Is Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) a good stock to buy?

Price through Oct 9 market close · SEC data refreshed 5 days ago ⓘ · Not investment advice
Brandywine Realty Trust
BDN Financial Services REITs📄 SEC filings ↗ CUSIP 105368203
Deeply undervalued by model
Estimate is sensitive to cash-flow normalization, leverage and industry risk.
Mixed ●●●●●

Our tested checks disagree with each other, so the answer depends on something further down the page rather than on any one measure.

What each rating means, in numbers

Can it survive? — Middling. Safer than 62% of the companies we cover, judged on the warning signs that came before companies that really did fail.

Business quality — Weak. Passes 3 of the 8 health checks we can measure — things like making a profit, turning it into cash, and not piling on debt. Across 131,000 company-quarters the weakest scorers went on to fail at 5.4% against 1.4% for the strongest, in every era and all twelve sectors.

How wild is the price? — Calm. The share price swings about 30% in a typical year, which puts it in the below average. Out of every 100 companies that swung like this, about 0.7 went bankrupt within the year. Across the three periods we tested that ran from 0.0% to 1.6%.

What "tested" means here, and why there is no score out of 100

Tested means the read was measured against what actually happened afterwards, on a history that keeps the companies that were later delisted, using only figures that had been filed on the day they are used. Survival was ranked on companies that really did fail. What an owner keeps was tested across the universe from 2011 to 2025.

The full record of everything we have tested is on the research pages.

Which benchmark. Over the period we tested, the median listed company returned +5.8% a year while the S&P 500 returned about +13.9% — the index is weighted by size and was carried by a handful of enormous winners. So "beats the index" and "beats the other companies you could have bought" are different questions. Where a read says it picks better companies, it means the second one. None of these gets you an index fund's return, and we would rather say that than imply otherwise.

The quality read is the strongest thing we have tested: 131,000 company-quarters across 5,300 companies, where the weakest scorers went on to fail at 5.4% against 1.4% for the strongest, holding in every era and all twelve sectors. It still says less likely to break, not likely to beat the market — every band in that study lost to the index at the median, because the median listed company does.

Each read is shown on its own rather than merged into a single score, so you can see which part is strong and which is weak instead of taking an average on trust.

▾ What goes into the smart-money reading
Valuation (price vs model IV) (40%) 10/100 → +4.0
Smart money (short interest + insider buying) (30%) 65/100 → +19.5
Macro backdrop (VIX, curve, credit, fear/greed + week-over-week momentum) (30%) 28/100 → +8.4
Total32/100

Contributions (weight × component score) sum to the total. This near-term score now includes fundamental health (leverage, FCF trend, DCF applicability). It excludes the Altman Z score, whose retained-earnings input this filer does not report separately. See the Financial Health section for the full balance-sheet read.

💵 Price $2.68 · through Oct 9 market close 📄 Financials SEC EDGAR · refreshed 5 days ago
Business type Equity REIT ⓘ Equity REIT — valued on P/AFFO, dividend yield, payout ratio
8%
vs 14% normally
Low
The market, not this company tested

Chance the S&P 500 falls 10% or more in the next three months.

Counted from every day since 2006. Says nothing about BDN — see the board for how it is measured.

📍 Where to start on this page, and what to look at first

How to read BDN (REIT)

REITs pay out most of their cash, so judge them on cash distributions and the value of their property — not on earnings or a standard DCF.

Where to start — the sections that matter most for this stock
  1. 1 REIT lens (P/AFFO + dividend yield) ↓
    Price-to-AFFO and the dividend yield are the real cheap/expensive gauges for real estate.
Or — what are you trying to decide?
A note on process: fear-driven decisions — including fear of missing out — tend to be the expensive ones. A stock up 10% a day for three days is excitement, not evidence. Whichever reader you are, the data below is there to be checked before anything is decided.
🚀
"It's surging — should I chase it?"
The momentum / FOMO trade. Before you chase, see whether the people who know it best are quietly selling into the rally.
⚖️
"Is it worth what it costs?"
The valuation trade. Our DCF, the growth the price implies, and a calculator you drive yourself.
🏷️
"Is it a cheap bargain?"
The deep-value trade. How far below assets and our value it trades — and whether it's cheap for a reason.

Is Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) overvalued?

Macro: Neutral / mid-cycle

No, by our measure: the price is about 50% below what we think the business is worth.

BDN trades at $2.68 vs an estimated intrinsic value of $5.34 — a 49.8% discount to model IV.

