UMB FINANCIAL CORP (UMBFO) Stock Analysis

Price updated today · SEC data refreshed 11 days ago ⓘ · Not investment advice

UMB FINANCIAL CORP

UMBFO Financial Services Banks📄 SEC filings ↗
Deeply undervalued by model
Estimate is sensitive to cash-flow normalization, leverage and industry risk.
Price vs model IV Well below (81% below model IV) Long-term trend (200d) 0% below 200-day DCF applicability Medium Risk 34/100 Moderate
▾ What's in the 34/100 risk score? (higher = riskier)
Valuation (price vs model IV) (43%) 10/100 → +4.3
Smart money (short interest + insider buying) (31%) 71/100 → +22.3
Macro backdrop (VIX, curve, credit, fear/greed + week-over-week momentum) (26%) 28/100 → +7.2
Total34/100

Contributions (weight × component score) sum to the total. This near-term score now includes fundamental health (leverage, FCF trend, DCF applicability). See the Financial Health section for the full balance-sheet read.

💵 Price $26.62 · today 📄 Financials SEC EDGAR · refreshed 11 days ago
📍 START HERE

How to read UMBFO (bank / insurer)

Banks and insurers are valued on what they earn on their capital, not on free cash flow — a normal DCF misleads here.

Where to start — the sections that matter most for this stock
  1. 1 Bank / Insurance lens (P/TBV + ROE) ↓
    Price-to-tangible-book versus return-on-equity is how analysts actually judge a bank cheap or rich.
  2. 2 Financial-health screens ↓
    Watch the trend in profitability and asset quality, not the (not-applicable) bankruptcy score.
Or — what are you trying to decide?
One rule first: never trade out of fear — and that includes the fear of missing out. A stock up 10% a day for three days is excitement, not data. If you can't point to the evidence behind a trade, you're more likely to lose. So whichever of these you are, check the data below before you act.
🚀
"It's surging — should I chase it?"
The momentum / FOMO trade. Before you chase, see whether the people who know it best are quietly selling into the rally.
⚖️
"Is it worth what it costs?"
The valuation trade. Our DCF, the growth the price implies, and a calculator you drive yourself.
🏷️
"Is it a cheap bargain?"
The deep-value trade. How far below assets and our value it trades — and whether it's cheap for a reason.
ⓘ Why does UMBFO trade at $26.62?

UMB FINANCIAL CORP has 73.7 million shares outstanding. At $26.62 per share, the market values all outstanding UMBFO equity at $2.0 billion. That's market capitalization, not enterprise value — enterprise value also accounts for debt and cash. The share price by itself tells you almost nothing — a company can pick any share price by splitting or issuing more shares. What matters is the total value (Market Cap?Market Cap — The total dollar value the market is assigning to the entire company.
Why it matters: This is the number that actually matters when comparing companies. Two companies with the same business but different share counts have the same market cap.
Reference: Mega cap >$200B · Large $10–200B · Mid $2–10B · Small $300M–2B · Micro <$300M
Full explanation →) compared to what the business actually produces. This page values UMBFO in Per Share?Per Share — A company-level figure divided by total shares — what one share represents.
Why it matters: Per-share metrics are the only way to fairly compare two companies with different share counts.
Full explanation → economics — what each share represents of the underlying business. Play with the share-price calculator on the homepage →

Loading insider & short-seller data…
VALUATION RANGE — CROSS-METHOD CHECK

Football field: where does the price sit?

Different valuation methods produce different fair-value ranges depending on assumptions. Plotting them together lets you see at a glance whether the current price is reasonable across approaches, or only one specific lens.

If FCF grew -5%/yr → 13%/yr (flat 10-yr DCF sweep; model assumes 6.8%)$90$345Our model's scenarios (cons→opt growth, weighted 40/35/25)$112$165Current: $26.62$24$109$193$278$363
Every model's range sits above the current price, but that does not prove mispricing. The gap may reflect secular or cyclical pressures, leverage, or information not yet captured by the model. Review recent filings and test lower normalized cash-flow assumptions before relying on the valuation.

