Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
AESI
Fairly valued
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
Price$12.45
Model IV$13.72
P/IV1.22
Discount 9%
Return to IV: +10.2%
Market implies +5.1%/yr
vs model +8.0% · in line
AGIG
Valuation N/A
ABUNDIA GLOBAL IMPACT GROUP, INC.
Price$0.90
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +21.5%/yr
vs model +0.0% · above model
AMPY
Deeply undervalued
Amplify Energy Corp.
Price$4.78
Model IV$13.75
P/IV0.34
Discount 65%
Return to IV: +187.7%
Market implies -19.8%/yr
vs model +0.0% · below model
ANNA
Valuation N/A
AleAnna, Inc.
Price$2.75
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +37.0%/yr
vs model +4.0% · above model
APA
Deeply undervalued
APA Corp
Price$41.02
Model IV$170.09
P/IV0.21
Discount 76%
Return to IV: +314.7%
Market implies -15.6%/yr
vs model +3.5% · below model
AR
Fairly valued
ANTERO RESOURCES Corp
Price$37.37
Model IV$33.27
P/IV1.07
Premium +12%
Return to IV: -11.0%
Market implies -1.6%/yr
vs model +0.0% · in line
BKV
Deeply overvalued
BKV Corp
Price$26.73
Model IV$9.93
P/IV2.67
Premium +169%
Return to IV: -62.9%
Market implies +10.2%/yr
vs model +0.0% · above model
BRN
Overvalued
BARNWELL INDUSTRIES INC
Price$0.97
Model IV$0.75
P/IV1.39
Premium +29%
Return to IV: -22.4%
Market implies -3.5%/yr
vs model +0.0% · below model
BSM
Valuation N/A
Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
Price$14.10
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CHRD
Deeply undervalued
Chord Energy Corp
Price$137.32
Model IV$727.47
P/IV0.18
Discount 81%
Return to IV: +429.8%
Market implies -15.5%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
CKX
Deeply overvalued
CKX LANDS, INC.
Price$10.70
Model IV$2.53
P/IV4.20
Premium +323%
Return to IV: -76.4%
Market implies +17.6%/yr
vs model +3.3% · above model
CNQ
Valuation N/A
CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LTD
Price$47.97
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CNX
Deeply undervalued
CNX Resources Corp
Price$35.72
Model IV$56.46
P/IV0.60
Discount 37%
Return to IV: +58.1%
Market implies +0.1%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
CRC
Deeply undervalued
California Resources Corp
Price$53.31
Model IV$124.02
P/IV0.48
Discount 57%
Return to IV: +132.6%
Market implies -4.7%/yr
vs model +7.6% · below model
CRGY
Deeply undervalued
Crescent Energy Co
Price$12.20
Model IV$67.06
P/IV0.46
Discount 82%
Return to IV: +449.7%
Market implies -16.0%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
CRK
Deeply undervalued
COMSTOCK RESOURCES INC
Price$13.58
Model IV$21.76
P/IV0.61
Discount 38%
Return to IV: +60.2%
Market implies -0.1%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
CVE
Valuation N/A
CENOVUS ENERGY INC.
Price$31.01
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
DEC
Deeply undervalued
Diversified Energy Co
Price$13.85
Model IV$35.19
P/IV0.41
Discount 61%
Return to IV: +154.1%
Market implies -16.6%/yr
vs model +0.0% · below model
DMLP
Deeply undervalued
DORCHESTER MINERALS, L.P.
Price$26.08
Model IV$56.62
P/IV0.48
Discount 54%
Return to IV: +117.1%
Market implies -4.4%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
DVN
Deeply undervalued
DEVON ENERGY CORP/DE
Price$45.85
Model IV$107.75
P/IV0.41
Discount 57%
Return to IV: +135.0%
Market implies -6.9%/yr
vs model +4.8% · below model
E
Valuation N/A
ENI SPA
Price$55.28
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
EC
Valuation N/A
ECOPETROL S.A.
Price$17.17
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
EGY
Deeply undervalued
VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/
Price$5.63
Model IV$25.19
P/IV0.21
Discount 78%
Return to IV: +347.5%
Market implies -14.1%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
EOG
Deeply undervalued
EOG RESOURCES INC
Price$142.61
Model IV$366.40
P/IV0.36
Discount 61%
Return to IV: +156.9%
Market implies -8.2%/yr
vs model +4.7% · below model
EONR
Deeply undervalued
EON Resources Inc.
Price$0.48
Model IV$7.15
P/IV0.08
Discount 93%
Return to IV: +1,398.4%
Market implies -50.0%/yr
vs model +0.0% · below model
EP
Deeply overvalued
EMPIRE PETROLEUM CORP
Price$2.80
Model IV$0.88
P/IV2.87
Premium +217%
Return to IV: -68.4%
Market implies +18.0%/yr
vs model +5.1% · above model
EPM
Deeply undervalued
EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP
Price$3.75
Model IV$18.45
P/IV0.23
Discount 80%
Return to IV: +391.9%
Market implies -16.7%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
EPSN
Deeply undervalued
Epsilon Energy Ltd.
