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Consumer Defensive

Every analyzed stock in Consumer Defensive — 249 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Consumer Defensive risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
31 /100 Moderate ▼ -3 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
45 /100 Elevated ▲ +1 slight
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 161 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 161 stocks.
18 Low
▲ +2
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
50 Elevated
▼ -1
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
50.2%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
55%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
29%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 188 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Consumer Defensive
Consumer Defensive — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Consumer Defensive Sector: Dividends in Focus, Valuation Swings, and AI Adoption →
This week saw a focus on dividend-paying stocks within the Consumer Defensive sector, with some companies appearing undervalued while others were overvalued. The sector's risk score increased slightly, and companies like Sysco are exploring AI for…
CLX
CLOROX CO /DE/
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$87.16
Model IV$140.89
P/IV0.64
Discount 38% Return to IV: +61.6%
Market implies -2.7%/yr vs model +3.6% · below model
COCO
Vita Coco Company, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 67 · High
Price$55.78
Model IV$21.16
P/IV3.55
Premium +164% Return to IV: -62.1%
Market implies +6.3%/yr vs model +12.6% · below model
COE
51Talk Online Education Group
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$10.61
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +16.1%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
COKE
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$192.61
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
COOT
Australian Oilseeds Holdings Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$0.43
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
COOTW
Australian Oilseeds Holdings Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$0.01
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +17.6% · below model
COR
Cencora, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$321.57
Model IV$676.14
P/IV0.40
Discount 52% Return to IV: +110.3%
Market implies -0.7%/yr vs model +10.6% · below model
COSM
Cosmos Health Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$0.28
Model IV$0.13
P/IV1.94
Premium +118% Return to IV: -54.1%
Market implies +6.3%/yr vs model +3.8% · in line
COTY
COTY INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$2.70
Model IV$4.65
P/IV0.46
Discount 42% Return to IV: +72.2%
Market implies -3.2%/yr vs model +5.9% · below model
CPB
CAMPBELL'S Co
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$21.00
Model IV$66.35
P/IV0.32
Discount 68% Return to IV: +216.0%
Market implies -9.7%/yr vs model +4.9% · below model
CVSA
Covista Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$125.09
Model IV$377.31
P/IV0.31
Discount 67% Return to IV: +201.6%
Market implies +0.3%/yr vs model +18.6% · below model
DAO
Youdao, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$14.53
Model IV$8.62
P/IV1.39
Premium +69% Return to IV: -40.7%
Market implies +1.2%/yr vs model +7.6% · below model
DAR
DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$64.92
Model IV$69.28
P/IV0.85
Discount 6% Return to IV: +6.7%
Market implies +2.6%/yr vs model +3.8% · in line
DDC
DDC Enterprise Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$0.25
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
DEO
DIAGEO PLC
Overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$86.80
Model IV$66.96
P/IV1.29
Premium +30% Return to IV: -22.9%
Market implies +5.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
DIT
AMCON DISTRIBUTING CO
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$64.78
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -31.2%/yr vs model +11.2% · below model
DLXY
Delixy Holdings Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$0.42
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
DNUT
Krispy Kreme, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$3.20
Model IV$4.87
P/IV0.72
Discount 34% Return to IV: +52.3%
Market implies -8.7%/yr vs model +3.2% · below model
DPZ
DOMINOS PIZZA INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$323.77
Model IV$662.56
P/IV0.47
Discount 51% Return to IV: +104.6%
Market implies -2.4%/yr vs model +7.6% · below model
ECL
ECOLAB INC.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$275.51
Model IV$146.49
P/IV1.75
Premium +88% Return to IV: -46.8%
Market implies +12.8%/yr vs model +5.7% · above model
EDTK
Skillful Craftsman Education Technology Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$0.93
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +37.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
EDU
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$56.26
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +27.0%/yr vs model +3.5% · above model
EDUC
EDUCATIONAL DEVELOPMENT CORP
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$1.31
Model IV$2.78
P/IV0.52
Discount 53% Return to IV: +112.4%
Market implies -9.2%/yr vs model +5.0% · below model
EEIQ
EpicQuest Education Group International Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$3.62
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +13.2%/yr vs model +13.7% · in line
EL
ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$98.22
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +34.3%/yr vs model +2.6% · above model
ELF
e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$96.91
Model IV$29.31
P/IV1.91
Premium +231% Return to IV: -69.8%
Market implies +36.8%/yr vs model +25.0% · above model
EMPG
Empro Group Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$17.36
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
EPC
EDGEWELL PERSONAL CARE Co
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 64 · High
Price$26.71
Model IV$7.96
P/IV2.20
Premium +236% Return to IV: -70.2%
Market implies +20.1%/yr vs model +6.6% · above model
EPSM
Epsium Enterprise Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$1.34
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +16.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
FAMI
Farmmi, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$0.13
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
FEDU
Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$10.01
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +21.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
FIZZ
NATIONAL BEVERAGE CORP
Overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$31.81
Model IV$25.13
P/IV1.23
Premium +27% Return to IV: -21.0%
Market implies +5.0%/yr vs model +2.2% · in line
FLO
FLOWERS FOODS INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$6.14
Model IV$29.69
P/IV0.26
Discount 79% Return to IV: +383.6%
Market implies -17.2%/yr vs model +3.6% · below model
FMX
MEXICAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$121.26
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
FRPT
Freshpet, Inc.
