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Consumer Defensive

Every analyzed stock in Consumer Defensive — 249 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Consumer Defensive risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
32 /100 Moderate ▼ -2 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
45 /100 Elevated ▲ +1 slight
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 161 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
35 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 161 stocks.
18 Low
▲ +2
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
50 Elevated
▼ -1
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
50.4%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
55%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
28%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 190 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Consumer Defensive
Consumer Defensive — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Consumer Defensive Sector: Dividends in Focus, Valuation Swings, and AI Adoption →
This week saw a focus on dividend-paying stocks within the Consumer Defensive sector, with some companies appearing undervalued while others were overvalued. The sector's risk score increased slightly, and companies like Sysco are exploring AI for…
AACG
ATA Creativity Global
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$0.86
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +21.7%/yr vs model +4.8% · above model
ABEV
AMBEV S.A.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$3.03
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ABVE
Above Food Ingredients Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$0.11
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ABVEW
ABVEW
Valuation N/A
Price$0.02
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ACI
Albertsons Companies, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$12.84
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -3.4%/yr vs model +4.1% · below model
ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$86.61
Model IV$181.86
P/IV0.44
Discount 52% Return to IV: +110.0%
Market implies -4.0%/yr vs model +5.8% · below model
AFRI
Forafric Global PLC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$11.10
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +0.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · in line
AFRIW
Forafric Global PLC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1.17
Model IV$2.09
P/IV0.54
Discount 44% Return to IV: +79.6%
Market implies -10.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
AFYA
Afya Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$13.70
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
AGCC
Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$13.70
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +40.0%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
AIIR
AIR Global PLC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$7.29
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
AMBO
Ambow Education Holding Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$2.09
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +38.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
AMSS
AMASS BRANDS
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$0.72
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ANDE
Andersons, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$71.68
Model IV$49.42
P/IV1.43
Premium +45% Return to IV: -31.1%
Market implies -2.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
APC
ARKO Petroleum Corp.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$18.67
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
APEI
AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION INC
Undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$44.94
Model IV$53.23
P/IV0.93
Discount 16% Return to IV: +18.5%
Market implies +4.6%/yr vs model +9.6% · below model
ARKO
ARKO Corp.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$4.57
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -3.7%/yr vs model +5.2% · below model
ASH
ASHLAND INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 68 · High
Price$69.67
Model IV$38.31
P/IV1.51
Premium +82% Return to IV: -45.0%
Market implies +6.3%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
AXIL
Axil Brands, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$6.17
Model IV$1.52
P/IV4.41
Premium +305% Return to IV: -75.3%
Market implies +18.1%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
BANL
CBL International Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$6.30
Model IV$4.76
P/IV0.08
Premium +32% Return to IV: -24.5%
Market implies +8.3%/yr vs model +10.8% · in line
BF-B
BROWN FORMAN CORP
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 63 · High
Price$26.18
Model IV$29.50
P/IV0.89
Discount 11% Return to IV: +12.7%
Market implies +0.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · in line
BFAM
BRIGHT HORIZONS FAMILY SOLUTIONS INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$66.87
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -3.0%/yr vs model +12.5% · below model
BG
Bunge Global SA
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 64 · High
Price$121.23
Model IV$49.20
P/IV2.51
Premium +146% Return to IV: -59.4%
Market implies +13.8%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
BGS
B&G Foods, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$3.16
Model IV$13.27
P/IV0.31
Discount 76% Return to IV: +320.0%
Market implies -18.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
BNKK
BONK, INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$1.39
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +53.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
BOF
BranchOut Food Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$3.86
Model IV$1.60
P/IV2.16
Premium +142% Return to IV: -58.6%
Market implies +14.8%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
BOXL
Boxlight Corp
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$5.69
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -38.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
BRBR
BELLRING BRANDS, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$9.14
Model IV$71.33
P/IV0.12
Discount 87% Return to IV: +680.4%
Market implies -16.8%/yr vs model +13.2% · below model
BRCC
BRC Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$8.56
Model IV$3.26
P/IV0.39
Premium +162% Return to IV: -61.9%
Market implies +10.1%/yr vs model +14.3% · below model
BRFH
BARFRESH FOOD GROUP INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$1.24
Model IV$1.21
P/IV1.90
Premium +3% Return to IV: -2.6%
Market implies -10.0%/yr vs model +20.7% · below model
BRID
BRIDGFORD FOODS CORP
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$5.98
Model IV$24.60
P/IV0.32
Discount 76% Return to IV: +311.4%
Market implies -31.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
BRLS
Borealis Foods Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$1.40
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +1.6%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
BRLSW
Borealis Foods Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$0.06
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -31.3%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
BSAA
BEST SPAC I Acquisition Corp.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$11.10
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BSAAR
BEST SPAC I Acquisition Corp.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$0.10
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BSAAU
BEST SPAC I Acquisition Corp.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$10.50
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BTI
British American Tobacco p.l.c.