Price$5.32
Model IV$13.35
P/IV0.42
Discount 60%
Return to IV: +151.0%
Market implies -10.0%/yr
vs model +4.7% · below model
EQT
Fairly valued
EQT Corp
Price$54.08
Model IV$48.89
P/IV1.12
Premium +11%
Return to IV: -9.6%
Market implies +5.8%/yr
vs model +5.5% · in line
EXE
Fairly valued
EXPAND ENERGY Corp
Price$94.78
Model IV$108.29
P/IV0.86
Discount 12%
Return to IV: +14.3%
Market implies +4.7%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
FANG
Valuation N/A
Diamondback Energy, Inc.
Price$202.47
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -4.6%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
FTW
Valuation N/A
PRESIDIO PRODUCTION Co
Price$11.21
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GBR
Valuation N/A
New Concept Energy, Inc.
Price$0.71
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GFR
Valuation N/A
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
Price$6.81
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GPOR
Deeply undervalued
GULFPORT ENERGY CORP
Price$170.03
Model IV$867.27
P/IV0.19
Discount 80%
Return to IV: +410.1%
Market implies -14.9%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
GPRK
Valuation N/A
GeoPark Ltd
Price$9.31
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GRNT
Deeply undervalued
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.
Price$5.11
Model IV$46.20
P/IV0.11
Discount 89%
Return to IV: +804.2%
Market implies -24.9%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
GTE
Deeply undervalued
GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC.
Price$9.19
Model IV$110.21
P/IV0.07
Discount 92%
Return to IV: +1,099.2%
Market implies -34.8%/yr
vs model +5.4% · below model
HESM
Deeply undervalued
Hess Midstream LP
Price$40.53
Model IV$124.82
P/IV0.30
Discount 68%
Return to IV: +208.0%
Market implies -9.0%/yr
vs model +6.6% · below model
INDO
Valuation N/A
Indonesia Energy Corp Ltd
Price$2.98
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +38.2%/yr
vs model +0.0% · above model
INR
Deeply undervalued
INFINITY NATURAL RESOURCES, INC.
Price$14.08
Model IV$59.30
P/IV0.23
Discount 76%
Return to IV: +321.1%
Market implies -13.2%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
KGEI
Valuation N/A
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
Price$5.77
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
KOS
Deeply undervalued
Kosmos Energy Ltd.
Price$2.53
Model IV$10.63
P/IV0.26
Discount 76%
Return to IV: +320.2%
Market implies -17.5%/yr
vs model +3.0% · below model
KRP
Valuation N/A
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP
Price$15.10
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MGY
Deeply undervalued
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp
Price$26.24
Model IV$85.58
P/IV0.32
Discount 69%
Return to IV: +226.1%
Market implies -11.4%/yr
vs model +4.7% · below model
MNR
Deeply undervalued
MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP
Price$12.98
Model IV$84.02
P/IV0.16
Discount 85%
Return to IV: +547.3%
Market implies -18.4%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
MTDR
Deeply undervalued
Matador Resources Co
Price$53.69
Model IV$173.71
P/IV0.31
Discount 69%
Return to IV: +223.5%
Market implies -8.7%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
MUR
Deeply undervalued
MURPHY OIL CORP
Price$34.57
Model IV$193.31
P/IV0.19
Discount 82%
Return to IV: +459.2%
Market implies -20.7%/yr
vs model +3.0% · below model
MVO
Valuation N/A
MV Oil Trust
Price$0.60
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MXC
Deeply undervalued
MEXCO ENERGY CORP
Price$9.31
Model IV$33.23
P/IV0.26
Discount 72%
Return to IV: +257.0%
Market implies -13.9%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
NOG
Deeply undervalued
NORTHERN OIL & GAS, INC.
Price$24.50
Model IV$260.62
P/IV0.08
Discount 91%
Return to IV: +963.8%
Market implies -26.4%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
NUAI
Valuation N/A
New ERA Energy & Digital, Inc.
Price$5.07
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +70.0%/yr
vs model +8.0% · above model
NUAIW
Valuation N/A
New ERA Energy & Digital, Inc.
Price$2.41
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +42.8%/yr
vs model +4.0% · above model
OBE
Valuation N/A
OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD.
Price$10.67
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
OVV
Undervalued
Ovintiv Inc.
Price$63.02
Model IV$78.64
P/IV0.71
Discount 20%
Return to IV: +24.8%
Market implies -5.9%/yr
vs model +0.0% · below model
OXY
Undervalued
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/
Price$57.70
Model IV$74.51
P/IV0.76
Discount 23%
Return to IV: +29.1%
Market implies -6.4%/yr
vs model +0.0% · below model
PARR
Deeply undervalued
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS, INC.
Price$82.14
Model IV$188.82
P/IV0.30
Discount 56%
Return to IV: +129.9%
Market implies -4.2%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
PBR
Deeply undervalued
PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA
Price$17.88
Model IV$28.84
P/IV0.65
Discount 38%
Return to IV: +61.3%
Market implies 0.0%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
PED
Deeply undervalued
PEDEVCO CORP
Price$12.50
Model IV$51.43
P/IV0.25
Discount 76%
Return to IV: +311.4%
Market implies -14.2%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
PNRG
Deeply undervalued
PRIMEENERGY RESOURCES CORP
Price$195.59
Model IV$366.72
P/IV0.45
Discount 47%
Return to IV: +87.5%
Market implies -3.7%/yr
vs model +8.0% · below model
