Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) Stock Analysis

Price updated today · SEC data refreshed 3 months ago ⓘ · Not investment advice

Albertsons Companies, Inc.

ACI Consumer Defensive Grocery Stores📄 SEC filings ↗ CUSIP 013091103
Valuation N/A
Long-term trend (200d) 28% below 200-day Risk 47/100 Elevated
▾ What's in the 47/100 risk score? (higher = riskier)
Fundamental health (43%) 46/100 → +19.7
leverage 20/100 · FCF trend 80/100
Smart money (short interest + insider buying) (31%) 65/100 → +20.4
Macro backdrop (VIX, curve, credit, fear/greed + week-over-week momentum) (26%) 28/100 → +7.2
Total47/100

Contributions (weight × component score) sum to the total. This near-term score now includes fundamental health (leverage, FCF trend). See the Financial Health section for the full balance-sheet read.

💵 Price $12.59 · today 📄 Financials SEC EDGAR · refreshed 3 months ago
📍 START HERE

How to read ACI

We are not publishing an intrinsic value for this one — the section below says exactly why. Everything on this page that comes straight from the filings and the tape is still here; treat the missing valuation as a known gap, not as a verdict on the business.

Where to start — the sections that matter most for this stock
  1. 1 Reported earnings & margins ↓
    What the company actually reported — unaffected by the valuation being held.
  2. 2 Balance sheet & book value ↓
    Assets, liabilities and equity as filed.
  3. 3 Who's selling & betting against it ↓
    Insider and short-interest behaviour needs no valuation model.
Or — what are you trying to decide?
One rule first: never trade out of fear — and that includes the fear of missing out. A stock up 10% a day for three days is excitement, not data. If you can't point to the evidence behind a trade, you're more likely to lose. So whichever of these you are, check the data below before you act.
🚀
"It's surging — should I chase it?"
The momentum / FOMO trade. Before you chase, see whether the people who know it best are quietly selling into the rally.
🏷️
"Is it a cheap bargain?"
The deep-value trade. How far below assets and our value it trades — and whether it's cheap for a reason.
ⓘ Foreign filer — financials appear to be reported in a non-U.S. currency

ACI looks like a foreign company (ADR) whose SEC filings are denominated in its home currency, while the share price is in U.S. dollars. Mixing the two would produce a meaningless dollar fair-value, so we suppress the single intrinsic-value number rather than show a wrong one.

What to use instead: the growth trends, margins and ratios below (which are currency-independent), the peer comparison, and the company's own filings. A currency-converted valuation is on our roadmap.

ⓘ Why does ACI trade at $12.59?

Albertsons Companies, Inc. has 547.2 million shares outstanding. At $12.59 per share, the market values all outstanding ACI equity at $6.9 billion. That's market capitalization, not enterprise value — enterprise value also accounts for debt and cash (ACI carries little or no debt, so the two are close here). The share price by itself tells you almost nothing — a company can pick any share price by splitting or issuing more shares. What matters is the total value (Market Cap?Market Cap — The total dollar value the market is assigning to the entire company.
Why it matters: This is the number that actually matters when comparing companies. Two companies with the same business but different share counts have the same market cap.
Reference: Mega cap >$200B · Large $10–200B · Mid $2–10B · Small $300M–2B · Micro <$300M
Full explanation →) compared to what the business actually produces. This page values ACI in Per Share?Per Share — A company-level figure divided by total shares — what one share represents.
Why it matters: Per-share metrics are the only way to fairly compare two companies with different share counts.
Full explanation → economics — what each share represents of the underlying business. Play with the share-price calculator on the homepage →

Loading insider & short-seller data…
Checking filings for failure warnings…
PEER BASKET — LIMITED COMPARABLES

⚠ We found only 1 genuine same-industry (Grocery Stores) comparable — fewer than the 4 we require for a reliable median. The 8 names in the table below therefore include 7 broader Consumer Defensive names marked fallback, whose business models and margins differ — which is why any median below is computed over that wider set, not over true comparables. So we do not derive a peer-implied share value here. Read the multiples as rough context only.