Industry multiples sourced from: industry: Banks. See the Peer Basket section below for the peer comparison and its limited-comparables caveat.

PEER BASKET — TIGHT COMPARABLES

How does UMBFO stack up against its closest peers?

We take the 8 same-industry companies most similar to UMBFO (similar size) and check what investors are paying for each dollar of their revenue (or profits). If UMBFO is much more expensive on the same yardstick, that's a red flag — unless you have a specific reason it deserves a premium. For a leveraged business, FCF yield (in the table) is usually more reliable than EV/Sales, because revenue multiples ignore differences in margins and debt.

▾ What's "EV / Sales" in plain English?

EV (Enterprise Value) = market cap + total debt − cash. It's "what you'd pay to buy the entire company outright" — you pay the market cap to shareholders and take over their debt, but you keep their cash. EV is fairer than market cap alone because it includes the debt the new owner inherits.

EV / Sales = EV ÷ annual revenue. So "2.5×" means investors pay $2.50 of enterprise value per $1 of yearly sales. Higher = market is paying more per dollar of sales (usually because they expect future growth or fat margins).

p25 / median / p75 are the 25th, 50th (middle), and 75th percentile of the peers' multiples. Half the peers fall between p25 and p75. The median (p50) is the typical peer — that's the benchmark we compare to.

What peers trade at (p25 / median / p75)

Bold middle number = median peer. Half the peers trade above it, half below. Computed over 8 same-industry peers; implausible multiples excluded.

What UMBFO would be worth at the median peer's multiple
Banks & insurers aren't valued on revenue or EV/Sales — a bank's "revenue" (net interest income + fees) isn't comparable the way a normal company's sales are. Use the Bank lens (P/TBV + ROE) above, which is how banks are actually judged cheap or rich.

⚠️ Important caveat: peer multiples only work if the peers are genuinely comparable. Always check the peer list below — if the auto-picker grabbed micro-caps or unrelated businesses, the comparison is noise. A medical-device giant priced against tiny biotech startups won't produce a useful signal.

▾ View peer list (8)
Ticker Company Industry Mcap EV/Sales EV/GP EV/EBIT FCF Yield
STEL Stellar Bancorp, Inc. Banks $1.9B 302.7x — — 5.3%
SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. Banks $2.1B — — — 6.6%
SRCE 1ST SOURCE CORP Banks $1.8B — — — 8.8%
WTFCN WINTRUST FINANCIAL CORP Banks $1.8B 6.7x — — 46.3%
TFIN Triumph Financial, Inc. Banks $1.7B — — — 1.5%
TBBK Bancorp, Inc. Banks $2.3B 16.3x — — 8.9%
STBA S&T BANCORP INC Banks $1.6B — — — 7.7%
TCBK TRICO BANCSHARES / Banks $1.6B 30.3x — — 7.3%
BANK / FINANCIAL VALUATION LENS

How to value a bank (not a DCF question)

A bank's economic engine is the shareholder equity on its balance sheet — what the accountants say is left over after all loans, deposits, and liabilities are netted out. The bank earns a percentage on that equity each year (its ROE). So the two questions are: (1) what are you paying per dollar of equity (Price / Book)? and (2) how much is that equity actually earning (ROE)? Free cash flow doesn't work here — banks lend out their cash for a living.

