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Consumer Cyclical

Every analyzed stock in Consumer Cyclical — 495 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Consumer Cyclical risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
42 /100 Elevated ▼ -3 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
52 /100 Elevated ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 358 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 358 stocks.
39 Moderate
◆ flat
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
59 Elevated
▼ -1
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
54.0%
High
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
62%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
41%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 372 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Divergence: insiders are defensive while macro conditions (credit, curve, volatility) stay calm. Insiders are strong judges of their own companies but poor macro timers — historically this pattern favors selective stock-picking (see the opportunistic-buy signals) over exiting the market wholesale.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Consumer Cyclical
Consumer Cyclical — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Consumer Cyclical Sector: Mixed Analyst Sentiments, Elevated Risk, and Insider Buys →
This week saw varied analyst opinions on consumer cyclical stocks, with some price targets lowered while others maintained support despite recent stock slides. The sector's risk score increased, and a notable insider purchase occurred, indicating diverse…
GOLF
Acushnet Holdings Corp.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 69 · High
Price$85.16
Model IV$55.70
P/IV1.59
Premium +53% Return to IV: -34.6%
Market implies +13.7%/yr vs model +9.5% · above model
GOOS
Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$7.93
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GP
GREENPOWER MOTOR Co INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$0.75
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GPI
GROUP 1 AUTOMOTIVE INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$278.27
Model IV$956.32
P/IV0.33
Discount 71% Return to IV: +243.7%
Market implies -4.3%/yr vs model +16.0% · below model
GRDN
Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$43.64
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GROV
Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$1.01
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -16.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
GRWG
GrowGeneration Corp.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$1.55
Model IV$1.35
P/IV1.32
Premium +15% Return to IV: -12.8%
Market implies -1.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
GT
GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO /OH/
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$5.37
Model IV$13.75
P/IV0.44
Discount 61% Return to IV: +156.1%
Market implies -12.1%/yr vs model +3.2% · below model
GTIM
Good Times Restaurants Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$1.51
Model IV$13.29
P/IV0.10
Discount 89% Return to IV: +783.1%
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +3.4% · below model
GTX
Garrett Motion Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 62 · High
Price$27.62
Model IV$16.94
P/IV1.93
Premium +63% Return to IV: -38.7%
Market implies +9.8%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
H
Hyatt Hotels Corp
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 64 · High
Price$163.07
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +42.1%/yr vs model +21.1% · above model
HAS
HASBRO, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 60 · High
Price$91.54
Model IV$44.55
P/IV1.93
Premium +105% Return to IV: -51.3%
Market implies +5.9%/yr vs model -2.9% · above model
HBNB
Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$4.99
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HCAI
Huachen AI Parking Management Technology Holding Co., Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$0.61
Model IV$2.39
P/IV3.39
Discount 75% Return to IV: +292.3%
Market implies -28.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
HCHL
Happy City Holdings Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$3.96
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HD
HOME DEPOT, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 63 · High
Price$308.74
Model IV$206.27
P/IV1.50
Premium +50% Return to IV: -33.2%
Market implies +8.8%/yr vs model +3.9% · above model
HDL
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$12.05
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HEPS
D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$2.62
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HERE
Here Group Ltd
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$1.88
Model IV$0.86
P/IV2.47
Premium +120% Return to IV: -54.5%
Market implies +8.7%/yr vs model -1.4% · above model
HGV
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 64 · High
Price$37.91
Model IV$39.54
P/IV1.32
Discount 4% Return to IV: +4.3%
Market implies +13.0%/yr vs model +17.4% · below model
HII
HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES, INC.