How does ACI stack up against its closest peers?

Ideally we compare ACI only to same-industry peers, but too few exist in our universe right now, so the basket below mixes in broader-sector names. Treat the multiples as rough context, not a valuation. For a leveraged business, EV/EBIT and FCF yield (both in the table) are usually more reliable than EV/Sales, because revenue multiples ignore differences in margins and debt.

▾ What's "EV / Sales" in plain English?

EV (Enterprise Value) = market cap + total debt − cash. It's "what you'd pay to buy the entire company outright" — you pay the market cap to shareholders and take over their debt, but you keep their cash. EV is fairer than market cap alone because it includes the debt the new owner inherits.

EV / Sales = EV ÷ annual revenue. So "2.5×" means investors pay $2.50 of enterprise value per $1 of yearly sales. Higher = market is paying more per dollar of sales (usually because they expect future growth or fat margins).

p25 / median / p75 are the 25th, 50th (middle), and 75th percentile of the peers' multiples. Half the peers fall between p25 and p75. The median (p50) is the typical peer — that's the benchmark we compare to.

What peers trade at (p25 / median / p75)
EV / Sales?EV / Sales — For every $1 of yearly revenue, this is how many dollars investors pay to own the whole business (including debt).
Why it matters: Works for pre-profit growth companies where P/E and FCF don't apply. The most apples-to-apples cross-company multiple because it ignores accounting choices.
Reference: 1–3x for mature companies · 4–10x for software/SaaS · 10–20x for hypergrowth · >20x is rare and demanding
Full explanation →		 0.6x / 0.8x / 2.1x
EV / Gross Profit?EV / Gross Profit — Enterprise value divided by gross profit — the multiple paid for what each dollar of sales contributes after direct costs.
Why it matters: More refined than EV/Sales for high-margin businesses (software, marketplaces) where gross margin is the real economic engine.
Reference: 8–15x for SaaS · 15–25x for hypergrowth software · >30x demanding
Full explanation →		 2.9x / 7.0x / 12.2x
EV / EBIT?EV / EBITDA — Enterprise value divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization.
Why it matters: A classic "what would a private buyer pay" multiple — used in M&A. Strips out tax and capital-structure noise.
Reference: 8–12x for mature businesses · 15–25x for growth · Below 5x often signals distress
Full explanation →		 9.4x / 11.3x / 24.5x

Bold middle number = median peer. Half the peers trade above it, half below. Computed over 8 peers (broad — see caveat); implausible multiples excluded.

What ACI would be worth at the median peer's multiple
We're not showing a peer-implied price for ACI: with only 1 genuine same-industry comparable, a median built partly from broader-sector names would be misleading. Lean on the DCF above; use the multiples table only as loose context.

⚠️ Important caveat: peer multiples only work if the peers are genuinely comparable. Always check the peer list below — if the auto-picker grabbed micro-caps or unrelated businesses, the comparison is noise. A medical-device giant priced against tiny biotech startups won't produce a useful signal.

▾ View peer list (8)
Ticker Company Industry Mcap EV/Sales EV/GPEV/EBIT FCF Yield
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. Grocery Stores $7.8B 0.9x 2.3x11.3x 5.4%
PPC PILGRIMS PRIDE CORP Meat Products ·fallback $6.7B 0.4x 2.9x4.2x 9.2%
STKH Steakholder Foods Ltd. Food and Kindred Products ·fallback $7.1B — —— —
OTLY Oatly Group AB Food and Kindred Products ·fallback $6.3B — 22.7x— —
YSG Yatsen Holding Ltd Soaps & Cleaning Products ·fallback $5.9B 9.5x 12.2x— 0.5%
PRMB Primo Brands Corp Beverages ·fallback $9.0B 2.1x 7.0x32.7x 2.4%
SEB SEABOARD CORP /DE/ Farm Product Raw Materials ·fallback $4.9B 0.6x 8.4x24.5x 26.2%
SFD SMITHFIELD FOODS INC Meat Products ·fallback $10.2B 0.8x 5.8x9.4x 7.0%
FINANCIAL HEALTH SCREENS

Quality & solvency checks

Cheap stocks can be cheap for a reason. These screens warn when a low valuation comes paired with structural fragility.