Discount-rate sensitivity: $5.34 – $6.02 (Deeply undervalued)
10.0% (higher required return) → $5.34 · 9.0% (lower) → $6.02
how is this calculated?
Pegged to beta 0.81 (cost of equity 9%); sector/quality cross-check at 10%. · 7% small-cap illiquidity discount applied.
Margin of safety
Wide — price well below our value
Macro regime
Neutral / mid-cycle
No extreme readings in either direction. Stock selection matters more than macro positioning right now.

Not investment advice. The model can be wrong. Verify the assumptions in the sections below and consider consulting a licensed advisor for significant decisions.

What return would BDN pay as a bond?

Not measurable here. Valued on the dividend stream: the dividend itself is this security's coupon, and its yield is shown in the dividend lens. See the cross-company ranking →

ⓘ Why does BDN trade at $2.68?

Brandywine Realty Trust has 173.5 million shares outstanding. At $2.68 per share, the market values all outstanding BDN equity at $465 million. That's market capitalization, not enterprise value — enterprise value also accounts for debt and cash — and it matters here because BDN carries substantial debt. The share price by itself tells you almost nothing — a company can pick any share price by splitting or issuing more shares. What matters is the total value (Market Cap?Market Cap — The total dollar value the market is assigning to the entire company.
Why it matters: This is the number that actually matters when comparing companies. Two companies with the same business but different share counts have the same market cap.
Reference: Mega cap >$200B · Large $10–200B · Mid $2–10B · Small $300M–2B · Micro <$300M
Full explanation →
) compared to what the business actually produces. This page values BDN in Per Share?Per Share — A company-level figure divided by total shares — what one share represents.
Why it matters: Per-share metrics are the only way to fairly compare two companies with different share counts.
Full explanation →
economics — what each share represents of the underlying business. Play with the share-price calculator on the homepage →

Loading insider & short-seller data…

Who owns BDN, and how it moves

From the SEC's own filings: every fund manager over $100M reports its holdings each quarter, and every officer and director reports theirs. Each point is what was public at the time.

Held by institutions (funds filing Form 13F)
74%-11.5 pts over the last year
2013-06 · 98%2026-06
Held by officers and directors
4.8%+1.3 pts over the last year
2010-09 · 1.4%2026-08

232 institutions reported holding it at the latest quarter-end.

0.54×
Moves with the market
Over the last year, a 1% move in the S&P 500 came with about a 0.5% move in BDN.
0.77×
Moves with its sector (Financial Services)
The same measure against the XLF sector fund over the last year.

Safer than 62% of the stocks we cover

Failure risk
Middling
●●●●●
Rank 38 of 100
Went bankrupt within a year
<0.1%
●●●●●
Average company: 0.6%
What this rating means, and what it does not

What this rank is — Middling. Safer than 62% of the companies we cover. Out of every 100 companies ranked here, about <0.1% went bankrupt within the year, against 0.6% for the average company we cover. The rank comes from a model trained on every US filing since 2012, including 823 companies that really did fail, and scored each year by a version that had not seen that year.

What it is not — Not a trade. We tested shorting these names and buying puts, spreads, straddles and condors on them at real option prices, 2010-2025. Every version lost money: the market already prices the distress and the survivors squeeze. A high rank is a reason to read the filings and to size for a total loss, not a reason to bet against the company. A low rank says the balance sheet is calm, not that the price is sensible.

▾ The numbers, the logic, and why not to trade on it

The logic. A model trained on every US filing since 2012 — including 823 companies that went bankrupt or stopped trading under a dollar — ranks each covered stock by its chance of failing in the next year, from its latest filing, price history and credit conditions. The rank is a position among peers; the table is a count of what happened to stocks in each position, scored each year by a model that had not seen that year.

Rank band went bankrupt within 12 monthsfell 80% or more (or failed) within 12 monthsfell 50% or more (or failed) within 6 months
All covered stocks (average) 0.59% 4.21% 8.51%
Finance (sector average) 0.13% 1.25% 3.09%
riskiest 1% 16.4% 33.0% 45.5%
next 2% (97-99) 5.9% 24.9% 38.2%
next 2% (95-97) 3.4% 21.2% 33.8%
next 5% (90-95) 1.6% 15.1% 27.3%
next 15% (75-90) 0.8% 8.5% 17.8%
next 25% (50-75) 0.2% 2.7% 6.2%
safest half ← this stock <0.1% 0.5% 2.1%

Why not to trade on it. We tested shorting these names and buying puts, spreads, straddles and condors on them at real option prices, 2010–2025: every version lost money. The market already prices the distress, and the survivors squeeze. Use a high rank to read the filings and to size for a total loss — not to bet against the company. A low rank says the balance sheet is calm, not that the price is sensible.

Scored from the filing of 2026-05-04; table generated 2026-09-18. Within Finance: rank 55 of 100. Rough one-year odds for this stock alone: bankruptcy 0.1%, an 80% fall 1.0% (the model overstates the middle of the range).

