← All sectors
Sector

Consumer Cyclical

Every analyzed stock in Consumer Cyclical — 495 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Consumer Cyclical risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
42 /100 Elevated ▼ -3 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
52 /100 Elevated ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 358 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 358 stocks.
39 Moderate
◆ flat
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
59 Elevated
▼ -1
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
54.0%
High
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
62%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
41%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 372 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Divergence: insiders are defensive while macro conditions (credit, curve, volatility) stay calm. Insiders are strong judges of their own companies but poor macro timers — historically this pattern favors selective stock-picking (see the opportunistic-buy signals) over exiting the market wholesale.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Consumer Cyclical
Consumer Cyclical — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Consumer Cyclical Sector: Mixed Analyst Sentiments, Elevated Risk, and Insider Buys →
This week saw varied analyst opinions on consumer cyclical stocks, with some price targets lowered while others maintained support despite recent stock slides. The sector's risk score increased, and a notable insider purchase occurred, indicating diverse…
MPAA
MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$11.00
Model IV$23.34
P/IV0.47
Discount 53% Return to IV: +112.2%
Market implies -6.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
MRM
Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$0.83
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MRNO
Murano Global Investments Plc
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 64 · High
Price$0.19
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MRNOW
Murano Global Investments Plc
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 62 · High
Price$0.01
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MSC
STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 70 · High
Price$1.77
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MUSA
Murphy USA Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$523.58
Model IV$523.52
P/IV0.97
Premium +0% Return to IV: 0.0%
Market implies +6.7%/yr vs model +8.4% · in line
MWG
Multi Ways Holdings Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$1.32
Model IV$22.05
P/IV0.06
Discount 94% Return to IV: +1,570.5%
Market implies -49.6%/yr vs model +11.7% · below model
MYE
MYERS INDUSTRIES INC
Overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$30.01
Model IV$19.32
P/IV1.18
Premium +55% Return to IV: -35.6%
Market implies +8.7%/yr vs model +3.8% · above model
NAAS
NaaS Technology Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$3.25
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +16.4%/yr vs model +15.0% · in line
NATH
NATHANS FAMOUS, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$97.72
Model IV$217.81
P/IV0.46
Discount 55% Return to IV: +122.9%
Market implies +0.5%/yr vs model +15.2% · below model
NCI
Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Ltd
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 62 · High
Price$12.97
Model IV$5.53
P/IV1.83
Premium +135% Return to IV: -57.4%
Market implies +4.8%/yr vs model -1.4% · above model
NCL
Northann Corp.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$0.00
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
NDLS
NOODLES & Co
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$13.74
Model IV$167.44
P/IV0.08
Discount 92% Return to IV: +1,118.6%
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
NEGG
Newegg Commerce, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$14.67
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NEXR
Nexera Technologies Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$1.55
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +150.0%/yr vs model +26.8% · above model
NEXRW
Nexera Technologies Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$0.01
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
NIO
NIO Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$3.67
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +53.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
NIU
Niu Technologies
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$2.07
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +28.3%/yr vs model +3.4% · above model
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$36.80
Model IV$27.41
P/IV1.69
Premium +34% Return to IV: -25.5%
Market implies +8.4%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
NPO
Enpro Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 69 · High
Price$293.88
Model IV$91.73
P/IV3.35
Premium +220% Return to IV: -68.8%
Market implies +23.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
NSIT
INSIGHT ENTERPRISES INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$161.84
Model IV$102.18
P/IV1.04
Premium +58% Return to IV: -36.9%
Market implies +11.8%/yr vs model +6.2% · above model
NTZ
NATUZZI S P A
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$1.00
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NWL
NEWELL BRANDS INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$5.85
Model IV$3.65
P/IV0.93
Premium +60% Return to IV: -37.7%
Market implies +4.6%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
NWTG
Newton Golf Company, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$1.27
Model IV$4.57
P/IV0.22
Discount 72% Return to IV: +259.6%
Market implies -24.2%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
NXXT
NEXTNRG, INC.
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1.39
Model IV$1.84
P/IV0.35
Discount 25% Return to IV: +32.7%
Market implies -4.9%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
ODC
Oil-Dri Corp of America
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$86.26
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$73.56
Model IV$67.49
P/IV1.21
Premium +9% Return to IV: -8.3%
Market implies +10.1%/yr vs model +11.2% · in line
ONEW
OneWater Marine Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$10.73
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ONON
On Holding AG
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$27.47
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
OPLN
OPENLANE, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$35.28
Model IV$63.70
P/IV0.60
Discount 45% Return to IV: +80.6%
Market implies +0.7%/yr vs model +11.1% · below model
ORLY
O REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 61 · High
Price$87.22
Model IV$53.26
P/IV1.63
Premium +64% Return to IV: -38.9%
Market implies +12.8%/yr vs model +7.6% · above model
OSK
OSHKOSH CORP
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$145.85
Model IV$73.19
P/IV1.78
Premium +99% Return to IV: -49.8%
Market implies +16.2%/yr vs model +7.8% · above model
OTH
NextBoat Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1.97
Model IV$5.46
P/IV0.47
Discount 64% Return to IV: +177.0%
Market implies -16.6%/yr vs model +21.1% · below model
OXM
OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$31.53
Model IV$75.35
P/IV0.59
Discount 58% Return to IV: +139.0%
Market implies -13.5%/yr vs model +6.7% · below model
PAG
PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, INC.