Price-to-Book (P/B)?Price-to-Book (P/B) — Share price divided by book value per share — what you pay for $1 of accounting equity.
Why it matters: For banks and insurers, book value is the regulatory capital they earn returns on. P/B is the cleanest comparison: 1.0× means buying the bank at the same price the accountants say it's worth.
Reference: 0.8–1.2× = fair for average bank · 1.5–2.0× = solid franchise · >2.5× = premium · <0.8× = potentially cheap or distress
Full explanation →
0.25×
Plain English: you pay $0.25 for every $1 of the bank's accounting equity ($104.43/share).
Below $1 = you're paying less than the equity is "worth" on paper.
Return on Equity (ROE)?Return on Equity (ROE) — How much profit the company generates on every dollar of shareholder equity.
Why it matters: For a bank, ROE is the engine. A bank earning 15% on equity will compound book value at ~15%/year if it retains earnings. Combined with P/B, ROE tells you whether a premium price is supported by returns.
Reference: <8% = weak · 10–12% = solid · 15%+ = excellent · >20% sustained = exceptional franchise
Full explanation →
+8.9%
Plain English: each $100 of shareholder equity earned $9 last year. Decent but not exceptional.
Return on Assets (ROA)?Return on Assets (ROA) — Net income divided by total assets — how productive each dollar of assets is.
Why it matters: For banks especially, ROA isolates underwriting and operating efficiency from leverage. Two banks with identical ROE may have very different ROAs — one earning it cleanly, one earning it on borrowed money.
Reference: <0.8% = weak · 1.0–1.2% = solid · >1.5% = excellent (very rare for big banks)
Full explanation →
+0.96%
Plain English: the bank earned $0.96 per $100 of assets. Below the 1.0%+ benchmark of well-run banks.
ROA differs from ROE because banks borrow ~10× their equity. Big asset base, smaller equity sliver.
Price / Earnings (P/E)?P/E Ratio — Stock price divided by annual earnings per share — how much you pay for $1 of yearly earnings.
Why it matters: High P/E = market expects fast growth or you are overpaying. Low P/E = market expects slow growth or the stock is cheap (sometimes for good reason).
Reference: 12–20 for mature businesses · 25–50 for growth · 80+ for speculative
Full explanation →
2.9×
Plain English: at $9.29 earnings per share, you'd take 3 years of current earnings to recover the share price (if earnings stayed flat).
Trades below book value with positive returns — historically a contrarian-buy zone for patient investors.
Plain English: you can buy this bank for less than its accounting equity, and it's still profitable. Worth deeper research.

Note: this lens skips Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score (validated on industrial companies, not banks). For deeper bank-specific health analysis: check the 10-K's Tier 1 capital ratio, Non-Performing Loan ratio, and CET1 — these are what regulators actually monitor.

FINANCIAL HEALTH SCREENS

Quality & solvency checks

Cheap stocks can be cheap for a reason. These screens warn when a low valuation comes paired with structural fragility.

Altman Z-Score?Altman Z-Score — A bankruptcy-risk score combining 5 financial ratios into one number. Predictive of bankruptcy within 2 years.
Why it matters: Cheap-looking stocks (low P/E or P/B) often have low Z-scores because the market knows the company is dying. Z-score warns you before you fall into a value trap.
Reference: > 3.0 = safe zone · 1.81–3.0 = grey zone · < 1.81 = distress zone
Full explanation →
Not Applicable

Altman Z was calibrated on industrial firms and doesn't apply to banks or insurers — their balance sheets are dominated by loans/securities, not working capital. See the Bank Valuation Lens above for P/B, ROE and ROA — the metrics regulators and analysts actually use to assess bank solvency.

Piotroski F-Score?Piotroski F-Score — A 9-point quality checklist scoring profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.
Why it matters: High score = fundamentals improving. Low score = deteriorating. Especially powerful for filtering cheap stocks: cheap + high F-score historically outperforms; cheap + low F-score is often a value trap.
Reference: 7–9 = strong · 4–6 = mediocre · 0–3 = weak
Full explanation →
Not Applicable

Piotroski F was built for non-financial firms (gross margin, asset turnover, current ratio all assume an industrial cost structure). For banks, the equivalent quality signals are efficiency ratio, net interest margin, and provision coverage — see the Bank Valuation Lens above.

INTERACTIVE — TWEAK YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

What if you assume different inputs?