Takeover odds: higher than 46% of the stocks we cover. Companies ranked here were acquired within a year 3.0% of the time (average 4.6%).
▾ The logic, and why not to buy on it

The logic. Trained on 2,900 acquisitions since 2012, the model leans on size (small), age, retained earnings, asset growth, volatility and how many deals the sector has just seen. Announcement = the day the stock jumped, not the day the paperwork was filed.

top 1% 15.4% acquired within a year
next 2% (97-99) 10.3% acquired within a year
next 2% (95-97) 9.0% acquired within a year
next 5% (90-95) 7.3% acquired within a year
next 15% (75-90) 6.4% acquired within a year
next 25% (50-75) 4.8% acquired within a year
bottom half ← this stock 3.0% acquired within a year

Why not to buy on it. A takeover paid a median +22% on the day — but even in the top band about 6 in 7 companies are not bought, and those lag. Buying the whole top list returned what the S&P 500 did (2012–2023), and adding "cheap" or "beaten-down" filters did not change that. Read it as context for a thesis you already have, never as the thesis.

Checking filings for failure warnings…
Price against our valuation methods
Cheap, but fragile
●●●●●
2 methods compared
What this rating means

What the rating says — Cheap, but fragile. The price sits below every model's range — but this looks like the market correctly pricing in an unprofitable latest year, not a free lunch. Read the Financial Health section before treating this as a bargain: cheap stocks are usually cheap for a reason.

What it does not say — Not a forecast. This shows where today's price sits against several different ways of valuing the business. Where the methods disagree, the spread itself is the useful part - it tells you how much the answer depends on which one you trust.

No method wins for this kind of company. We tested each of these inside this business type and none separated better than the others by enough to trust, consistently, across periods. Read the spread below as how much the methods disagree — which is worth seeing — and not as a ranking.

Football field: where does the price sit?

Different valuation methods produce different fair-value ranges depending on assumptions. Plotting them together lets you see at a glance whether the current price is reasonable across approaches, or only one specific lens.

$2$4$6$8$10Current price $2.68If FCF grew -5%/yr → 8%/yr (flat 10-yr DCF sweep; model assumes 1.0%)$3.91$9.57Our model's scenarios (conservative → optimistic; ◆ base, ● weighted 40/35/25)$4.61$6.37weighted $5.34base $5.42
The price sits below every model's range — but this looks like the market correctly pricing in an unprofitable latest year, not a free lunch. Read the Financial Health section before treating this as a bargain: cheap stocks are usually cheap for a reason. → Financial Health

Industry multiples sourced from: broad market average (sector unknown). See the Peer Basket section below for the peer comparison and its limited-comparables caveat.

How does BDN stack up against its closest peers?

We take the 7 same-industry companies most similar to BDN (similar size) and check what investors are paying for each dollar of their revenue (or profits). If BDN is much more expensive on the same yardstick, that's a red flag — unless you have a specific reason it deserves a premium. For a leveraged business, EV/EBIT and FCF yield (both in the table) are usually more reliable than EV/Sales, because revenue multiples ignore differences in margins and debt.

▾ What's "EV / Sales" in plain English?

EV (Enterprise Value) = market cap + total debt − cash. It's "what you'd pay to buy the entire company outright" — you pay the market cap to shareholders and take over their debt, but you keep their cash. EV is fairer than market cap alone because it includes the debt the new owner inherits.

EV / Sales = EV ÷ annual revenue. So "2.5×" means investors pay $2.50 of enterprise value per $1 of yearly sales. Higher = market is paying more per dollar of sales (usually because they expect future growth or fat margins).

p25 / median / p75 are the 25th, 50th (middle), and 75th percentile of the peers' multiples. Half the peers fall between p25 and p75. The median (p50) is the typical peer — that's the benchmark we compare to.

What peers trade at (p25 / median / p75)
EV / Sales?EV / Sales — For every $1 of yearly revenue, this is how many dollars investors pay to own the whole business (including debt).
Why it matters: Works for pre-profit growth companies where P/E and FCF don't apply. The most apples-to-apples cross-company multiple because it ignores accounting choices.
Reference: 1–3x for mature companies · 4–10x for software/SaaS · 10–20x for hypergrowth · >20x is rare and demanding
Full explanation →
9.6x / 11.1x / 20.7x
EV / EBIT?EV / EBITDA — Enterprise value divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization.
Why it matters: A classic "what would a private buyer pay" multiple — used in M&A. Strips out tax and capital-structure noise.
Reference: 8–12x for mature businesses · 15–25x for growth · Below 5x often signals distress
Full explanation →
10.7x / 27.3x / 31.1x

Bold middle number = median peer. Half the peers trade above it, half below. Computed over 7 same-industry peers; implausible multiples excluded.

