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Consumer Cyclical

Every analyzed stock in Consumer Cyclical — 495 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Consumer Cyclical risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
42 /100 Elevated ▼ -3 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
52 /100 Elevated ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 358 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 358 stocks.
39 Moderate
◆ flat
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
59 Elevated
▼ -1
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
54.0%
High
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
62%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
41%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 372 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Divergence: insiders are defensive while macro conditions (credit, curve, volatility) stay calm. Insiders are strong judges of their own companies but poor macro timers — historically this pattern favors selective stock-picking (see the opportunistic-buy signals) over exiting the market wholesale.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Consumer Cyclical
Consumer Cyclical — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Consumer Cyclical Sector: Mixed Analyst Sentiments, Elevated Risk, and Insider Buys →
This week saw varied analyst opinions on consumer cyclical stocks, with some price targets lowered while others maintained support despite recent stock slides. The sector's risk score increased, and a notable insider purchase occurred, indicating diverse…
THO
THOR INDUSTRIES INC
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$72.86
Model IV$71.70
P/IV1.10
Premium +2% Return to IV: -1.6%
Market implies -1.5%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
THRM
Gentherm Inc
Overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$38.85
Model IV$32.52
P/IV1.07
Premium +19% Return to IV: -16.3%
Market implies +8.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · in line
TILE
INTERFACE INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$34.13
Model IV$25.88
P/IV1.14
Premium +32% Return to IV: -24.2%
Market implies +7.7%/yr vs model +5.9% · in line
TITN
Titan Machinery Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$23.22
Model IV$81.58
P/IV0.27
Discount 72% Return to IV: +251.3%
Market implies -13.4%/yr vs model +8.8% · below model
TJX
TJX COMPANIES INC /DE/
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$124.60
Model IV$85.04
P/IV1.48
Premium +47% Return to IV: -31.7%
Market implies +10.2%/yr vs model +6.3% · above model
TKLF
Tokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1.67
Model IV$3.60
P/IV0.54
Discount 54% Return to IV: +115.3%
Market implies -16.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
TLF
TANDY LEATHER FACTORY INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$2.62
Model IV$6.14
P/IV0.38
Discount 57% Return to IV: +134.6%
Market implies -22.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
TLYS
TILLY'S, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$4.60
Model IV$19.86
P/IV0.22
Discount 77% Return to IV: +331.7%
Market implies -31.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
TM
TOYOTA MOTOR CORP/
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 60 · High
Price$195.47
Model IV$55.73
P/IV3.18
Premium +251% Return to IV: -71.5%
Market implies +15.6%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
TNL
Travel & Leisure Co.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$66.74
Model IV$131.36
P/IV0.52
Discount 49% Return to IV: +96.8%
Market implies -0.9%/yr vs model +10.9% · below model
TPR
TAPESTRY, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$117.91
Model IV$66.98
P/IV2.17
Premium +76% Return to IV: -43.2%
Market implies +16.4%/yr vs model +10.0% · above model
TRN
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$28.50
Model IV$107.16
P/IV0.30
Discount 73% Return to IV: +276.0%
Market implies -7.4%/yr vs model +12.9% · below model
TRUG
TruGolf Holdings, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$0.65
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
TSCO
TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/
Overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$33.83
Model IV$28.53
P/IV1.11
Premium +19% Return to IV: -15.7%
Market implies +7.2%/yr vs model +6.0% · in line
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$356.58
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +58.9%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$181.12
Model IV$139.06
P/IV1.30
Premium +30% Return to IV: -23.2%
Market implies +14.0%/yr vs model +13.6% · in line
UA
Under Armour, Inc.
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$4.99
Model IV$6.61
P/IV0.87
Discount 25% Return to IV: +32.5%
Market implies -3.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
UAA
Under Armour, Inc.
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$4.96
Model IV$6.67
P/IV0.88
Discount 26% Return to IV: +34.5%
Market implies -3.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
UFI
UNIFI INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 25 · Moderate
Price$6.76
Model IV$23.33
P/IV0.17
Discount 71% Return to IV: +245.2%
Market implies -26.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
ULTA
Ulta Beauty, Inc.
