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Consumer Cyclical

Every analyzed stock in Consumer Cyclical — 495 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Consumer Cyclical risk

Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector

⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months

42 /100 Elevated ▼ -3 slight

Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history

52 /100 Elevated ◆ flat

▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.

Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 358 stocks valued

Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.

33 Moderate

Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 358 stocks.

39 Moderate

◆ flat

Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.

59 Elevated

▼ -1

Smart money — the three inputs

Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.

54.0%

High

Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.

62%

Elevated

Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.

41%

Moderate

Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 372 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.

Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.

Divergence: insiders are defensive while macro conditions (credit, curve, volatility) stay calm. Insiders are strong judges of their own companies but poor macro timers — historically this pattern favors selective stock-picking (see the opportunistic-buy signals) over exiting the market wholesale.

Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.

Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.

Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest

This week in Consumer Cyclical

Consumer Cyclical — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Consumer Cyclical Sector: Mixed Analyst Sentiments, Elevated Risk, and Insider Buys →

This week saw varied analyst opinions on consumer cyclical stocks, with some price targets lowered while others maintained support despite recent stock slides. The sector's risk score increased, and a notable insider purchase occurred, indicating diverse…

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 30 · Moderate

Discount 56% Return to IV: +129.1%

Market implies -13.4%/yr vs model +2.6% · below model

Kontoor Brands, Inc.

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 39 · Moderate

Model IV$114.97

Discount 42% Return to IV: +71.6%

Market implies -1.6%/yr vs model +7.2% · below model

KRATOS DEFENSE & SECURITY SOLUTIONS, INC.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 31 · Moderate

Market implies +67.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model

Kaixin Holdings

Consumer Cyclical Risk 28 · Moderate

Market implies +53.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model

LITHIA MOTORS INC

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 60 · High

Premium +275% Return to IV: -73.3%

Market implies +24.9%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model

Lanvin Group Holdings Ltd

Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate

Limited data — see page

Lucid Group, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 50 · Elevated

Market implies +62.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 43 · Elevated

Model IV$154.31

Discount 42% Return to IV: +71.1%

Market implies -5.1%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model

LANDS' END, INC.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 65 · High

Premium +9% Return to IV: -8.5%

Market implies +1.0%/yr vs model +1.0% · in line

Consumer Cyclical Risk 52 · Elevated

Model IV$134.04

Discount 6% Return to IV: +6.2%

Market implies +3.9%/yr vs model +5.8% · in line

LEGGETT & PLATT INC

Consumer Cyclical Risk 47 · Elevated

Discount 26% Return to IV: +34.6%

Market implies -8.6%/yr vs model -1.4% · below model

Consumer Cyclical Risk 74 · High

Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model

LEVI STRAUSS & CO

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 51 · Elevated

Premium +123% Return to IV: -55.1%

Market implies +15.3%/yr vs model +4.5% · above model

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 65 · High

Premium +156% Return to IV: -61.0%

Market implies +19.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model

Consumer Cyclical Risk 27 · Moderate

Market implies +45.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model

Risk 40 · Elevated

Limited data — see page

LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd.

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 50 · Elevated

Premium +214% Return to IV: -68.1%

Market implies +12.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model

LIVE VENTURES Inc

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 24 · Moderate

Discount 90% Return to IV: +891.0%

Market implies -31.3%/yr vs model +11.5% · below model

LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP

Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate

Model IV$580.83

Discount 8% Return to IV: +8.9%

Market implies +2.6%/yr vs model +4.4% · in line

LOBO TECHNOLOGIES LTD.

