← All verdicts
Verdict

Undervalued stocks right now

Recomputed daily from each company's filings and price. Cheap can mean overlooked or it can mean trouble: open any card for the failure-warning checks and insider activity before deciding which.

Every analyzed stock in Undervalued — 229 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
"Undervalued" by: Model value (price vs DCF) Owner-earnings return (equity bond)

This lens: each stock is priced as a bond whose coupon is its owner earnings (operating cash flow − all capex − stock compensation, three-year average) growing at the model's capped rate; "Undervalued" here means IRR 5–10 points over Treasuries on a believable coupon (yield ≤ 25%) (10-yr Treasury 5.22% today). Full cross-comparison table →

Market state today: Calm — the S&P 500 closed 0.1% below its 1-year high (as of 2026-10-09). Our rule, the same one used to split every backtest on this site: sell-off = 10% or more below the 1-year high, borderline from 5%, calm otherwise. A further 9.9% fall from here would put us in a sell-off. Since 2006 the market has been in a sell-off 16.6% of the time, across 13 episodes (red bands).
2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
S&P 500 (SPY, adjusted) distance from its trailing 1-year high, weekly. Amber band: borderline (−5% to −10%). Red band: sell-off (below −10%). The dot is today. History to 2026-08-19 from the research database; today from the live feed.
Backtest · point in time · 8,702 entries in the study

Does this screen work? The record for exactly these filters

Screen tested: Owner-earnings 10-yr IRR 5–10 points over Treasuries · bought the day of the annual report, held 12 months
Could be luck ●●●●● Buy every company that met this screen on the day it filed its annual report, hold 12 months: on average it beat the S&P 500 by +1.0 pts (620 entries, 292 companies, indistinguishable from luck). 45% of entries beat the S&P; 15% beat it by 30 points or more; 30% trailed it by 20 points or more. Owning everything instead averaged +1.7 pts, so the screen's edge is −0.7 pts.
+1.0 ptsvs S&P, average
45%beat the S&P
15%up 30+ pts vs S&P
30%down 20+ pts vs S&P
+4.0 ptsvs small caps, 12 mo
−14.4 pts 2019worst year to buy ?
0.6luck check ?
Does the holding period matter?3 mo: +0.4 pts 49% beat6 mo: −0.6 pts 46% beat12 mo: +1.0 pts 45% beat24 mo: +1.5 pts 39% beat3 yr, per yr: −4.9 pts 34% beat
Market state at entryCompany-yearsvs S&P 12 movs small caps
Calm ◀ today543+0.5 pts t 0.3+3.8 pts
Sell-off (S&P ≥10% off high)77+4.9 pts t 0.9+5.4 pts
Sector (SEC group)nvs S&P 12 mo3 yrs / yr
Industrials & manufacturing222−1.1 pts t -0.4−8.9 pts
Services71+5.3 pts t 1.1−0.2 pts
Retail & consumer62+0.4 pts t 0.1−8.2 pts
Tech hardware & semis50+2.6 pts t 0.4−6.0 pts
Other33−3.0 pts t -0.4−4.0 pts
Energy25−2.8 pts t -0.3−6.2 pts

Holds up out of sample? Before 2018: +0.2 pts (n 268, t 0.1). From 2018: +1.6 pts (n 352, t 0.7). Same sign in both halves.

Year201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
vs S&P−6 pts−4 pts−1 pts−3 pts−1 pts+4 pts+3 pts+1 pts−14 pts+19 pts+14 pts+2 pts−11 pts−8 pts+9 pts
n42234525650503440424749454649

Read the research behind this screen: Ranking companies as equity bonds: the top fifth beats the bottom fifth by a wide margin → · Test your own combination in the Screen Lab →

Same definitions as the table: coupon = 3-yr average owner earnings, growth capped, 15× exit. Historical IRR uses a 5-yr revenue CAGR as the growth proxy where the DCF rate is not available point-in-time. Point-in-time: each entry is one company bought at the first close after its 10-K filing date, using only filings available that day, held 12 months; result = total return minus SPY over the same months (vs IWM for 12 months; 3-yr annualised). Survivorship-tilted universe; no costs; read spreads, not levels. Educational, hypothetical, before costs.