Peer-implied value check
$16.56
If BDN traded at the typical (median) peer's EV/Sales multiple, the share price would be about $16.56.
Plain English: the stock currently trades at $2.68. That's 83.8% LESS than peer multiples imply — the stock looks cheap vs peers. Either an opportunity, or the market sees something wrong with this name that doesn't apply to peers.

⚠️ Important caveat: peer multiples only work if the peers are genuinely comparable. Always check the peer list below — if the auto-picker grabbed micro-caps or unrelated businesses, the comparison is noise. A medical-device giant priced against tiny biotech startups won't produce a useful signal.

▾ View peer list (8)
Ticker Company Industry Mcap EV/Sales EV/GPEV/EBIT FCF Yield
XRN Chiron Real Estate Inc. REITs $477M 909.0x —— 1.2%
OLP ONE LIBERTY PROPERTIES INC REITs $514M — —10.7x 7.9%
TPTA Terra Property Trust, Inc. REITs $554M 20.7x —— 2.1%
UHT UNIVERSAL HEALTH REALTY INCOME TRU REITs $575M 9.6x —27.3x 7.1%
TCI TRANSCONTINENTAL REALTY INVESTORS REITs $335M 11.1x —— 3.0%
RWT REDWOOD TRUST INC REITs $679M — —— 14.0%
PSTL Postal Realty Trust, Inc. REITs $708M 11.2x —31.1x 4.1%
PINE Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. REITs ·fallback $297M 11.2x 13.0x51.4x 6.8%

Real-estate-specific metrics

REITs are valued on AFFO (Adjusted Funds from Operations) and dividend yield, not DCF. Reported depreciation isn't a real cash cost for real estate — properties typically hold or appreciate. The metrics below are the industry-standard yardsticks.

P / AFFO (P/FCF proxy)
5.1×
12-18× = typical · AFFO $0.53/sh
Trading at low P/AFFO — implies high cap rate or market skepticism

Note: Depreciation & Amortization line not available — using FCF/share as AFFO proxy. Directionally correct but understates true AFFO (true AFFO adds back D&A and subtracts only maintenance CapEx; FCF subtracts all CapEx).

Quality & solvency checks

Cheap stocks can be cheap for a reason. These screens warn when a low valuation comes paired with structural fragility.

Business quality
Weak
●●●●●
Passes 3 of 8 checks
What these health ratings mean, in numbers

Business quality — Weak. Passes 3 of the 8 health checks we can measure — making a profit, turning it into cash, not piling on debt, not issuing shares. Across 131,000 company-quarters the weakest scorers went on to fail at 5.4% within a year against 1.4% for the strongest, and that held in every era and all twelve sectors. It says "less likely to break", not "likely to beat the market".

The workings
Altman Z-Score?Altman Z-Score — A bankruptcy-risk score combining 5 financial ratios into one number. Predictive of bankruptcy within 2 years.
Why it matters: Cheap-looking stocks (low P/E or P/B) often have low Z-scores because the market knows the company is dying. Z-score warns you before you fall into a value trap.
Reference: > 3.0 = safe zone · 1.81–3.0 = grey zone · < 1.81 = distress zone
Full explanation →
Not Reliable for REITs

REITs deliberately carry high leverage backed by long-life real estate and pay out 90%+ of taxable income — both inputs that Altman Z flags as distress. See the REIT Valuation Lens above for P/AFFO, dividend yield and payout ratio.

Piotroski F-Score?Piotroski F-Score — A 9-point quality checklist scoring profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.
Why it matters: High score = fundamentals improving. Low score = deteriorating. Especially powerful for filtering cheap stocks: cheap + high F-score historically outperforms; cheap + low F-score is often a value trap.
Reference: 7–9 = strong · 4–6 = mediocre · 0–3 = weak
Full explanation →
Not Applicable

Piotroski F's checks (operating cash flow, gross-margin trend, current ratio, asset turnover) assume an industrial cost structure, so they misread asset-heavy or financial businesses like this one — a healthy REIT, utility, pipeline, BDC/fund or holding company can score low for reasons that aren't weakness. See the sector lens above for the metrics that actually matter.

What if you assume different inputs?