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 29 · Moderate

Discount 86% Return to IV: +618.5%

Market implies -46.1%/yr vs model +13.2% · below model

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 41 · Elevated

Premium +16% Return to IV: -13.7%

Market implies +7.3%/yr vs model +7.7% · in line

Live Oak Acquisition Corp. V

Consumer Cyclical

Limited data — see page

Limited data — see page

Limited data — see page

Lotus Technology Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 31 · Moderate

Market implies +33.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model

Lotus Technology Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated

Market implies -12.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 39 · Moderate

Discount 44% Return to IV: +78.8%

Market implies -1.7%/yr vs model +10.7% · below model

LOWES COMPANIES INC

Consumer Cyclical Risk 50 · Elevated

Model IV$199.95

Discount 2% Return to IV: +1.6%

Market implies +2.4%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line

lululemon athletica inc.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate

Model IV$168.71

Discount 41% Return to IV: +70.5%

Market implies +5.5%/yr vs model +15.4% · below model

LuxExperience B.V.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate

Limited data — see page

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate

Discount 89% Return to IV: +770.0%

Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model

Consumer Cyclical Risk 31 · Moderate

Market implies +18.6%/yr vs model +15.1% · above model

LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate

Model IV$122.20

Discount 65% Return to IV: +185.3%

Market implies +4.7%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model

LiveWire Group, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 62 · High

Market implies +43.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model

Lightwave Logic, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated

Market implies +150.0%/yr vs model +50.0% · above model

Consumer Cyclical Risk 43 · Elevated

Discount 25% Return to IV: +32.8%

Market implies +2.0%/yr vs model +8.2% · below model

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 33 · Moderate

Discount 57% Return to IV: +132.5%

Market implies -7.3%/yr vs model +6.1% · below model

MaxsMaking Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Limited data — see page

Consumer Cyclical Risk 45 · Elevated

Premium +14% Return to IV: -12.0%

Market implies -1.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model

MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL INC /MD/

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 54 · Elevated

Model IV$274.00

Premium +22% Return to IV: -18.1%

Market implies +16.9%/yr vs model +18.5% · in line

MATTEL INC /DE/

Consumer Cyclical Risk 60 · High

Market implies -4.1%/yr vs model +5.6% · below model

MASTERBEEF GROUP

Consumer Cyclical Risk 27 · Moderate

Limited data — see page

MasterBrand, Inc.

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 40 · Elevated

Discount 58% Return to IV: +139.8%

Market implies -12.2%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model

MALIBU BOATS, INC.

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 60 · High

Premium +105% Return to IV: -51.1%

Market implies +13.4%/yr vs model +4.6% · above model

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 63 · High

Model IV$172.09

Premium +47% Return to IV: -31.9%

Market implies +9.4%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Risk 59 · Elevated

Premium +5% Return to IV: -5.1%

Market implies -3.9%/yr vs model -2.4% · in line

MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC

Consumer Cyclical Risk 39 · Moderate

Model IV$157.55

Discount 23% Return to IV: +29.3%

Market implies +4.1%/yr vs model +9.3% · below model

Micropolis AI Robotics

Consumer Cyclical Risk 31 · Moderate

Limited data — see page

Consumer Cyclical

Limited data — see page

MAGNA INTERNATIONAL INC

Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate

Discount 5% Return to IV: +5.6%

Market implies +3.4%/yr vs model +5.0% · in line

MGM Resorts International

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 36 · Moderate

Model IV$141.38

Discount 72% Return to IV: +254.4%

Market implies -4.2%/yr vs model +17.6% · below model

MOHAWK INDUSTRIES INC

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated

Model IV$114.21

Premium +11% Return to IV: -9.9%

Market implies +5.2%/yr vs model +5.5% · in line

Melco Resorts & Entertainment LTD

Deeply undervalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated

Discount 80% Return to IV: +405.5%

Market implies -3.3%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model

MILLERKNOLL, INC.

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 44 · Elevated

Premium +50% Return to IV: -33.3%

Market implies +12.7%/yr vs model +9.7% · in line

MILLER INDUSTRIES INC /TN/

Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate

Market implies +29.4%/yr vs model +4.1% · above model

MINISO Group Holding Ltd

Consumer Cyclical Risk 32 · Moderate

Limited data — see page

Consumer Cyclical Risk 37 · Moderate

Market implies +66.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model

Consumer Cyclical Risk 42 · Elevated

Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model

MODINE MANUFACTURING CO

Consumer Cyclical Risk 43 · Elevated

Market implies +43.2%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model

MOVADO GROUP INC

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 64 · High

Premium +33% Return to IV: -25.1%

Market implies +6.8%/yr vs model +4.1% · in line