MPLX
MPLX LP
Rich — check why
Energy
Yield7.9%
Growth used4.8%
10-yr IRR13.7%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.89
Market implies +2.0%/yr vs model +4.8% · in line
BC
BRUNSWICK CORP
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield8.4%
Growth used3.6%
10-yr IRR13.7%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.03
Market implies +2.8%/yr vs model +3.6% · in line
SNT
Senstar Technologies Corp
Rich — check why
Technology
Yield6.4%
Growth used8.7%
10-yr IRR13.7%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 1.72
Market implies +10.9%/yr vs model +8.7% · in line
BORR
Borr Drilling Ltd
Rich — check why
Energy
Yield6.6%
Growth used8.0%
10-yr IRR13.6%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 1.90
Market implies +16.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
SAIC
Science Applications International Corp
Rich — check why
Technology
Yield6.5%
Growth used8.3%
10-yr IRR13.6%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.62
Market implies +0.5%/yr vs model +8.3% · below model
STRT
STRATTEC SECURITY CORP
Rich — check why
Consumer Cyclical
Yield7.7%
Growth used5.1%
10-yr IRR13.5%
Steady compounder · 3 yrs positive P/IV —
Market implies +26.5%/yr vs model +5.1% · above model
HAL
HALLIBURTON CO
Rich — check why
Energy
Yield7.4%
Growth used5.7%
10-yr IRR13.5%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.05
Market implies +5.2%/yr vs model +5.7% · in line
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc
Rich — check why
Consumer Cyclical
Yield6.8%
Growth used7.3%
10-yr IRR13.5%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.97
Market implies +5.4%/yr vs model +7.3% · in line
IBP
Installed Building Products, Inc.
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield5.5%
Growth used11.4%
10-yr IRR13.5%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.07
Market implies +8.3%/yr vs model +11.4% · below model
OMCL
OMNICELL, INC.
Rich — check why
Technology
Yield7.6%
Growth used5.2%
10-yr IRR13.5%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 1.79
Market implies +9.7%/yr vs model +5.2% · above model
ARDT
Ardent Health, Inc.
Rich — check why
Healthcare
Yield6.1%
Growth used9.2%
10-yr IRR13.5%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.45
Market implies -4.1%/yr vs model +9.2% · below model
PCRX
Pacira BioSciences, Inc.
Rich — check why
Healthcare
Yield6.1%
Growth used9.3%
10-yr IRR13.4%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.54
Market implies +3.5%/yr vs model +9.3% · below model
THRM
Gentherm Inc
Rich — check why
Consumer Cyclical
Yield6.5%
Growth used8.0%
10-yr IRR13.4%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 1.07
Market implies +4.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
ESP
ESPEY MFG & ELECTRONICS CORP
Rich — check why
Technology
Yield5.3%
Growth used12.0%
10-yr IRR13.4%
Grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.43
Market implies -3.5%/yr vs model +12.0% · below model
CSV
CARRIAGE SERVICES INC
Rich — check why
Consumer Cyclical
Yield7.1%
Growth used6.4%
10-yr IRR13.3%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.01
Market implies +5.4%/yr vs model +6.4% · in line
NATL
NCR Atleos Corp
Rich — check why
Technology
Yield5.8%
Growth used10.0%
10-yr IRR13.3%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.79
Market implies +4.9%/yr vs model +10.0% · below model
MAS
MASCO CORP /DE/
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield6.8%
Growth used7.0%
10-yr IRR13.3%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.13
Market implies +7.2%/yr vs model +7.0% · in line
BIPH
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P.
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield5.8%
Growth used9.9%
10-yr IRR13.2%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.20
Market implies -15.3%/yr vs model +9.9% · below model
OVV
Ovintiv Inc.
Rich — check why
Energy
Yield8.4%
Growth used3.0%
10-yr IRR13.2%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.85
Market implies +1.2%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
SSNC
SS&C Technologies Holdings Inc
Rich — check why
Technology
Yield5.7%
Growth used10.1%
10-yr IRR13.2%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.54
Market implies +0.9%/yr vs model +10.1% · below model
LBRT
Liberty Energy Inc.
Rich — check why
Energy
Yield6.4%
Growth used8.0%