Here's where we land — and what happens if you change the assumptions. Drag the sliders to set your own Discount Rate?Discount Rate — The annual return you demand for taking single-stock risk instead of buying a safe Treasury or index fund.
Why it matters: Higher discount rate = stricter valuation (a stock has to produce more cash to be worth holding). Lower = more generous.
Reference: 8–12% is standard · 9–10% matches S&P 500 historical return · Below 7% is illogical for single-stock risk
Full explanation → (the annual return you demand for single-stock risk) and terminal growth; the value updates live so you can see whether the stock looks cheaper or richer. The discount rate starts at 9.0%, the figure our model used for UMBFO. Open Advanced to also change beta, growth and the rate path.

Note: at default inputs this calculator mirrors the headline model's three-scenario weighting (conservative/base/optimistic, 40/35/25), so its opening value should land close to the headline intrinsic value of $137.72. A small gap is rounding; a large one would be a data problem — and we check for it below.

Probability-weighted model IV
$137.72
It trades at
$26.62
Margin of safety
80.7%
Price is 81% below model IV — it looks undervalued. Change the assumptions below to see what would justify today's price.
We value this stock at two discount rates and report the range between them:
7.5% — beta-based (CAPM), from this stock's Beta?Beta — How much the stock moves when the overall market moves. 1.0 = moves with the market; 1.5 = moves 50% more than the market.
Why it matters: Higher beta = more volatile = should demand higher discount rate. Low beta stocks (utilities, consumer staples) move less.
Reference: Most stocks 0.5–1.5 · Defensives ~0.3 · High-vol tech ~1.5–2.0
Full explanation → of 0.55. The safe Treasury rate plus a premium scaled by how much more (or less) volatile the stock is than the market.
10.0% — sector/quality tier. A simpler hurdle set by industry and business durability: lower for stable, wide-moat companies; higher for speculative or micro-caps.
The headline value and this calculator start at 9.0% — the mid-point of the two (we use the more conservative sector/quality rate when model applicability is limited or the balance sheet is stretched). Drag the slider to the other rate to see the full range.
4.5% (risk-free)9-10% normal18% (deep-risk)
0%2-3% (GDP)5% (rarely sustainable)

A full intrinsic value isn't shown for UMBFO because it's valued with a bank residual-income model this quick calculator doesn't replicate — see our published value above and the sector lens for the right metrics.

For comparison — the FCF growth today's price already assumes
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—

—

⚙ Advanced — tinker with every input (beta, growth, rate path, margin → full intrinsic value)
Where the discount rate comes from — discount rate = risk-free + beta × equity-risk-premium
What you'd earn risk-free from government bonds — the floor under every other rate. Slide it down to model the market expecting rate cuts (value rises); up for higher-for-longer.
The extra yearly return investors demand for owning stocks instead of safe bonds — the price of risk. History runs ~4.5–6.5%; we default to 5.5% (slightly conservative). It's an estimate, not a law — lower it if you think equities are less risky than that.
Inflation quietly eats returns: a 9% gain at 3% inflation is only ~6% in real purchasing power. The intrinsic value above is already in today's dollars (a nominal DCF cancels inflation out of both growth and the discount rate), so this doesn't change the value — it shows what's left of your return after the tax.
Higher beta → higher discount rate (sets the rate above). 1.0 = moves with the market.
What you think UMBFO can grow FCF for ~5 years, then fades to terminal.
All inputs start at the values our model used.

    Copy shareable link to this scenario →

    Price$26.62
    Model IV$137.72
    Margin of Safety80.7%
    DCF applicabilityMedium
    ⚠️ Outlier ResultP/IV 0.2x — result dominated by model assumptions or data limits. Treat with caution.
    ⚠️ Outlier result (P/IV 0.2x) — this valuation gap is too extreme to produce reliable growth or return estimates. The model may not suit this company's profile.

