HAVERTY FURNITURE COMPANIES INC (HVT) Stock Analysis

Price updated yesterday · SEC data refreshed 3 months ago · Not investment advice

HAVERTY FURNITURE COMPANIES INC

HVT Consumer Cyclical Furniture Retail📄 SEC filings ↗ CUSIP 419596101
Valuation N/A
▾ What's in the 53/100 risk score? (higher = riskier)
Fundamental health (43%) 46/100 → +19.7
leverage 20/100 · FCF trend 80/100 · Altman Z not scored — input unavailable (see Financial Health)
Smart money (short interest + insider buying) (31%) 79/100 → +24.8
Macro backdrop (VIX, curve, credit, fear/greed + week-over-week momentum) (26%) 33/100 → +8.5
Total53/100

Contributions (weight × component score) sum to the total. This near-term score now includes fundamental health (leverage, FCF trend). It excludes the Altman Z score, whose retained-earnings input this filer does not report separately. See the Financial Health section for the full balance-sheet read.

💵 Price $27.32 · yesterday 📄 Financials SEC EDGAR · refreshed 3 months ago

How to read HVT

We are not publishing an intrinsic value for this one — the section below says exactly why. Everything on this page that comes straight from the filings and the tape is still here; treat the missing valuation as a known gap, not as a verdict on the business.

Where to start — the sections that matter most for this stock
  1. 1 Reported earnings & margins ↓
    What the company actually reported — unaffected by the valuation being held.
  2. 2 Balance sheet & book value ↓
    Assets, liabilities and equity as filed.
  3. 3 Who's selling & betting against it ↓
    Insider and short-interest behaviour needs no valuation model.
Or — what are you trying to decide?
A note on process: fear-driven decisions — including fear of missing out — tend to be the expensive ones. A stock up 10% a day for three days is excitement, not evidence. Whichever reader you are, the data below is there to be checked before anything is decided.
🚀
"It's surging — should I chase it?"
The momentum / FOMO trade. Before you chase, see whether the people who know it best are quietly selling into the rally.
🏷️
"Is it a cheap bargain?"
The deep-value trade. How far below assets and our value it trades — and whether it's cheap for a reason.
ⓘ A share-count quirk blocked the per-share math

The share count we read for HVT looks wrong — common for multi-class / founder-controlled filers that report shares per share-class. That makes per-share figures (including intrinsic value) misleading, so we suppressed them. The company's total financials below are sound.

What to use instead: Lean on the totals — revenue, net income, cash flow — and the balance sheet. Multi-class share counts are being corrected; once fixed, the per-share valuation returns automatically.

This note is only about the single DCF fair-value number — HVT's full financial statements, health scores, and written analysis are all below.

Loading insider & short-seller data…
Checking filings for failure warnings…

Quality & solvency checks

Cheap stocks can be cheap for a reason. These screens warn when a low valuation comes paired with structural fragility.

Altman Z-Score?Altman Z-Score — A bankruptcy-risk score combining 5 financial ratios into one number. Predictive of bankruptcy within 2 years.
Why it matters: Cheap-looking stocks (low P/E or P/B) often have low Z-scores because the market knows the company is dying. Z-score warns you before you fall into a value trap.
Reference: > 3.0 = safe zone · 1.81–3.0 = grey zone · < 1.81 = distress zone
Full explanation →
Not available for this filer

The Z-score needs working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, sales and total assets from the latest balance sheet, and at least one of those isn't reported in machine-readable form here — common for foreign private issuers. We leave it blank rather than compute a distress verdict from an estimated input. It doesn't affect the reported figures in the financial tables below.

Piotroski-style checks (partial — not a standard F-score)
6 passed · 2 failed · 1 n/a
Partial result, not a standard F-score: 6 of 8 measurable checks passed. 1 of the 9 standard checks couldn't be measured, so this is scored out of 8, not 9 — it isn't comparable to a published F-score.
▾ The checks — what passed, what didn't (and what we couldn't measure)
  • Positive net income
    Net income $19.7M in FY2025.
  • Positive operating cash flow
    Operating cash flow $52.6M (was $58.9M the prior year).
  • Cash flow backs up reported profit
    Operating cash flow $52.6M vs net income $19.7M.
  • Return on assets improving
    Return on assets 3.0% vs 3.1% a year ago. Flat year-over-year — the point requires strict improvement, so it isn't awarded, but this is not deterioration.
    Why this matters: Is the company squeezing more profit out of each dollar of assets than last year? Rising = getting more efficient; falling = the opposite.
  • Debt load (vs assets)
    The filing reports no interest-bearing debt in either year (total assets $649.1M).
  • Short-term liquidity (current ratio)
    Current ratio 1.87x vs 1.82x a year ago.
  • · Share count (dilution) (n/a — data not reported; not scored)
  • Pricing power (gross margin)
    Gross margin 60.7% vs 60.7% a year ago.
    Why this matters: Rising gross margin means stronger pricing power or lower input costs — a sign of competitive strength. Falling margin signals pressure.
  • Sales per asset (asset turnover)
    Asset turnover 1.17x vs 1.11x a year ago.