10-yr IRR13.2%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 1.75
Market implies +2.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
BTI
British American Tobacco p.l.c.
Rich — check why
Consumer Defensive
Yield8.9%
Growth used2.0%
10-yr IRR13.2%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.10
Market implies +2.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · in line
HOFT
HOOKER FURNISHINGS Corp
Rich — check why
Consumer Cyclical
Yield12.9%
Growth used-5.0%
10-yr IRR13.2%
Steady compounder · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.30
Market implies -6.3%/yr vs model -6.7% · in line
MDXG
MIMEDX GROUP, INC.
Rich — check why
Healthcare
Yield5.3%
Growth used11.4%
10-yr IRR13.2%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.53
Market implies -0.3%/yr vs model +11.4% · below model
UBER
Uber Technologies, Inc
Rich — check why
Technology
Yield4.4%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR13.1%
Grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.42
Market implies +7.3%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model
LMB
Limbach Holdings, Inc.
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield6.8%
Growth used6.8%
10-yr IRR13.1%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 1.89
Market implies +7.8%/yr vs model +6.8% · in line
GHC
Graham Holdings Co
Rich — check why
Consumer Defensive
Yield5.0%
Growth used12.6%
10-yr IRR13.1%
Grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.10
Market implies +3.9%/yr vs model +12.6% · below model
AOS
SMITH A O CORP
Rich — check why
Consumer Cyclical
Yield6.7%
Growth used7.0%
10-yr IRR13.1%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.76
Market implies +2.0%/yr vs model +7.0% · below model
STZ
CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC.
Rich — check why
Consumer Defensive
Yield8.0%
Growth used3.8%
10-yr IRR13.1%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.60
Market implies -2.6%/yr vs model +3.8% · below model
ICFI
ICF International, Inc.
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield7.2%
Growth used5.6%
10-yr IRR13.1%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.04
Market implies +5.0%/yr vs model +5.6% · in line
PRVA
Privia Health Group, Inc.
Rich — check why
Healthcare
Yield4.4%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR13.1%
Grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 1.21
Market implies +16.1%/yr vs model +18.2% · in line
MIDD
MIDDLEBY Corp
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield10.7%
Growth used-1.7%
10-yr IRR13.1%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 1.73
Market implies -0.9%/yr vs model -1.7% · in line
SHOO
STEVEN MADDEN, LTD.
Rich — check why
Consumer Cyclical
Yield5.3%
Growth used11.4%
10-yr IRR13.0%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 2.28
Market implies +21.9%/yr vs model +11.4% · above model
ALG
ALAMO GROUP INC
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield7.2%
Growth used5.6%
10-yr IRR13.0%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.97
Market implies +2.8%/yr vs model +5.6% · in line
QCOM
QUALCOMM INC/DE
Rich — check why
Technology
Yield5.8%
Growth used9.6%
10-yr IRR13.0%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.96
Market implies +12.4%/yr vs model +9.6% · in line
ANF
ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO /DE/
Rich — check why
Consumer Cyclical
Yield6.2%
Growth used8.3%
10-yr IRR12.9%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 1.17
Market implies +9.7%/yr vs model +8.3% · in line
LYB
LyondellBasell Industries N.V.
Rich — check why
Basic Materials
Yield9.5%
Growth used0.5%
10-yr IRR12.9%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.70
Market implies -5.4%/yr vs model +0.5% · below model
HP
Helmerich & Payne, Inc.
Rich — check why
Energy
Yield6.3%
Growth used8.0%
10-yr IRR12.9%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.84
Market implies +4.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
HON
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield7.4%
Growth used4.8%
10-yr IRR12.8%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.73
Market implies -0.1%/yr vs model +4.8% · below model
ALV
AUTOLIV INC
Rich — check why
Consumer Cyclical
Yield6.3%
Growth used7.7%
10-yr IRR12.8%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.27