    UMB Financial Corp appears deeply undervalued by the model, with the price 80.7% BELOW intrinsic value?Intrinsic Value — Our DCF model's estimate of what each share is mathematically worth based on projected cash flows.
    Why it matters: Compare to current price. Below IV = potentially undervalued. Above IV = priced for growth that must actually happen.
    Reference: Model-derived; quality depends on data and assumptions.
    Full explanation →     (a 80.7% discount / margin of safety?Margin of Safety — How much room there is between the current price and intrinsic value, in your favor.
    Why it matters: Benjamin Graham's core idea: only buy when there is enough discount that you can be wrong about your assumptions and still not lose money.
    Reference: 20%+ is the classic Graham target · 30%+ for higher-risk companies
    Full explanation →    ); equivalently the intrinsic value is about 418% ABOVE the price. The market is likely discounting the stock due to its rising long-term debt, which has increased from $272M to $474M, and a low franchise/durability score of 1/5. The biggest risk to our model's base assumptions is that the underlying business cash flow deteriorates further, rather than growing at the modeled 6.8% rate, especially given the rising debt.

    ⚠️ Financial sector: using residual income model. IV = Book Value + PV(excess earnings).

    As of 11 days ago

    ANATOMY

    Anatomy of a share

    What you're buying per share. Bars are at the same scale so you can see the relative size of revenue, costs, cash flow, and debt — not just read them in a table.

    UMBFO UMB FINANCIAL CORP stock anatomy showing per-share revenue, operating expenses, free cash flow, and debt
    Plain English: $27/share buys no measurable revenue per share, generates $9.53 of net income per current share, and $12.76 of owner-earnings free cash flow per current share (latest fiscal year). Each share carries $6.44 of debt. The DCF does not start from that single year — it instead starts from a EPS basis (residual-income model) of $9.53 per share to capture a full cycle.
    What's free cash flow / what do these mean?

    Revenue per share — how much the business earns from customers, divided by the number of shares outstanding. Top of the income statement.

    Earnings per share — profit left after operating costs, interest, and taxes, per share. Two versions appear on this page and are not interchangeable: GAAP diluted EPS uses the company's weighted-average diluted share count during the reporting period (this is the "earnings" in "price-to-earnings"); net income per current share divides annual net income by today's share count. They differ whenever the share count has changed.

    Owner-earnings free cash flow per share — the cash the business produces for shareholders. Savng's owner-earnings FCF subtracts capital expenditures and stock-based compensation from operating cash flow (SBC is a real dilution cost even though it's non-cash). This is deliberately more conservative than "standard" FCF, which subtracts only capital expenditures — so our figure is lower than the headline FCF you'll see elsewhere. FCF funds dividends, buybacks, debt repayment, and acquisitions; a company can report positive earnings yet negative FCF.

    Debt per share — total interest-bearing borrowings divided by shares. High debt-per-share next to thin FCF-per-share is a fragility signal.

    THE KEY DEBATE

    What you actually need to decide

    Every stock price is a disagreement. Here's the single thing that must go right for the bulls, the single thing that breaks the thesis, and the concrete signposts to watch so you can update your view as real results arrive.

    🐂 The Bull Case
    The most important operating factor for UMBFO is for its underlying cash flow to stabilize and grow around the modeled 6.8% rate, while effectively managing its rising long-term debt. Sustained profitability and positive operating cash flow are crucial.
    🐻 The Bear Case
    The biggest operating risk is that the company's long-term debt, which has risen from $272M to $474M, continues to increase without a corresponding increase in revenue or cash flow, further eroding its franchise/durability score of 1/5. This could lead to a material multi-year contraction in per-share cash flow.
    📌 Signposts to watch — update your view as these print
    • Trend in long-term debt in upcoming filings
    • Changes in net interest margin
    • Growth in non-interest income
    MOMENTUM — WHAT'S GETTING BETTER & WORSE

    The trend, in plain numbers (2024 → 2025)

    Straight from the financial statements — no model, no opinion. For a small or unprofitable company, the direction of these numbers usually tells you more than any single valuation.

    ✅ Improving
    • Free cash flow rose to $940.4M.
    • Net income grew +59% to $702.4M.
    ⚠ Worsening

    Nothing clearly worsening year-over-year.