Missing data is never counted as a pass or a fail — it's shown as n/a and excluded from the denominator. Each check compares the company against its own prior year.

Price$27.32
Model IVNot applicable — DCF couldn't price this stock. The other valuation lenses on this page (reverse-DCF, peers, sector lens — whichever apply to this filer) carry the read instead.

A standard DCF?DCF — Discounted Cash Flow — sums up all future cash a business will produce, adjusted for the fact that future dollars are worth less than dollars today.
Why it matters: It is the most fundamentally honest valuation method when applicable — but only works for companies with predictable, positive cash flow.
Reference: Best for: mature, profitable businesses. Fails for: pre-profit growth, banks, REITs.
Full explanation →
valuation is not meaningful for Haverty Furniture Companies due to its declining revenue (-7%/yr over 4yr), which makes future cash flow projections unreliable. Investors are likely focused on the company's ability to stabilize and reverse this revenue decline, betting on its consistent profitability and positive operating cash flow. The #1 quantifiable risk is the continued revenue contraction.

⚠️ Stock-based compensation equals 22% of pre-SBC free cash flow; FCF used here is net of SBC (a real shareholder-dilution cost), so it is lower than the headline GAAP cash-flow figure.

As of 3 months ago

Anatomy of a share

What you're buying per share. Bars are at the same scale so you can see the relative size of revenue, costs, cash flow, and debt — not just read them in a table.

Per-share economics aren't reliable for this filer. Its income statement or share count isn't fully reported to SEC EDGAR (common for foreign private issuers and thinly-disclosed OTC names), so we don't break it down per share here — the figures would be misleading. See the financial tables below for what is reported.

What you actually need to decide

Every stock price is a disagreement. Here's the single thing that must go right for the bulls, the single thing that breaks the thesis, and the concrete signposts to watch so you can update your view as real results arrive.

🐂 The Bull Case
For the stock to perform well, the revenue decline must stabilize and ideally reverse, leveraging the expanding gross margin (56.7% to 60.7%) to drive future profitability.
🐻 The Bear Case
The biggest fundamental risk is the continued revenue decline (-7%/yr over 4yr), which, if sustained, could eventually erode profitability and operating cash flow despite current positive trends.
📌 Signposts to watch — update your view as these print
  • Quarterly revenue growth rates
  • Gross margin trends
  • Operating cash flow generation

The trend, in plain numbers (FY2024 → FY2025, latest reported)

Straight from the financial statements — no model, no opinion. For a small or unprofitable company, the direction of these numbers usually tells you more than any single valuation.

✅ Improving
  • Revenue grew +5% to $759.0M.
  • Free cash flow rose to $25.7M.
⚠ Worsening
  • Net income fell -1% to $19.7M.

Roughly flat: Gross margin held to 61% (0 pts).

Management & Leadership

Clarence H. Smith serves as the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Haverty Furniture Companies, a role he has held for many years, leading the company's strategic direction in the furniture retail sector. Richard W. Hare is the President, and John H. Gill is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

Clarence H. Smith
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Richard W. Hare
President
John H. Gill
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

What They Make

Haverty Furniture Companies sells a wide range of home furnishings, including living room, dining room, and bedroom furniture, along with accessories, primarily to individual consumers for their homes.

End Markets

Residential FurnitureHome DecorInterior Design

Revenue Drivers

Living room furniture sales
Bedroom furniture sales
Dining room furniture sales
Beta: 1.06

Why Is It Priced Like This?

Why Customers Pay

Wide selection of home furnishings
In-store design services
Delivery and setup services
No discounted-cash-flow value for this filer We aren't publishing a discounted-cash-flow value here: the model's output failed our plausibility checks, so showing it would imply more precision than we have.

What we use instead: earnings (P/E, EV/EBIT), book value (P/B) — computed from the figures this company does report, shown in the sections below. Those numbers are unaffected by the missing cash-flow data.

The market is likely pricing HVT based on its consistent profitability (net income positive 5/5 yrs) and positive operating cash flow (positive 5/5 yrs), despite declining revenue. Investors are likely betting on the company's ability to maintain these positive cash flow metrics and potentially stabilize or reverse the revenue decline in the future.

Business Model & Valuation

How They Make Money

Sales of furniture and mattresses
Sales of home accessories and decor
Financing options for customer purchases

Haverty Furniture Companies funds itself through its positive operating cash flow, with stock-based compensation representing 22% of pre-SBC?SBC (Stock-Based Compensation) — Paying employees with company shares instead of cash.
Why it matters: It's a real cost — it dilutes your ownership — so we subtract it from free cash flow even though accounting rules add it back, which would otherwise flatter cash-heavy tech companies.
Reference: Can be 10–30% of revenue at high-growth software firms.
Full explanation →
free cash flow?Free Cash Flow (FCF) — Operating cash flow minus capital spending: cash left after a company covers operating costs, taxes and interest and reinvests in the business — but BEFORE repaying debt principal or paying dividends. The cash actually available to investors.
Why it matters: A company can show big profits on paper while burning through cash. FCF is what actually fills the bank account.
Reference: Healthy mature businesses convert 8–15% of revenue into FCF · Growth companies often negative
Full explanation →
.