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$279.69
Model IV$407.96
P/IV0.71
Discount 31% Return to IV: +45.9%
Market implies +1.5%/yr vs model +7.9% · below model
HITI
High Tide Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$2.53
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HLLY
Holley Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$2.72
Model IV$2.71
P/IV1.01
Premium +1% Return to IV: -0.5%
Market implies +1.6%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$306.19
Model IV$318.17
P/IV1.03
Discount 4% Return to IV: +3.9%
Market implies +15.8%/yr vs model +20.5% · below model
HMC
HONDA MOTOR CO LTD
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 62 · High
Price$32.52
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HNI
HNI CORP
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$45.93
Model IV$61.06
P/IV0.51
Discount 25% Return to IV: +32.9%
Market implies +1.8%/yr vs model +6.8% · below model
HNST
Honest Company, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$5.55
Model IV$2.55
P/IV1.37
Premium +118% Return to IV: -54.1%
Market implies +11.4%/yr vs model +3.9% · above model
HOFT
HOOKER FURNISHINGS Corp
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$13.94
Model IV$8.39
P/IV0.30
Premium +66% Return to IV: -39.8%
Market implies -4.8%/yr vs model -6.7% · in line
HOG
HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$27.87
Model IV$40.64
P/IV0.60
Discount 31% Return to IV: +45.8%
Market implies -3.2%/yr vs model +2.5% · below model
HOUR
Hour Loop, Inc
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$1.84
Model IV$1.68
P/IV1.13
Premium +9% Return to IV: -8.5%
Market implies +13.8%/yr vs model +18.3% · below model
HRB
H&R BLOCK INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$45.74
Model IV$120.18
P/IV0.32
Discount 62% Return to IV: +162.7%
Market implies -5.6%/yr vs model +8.1% · below model
HTHT
H World Group Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$43.34
Model IV$95.58
P/IV0.45
Discount 55% Return to IV: +120.5%
Market implies +0.1%/yr vs model +13.5% · below model
HTLM
HomesToLife Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$1.80
Model IV$8.77
P/IV0.23
Discount 79% Return to IV: +387.3%
Market implies -3.5%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model
HVT
HAVERTY FURNITURE COMPANIES INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$27.32
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HYLN
Hyliion Holdings Corp.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$3.90
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +65.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
HZO
MARINEMAX INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$52.21
Model IV$53.23
P/IV0.65
Discount 2% Return to IV: +2.0%
Market implies +2.9%/yr vs model +2.9% · in line
IHG
INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$153.83
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ILAG
Intelligent Living Application Group Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$2.96
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +11.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
INVZ
Innoviz Technologies Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$0.30
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +23.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
IPW
iPower Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 65 · High
Price$1.77
Model IV$0.96
P/IV4.01
Premium +84% Return to IV: -45.8%
Market implies +8.9%/yr vs model +5.2% · above model
IZM
ICZOOM Group Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$0.21
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -42.2%/yr vs model -7.2% · below model
JACK
JACK IN THE BOX INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$14.78
Model IV$48.60
P/IV0.26
Discount 70% Return to IV: +228.8%
Market implies -12.0%/yr vs model +10.9% · below model
JAKK
JAKKS PACIFIC INC
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$24.17
Model IV$25.01
P/IV0.88
Discount 3% Return to IV: +3.5%
Market implies -1.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
JCSE
JE Cleantech Holdings Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$1.44
Model IV$7.13
P/IV0.19
Discount 80% Return to IV: +395.3%
Market implies -14.5%/yr vs model +13.2% · below model
JCTC
JEWETT CAMERON TRADING CO LTD
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$2.88
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +45.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
JD
JD.com, Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$27.06
Model IV$29.75
P/IV0.97
Discount 9% Return to IV: +9.9%
Market implies +4.9%/yr vs model +7.5% · in line
JEM
707 Cayman Holdings Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$4.01
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +19.8%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
JILL
J.Jill, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$23.63
Model IV$15.87
P/IV0.80
Premium +49% Return to IV: -32.8%
Market implies +5.8%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
JL
J-Long Group Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$4.74
Model IV$26.55
P/IV0.24
Discount 82% Return to IV: +460.1%
Market implies -23.3%/yr vs model +7.0% · below model
JMIA
Jumia Technologies AG
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$7.45
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
JOUT
JOHNSON OUTDOORS INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$44.61
Model IV$32.36
P/IV1.38
Premium +38% Return to IV: -27.5%
Market implies +0.1%/yr vs model -1.6% · in line
JRSH
Jerash Holdings (US), Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$5.13
Model IV$16.25
P/IV0.21
Discount 68% Return to IV: +216.7%
Market implies -26.6%/yr vs model +12.8% · below model
JWEL
Jowell Global Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$2.24
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
JZXN
Jiuzi Holdings, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$1.15
Model IV$2.42
P/IV0.48
Discount 52% Return to IV: +110.0%
Market implies -16.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
KBSX
FST Corp.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$0.99
Model IV$4.45
P/IV0.30
Discount 78% Return to IV: +349.0%
Market implies -32.4%/yr vs model +29.2% · below model
KMRK
K-TECH SOLUTIONS CO LTD
Undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$0.97
Model IV$1.22
P/IV1.80
Discount 21% Return to IV: +26.0%
Market implies -14.1%/yr vs model +5.8% · below model
KMX
CARMAX INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 68 · High
Price$61.32
Model IV$22.70
P/IV1.97
Premium +170% Return to IV: -63.0%
Market implies +15.9%/yr vs model +1.6% · above model
KNDI
Kandi Technologies Group, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$0.61
Model IV$0.48
P/IV1.74
Premium +27% Return to IV: -21.5%
Market implies -0.4%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
KRT
Karat Packaging Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$46.94
Model IV$29.00
P/IV0.94
Premium +62% Return to IV: -38.2%
Market implies +11.1%/yr vs model +6.9% · above model
KRUS
KURA SUSHI USA, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$40.80
Model IV$85.53
P/IV0.66
Discount 52% Return to IV: +109.6%
Market implies -12.5%/yr vs model +44.5% · below model