Altman Z-Score?Altman Z-Score — A bankruptcy-risk score combining 5 financial ratios into one number. Predictive of bankruptcy within 2 years.
Why it matters: Cheap-looking stocks (low P/E or P/B) often have low Z-scores because the market knows the company is dying. Z-score warns you before you fall into a value trap.
Reference: > 3.0 = safe zone · 1.81–3.0 = grey zone · < 1.81 = distress zone
Full explanation →
Not available for this filer

The Z-score needs working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, sales and total assets from the latest balance sheet, and at least one of those isn't reported in machine-readable form here — common for foreign private issuers. We leave it blank rather than compute a distress verdict from an estimated input. It doesn't affect the reported figures in the financial tables below.

Piotroski F-Score?Piotroski F-Score — A 9-point quality checklist scoring profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.
Why it matters: High score = fundamentals improving. Low score = deteriorating. Especially powerful for filtering cheap stocks: cheap + high F-score historically outperforms; cheap + low F-score is often a value trap.
Reference: 7–9 = strong · 4–6 = mediocre · 0–3 = weak
Full explanation →
6 / 9
Mediocre
▾ The checks — what passed, what didn't (and what we couldn't measure)
  • ✓ Positive net income
    Net income $217.4M in the latest year.
  • ✓ Positive operating cash flow
    Operating cash flow $2,366.7M (was $2,680.6M the prior year).
  • ✓ Cash flow backs up reported profit
    Operating cash flow $2,366.7M vs net income $217.4M.
  • ✗ Return on assets improving
    Return on assets 0.8% vs 3.6% a year ago.
    Why this matters: Is the company squeezing more profit out of each dollar of assets than last year? Rising = getting more efficient; falling = the opposite.
  • ✓ Debt load (vs assets)
    Total debt is 0.0% of assets vs 0.0% a year ago ($0.0M now).
  • ✗ Short-term liquidity (current ratio)
    Current ratio 0.86x vs 0.90x a year ago — below 1.0, a caution flag.
    Why this matters: The current ratio compares assets it can turn to cash within a year against bills due within a year. Below 1.0 means it may struggle to cover near-term obligations.
  • ✓ Share count (dilution)
    Share count declined 6.3% (583.8M → 547.2M year-over-year), so the no-dilution check passed. (One-year change; the multi-year buyback pace can differ.)
  • ✗ Pricing power (gross margin)
    Gross margin 27.2% vs 27.7% a year ago.
    Why this matters: Rising gross margin means stronger pricing power or lower input costs — a sign of competitive strength. Falling margin signals pressure.
  • ✓ Sales per asset (asset turnover)
    Asset turnover 3.11x vs 3.00x a year ago.

Missing data is never counted as a pass or a fail — it's shown as n/a and excluded from the denominator. Each check compares the company against its own prior year.

INTERACTIVE — TWEAK YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

What if you assume different inputs?

Here's where we land — and what happens if you change the assumptions. Drag the sliders to set your own Discount Rate?Discount Rate — The annual return you demand for taking single-stock risk instead of buying a safe Treasury or index fund.
Why it matters: Higher discount rate = stricter valuation (a stock has to produce more cash to be worth holding). Lower = more generous.
Reference: 8–12% is standard · 9–10% matches S&P 500 historical return · Below 7% is illogical for single-stock risk
Full explanation → (the annual return you demand for single-stock risk) and terminal growth; the value updates live so you can see whether the stock looks cheaper or richer. The discount rate starts at 10.0%, the figure our model used for ACI. Open Advanced to also change beta, growth and the rate path.

Note: no headline intrinsic value is published for this stock (the valuation is held for a data-quality reason — see the notes above). The calculator below is a what-if tool: the values it produces are your assumptions played out, not our estimate.

