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Consumer Defensive

Every analyzed stock in Consumer Defensive — 249 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Consumer Defensive risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
31 /100 Moderate ▼ -3 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
45 /100 Elevated ▲ +1 slight
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 161 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 161 stocks.
18 Low
▲ +2
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
50 Elevated
▼ -1
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
50.2%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
55%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
29%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 188 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
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This week in Consumer Defensive
Consumer Defensive — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Consumer Defensive Sector: Dividends in Focus, Valuation Swings, and AI Adoption →
This week saw a focus on dividend-paying stocks within the Consumer Defensive sector, with some companies appearing undervalued while others were overvalued. The sector's risk score increased slightly, and companies like Sysco are exploring AI for…
YCBD
cbdMD, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$0.46
Model IV$2.09
P/IV0.38
Discount 78% Return to IV: +353.2%
Market implies -34.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
YHC
LQR House Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$1.41
Model IV$0.37
P/IV2.46
Premium +282% Return to IV: -73.8%
Market implies +11.1%/yr vs model +37.6% · below model
YOUL
Youlife Group Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$0.44
Model IV$0.41
P/IV1.28
Premium +9% Return to IV: -8.3%
Market implies +1.6%/yr vs model +5.0% · below model
YQ
17 Education & Technology Group Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$3.76
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +62.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
YSG
Yatsen Holding Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$2.58
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +38.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
YSWY
Yesway, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$22.95
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ZCMD
Zhongchao Inc.
Undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$0.80
Model IV$0.22
P/IV0.77
Premium +270% Return to IV: -73.0%
Market implies +9.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
ZNB
Zeta Network Group
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$1.41
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -12.9%/yr vs model +6.5% · below model
ZONE
CleanCore Solutions, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$0.15
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +47.3%/yr vs model +29.2% · above model