Here's where we land — and what happens if you change the assumptions. Drag the sliders to set your own Discount Rate?Discount Rate — The annual return you demand for taking single-stock risk instead of buying a safe Treasury or index fund.
Why it matters: Higher discount rate = stricter valuation (a stock has to produce more cash to be worth holding). Lower = more generous.
Reference: 8–12% is standard · 9–10% matches S&P 500 historical return · Below 7% is illogical for single-stock risk
Full explanation →
(the annual return you demand for single-stock risk) and terminal growth; the value updates live so you can see whether the stock looks cheaper or richer. The discount rate starts at 10.0%, the figure our model used for BDN. Open Advanced to also change beta, growth and the rate path.

Note: the calculator opens at our published value of $5.34 — it is initialised to the same scenario-weighted result, so the two match exactly on load. The moment you move a slider, the value below becomes a single-path what-if at your assumptions (not the three-scenario weighting), which is why it can differ from the headline once you've touched it.

Scenario-weighted model IV (40/35/25 assumed weights)
$5.34
It trades at
$2.68
Margin of safety
49.8%
Price is 50% below model IV — it looks undervalued. Change the assumptions below to see what would justify today's price.
We value this stock at two discount rates and report the range between them:
9.0% — beta-based (CAPM), from this stock's Beta?Beta — How much the stock moves when the overall market moves. 1.0 = moves with the market; 1.5 = moves 50% more than the market.
Why it matters: Higher beta = more volatile = should demand higher discount rate. Low beta stocks (utilities, consumer staples) move less.
Reference: Most stocks 0.5–1.5 · Defensives ~0.3 · High-vol tech ~1.5–2.0
Full explanation →
of 0.81.
The safe Treasury rate plus a premium scaled by how much more (or less) volatile the stock is than the market.
10.0% — sector/quality tier. A simpler hurdle set by industry and business durability: lower for stable, wide-moat companies; higher for speculative or micro-caps.
The headline value and this calculator start at 10.0% — the more conservative sector/quality rate (we use the more conservative sector/quality rate when model applicability is limited or the balance sheet is stretched). Drag the slider to the other rate to see the full range.
4.5% (risk-free)9-10% normal18% (deep-risk)
0%2-3% (GDP)5% (rarely sustainable)

A full intrinsic value isn't shown for BDN because it's valued with a dividend-discount model this quick calculator doesn't replicate — see our published value above and the sector lens for the right metrics.

For comparison — the FCF growth today's price already assumes
—
—

—

⚙ Advanced — tinker with every input (beta, growth, rate path, margin → full intrinsic value)
Where the discount rate comes from — discount rate = risk-free + beta × equity-risk-premium
What you'd earn risk-free from government bonds — the floor under every other rate. Slide it down to model the market expecting rate cuts (value rises); up for higher-for-longer.
The extra yearly return investors demand for owning stocks instead of safe bonds — the price of risk. History runs ~4.5–6.5%; we default to 5.5% (slightly conservative). It's an estimate, not a law — lower it if you think equities are less risky than that.
Inflation reduces the purchasing power of a nominal return: a 9% gain at 3% inflation is about 6% in real terms. The intrinsic value above is already in today's dollars (a nominal DCF carries inflation in both the growth and the discount rate), so this switch does not change the value — it restates the return in real terms.
Higher beta → higher discount rate (sets the rate above). 1.0 = moves with the market.
What you think BDN can grow FCF for ~5 years, then fades to terminal.
All inputs start at the values our model used.

    Copy shareable link to this scenario →

    Price$2.68
    Model IV$5.34
    Margin of Safety49.8%
    DCF applicabilityMedium
    Return to IV (3yr, annualized)25.8%

    Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) appears deeply undervalued by the model, with the price 49.8% below intrinsic value?Intrinsic Value — Our DCF model's estimate of what each share is mathematically worth based on projected cash flows.
    Why it matters: Compare to current price. Below IV = potentially undervalued. Above IV = priced for growth that must actually happen.
    Reference: Model-derived; quality depends on data and assumptions.
    Full explanation →
    (a 49.8% discount / margin of safety?Margin of Safety — How much room there is between the current price and intrinsic value, in your favor.
    Why it matters: Benjamin Graham's core idea: only buy when there is enough discount that you can be wrong about your assumptions and still not lose money.
    Reference: 20%+ is the classic Graham target · 30%+ for higher-risk companies
    Full explanation →
    ); equivalently the intrinsic value is about 92% ABOVE the price. The market is likely discounting BDN due to its negative net income in the latest fiscal year and rising long-term debt, which suggests ongoing financial pressures. The biggest risk to our model's base assumptions is that the underlying cash flow continues to decline from its current positive level of $116.7 million, rather than growing at the modeled rate of 1.0%.

    ⚠️ Operating CF declining

    As of 5 days ago

    Anatomy of a share

    What you're buying per share. Bars are at the same scale so you can see the relative size of revenue, costs, cash flow, and debt — not just read them in a table.