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$63.74
Model IV$58.89
P/IV0.88
Premium +8% Return to IV: -7.6%
Market implies -4.1%/yr vs model +26.9% · below model
GHC
Graham Holdings Co
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1,167.63
Model IV$1,726.98
P/IV0.10
Discount 32% Return to IV: +47.9%
Market implies +3.8%/yr vs model +12.6% · below model
GIS
GENERAL MILLS INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$35.85
Model IV$126.35
P/IV0.27
Discount 72% Return to IV: +252.4%
Market implies -10.5%/yr vs model +5.6% · below model
GLP
GLOBAL PARTNERS LP
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$51.12
Model IV$140.51
P/IV0.34
Discount 64% Return to IV: +174.9%
Market implies -9.6%/yr vs model +4.0% · below model
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$11.25
Model IV$80.71
P/IV0.23
Discount 86% Return to IV: +617.4%
Market implies -40.8%/yr vs model +9.4% · below model
GOTU
Gaotu Techedu Inc.
Undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$2.06
Model IV$2.72
P/IV0.66
Discount 24% Return to IV: +31.8%
Market implies -2.0%/yr vs model +3.1% · below model
GSUN
Golden Sun Technology Group Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$0.23
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +24.0% · below model
GV
Visionary Holdings Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$0.01
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -37.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
HAIN
HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$0.62
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -12.5%/yr vs model +4.9% · below model
HCWC
HEALTHY CHOICE WELLNESS CORP.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$9.88
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +46.5%/yr vs model +14.5% · above model
HFFG
HF Foods Group Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$1.66
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +5.5%/yr vs model +9.5% · below model
HKPD
Cellyan Biotechnology Co., Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$0.13
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HLF
HERBALIFE LTD.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$12.02
Model IV$22.26
P/IV0.43
Discount 46% Return to IV: +85.2%
Market implies -7.6%/yr vs model +3.1% · below model
HLN
Haleon plc
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$9.19
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HRL
HORMEL FOODS CORP /DE/
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$20.57
Model IV$22.42
P/IV1.04
Discount 8% Return to IV: +9.0%
Market implies +1.6%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
HSY
HERSHEY CO
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$173.68
Model IV$289.17
P/IV0.67
Discount 40% Return to IV: +66.5%
Market implies -1.0%/yr vs model +6.3% · below model
HWH
HWH International Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$2.15
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +15.8%/yr vs model +15.0% · in line
HWKN
HAWKINS INC
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 65 · High
Price$121.49
Model IV$66.49
P/IV2.33
Premium +83% Return to IV: -45.3%
Market implies +14.1%/yr vs model +7.6% · above model
HYFM
HYDROFARM HOLDINGS GROUP, INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 64 · High
Price$0.98
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -45.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
IBG
Innovation Beverage Group Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$0.98
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +25.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
IH
iHuman Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$1.21
Model IV$0.73
P/IV2.26
Premium +64% Return to IV: -39.0%
Market implies +7.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
IMKTA
INGLES MARKETS INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$83.12
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
INGR
Ingredion Inc
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$100.49
Model IV$209.60
P/IV0.48
Discount 52% Return to IV: +108.6%
Market implies -5.3%/yr vs model +4.0% · below model
IPAR
INTERPARFUMS INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$112.01
Model IV$207.25
P/IV0.46
Discount 46% Return to IV: +85.0%
Market implies +1.5%/yr vs model +11.3% · below model
IPST
IP STRATEGY HOLDINGS, INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$3.05
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +25.8%/yr vs model +12.7% · above model
ISPR
Ispire Technology Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$1.44
Model IV$0.71
P/IV2.02
Premium +102% Return to IV: -50.4%
Market implies +6.8%/yr vs model +2.2% · above model