    WHO

    Management & Leadership

    J. Mariner Kemper serves as the Chairman, President, and CEO of UMB Financial Corporation, a role he has held for many years, continuing a family legacy in the banking sector. He oversees the strategic direction and operations of the diversified financial services company.

    J. Mariner Kemper
    Chairman, President, and CEO
    Ram Shankar
    Executive Vice President, Chief Information Officer
    WHAT

    What They Make

    UMB Financial Corporation is a diversified financial services holding company offering banking, wealth management, and institutional banking services. They primarily earn revenue from interest on loans, fees for services, and investment activities, with individuals, businesses, and institutional clients being their main payers.

    End Markets

    Commercial BankingWealth ManagementInstitutional Banking

    Revenue Drivers

    Net interest income
    Service charges and fees
    Investment securities gains
    Market Cap: 2.0BBeta: 0.55
    WHY

    Why Is It Priced Like This?

    Why Customers Pay

    Comprehensive financial solutions
    Personalized client relationships
    Strong regional presence
    Intrinsic Value$137.72
    Discount to IV 80.7%
    Outlier Result P/IV 0.2x — valuation gap too extreme for meaningful implied growth or return estimates.

    The market prices UMBFO with an 80.7% discount to the model's intrinsic value?Intrinsic Value — Our DCF model's estimate of what each share is mathematically worth based on projected cash flows.
    Why it matters: Compare to current price. Below IV = potentially undervalued. Above IV = priced for growth that must actually happen.
    Reference: Model-derived; quality depends on data and assumptions.
    Full explanation →    . This is likely due to concerns over its rising long-term debt, which has increased from $272M to $474M, and a low franchise/durability score of 1/5. Separately, the market's implied growth rate is not applicable for this model, but the price suggests investors are cautious about future cash flow generation given these financial health signals.

    Three Scenarios, Weighted
    ScenarioIVvs PriceWeight
    Conservative$111.71319.7%40%
    Base$147.72455.0%35%
    Optimistic$165.34521.2%25%
    Weighted$137.72417.5%100%
    HOW

    Business Model & Valuation

    How They Make Money

    Interest income from loans and investments
    Fees from banking services and wealth management
    Trading and investment gains

    UMB Financial Corporation has been profitable for 5/5 years and has positive operating cash flow for 5/5 years, indicating it funds itself through operations. Specific dividend or buyback rates are not provided in the FLAGS.

    Residual Income Medium

    Balance-sheet financial (Banks): residual income model - book value is meaningful anchor.

    In plain English: we estimate UMBFO's value by projecting its book value plus the excess return it earns on that capital into the future and converting it back to what it's worth today. We start from $9.53 per share (EPS basis (residual-income model)), assume it grows 6.8% per year for about 5 years (then gradually fades), and discount everything at 9.0% — the yearly return a buyer should demand for this much risk. After that it's assumed to grow 3.0% per year forever (roughly the long-run pace of the whole economy). A higher discount rate or slower growth means a lower value, and vice-versa — change any of these yourself in the calculator above.
    Book value / share$9.53EPS basis (residual-income model) — smoothed, not the latest single year
    Growth (g₁) — 5yr6.8%Source: historical CAGR + sector defaults
    Discount Rate (r)9.0%
    Terminal Growth (gT)3.0%
    Show advanced inputs
    SectorDefault8.0%

    What this model does NOT do: this is a consolidated owner-earnings FCF model. Standalone segment assumptions: none. It does not project net interest income and fee-income lines independently; their combined effect is embedded in the historical revenue and cash-flow trend the model extrapolates. The calculator above can only approximate a segment's impact through the single consolidated growth rate — it cannot model any one line separately. For a true segment-level view, build a separate model from the company's segment disclosures.

    WHEN

    Maturity & Competitive Position

    Financial institution

    Moat Signals

    Established customer relationships
    Regulatory barriers to entry
    Diversified service offerings

    The company has been profitable for 5/5 years and has positive operating cash flow for 5/5 years.