    BDN Brandywine Realty Trust stock anatomy showing per-share revenue, operating expenses, free cash flow, and debt
    −36.8%
    loss
    Where each $1 of revenue goes
    For every $1 of revenue, BDN currently loses 36.8¢ — costs exceed sales. A money-losing business can still be a good investment if losses are shrinking toward profitability; check the trend, not just the snapshot.
    Net margin = net income ÷ revenue (most recent fiscal year).
    Plain English: each share (at $3) represents $2.79 of revenue per share per year, $1.03 lost per share per year, and $-0.62 of owner-earnings free cash flow per current share (latest fiscal year) from the latest fiscal year. Each share carries $14.74 of total debt (interest-bearing borrowings, current + long-term). The DCF does not start from that single year — it instead starts from a TTM dividend of $0.53 per share to capture a full cycle.
    What's free cash flow / what do these mean?

    Revenue per share — how much the business earns from customers, divided by the number of shares outstanding. Top of the income statement.

    Earnings per share — profit left after operating costs, interest, and taxes, per share. Two versions appear on this page and are not interchangeable: GAAP diluted EPS uses the company's weighted-average diluted share count during the reporting period (this is the "earnings" in "price-to-earnings"); net income per current share divides annual net income by today's share count. They differ whenever the share count has changed.

    Owner-earnings free cash flow per share — the cash the business produces for shareholders. Savng's owner-earnings FCF subtracts capital expenditures and stock-based compensation from operating cash flow (SBC is a real dilution cost even though it's non-cash). This is deliberately more conservative than "standard" FCF, which subtracts only capital expenditures — so our figure is lower than the headline FCF you'll see elsewhere. FCF funds dividends, buybacks, debt repayment, and acquisitions; a company can report positive earnings yet negative FCF.

    Debt per share — total interest-bearing borrowings divided by shares. High debt-per-share next to thin FCF-per-share is a fragility signal.

    What you actually need to decide

    Every stock price is a disagreement. Here's the single thing that must go right for the bulls, the single thing that breaks the thesis, and the concrete signposts to watch so you can update your view as real results arrive.

    🐂 The Bull Case
    The bull case hinges on Brandywine Realty Trust stabilizing its net income and achieving modest growth in underlying cash flow, ideally around the modeled 1.0% business rate, while effectively managing its $2.6 billion debt load.
    🐻 The Bear Case
    The biggest operating risk is that net income continues to be negative and operating cash flow, currently at a positive $116.7 million, deteriorates further, exacerbating the impact of rising long-term debt. This would represent an outcome worse than what the current price implies.
    📌 Signposts to watch — update your view as these print
    • Improvement in net income profitability
    • Stabilization or growth in operating cash flow
    • Reduction in total long-term debt

    The trend, in plain numbers (FY2024 → FY2025, latest reported)

    Straight from the financial statements — no model, no opinion. For a small or unprofitable company, the direction of these numbers usually tells you more than any single valuation.

    ✅ Improving
    • Still unprofitable at -$178.2M — loss narrowing.
    ⚠ Worsening
    • Revenue fell -4% to $484.5M.
    • Free cash flow is negative at -$107.1M — the cash burn widened vs last year.
    • Gross margin shrank to 62% (-1 pts).

    Management & Leadership

    Gerard H Sweeney serves as the President and CEO, while Thomas E. Wirth is the Chief Financial Officer. Other key officers include Shawn Neuman, General Counsel & Secretary, and William D Redd, EVP & Senior Managing Director.

    Gerard H Sweeney
    President and CEO — Chief Executive Officer (per SEC Form 4, 2026-09-16)

    President and CEO

    Thomas E. Wirth
    Chief Financial Officer (per SEC 10-Q Ex.31 certification, 2026-07-28)

    Chief Financial Officer

    Tom Wirth
    Executive Vice President & CFO — title as filed then; not the current certifying officer (per SEC Form 4, 2026-04-17)
    Shawn Neuman
    General Counsel & Secretary (per SEC Form 4, 2026-04-17)
    William D Redd
    EVP & Senior Managing Director (per SEC Form 4, 2026-04-17)
    H Jeffrey Devuono
    EVP & Senior Managing Director (per SEC Form 4, 2026-04-17)

    What They Make

    Brandywine Realty Trust is a real estate investment trust (REIT?REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust) — A company that owns income-producing real estate and is required to pay out about 90% of its profit to shareholders as dividends.
    Why it matters: Because they pay out almost everything, REITs are judged on the cash they distribute (price-to-AFFO and dividend yield), not on ordinary earnings — a normal P/E or DCF misleads here.
    Reference: Dividend yields often 3–6%; valued on price-to-AFFO, not P/E.
    Full explanation →
    ) that owns, develops, and manages office and mixed-use properties. They generate revenue primarily from leasing these properties to various tenants.