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$215.91
Model IV$234.66
P/IV0.71
Discount 8% Return to IV: +8.7%
Market implies +7.1%/yr vs model +10.3% · below model
PASW
Ping An Biomedical Co., Ltd.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$0.13
Model IV$0.13
P/IV1.23
Premium +4% Return to IV: -3.9%
Market implies -6.3%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
PATK
PATRICK INDUSTRIES INC
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$73.40
Model IV$98.92
P/IV0.92
Discount 26% Return to IV: +34.8%
Market implies -1.5%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
PAXH
PREAXIA HEALTH CARE PAYMENT SYSTEMS INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$0.22
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +150.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
PC
Premium Catering (Holdings) Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$9.40
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +42.6%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
PCAR
PACCAR INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$122.73
Model IV$100.46
P/IV0.44
Premium +22% Return to IV: -18.1%
Market implies +7.5%/yr vs model +5.8% · in line
PENN
PENN Entertainment, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$17.82
Model IV$51.51
P/IV0.37
Discount 65% Return to IV: +189.1%
Market implies -8.1%/yr vs model +9.3% · below model
PETS
PETMED EXPRESS INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$1.65
Model IV$4.95
P/IV0.44
Discount 67% Return to IV: +200.0%
Market implies -22.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
PEW
GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$2.13
Model IV$5.30
P/IV0.51
Discount 60% Return to IV: +149.0%
Market implies -19.5%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
PHIN
PHINIA INC.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$61.50
Model IV$57.48
P/IV1.34
Premium +7% Return to IV: -6.5%
Market implies +4.2%/yr vs model +3.8% · in line
PII
Polaris Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$58.51
Model IV$106.88
P/IV0.66
Discount 45% Return to IV: +82.7%
Market implies -4.5%/yr vs model +5.4% · below model
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$15.22
Model IV$30.55
P/IV0.40
Discount 50% Return to IV: +100.7%
Market implies -7.3%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
PLAY
Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$8.14
Model IV$36.64
P/IV0.28
Discount 78% Return to IV: +350.1%
Market implies -25.1%/yr vs model +12.7% · below model
PLBY
Playboy, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 65 · High
Price$1.14
Model IV$0.53
P/IV2.60
Premium +116% Return to IV: -53.8%
Market implies +10.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
PLCE
Childrens Place, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$2.47
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -46.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
PMNT
Perfect Moment Ltd.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$0.13
Model IV$0.15
P/IV1.48
Discount 14% Return to IV: +16.3%
Market implies -9.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
POM
POMDOCTOR Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 64 · High
Price$0.71
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -30.5%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
PRPL
Purple Innovation, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$3.27
Model IV$2.04
P/IV0.20
Premium +60% Return to IV: -37.6%
Market implies +0.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · in line
PRTS
CarParts.com, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 64 · High
Price$8.98
Model IV$3.69
P/IV1.50
Premium +143% Return to IV: -58.9%
Market implies +11.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
PSMT
PRICESMART INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$168.76
Model IV$93.70
P/IV1.83
Premium +80% Return to IV: -44.5%
Market implies +15.1%/yr vs model +8.9% · above model
PSNY
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$7.40
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
PSNYW
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$4.04
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
PTLO
Portillo's Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$4.09
Model IV$9.94
P/IV0.43
Discount 59% Return to IV: +142.9%
Market implies -18.3%/yr vs model +8.2% · below model
PTON
PELOTON INTERACTIVE, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 73 · High
Price$4.95
Model IV$1.33
P/IV4.81
Premium +272% Return to IV: -73.1%
Market implies +14.8%/yr vs model -5.5% · above model
PTRN
Pattern Group Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$20.05
Model IV$51.31
P/IV0.37
Discount 61% Return to IV: +155.9%
Market implies -12.7%/yr vs model +35.3% · below model
PVH
PVH CORP. /DE/
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$73.01
Model IV$164.29
P/IV0.57
Discount 56% Return to IV: +125.0%
Market implies -6.1%/yr vs model +7.0% · below model