Free Cash Flow DCF

Standard FCF DCF: positive free cash flow in a sector suited for cash-flow-based valuation.

Show advanced inputs
Revenue Growth-7.0%
Historical Fcf Growth-17.3%
Sector Default8.0%
Best Estimate-2.5%
Methodblend(70% revenue_cagr, 30% sector)
Growth Basistotal

What this model does NOT do: this is a consolidated owner-earnings FCF model. Standalone segment assumptions: none. It does not project same-store sales, store/showroom count and gross margin independently; their combined effect is embedded in the historical revenue and cash-flow trend the model extrapolates. The calculator above can only approximate a segment's impact through the single consolidated growth rate — it cannot model any one line separately. For a true segment-level view, build a separate model from the company's segment disclosures.

Maturity & Competitive Position

Mature / low-growth

Moat Signals

Established brand recognition
Extensive retail store network
Customer service and delivery infrastructure

Revenue has been declining at -7%/yr over the past four years, from $1013M to $759M.

Geography & Markets

Haverty Furniture Companies primarily operates its retail stores across the Southern and Midwestern United States, serving customers in these regions.

Geographic Risks

Concentration risk in Southern/Midwestern US markets
Sensitivity to consumer discretionary spending

Market Signals

These are timing signals, not value signals — they describe the stock's recent price behavior, not what the business is worth. Use them for the "the thesis looks good, but is now the moment?" question. Each tile below explains what it's saying.

Model neutral, tape neutral - aligned.
RSI?RSI — Relative Strength Index — a 0-100 momentum gauge. Above 70 = overbought; below 30 = oversold.
Why it matters: Short-term contrarian indicator. Extreme readings often precede mean reversion, though not always.
Reference: 30–70 normal · >70 overbought · <30 oversold
Full explanation →
(14)
59.7NeutralMomentum is balanced — neither overbought nor oversold.
MACD?MACD — Moving Average Convergence Divergence — compares a fast and a slow price trend to gauge momentum direction.
Why it matters: When the fast line crosses above the slow line, short-term momentum is turning up; below, turning down. A timing cue, not a value signal.
Reference: Line above signal = bullish momentum · below = bearish
Full explanation →
BullishLine above signalThe fast trend is above the slow trend — short-term momentum is currently upward.
50-Day Average$21.86Price above (+25.0%)Price above its 50-day average = near-term uptrend.
200-Day Average$23.04Price aboveThe 200-day line is the long-term trend divider — above it is generally considered a bull market for the stock.
50 vs 200 CrossDeath50-day below 200-dayA "death cross" — the medium trend is below the long trend (often read as bearish).

Technicals describe price, not the business. A great company can have a "bearish" tape (a buying chance) and a weak one a "bullish" tape (a trap). Pair these with the valuation and health sections above.

Data Quality & Risk Flags (7 notes — click to expand/collapse)

Guardrail Notes (7)
  • Stock-based compensation equals 22% of pre-SBC free cash flow; FCF used here is net of SBC (a real shareholder-dilution cost), so it is lower than the headline GAAP cash-flow figure.
  • Terminal growth (3%) capped to 0% (80% of near-term growth -2.5%, floored to 0%).
  • Shares from unknown — per-share values may be less accurate.
  • Illiquidity discount 25% applied (small/micro-cap — harder to exit, demand a margin).
  • Shares/market cap missing or defaulted; per-share valuation unreliable.
  • Shares defaulted to 1; IV is NOT meaningful — treat as data-unavailable.
  • DATA UNAVAILABLE: per-share values suppressed due to missing/unreliable shares data.

Financial Statements (5-year tables — click to expand)

From HAVERTY FURNITURE COMPANIES INC's SEC filings (EDGAR).

Income (5yr)

YearRevenueNet IncomeEPS
2025759.0M19.7M
2024722.9M20.0M
2023862.1M56.3M
20221.0B89.4M
20211.0B90.8M

Cash Flow (5yr)

YearOperating CFCapEx− SBC & adj.Free Cash Flow
2025 52.6M 19.7M 7.3M 25.7M
2024 58.9M 32.1M 6.7M 20.1M
2023 97.2M 53.1M 8.0M 36.1M
2022 51.0M 28.4M 7.2M 15.4M
2021 97.2M 34.1M 8.2M 54.9M

How we define FCF: operating cash flow − capital expenditure − stock-based compensation (owner-earnings basis — SBC is a real cost to shareholders even though it's non-cash). Latest year: 52.6M − 19.7M − 7.3M (SBC & adj.) = 25.7M. This is the same owner-earnings FCF definition the valuation model uses.

Balance Sheet

Total Assets649.1M
Total Liabilities341.1M
Equity307.9M
PG
Methodology by Pouyan Golshani, MD — founder of Gighz. Savng was built by a physician for busy professionals: every number on this page comes from SEC filings (EDGAR) and FINRA data through transparent, rules-based models — no analyst opinions, no hidden inputs. How we calculate every number →
⚠️ Not investment advice. Automated model outputs, last refreshed May 30, 2026 (the analysis-refresh date, not the latest filing period). All models have blind spots. Full disclaimer →
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