    End Markets

    Office Real EstateMixed-Use DevelopmentsCommercial Leasing

    Revenue Drivers

    Rental income from office properties
    Lease renewals and expansions
    Development and sale of properties
    Market Cap: 464.9MBeta: 0.81

    Why Is It Priced Like This?

    Why Customers Pay

    Strategic urban and suburban locations
    Modern and well-maintained properties
    Flexible leasing options
    Intrinsic Value$5.34
    Discount to IV 49.8%
    Return to IV (3yr, annualized) 25.8%

    BDN trades 49.8% below the model's intrinsic value?Intrinsic Value — Our DCF model's estimate of what each share is mathematically worth based on projected cash flows.
    Why it matters: Compare to current price. Below IV = potentially undervalued. Above IV = priced for growth that must actually happen.
    Reference: Model-derived; quality depends on data and assumptions.
    Full explanation →
    . This discount likely reflects the market's concerns over the company's financial health, specifically its negative net income of -$178.2 million in the latest fiscal year and long-term debt rising to $2.6 billion. Separately, the reverse DCF?Reverse DCF — Instead of asking "what is this stock worth?", asks "what growth rate is the current market price already assuming?"
    Why it matters: It crystallizes the bull thesis as a single number you can argue with. If the market expects 40% growth for 10 years and you do not believe that, the stock is overvalued.
    Reference: 10–15% = sustainable for strong companies · 20–25% = exceptional · 30%+ = historically very rare
    Full explanation →
    implies the price is consistent with an implied annual decline in per-share cash flow, suggesting the market expects continued operational challenges.

    Three Scenarios, Weighted
    ScenarioIVUpside from today's priceWeight
    Conservative$4.6172.1%40%
    Base$5.42102.3%35%
    Optimistic$6.37137.7%25%
    Weighted$5.3499.2%100%

    Reading the last column: it is the move from today's price to each value (IV ÷ price − 1). The headline "premium/discount to model IV" measures the same gap from the value's side (price ÷ IV − 1), so the two percentages differ in size and sign by construction — e.g. a price 8% above value is a value 7.4% below price.

    Business Model & Valuation

    How They Make Money

    Leasing office and mixed-use properties
    Property management services
    Real estate development and sales

    BDN declared a dividend of $0.53 per share in the last fiscal year, with dividend growth at 0% per year over four years. The company's operations are funded through a combination of operating cash flow and debt, with total debt at $2.6 billion.

    Dividend Discount Medium

    REIT (REITs): dividend discount model - GAAP earnings distort REIT valuations.

    In plain English: we estimate BDN's value by projecting its dividend payments into the future and converting it back to what it's worth today. We start from $0.53 per share (TTM dividend), assume it grows 1.0% per year for about 5 years (then gradually fades), and discount everything at 10.0% — the yearly return a buyer should demand for this much risk. After that it's assumed to grow 0.7% per year forever (kept below long-run economic growth — the terminal rate fades from the near-term growth above, so a low near-term rate produces a low perpetual rate). A higher discount rate or slower growth means a lower value, and vice-versa — change any of these yourself in the calculator above.
    Dividend / share$0.53TTM dividend — smoothed, not the latest single year
    Growth (g₁) — 5yr1.0%Source: historical CAGR + sector defaults
    Discount Rate (r)10.0%
    Terminal Growth (gT)0.7%
    Show advanced inputs

    What this model does NOT do: this is a consolidated owner-earnings FCF model. Standalone segment assumptions: none. It does not project net interest income and fee-income lines independently; their combined effect is embedded in the historical revenue and cash-flow trend the model extrapolates. The calculator above can only approximate a segment's impact through the single consolidated growth rate — it cannot model any one line separately. For a true segment-level view, build a separate model from the company's segment disclosures.

    Maturity & Competitive Position

    Dividend compounder

    Moat Signals

    Established portfolio of properties
    Experienced management team
    Strategic geographic focus

    Revenue has been roughly flat over the past four years, declining at -0.1% per year from $484.5 million to $484.5 million.

    Geography & Markets

    Geographic Risks

    Concentration risk in specific real estate markets
    Interest rate sensitivity affecting debt costs

    Market Signals

    These are timing signals, not value signals — they describe the stock's recent price behavior, not what the business is worth. Use them for the "the thesis looks good, but is now the moment?" question. Each tile below explains what it's saying.