    WHERE

    Geography & Markets

    UMB Financial Corporation primarily operates across the United States, with a significant presence in the Midwest and other key markets. Exact geographic segment percentages are not available from current data sources.

    Geographic Risks

    Regional economic downturn risk (concentration in Midwest)
    Interest rate sensitivity risk
    SIGNALS

    Market Signals

    These are timing signals, not value signals — they describe the stock's recent price behavior, not what the business is worth. Use them for the "the thesis looks good, but is now the moment?" question. Each tile below explains what it's saying.

    Model bullish, tape neutral
    RSI?RSI — Relative Strength Index — a 0-100 momentum gauge. Above 70 = overbought; below 30 = oversold.
    Why it matters: Short-term contrarian indicator. Extreme readings often precede mean reversion, though not always.
    Reference: 30–70 normal · >70 overbought · <30 oversold
    Full explanation →     (14)    55.6NeutralMomentum is balanced — neither overbought nor oversold.
    MACD?MACD — Moving Average Convergence Divergence — compares a fast and a slow price trend to gauge momentum direction.
    Why it matters: When the fast line crosses above the slow line, short-term momentum is turning up; below, turning down. A timing cue, not a value signal.
    Reference: Line above signal = bullish momentum · below = bearish
    Full explanation →    BullishLine above signalThe fast trend is above the slow trend — short-term momentum is currently upward.
    50-Day Average$26.50Price above (+0.4%)Price above its 50-day average = near-term uptrend.
    200-Day Average$26.70Price belowThe 200-day line is the long-term trend divider — above it is generally considered a bull market for the stock.
    50 vs 200 CrossDeath50-day below 200-dayA "death cross" — the medium trend is below the long trend (often read as bearish).

    Technicals describe price, not the business. A great company can have a "bearish" tape (a buying chance) and a weak one a "bullish" tape (a trap). Pair these with the valuation and health sections above.

    QUALITY

    Data Quality & Risk Flags (3 notes — click to expand/collapse)
    Guardrail Notes (3)
    • Financial sector: using residual income model. IV = Book Value + PV(excess earnings).
    • Discount rate floored from 8.8% to 9.0% (financial sector minimum).
    • Discount rate floored from 7.5% to 9.0% (financial sector minimum).
    FINANCIALS

    Financial Statements (5-year tables — click to expand)

    From UMB FINANCIAL CORP's SEC filings (EDGAR).

    Income (5yr)

    YearRevenueNet IncomeEPS
    2025—702.4M$9.29
    2024—441.2M$8.99
    2023—350.0M$7.18
    2022—431.7M$8.86
    2021—353.0M$7.24

    Cash Flow (5yr)

    YearOperating CFCapEx− SBCFree Cash Flow
    2025 1.0B 48.6M 37.7M 940.4M
    2024 225.3M 20.0M 22.6M 182.7M
    2023 472.6M 23.1M 18.7M 430.8M
    2022 769.6M 51.7M 21.5M 696.3M
    2021 534.1M 33.7M 21.2M 479.2M

    How we define FCF: operating cash flow − capital expenditure − stock-based compensation (owner-earnings basis — SBC is a real cost to shareholders even though it's non-cash). Latest year: 1.0B − 48.6M − 37.7M (stock-based comp) = 940.4M. This is the same owner-earnings FCF definition the valuation model uses, though the DCF's starting value is a EPS basis (residual-income model), not this single year.

    Balance Sheet

    Total Assets73.1B
    Total Liabilities65.4B
    Equity7.7B
    Total Debt474.2M
    PG
    Methodology by Pouyan Golshani, MD — founder of Gighz. Savng was built by a physician for busy professionals: every number on this page comes from SEC filings (EDGAR) and FINRA data through transparent, rules-based models — no analyst opinions, no hidden inputs. How we calculate every number →
    ⚠️ Not investment advice. Automated model outputs, last refreshed 11 days ago (the analysis-refresh date, not the latest filing period). All models have blind spots. Full disclaimer →
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