Market implies +8.4%/yr vs model +7.7% · in line
LFVN
Lifevantage Corp
Rich — check why
Healthcare
Yield6.9%
Growth used6.1%
10-yr IRR12.8%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.34
Market implies +6.4%/yr vs model +6.1% · in line
CAPL
CrossAmerica Partners LP
Rich — check why
Consumer Defensive
Yield7.9%
Growth used3.7%
10-yr IRR12.8%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.87
Market implies +0.4%/yr vs model +3.7% · below model
BR
BROADRIDGE FINANCIAL SOLUTIONS, INC.
Rich — check why
Technology
Yield5.5%
Growth used10.5%
10-yr IRR12.8%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.64
Market implies +2.9%/yr vs model +10.5% · below model
BRO
BROWN & BROWN, INC.
Rich — check why
Financial Services
Yield5.3%
Growth used11.0%
10-yr IRR12.8%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.55
Market implies +0.9%/yr vs model +11.0% · below model
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers Corp.
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield8.6%
Growth used1.9%
10-yr IRR12.7%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.59
Market implies +7.8%/yr vs model +1.9% · above model
ACNT
ASCENT INDUSTRIES CO.
Rich — check why
Basic Materials
Yield7.3%
Growth used5.0%
10-yr IRR12.7%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 1.42
Market implies +5.9%/yr vs model +5.0% · in line
ASO
Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc.
Rich — check why
Consumer Cyclical
Yield7.4%
Growth used4.8%
10-yr IRR12.7%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.11
Market implies +7.1%/yr vs model +4.8% · in line
ZTS
Zoetis Inc.
Rich — check why
Healthcare
Yield6.0%
Growth used8.5%
10-yr IRR12.6%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.57
Market implies +0.2%/yr vs model +8.5% · below model
TTE
TotalEnergies SE
Rich — check why
Energy
Yield8.2%
Growth used2.6%
10-yr IRR12.6%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.14
Market implies +3.2%/yr vs model +2.6% · in line
TDC
TERADATA CORP /DE/
Rich — check why
Technology
Yield6.4%
Growth used7.4%
10-yr IRR12.6%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.08
Market implies +8.1%/yr vs model +7.4% · in line
EEX
Emerald Holding, Inc.
Rich — check why
Technology
Yield4.2%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR12.5%
Grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.81
Market implies +15.1%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model
ITRN
Ituran Location & Control Ltd.
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield6.1%
Growth used8.0%
10-yr IRR12.5%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.17
Market implies +5.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
DBX
DROPBOX, INC.
Rich — check why
Technology
Yield5.6%
Growth used9.6%
10-yr IRR12.5%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.61
Market implies +1.6%/yr vs model +9.6% · below model
BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield6.6%
Growth used6.5%
10-yr IRR12.4%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.49
Market implies -2.9%/yr vs model +6.5% · below model
AMRZ
Amrize Ltd
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield7.4%
Growth used4.4%
10-yr IRR12.4%
Steady compounder · 3 yrs positive P/IV 1.00
Market implies +3.2%/yr vs model +4.4% · in line
CPS
Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.
Rich — check why
Consumer Cyclical
Yield7.0%
Growth used5.3%
10-yr IRR12.3%
Steady compounder · 3 yrs positive P/IV 1.88
Market implies +7.2%/yr vs model +5.3% · in line
ASC
Ardmore Shipping Corp
Rich — check why
Industrials
Yield8.9%
Growth used0.9%
10-yr IRR12.3%
Steady compounder · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.96
Market implies +0.0%/yr vs model +0.9% · in line
CMC
COMMERCIAL METALS Co
Rich — check why
Basic Materials
Yield7.4%
Growth used4.1%
10-yr IRR12.3%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 2.47
Market implies +14.1%/yr vs model +4.1% · above model
ABEV
AMBEV S.A.
Rich — check why
Consumer Defensive
Yield7.4%
Growth used4.3%
10-yr IRR12.3%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.68
Market implies -0.4%/yr vs model +4.3% · below model
EVCM
EverCommerce Inc.
Rich — check why
Technology
Yield6.4%
Growth used6.9%
10-yr IRR12.3%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.70
Market implies +9.2%/yr vs model +6.9% · in line