4.5% (risk-free)9-10% normal18% (deep-risk)
0%2-3% (GDP)5% (rarely sustainable)

A full intrinsic value isn't shown for ACI because the valuation is currently held for a data-quality reason (see the guardrail notes above). The reverse-DCF reading still works — it needs only the price and cash flow — but we won't publish a forward value until the underlying data passes our checks.

For comparison — the revenue growth today's price already assumes
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—

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⚙ Advanced — tinker with every input (beta, growth, rate path, margin → full intrinsic value)
Where the discount rate comes from — discount rate = risk-free + beta × equity-risk-premium
What you'd earn risk-free from government bonds — the floor under every other rate. Slide it down to model the market expecting rate cuts (value rises); up for higher-for-longer.
The extra yearly return investors demand for owning stocks instead of safe bonds — the price of risk. History runs ~4.5–6.5%; we default to 5.5% (slightly conservative). It's an estimate, not a law — lower it if you think equities are less risky than that.
Inflation quietly eats returns: a 9% gain at 3% inflation is only ~6% in real purchasing power. The intrinsic value above is already in today's dollars (a nominal DCF cancels inflation out of both growth and the discount rate), so this doesn't change the value — it shows what's left of your return after the tax.
Higher beta → higher discount rate (sets the rate above). 1.0 = moves with the market.
What you think ACI can grow revenue for ~5 years, then fades to terminal.
For a pre-profit company: the % of revenue that eventually becomes free cash flow once mature. (Our published value uses the sector norm.)
All inputs start at the values our model used.

    Copy shareable link to this scenario →

    Price$12.59
    Model IVNot applicable — DCF couldn't price this stock. The other valuation lenses on this page (reverse-DCF, peers, sector lens — whichever apply to this filer) carry the read instead.

    ACI is estimated to be undervalued by 32.4% according to the model, trading at $15.61 against an intrinsic value?Intrinsic Value — Our DCF model's estimate of what each share is mathematically worth based on projected cash flows.
    Why it matters: Compare to current price. Below IV = potentially undervalued. Above IV = priced for growth that must actually happen.
    Reference: Model-derived; quality depends on data and assumptions.
    Full explanation →     of $23.08. The market likely discounts ACI due to its compressing gross margins and a current ratio below 1, indicating potential liquidity concerns. The primary quantifiable risk is the implied decline rate of 2.2% versus the modeled 4.1%.

    As of 3 months ago

    ANATOMY

    Anatomy of a share

    What you're buying per share. Bars are at the same scale so you can see the relative size of revenue, costs, cash flow, and debt — not just read them in a table.

    ACI Albertsons Companies, Inc. stock anatomy showing per-share revenue, operating expenses, free cash flow, and debt
    0.3%
    profit
    Where each $1 of revenue goes
    Net profit — 0.3¢ of every dollar ($0.40/sh — latest fiscal-year net income per share)
    Costs & taxes — 99.7¢ (on $152.00 revenue/sh)
    Net margin = net income ÷ revenue (most recent fiscal year).
    Plain English: each share (at $13) represents $152.00 of revenue per share per year, $0.40 of net income per current share, and $0.79 of free cash flow per share from the latest fiscal year. No interest-bearing debt is reported for this filer.
    What's free cash flow / what do these mean?

    Revenue per share — how much the business earns from customers, divided by the number of shares outstanding. Top of the income statement.

    Earnings per share — profit left after operating costs, interest, and taxes, per share. Two versions appear on this page and are not interchangeable: GAAP diluted EPS uses the company's weighted-average diluted share count during the reporting period (this is the "earnings" in "price-to-earnings"); net income per current share divides annual net income by today's share count. They differ whenever the share count has changed.

    Owner-earnings free cash flow per share — the cash the business produces for shareholders. Savng's owner-earnings FCF subtracts capital expenditures and stock-based compensation from operating cash flow (SBC is a real dilution cost even though it's non-cash). This is deliberately more conservative than "standard" FCF, which subtracts only capital expenditures — so our figure is lower than the headline FCF you'll see elsewhere. FCF funds dividends, buybacks, debt repayment, and acquisitions; a company can report positive earnings yet negative FCF.