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$546.78
Model IV$691.60
P/IV0.74
Discount 21% Return to IV: +26.5%
Market implies +7.1%/yr vs model +13.0% · below model
UNF
UNIFIRST CORP
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$274.68
Model IV$173.67
P/IV1.53
Premium +58% Return to IV: -36.8%
Market implies +12.5%/yr vs model +8.2% · above model
URBN
URBAN OUTFITTERS INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$78.58
Model IV$57.36
P/IV1.27
Premium +37% Return to IV: -27.0%
Market implies +12.3%/yr vs model +9.9% · in line
UZX
Linkage Global Inc
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 61 · High
Price$0.09
Model IV$0.20
P/IV4.28
Discount 53% Return to IV: +113.8%
Market implies -18.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
VC
VISTEON CORP
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$100.93
Model IV$120.86
P/IV0.98
Discount 16% Return to IV: +19.7%
Market implies +3.9%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
VEEE
Twin Vee PowerCats, Co.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$9.36
Model IV$3.18
P/IV2.26
Premium +194% Return to IV: -66.0%
Market implies +4.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · in line
VFC
V F CORP
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$13.17
Model IV$10.13
P/IV1.70
Premium +30% Return to IV: -23.1%
Market implies +2.0%/yr vs model -1.2% · above model
VFS
VinFast Auto Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$3.21
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +44.9%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
VGNT
Versigent PLC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$45.19
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
VIPS
Vipshop Holdings Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$12.47
Model IV$68.36
P/IV0.21
Discount 82% Return to IV: +448.2%
Market implies -25.1%/yr vs model +3.1% · below model
VIRC
VIRCO MFG CORPORATION
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$6.10
Model IV$8.98
P/IV0.67
Discount 32% Return to IV: +47.1%
Market implies -10.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
VMAR
Vision Marine Technologies Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$7.65
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -26.6%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
VNCE
VINCE HOLDING CORP.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$5.24
Model IV$9.04
P/IV0.49
Discount 42% Return to IV: +72.4%
Market implies -6.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
VOYG
Voyager Technologies, Inc./DE
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$33.78
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +107.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
VRA
Vera Bradley, Inc.
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$4.09
Model IV$5.21
P/IV0.64
Discount 22% Return to IV: +27.4%
Market implies -6.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
VRM
Vroom, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$10.15
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -48.6%/yr vs model +12.0% · below model
VSCO
Victoria's Secret & Co.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$88.68
Model IV$31.07
P/IV1.77
Premium +185% Return to IV: -65.0%
Market implies +20.1%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
VSTD
Vestand Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$0.00
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +25.2% · below model
VTSI
VirTra, Inc
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 63 · High
Price$2.98
Model IV$1.61
P/IV2.14
Premium +86% Return to IV: -46.1%
Market implies +7.5%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
W
Wayfair Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 72 · High
Price$104.79
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +43.3%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
WAB
WESTINGHOUSE AIR BRAKE TECHNOLOGIES CORP
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$278.42
Model IV$170.33
P/IV1.53
Premium +63% Return to IV: -38.8%
Market implies +15.7%/yr vs model +11.3% · above model
WBUY
WEBUY GLOBAL LTD
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$0.90
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -6.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
WEN
Wendy's Co
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$7.63
Model IV$32.51
P/IV0.24
Discount 77% Return to IV: +326.1%
Market implies -12.0%/yr vs model +9.7% · below model
WFF
WF Holding Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$2.03
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +26.0%/yr vs model +14.2% · above model
WGO
WINNEBAGO INDUSTRIES INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$28.25
Model IV$58.49
P/IV0.51
Discount 52% Return to IV: +107.0%
Market implies -14.2%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
WH
WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS, INC.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$69.31
Model IV$78.55
P/IV1.02
Discount 12% Return to IV: +13.3%
Market implies +5.5%/yr vs model +8.9% · below model
WINA
WINMARK CORP
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 63 · High
Price$308.47
Model IV$186.67
P/IV2.03
Premium +65% Return to IV: -39.5%
Market implies +10.0%/yr vs model +4.9% · above model
WING
Wingstop Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$100.84
Model IV$114.94
P/IV1.37
Discount 12% Return to IV: +14.0%
Market implies +15.6%/yr vs model +21.7% · below model
WKHS
Workhorse Group Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$3.01
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +56.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
WKSP
Worksport Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$0.46
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +30.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
WMS
ADVANCED DRAINAGE SYSTEMS, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 63 · High
Price$127.88
Model IV$87.95
P/IV1.58
Premium +45% Return to IV: -31.2%
Market implies +8.9%/yr vs model +4.1% · above model
WMT
Walmart Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 60 · High
Price$108.09
Model IV$28.82
P/IV3.75
Premium +275% Return to IV: -73.3%
Market implies +22.7%/yr vs model +6.3% · above model
WNC
WABASH NATIONAL Corp
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$12.55
Model IV$10.10
P/IV0.79
Premium +24% Return to IV: -19.5%
Market implies +0.9%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
WOOF
Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$2.45
Model IV$0.89
P/IV3.37
Premium +174% Return to IV: -63.6%
Market implies +15.4%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
WSHP
WeShop Holdings Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$5.38
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
WSM
WILLIAMS SONOMA INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 66 · High
Price$229.43
Model IV$86.77
P/IV2.35
Premium +164% Return to IV: -62.2%
Market implies +16.6%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
WW
WW INTERNATIONAL, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 70 · High
Price$14.78
Model IV$3.41
P/IV4.88
Premium +334% Return to IV: -76.9%
Market implies +24.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
WWW
WOLVERINE WORLD WIDE INC /DE/
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 63 · High
Price$19.12
Model IV$7.02
P/IV2.50
Premium +172% Return to IV: -63.3%
Market implies +8.2%/yr vs model -5.5% · above model
WYNN
WYNN RESORTS LTD
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$87.70
Model IV$159.24
P/IV0.64
Discount 45% Return to IV: +81.6%
Market implies +4.7%/yr vs model +16.7% · below model
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$17.65
Model IV$48.35
P/IV0.36
Discount 63% Return to IV: +173.9%
Market implies -1.8%/yr vs model +16.8% · below model
XMAX
XMax Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$8.55
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +19.4%/yr vs model +7.4% · above model