P/IV4.12
Premium +282% Return to IV: -73.8%
Market implies +17.2%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
ROK
ROCKWELL AUTOMATION, INC
Deeply overvalued
Healthcare Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$417.00
Model IV$170.13
P/IV2.65
Premium +145% Return to IV: -59.2%
Market implies +18.3%/yr vs model +7.0% · above model
ROLR
High Roller Technologies, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Communication Services Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$6.15
Model IV$1.71
P/IV3.20
Premium +260% Return to IV: -72.2%
Market implies +13.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
ROST
ROSS STORES, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$230.74
Model IV$129.23
P/IV1.79
Premium +79% Return to IV: -44.0%
Market implies +14.1%/yr vs model +7.9% · above model
RPC
Ridgepost Capital, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 61 · High
Price$8.11
Model IV$3.13
P/IV2.64
Premium +159% Return to IV: -61.4%
Market implies +14.3%/yr vs model +18.6% · below model
RPM
RPM INTERNATIONAL INC/DE/
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$100.21
Model IV$62.22
P/IV1.70
Premium +61% Return to IV: -37.9%
Market implies +10.6%/yr vs model +4.9% · above model
RPT
Rithm Property Trust Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 62 · High
Price$12.46
Model IV$5.94
P/IV2.46
Premium +110% Return to IV: -52.3%
RRBI
RED RIVER BANCSHARES INC
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 62 · High
Price$103.48
Model IV$64.69
P/IV1.41
Premium +60% Return to IV: -37.5%
RRGB
RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 61 · High
Price$7.25
Model IV$1.99
P/IV2.54
Premium +265% Return to IV: -72.6%
Market implies +20.1%/yr vs model +3.1% · above model
RRX
REGAL REXNORD CORP
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$162.29
Model IV$94.65
P/IV2.13
Premium +71% Return to IV: -41.7%
Market implies +12.4%/yr vs model +4.9% · above model
RS
RELIANCE, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 60 · High
Price$394.21
Model IV$172.35
P/IV2.21
Premium +129% Return to IV: -56.3%
Market implies +16.7%/yr vs model +7.0% · above model
RSG
REPUBLIC SERVICES, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 60 · High
Price$222.74
Model IV$82.05
P/IV2.44
Premium +171% Return to IV: -63.2%
RSI
Rush Street Interactive, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Communication Services Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$26.22
Model IV$8.19
P/IV3.09
Premium +220% Return to IV: -68.8%
Market implies +30.5%/yr vs model +18.8% · above model
RUMBW
Rumble Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$1.95
Model IV$1.44
P/IV1.69
Premium +35% Return to IV: -26.1%
Market implies +11.5%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
RUN
Sunrun Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 65 · High
Price$8.56
Model IV$10.27
P/IV1.63
Discount 17% Return to IV: +20.0%
Market implies +3.3%/yr vs model +16.4% · below model
RVLV
Revolve Group, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$21.13
Model IV$7.26
P/IV2.70
Premium +191% Return to IV: -65.6%
Market implies +21.6%/yr vs model +9.0% · above model
RVSNW
Rail Vision Ltd.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$0.02
Model IV$0.01
P/IV2.58
Premium +144% Return to IV: -59.0%
Market implies +12.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
RVTY
REVVITY, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Healthcare Risk 63 · High
Price$124.31
Model IV$43.09
P/IV2.43
Premium +188% Return to IV: -65.3%
Market implies +17.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
RWTN
REDWOOD TRUST INC
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 73 · High
Price$23.89
Model IV$12.67
P/IV1.98
Premium +89% Return to IV: -47.0%
RWTO
REDWOOD TRUST INC
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 62 · High
Price$23.45
Model IV$12.67
P/IV1.94
Premium +85% Return to IV: -46.0%
RWTP
REDWOOD TRUST INC
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 73 · High
Price$22.95
Model IV$12.67
P/IV1.92
Premium +81% Return to IV: -44.8%
RWTQ
REDWOOD TRUST INC
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 70 · High
Price$22.10
Model IV$12.67
P/IV1.93
Premium +74% Return to IV: -42.7%
RXT
Rackspace Technology, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 75 · High
Price$3.22
Model IV$1.37
P/IV3.78
Premium +136% Return to IV: -57.5%
Market implies +15.2%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
RYAM
RAYONIER ADVANCED MATERIALS INC.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 61 · High
Price$8.50
Model IV$6.73
P/IV1.36
Premium +26% Return to IV: -20.8%
Market implies +5.2%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
RYDE
Ryde Group Ltd
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$0.65
Model IV$0.35
P/IV2.80
Premium +88% Return to IV: -46.9%
Market implies +3.9%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
RYOJ
rYojbaba Co., Ltd.
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$4.65
Model IV$0.94
P/IV4.17
Premium +396% Return to IV: -79.8%
Market implies +11.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
RYTM
RHYTHM PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Healthcare Risk 60 · High
Price$104.71
Model IV$20.71
P/IV4.26
Premium +406% Return to IV: -80.2%
Market implies +21.8%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
RYZ
Ryerson Holding Corp
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$25.28
Model IV$7.72
P/IV3.71
Premium +228% Return to IV: -69.5%
Market implies +18.0%/yr vs model +2.1% · above model
RZLV
REZOLVE AI PLC
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$2.29
Model IV$0.64
P/IV4.64
Premium +257% Return to IV: -72.0%
Market implies +26.5%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
SAIA
SAIA INC
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$351.05
Model IV$107.44
P/IV4.40
Premium +227% Return to IV: -69.4%
Market implies +19.5%/yr vs model +9.0% · above model
SAIL
SailPoint, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 60 · High
Price$19.98
Model IV$4.27
P/IV4.41
Premium +368% Return to IV: -78.6%
Market implies +25.0%/yr vs model +23.8% · in line
SANM
SANMINA CORP
Deeply overvalued
Technology Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$216.00
Model IV$97.36
P/IV2.67
Premium +122% Return to IV: -54.9%
Market implies +20.9%/yr vs model +11.0% · above model
SARO
StandardAero, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$24.04
Model IV$12.32
P/IV2.32
Premium +95% Return to IV: -48.8%
Market implies +18.3%/yr vs model +11.2% · above model