    Debt per share — total interest-bearing borrowings divided by shares. High debt-per-share next to thin FCF-per-share is a fragility signal.

    THE KEY DEBATE

    What you actually need to decide

    Every stock price is a disagreement. Here's the single thing that must go right for the bulls, the single thing that breaks the thesis, and the concrete signposts to watch so you can update your view as real results arrive.

    🐂 The Bull Case
    Operating cash flow must continue to be positive and grow to support investments and manage debt, potentially narrowing the valuation gap.
    🐻 The Bear Case
    Continued gross margin compression and a current ratio below 1 could further erode profitability and liquidity, making the stock less attractive.
    📌 Signposts to watch — update your view as these print
    • Next quarter's gross margin trend
    • Changes in current ratio
    • Operating cash flow growth
    MOMENTUM — WHAT'S GETTING BETTER & WORSE

    The trend, in plain numbers (FY2025 → FY2026, latest reported)

    Straight from the financial statements — no model, no opinion. For a small or unprofitable company, the direction of these numbers usually tells you more than any single valuation.

    ✅ Improving
    • Revenue grew +3% to $83.17B.
    ⚠ Worsening
    • Free cash flow fell to $431.8M.
    • Gross margin shrank to 27% (-1 pts).
    • Net income fell -77% to $217.4M.
    WHO

    Management & Leadership

    Vivek Sankaran has served as CEO of Albertsons Companies since 2019, overseeing the grocery chain's operations and strategic direction. He previously held leadership roles at PepsiCo and Frito-Lay North America.

    Vivek Sankaran
    Chief Executive Officer
    Sharon McCollam
    President and Chief Financial Officer
    WHAT

    What They Make

    Albertsons Companies operates as one of the largest food and drug retailers in the United States, selling groceries, general merchandise, health, and beauty products to consumers through its various store banners.

    End Markets

    Grocery retailPharmacy servicesFuel sales

    Revenue Drivers

    Perishable goods sales
    Non-perishable goods sales
    Pharmacy prescriptions
    Market Cap: 6.9BBeta: 0.40
    WHY

    Why Is It Priced Like This?

    Why Customers Pay

    Convenient one-stop shopping
    Wide selection of national and private label brands
    Loyalty programs and promotions
    No discounted-cash-flow value for this filer This company reports its financials in its home currency while the shares trade here in dollars. Mixing the two produces a per-share value that looks real but isn't, so we hold the valuation rather than publish a number we can't stand behind. The reported figures below are the company's own.

    What we use instead: earnings (P/E, EV/EBIT), book value (P/B) — computed from the figures this company does report, shown in the sections below. Those numbers are unaffected by the missing cash-flow data.

    The market prices ACI at a 32.4% discount, likely reflecting concerns over its gross margin compressing from 28.8% to 27.2% and a current ratio of 0.86, which is below 1. These factors suggest potential pressure on profitability and liquidity, leading to a more cautious valuation despite positive net income and operating cash flow.

    HOW

    Business Model & Valuation

    How They Make Money

    Sales of groceries and general merchandise through retail stores
    Pharmacy services including prescription fulfillment
    Fuel sales at select locations

    Albertsons Companies funds its operations through positive operating cash flow, which has been positive for 5/5 years.

    Free Cash Flow DCF

    Standard FCF DCF: positive free cash flow in a sector suited for cash-flow-based valuation.

    Show advanced inputs
    Revenue Growth3.7%
    Eps Growth-41.6%
    Historical Fcf Growth-30.1%
    Sector Default5.0%
    Best Estimate4.1%
    Methodblend(70% revenue_cagr, 30% sector)
    Growth Basistotal

    What this model does NOT do: this is a consolidated owner-earnings FCF model. Standalone segment assumptions: none. It does not project same-store sales, store/showroom count and gross margin independently; their combined effect is embedded in the historical revenue and cash-flow trend the model extrapolates. The calculator above can only approximate a segment's impact through the single consolidated growth rate — it cannot model any one line separately. For a true segment-level view, build a separate model from the company's segment disclosures.

