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Consumer Cyclical

Every analyzed stock in Consumer Cyclical — 495 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Consumer Cyclical risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
48 /100 Elevated ▲ +3 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
52 /100 Elevated ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 358 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
50 Elevated
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 358 stocks.
39 Moderate
◆ flat
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
59 Elevated
▼ -1
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
54.1%
High
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
62%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
41%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 373 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
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This week in Consumer Cyclical
Consumer Cyclical — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Consumer Cyclical Sector: Mixed Analyst Sentiments, Elevated Risk, and Insider Buys →
This week saw varied analyst opinions on consumer cyclical stocks, with some price targets lowered while others maintained support despite recent stock slides. The sector's risk score increased, and a notable insider purchase occurred, indicating diverse…
XOS
Xos, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$2.71
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +49.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
XPEV
XPENG INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 61 · High
Price$10.71
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +72.9%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
XWEL
XWELL, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$0.96
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -11.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
YELP
YELP INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$21.28
Model IV$79.97
P/IV0.29
Discount 73% Return to IV: +275.8%
Market implies -8.6%/yr vs model +12.8% · below model
YETI
YETI Holdings, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 64 · High
Price$39.39
Model IV$27.39
P/IV1.75
Premium +44% Return to IV: -30.5%
Market implies +12.2%/yr vs model +8.4% · above model
YHGJ
YUNHONG GREEN CTI LTD.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$2.65
Model IV$6.99
P/IV0.51
Discount 62% Return to IV: +163.8%
Market implies -24.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
YI
111, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$3.59
Model IV$1.57
P/IV3.36
Premium +128% Return to IV: -56.2%
Market implies +12.2%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
YJ
Yunji Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$1.99
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +71.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
YMAT
J-Star Holding Co., Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$2.07
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
YSS
York Space Systems Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$7.88
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
YUM
YUM BRANDS INC
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$140.77
Model IV$166.26
P/IV0.89
Discount 15% Return to IV: +18.1%
Market implies +4.7%/yr vs model +8.2% · below model
YUMC
Yum China Holdings, Inc.
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$41.69
Model IV$57.20
P/IV0.74
Discount 27% Return to IV: +37.2%
Market implies +3.5%/yr vs model +9.5% · below model
ZGN
Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$11.61
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ZKH
ZKH Group Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$2.91
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ZUMZ
Zumiez Inc
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$14.55
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +21.1%/yr vs model +2.3% · above model