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$57.29
Model IV$50.62
P/IV1.09
Premium +13% Return to IV: -11.6%
Market implies +3.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · in line
BUD
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV
Undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$78.23
Model IV$102.07
P/IV0.77
Discount 23% Return to IV: +30.5%
Market implies -0.8%/yr vs model +3.1% · below model
BUDA
BUDA JUICE, INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$8.18
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BYAH
Park Ha Biological Technology Co., Ltd.
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$2.38
Model IV$1.12
P/IV1.09
Premium +113% Return to IV: -53.0%
Market implies +3.1%/yr vs model +9.6% · below model
BYND
BEYOND MEAT, INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 65 · High
Price$10.31
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +40.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
CABR
Caring Brands, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$1.19
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +123.3%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
CAG
CONAGRA BRANDS INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$14.60
Model IV$63.78
P/IV0.21
Discount 77% Return to IV: +336.8%
Market implies -16.0%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
CAH
CARDINAL HEALTH INC
Undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$232.65
Model IV$296.64
P/IV0.66
Discount 22% Return to IV: +27.5%
Market implies +5.8%/yr vs model +11.2% · below model
CAPL
CrossAmerica Partners LP
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$22.80
Model IV$31.81
P/IV0.68
Discount 28% Return to IV: +39.5%
Market implies -2.3%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
CCEP
COCA-COLA EUROPACIFIC PARTNERS plc
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$104.67
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CCU
UNITED BREWERIES CO INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$11.64
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CELH
Celsius Holdings, Inc.
Undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$28.45
Model IV$37.68
P/IV0.88
Discount 24% Return to IV: +32.4%
Market implies +15.0%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model
CENT
CENTRAL GARDEN & PET CO
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$40.19
Model IV$85.17
P/IV0.45
Discount 53% Return to IV: +111.9%
Market implies -7.0%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
CENTA
CENTRAL GARDEN & PET CO
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$34.61
Model IV$86.01
P/IV0.40
Discount 60% Return to IV: +148.5%
Market implies -9.1%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
CHD
CHURCH & DWIGHT CO INC /DE/
Undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$94.15
Model IV$133.74
P/IV0.72
Discount 30% Return to IV: +42.0%
Market implies +0.3%/yr vs model +5.2% · below model
CHEF
Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$106.46
Model IV$69.21
P/IV1.11
Premium +54% Return to IV: -35.0%
Market implies +19.5%/yr vs model +18.4% · in line
CHGG
CHEGG, INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$0.73
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +36.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
CHSCL
CHS INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$25.47
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CHSCM
CHS INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$24.25
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CHSCN
CHS INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$25.02
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CHSCO
CHS INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$25.97
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CHSCP
CHS INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$26.69
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CHSN
Chanson International Holding
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$1.05
Model IV$2.09
P/IV0.51
Discount 50% Return to IV: +98.6%
Market implies -4.5%/yr vs model +9.4% · below model
CL
COLGATE PALMOLIVE CO
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$86.80
Model IV$136.97
P/IV0.66
Discount 37% Return to IV: +57.8%
Market implies -0.8%/yr vs model +5.4% · below model