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Consumer Defensive

Every analyzed stock in Consumer Defensive — 249 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Consumer Defensive risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
37 /100 Moderate ▲ +3 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
45 /100 Elevated ▲ +1 slight
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 161 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
50 Elevated
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 161 stocks.
18 Low
▲ +2
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
50 Elevated
▼ -1
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
50.2%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
55%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
29%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 188 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Consumer Defensive
Consumer Defensive — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Consumer Defensive Sector: Dividends in Focus, Valuation Swings, and AI Adoption →
This week saw a focus on dividend-paying stocks within the Consumer Defensive sector, with some companies appearing undervalued while others were overvalued. The sector's risk score increased slightly, and companies like Sysco are exploring AI for…
PTLE
PTL Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$7.72
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +29.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
PTNM
Pitanium Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$10.39
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +21.9%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
PXED
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$26.84
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
RAVE
RAVE RESTAURANT GROUP, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$2.90
Model IV$5.83
P/IV0.52
Discount 50% Return to IV: +100.9%
Market implies -3.3%/yr vs model +11.7% · below model
REED
REED'S, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$0.85
Model IV$1.37
P/IV1.25
Discount 38% Return to IV: +60.9%
Market implies -17.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
RLX
RLX Technology Inc.
Undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$1.75
Model IV$2.31
P/IV0.89
Discount 24% Return to IV: +32.0%
Market implies +1.2%/yr vs model +5.5% · below model
RMCF
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$0.90
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +6.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · in line
SAM
BOSTON BEER CO INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$171.27
Model IV$545.89
P/IV0.32
Discount 69% Return to IV: +218.7%
Market implies -9.8%/yr vs model +6.2% · below model
SBEV
SPLASH BEVERAGE GROUP, INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$0.31
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +45.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
SCL
STEPAN CO
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$61.57
Model IV$76.46
P/IV0.69
Discount 19% Return to IV: +24.2%
Market implies -6.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
SEB
SEABOARD CORP /DE/
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive
Price$4,296.00
Model IV$13,066.69
P/IV0.39
Discount 67% Return to IV: +204.2%
Market implies -23.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
SENEA
Seneca Foods Corp
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$190.62
Model IV$963.70
P/IV0.15
Discount 80% Return to IV: +405.6%
Market implies -19.0%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
SENEB
Seneca Foods Corp
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$188.22
Model IV$963.70
P/IV0.15
Discount 80% Return to IV: +412.0%
Market implies -19.2%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
SFD
SMITHFIELD FOODS INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$20.26
Model IV$45.91
P/IV0.56
Discount 56% Return to IV: +126.6%
Market implies -7.2%/yr vs model +3.2% · below model
SFM
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$72.76
Model IV$240.25
P/IV0.34
Discount 70% Return to IV: +230.2%
Market implies -3.3%/yr vs model +14.6% · below model
SJM
J M SMUCKER Co
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$121.14
Model IV$217.69
P/IV0.47
Discount 44% Return to IV: +79.7%
Market implies -3.3%/yr vs model +4.3% · below model
SLSN
SOLESENCE, INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$0.81
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +25.0%/yr vs model +20.5% · above model
SMPL
Simply Good Foods Co
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$9.84
Model IV$48.96
P/IV0.24
Discount 80% Return to IV: +397.5%
Market implies -13.8%/yr vs model +8.2% · below model
SOWG
Sow Good Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$3.25
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +14.4%/yr vs model +15.0% · in line
SRXH
SRx Health Solutions, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$1.59
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +16.5%/yr vs model +15.0% · in line
STG
Sunlands Technology Group
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$2.96
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -48.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
STKH
Steakholder Foods Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$2.34
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +150.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
STRA
Strategic Education, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$81.66
Model IV$131.90
P/IV0.58
Discount 38% Return to IV: +61.5%
Market implies -3.1%/yr vs model +4.3% · below model
STZ
CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$122.45
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SUJA
SUJA LIFE, INC.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$8.95
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SYY
SYSCO CORP
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$83.54
Model IV$122.67
P/IV0.62
Discount 32% Return to IV: +46.8%
Market implies +4.0%/yr vs model +11.2% · below model
TAL
TAL Education Group
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$11.75
Model IV$2.28
P/IV4.26
Premium +416% Return to IV: -80.6%
Market implies +23.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
TAP
MOLSON COORS BEVERAGE CO
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$39.27
Model IV$162.14
P/IV0.24
Discount 76% Return to IV: +312.9%
Market implies -12.8%/yr vs model +5.2% · below model
TBBB
BBB FOODS INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive
Price$51.45
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
TMDE
TMD Energy Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$0.75
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
TPB
Turning Point Brands, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 69 · High
Price$72.17
Model IV$44.62
P/IV1.90
Premium +62% Return to IV: -38.2%
Market implies +11.0%/yr vs model +7.0% · above model
TR
TOOTSIE ROLL INDUSTRIES INC
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$38.89
Model IV$43.38
P/IV0.87
Discount 10% Return to IV: +11.5%
Market implies +3.7%/yr vs model +6.0% · in line
TSN
TYSON FOODS, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$53.16
Model IV$91.21
P/IV0.67
Discount 42% Return to IV: +71.6%
Market implies -2.5%/yr vs model +4.7% · below model
TWG
Top Wealth Group Holding Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$0.37
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
UCFI
CN Healthy Food Tech Group Corp.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$5.51
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
UFG
Uni-Fuels Holdings Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$0.57
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
UG
UNITED GUARDIAN INC
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$7.16
Model IV$6.24
P/IV1.11
Premium +15% Return to IV: -12.8%
Market implies -0.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · in line
UL
UNILEVER PLC
Overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$63.57
Model IV$50.95
P/IV1.22
Premium +25% Return to IV: -19.9%
Market implies +4.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · in line
UNFI
UNITED NATURAL FOODS INC
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$44.45
Model IV$57.48
P/IV0.89
Discount 23% Return to IV: +29.3%
Market implies +0.5%/yr vs model +4.5% · below model
USFD
US Foods Holding Corp.
Undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$95.34
Model IV$106.29
P/IV0.77
Discount 10% Return to IV: +11.5%
Market implies +2.9%/yr vs model +5.0% · in line
UTI
UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC
Overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$20.31
Model IV$31.35
P/IV1.19
Discount 35% Return to IV: +54.4%
Market implies +9.0%/yr vs model +19.5% · below model
UTZ
Utz Brands, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$14.28
Model IV$25.39
P/IV0.29
Discount 44% Return to IV: +77.8%
Market implies -16.0%/yr vs model +6.8% · below model
UVV
UNIVERSAL CORP /VA/
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 64 · High
Price$45.18
Model IV$14.10
P/IV3.68
Premium +220% Return to IV: -68.8%
Market implies +20.6%/yr vs model +8.8% · above model
VITL
Vital Farms, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$9.74
Model IV$78.27
P/IV0.13
Discount 88% Return to IV: +703.6%
Market implies -43.7%/yr vs model +30.6% · below model
VLGEA
VILLAGE SUPER MARKET INC
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$43.23
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -16.1%/yr vs model +3.9% · below model
VSA
VisionSys AI Inc
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$2.90
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +130.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
VSTS
Vestis Corp
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$12.97
Model IV$12.70
P/IV1.02
Premium +2% Return to IV: -2.1%
Market implies -1.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
WAFU
Wah Fu Education Group Ltd
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 61 · High
Price$1.38
Model IV$0.47
P/IV3.63
Premium +196% Return to IV: -66.2%
Market implies +5.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
WALD
Waldencast plc
Undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$1.31
Model IV$2.25
P/IV0.83
Discount 42% Return to IV: +71.9%
Market implies -9.4%/yr vs model +30.3% · below model
WEST
Westrock Coffee Co
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$7.84
Model IV$8.84
P/IV0.91
Discount 11% Return to IV: +12.8%
Market implies -4.3%/yr vs model +14.2% · below model
WEYS
WEYCO GROUP INC
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$44.59
Model IV$43.84
P/IV0.81
Premium +2% Return to IV: -1.7%
Market implies +1.9%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
WGRX
Wellgistics Health, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$3.03
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +81.3%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
WILC
G WILLI FOOD INTERNATIONAL LTD
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$27.75
Model IV$16.65
P/IV1.78
Premium +67% Return to IV: -40.0%
Market implies +2.4%/yr vs model +10.6% · below model
WKC
WORLD KINECT CORP
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$35.21
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -6.8%/yr vs model +7.5% · below model
WMK
WEIS MARKETS INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$72.16
Model IV$352.60
P/IV0.21
Discount 80% Return to IV: +388.6%
Market implies -33.7%/yr vs model +4.1% · below model
WNW
Meiwu Technology Co Ltd
Fairly valued
Consumer Defensive Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$2.31
Model IV$4.02
P/IV0.95
Discount 43% Return to IV: +74.0%
Market implies -10.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
WVVI
WILLAMETTE VALLEY VINEYARDS INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$1.90
Model IV$9.51
P/IV0.28
Discount 80% Return to IV: +400.5%
Market implies -38.5%/yr vs model +4.0% · below model
WVVIP
WILLAMETTE VALLEY VINEYARDS INC
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$2.85
Model IV$9.51
P/IV0.26
Discount 70% Return to IV: +233.7%
Market implies -30.7%/yr vs model +4.0% · below model
WYHG
Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Ltd
Deeply overvalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$4.13
Model IV$0.78
P/IV1.04
Premium +429% Return to IV: -81.1%
Market implies +14.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
XXII
22nd Century Group, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1.99
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -30.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model