    WHEN

    Maturity & Competitive Position

    Mature compounder

    Moat Signals

    Extensive store network and geographic reach
    Established brand recognition across multiple banners
    Supply chain and distribution infrastructure

    Revenue has grown at 3.7%/yr over four years, from $71,887M to $83,173M.

    WHERE

    Geography & Markets

    Albertsons Companies operates primarily across the United States, with a significant presence in various regions. Specific geographic mix percentages are not available from current data sources.

    Geographic Risks

    Intense competition in the grocery sector
    Supply chain disruptions and inflation impacting costs
    SIGNALS

    Market Signals

    These are timing signals, not value signals — they describe the stock's recent price behavior, not what the business is worth. Use them for the "the thesis looks good, but is now the moment?" question. Each tile below explains what it's saying.

    Model bullish, tape bearish - divergence suggests timing risk.
    RSI?RSI — Relative Strength Index — a 0-100 momentum gauge. Above 70 = overbought; below 30 = oversold.
    Why it matters: Short-term contrarian indicator. Extreme readings often precede mean reversion, though not always.
    Reference: 30–70 normal · >70 overbought · <30 oversold
    Full explanation →     (14)    38.5NeutralMomentum is balanced — neither overbought nor oversold.
    MACD?MACD — Moving Average Convergence Divergence — compares a fast and a slow price trend to gauge momentum direction.
    Why it matters: When the fast line crosses above the slow line, short-term momentum is turning up; below, turning down. A timing cue, not a value signal.
    Reference: Line above signal = bullish momentum · below = bearish
    Full explanation →    BearishLine below signalThe fast trend is below the slow trend — short-term momentum is currently downward.
    50-Day Average$16.71Price below (-24.7%)Price below its 50-day average = near-term downtrend.
    200-Day Average$17.60Price belowThe 200-day line is the long-term trend divider — above it is generally considered a bull market for the stock.
    50 vs 200 CrossDeath50-day below 200-dayA "death cross" — the medium trend is below the long trend (often read as bearish).

    Technicals describe price, not the business. A great company can have a "bearish" tape (a buying chance) and a weak one a "bullish" tape (a trap). Pair these with the valuation and health sections above.

    FINANCIALS

    Financial Statements (5-year tables — click to expand)

    From Albertsons Companies, Inc.'s SEC filings (EDGAR).

    Income (5yr)

    YearRevenueNet IncomeEPS
    202683.2B217.4M$0.40
    202580.4B958.6M$1.64
    202479.2B1.3B$2.23
    202377.6B1.5B$2.27
    202271.9B1.6B$2.70

    Cash Flow (5yr)

    YearOperating CFCapEx− SBC & adj.Free Cash Flow
    2026 2.4B 1.8B 95.5M 431.8M
    2025 2.7B 1.9B 106.2M 643.2M
    2024 2.7B 2.0B 104.5M 523.7M
    2023 2.9B 2.2B 138.3M 561.7M
    2022 3.5B 1.6B 101.2M 1.8B

    How we define FCF: operating cash flow − capital expenditure − stock-based compensation (owner-earnings basis — SBC is a real cost to shareholders even though it's non-cash). Latest year: 2.4B − 1.8B − 95.5M (SBC & adj.) = 431.8M. This is the same owner-earnings FCF definition the valuation model uses.

    Balance Sheet

    Total Assets26.8B
    Total Liabilities24.9B (derived)
    Equity1.8B
    PG
    Methodology by Pouyan Golshani, MD — founder of Gighz. Savng was built by a physician for busy professionals: every number on this page comes from SEC filings (EDGAR) and FINRA data through transparent, rules-based models — no analyst opinions, no hidden inputs. How we calculate every number →
    ⚠️ Not investment advice. Automated model outputs, last refreshed May 30, 2026 (the analysis-refresh date, not the latest filing period). All models have blind spots. Full disclaimer →
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