    Model bullish, tape neutral
    RSI?RSI — Relative Strength Index — a 0-100 momentum gauge. Above 70 = overbought; below 30 = oversold.
    Why it matters: Short-term contrarian indicator. Extreme readings often precede mean reversion, though not always.
    Reference: 30–70 normal · >70 overbought · <30 oversold
    Full explanation →
    (14)
    32.7NeutralMomentum is balanced — neither overbought nor oversold.
    MACD?MACD — Moving Average Convergence Divergence — compares a fast and a slow price trend to gauge momentum direction.
    Why it matters: When the fast line crosses above the slow line, short-term momentum is turning up; below, turning down. A timing cue, not a value signal.
    Reference: Line above signal = bullish momentum · below = bearish
    Full explanation →
    BearishLine below signalThe fast trend is below the slow trend — short-term momentum is currently downward.
    50-Day Average$3.02Price below (-11.3%)Price below its 50-day average = near-term downtrend.
    200-Day Average$3.01Price belowThe 200-day line is the long-term trend divider — above it is generally considered a bull market for the stock.
    50 vs 200 CrossGolden50-day above 200-dayA "golden cross" — the medium trend has overtaken the long trend (often read as bullish).

    Technicals describe price, not the business. A great company can have a "bearish" tape (a buying chance) and a weak one a "bullish" tape (a trap). Pair these with the valuation and health sections above.

    Data Quality & Risk Flags (5 notes — click to expand/collapse)

    MEDIUM Operating CF declining
    Guardrail Notes (4)
    • Dividend: last fiscal-year DECLARED dividend per share from the filing ($0.53/yr, us-gaap:CommonStockDividendsPerShareDeclared).
    • Dividend growth from the declared-DPS series: 0%/yr over 4 years.
    • Illiquidity discount 7% applied (small/micro-cap — harder to exit, demand a margin).
    • Dividend data sparse; DDM using estimated yield. Confidence reduced.

    Financial Statements (5-year tables — click to expand)

    From Brandywine Realty Trust's SEC filings (EDGAR).

    Income (5yr)

    YearRevenueNet IncomeEPS
    2025484.5M-178.2M$-1.03
    2024505.5M-195.9M$-1.14
    2023514.7M-196.8M$-1.15
    2022506.1M53.8M$0.31
    2021486.8M12.3M$0.07

    Cash Flow (5yr)

    CapEx is approximated. This filer reports capital expenditure under a company-specific tag our parser cannot read, so the CapEx column uses total investing outflow instead. That includes acquisitions and investment purchases, so the free cash flow shown is a conservative (lower-bound) figure in years with large deals.

    YearOperating CFInvesting outflow (capex proxy)− SBCFree Cash Flow
    2025 116.7M 206.3M 17.6M -107.1M
    2024 181.1M 120.2M 16.9M 44.1M
    2023 177.3M 174.9M 9.8M -7.5M
    2022 209.3M 190.6M 8.9M 9.8M
    2021 190.9M 100.3M 7.1M 83.4M

    How we define FCF: operating cash flow − capital expenditure − stock-based compensation (owner-earnings basis — SBC is a real cost to shareholders even though it's non-cash). Latest year: 116.7M − 206.3M − 17.6M (stock-based comp) = -107.1M. This is the same owner-earnings FCF definition the valuation model uses, though the DCF's starting value is a TTM dividend, not this single year.

    Balance Sheet

    Total Assets3.6B
    Total Liabilities2.8B
    Equity792.7M
    Total Debt2.6B

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    Methodology by Pouyan Golshani, MD — founder of Gighz. Savng was built by a physician for busy professionals: every number on this page comes from SEC filings (EDGAR) and FINRA data through transparent, rules-based models — no analyst opinions, no hidden inputs. How we calculate every number →

    The questions people ask about BDN

    Is Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) a good stock to buy?

    Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) trades about 50% below our $5.34 estimate of what the business is worth, so the price is not the obstacle. The questions are why it is cheap: check the failure-warning checks, the debt, and whether insiders are buying, all on this page. This is educational research from SEC filings, not investment advice.

    Is Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) overvalued?

    No, by our measure. Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) trades at $2.68, about 50% below our estimate of $5.34 for what the business is worth. This is educational research from SEC filings, not investment advice.

    What is BDN's intrinsic value?

    Our model estimates BDN is worth about $5.34 per share, built from the cash the business is expected to generate, taken from its SEC filings. The market price is $2.68.

    Where do these numbers come from?

    From Brandywine Realty Trust's own SEC filings (10-K and 10-Q), Form 4 insider filings and daily market prices. Every figure on the page links to how it was calculated, and the model's weak spots are listed next to its results.

    ⚠️ Not investment advice. Automated model outputs, last refreshed 5 days ago (the analysis-refresh date, not the latest filing period). All models have blind spots. Full disclaimer →
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