The Most Expensive Expectations in America

Large-cap stocks ranked by the growth their price already assumes (reverse DCF). The market's boldest bets, updated from the latest SEC filings.

Every price is a forecast. Working backwards from today's price (a reverse DCF), these large caps carry the most demanding growth assumptions in the market — the price only works if years of near-flawless execution follow. If you own them, know what you're paying for; one disappointment can re-rate them sharply.
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709 stocks · page 1 of 12
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
GS
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$887.21
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +150.0%/yr
BDRX
Biodexa Pharmaceuticals Plc
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$0.56
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +150.0%/yr
LGVN
Longeveron Inc.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$2.44
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +150.0%/yr vs model +14.1% · above model
SCNI
Scinai Immunotherapeutics Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$1.13
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +150.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
SMMT
Summit Therapeutics Inc.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$17.95
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +150.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
TEAM
Atlassian Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$195.79
Model IV—
P/IV—
Owner yield 0.1% 10-yr IRR -34.2% · steady
Market implies +145.7%/yr
FBYDP
Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Communication Services
Price$2,147.48
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +143.0%/yr
AXON
AXON ENTERPRISE, INC.
Valuation N/A
Industrials
Price$406.00
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +141.7%/yr
ROIV
Roivant Sciences Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$34.75
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +140.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
DXF
Eason Technology Ltd
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$0.51
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +135.9%/yr
ARM
ARM HOLDINGS PLC /UK
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$294.37
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +134.0%/yr
VEEV
VEEVA SYSTEMS INC
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$282.50
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +133.0%/yr
RVMD
Revolution Medicines, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$200.87
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +126.2%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
MS
MORGAN STANLEY
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$189.71
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +123.8%/yr
BA
BOEING CO
Valuation N/A
Industrials
Price$188.32
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +123.6%/yr
AUR
Aurora Innovation, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$5.72
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +122.3%/yr
AAOI
APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS, INC.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$122.54
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +114.1%/yr
NCTY
The9 LTD
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$3.42
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +113.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
NBIS
Nebius Group N.V.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$237.15
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +112.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
QXO
QXO, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Industrials
Price$11.31
Model IV—
P/IV—
Owner yield 1.3% 10-yr IRR -7.8% · steady
Market implies +110.4%/yr vs model +6.0% · above model
RKLB
Rocket Lab Corp
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$71.92
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +102.8%/yr
BMNR
BITMINE IMMERSION TECHNOLOGIES, INC.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$24.66
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +95.2%/yr
RDHL
RedHill Biopharma Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$0.47
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +95.2%/yr
SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$44.94
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +93.3%/yr
RPAY
Repay Holdings Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$3.81
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +90.1%/yr
CG
Carlyle Group Inc.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$37.80
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +90.0%/yr
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$1,111.07
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +89.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
ELVR
Elevra Lithium Ltd
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$34.71
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +88.3%/yr
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$14.34
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +82.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
KKRT
KKR & Co. Inc.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$23.03
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +80.6%/yr
IREN
IREN Ltd
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$38.69
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +80.1%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
MRNA
Moderna, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$196.48
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +78.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
MSTR
Strategy Inc
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$153.37
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +78.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
CRCL
Circle Internet Group, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$80.84
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +75.4%/yr vs model +50.0% · above model
STRK
Strategy Inc
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$75.29
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +74.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
HCM
HUTCHMED (China) Ltd
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$14.28
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +71.9%/yr
STRF
Strategy Inc
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$103.05
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +68.0%/yr
COHR
COHERENT CORP.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$334.56
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +64.7%/yr
LSCC
LATTICE SEMICONDUCTOR CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$134.47
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +63.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
STRD
Strategy Inc
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$72.33
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +62.8%/yr
SITM
SITIME Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$665.16
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +62.3%/yr
FORM
FORMFACTOR INC
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$139.80
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +61.9%/yr
TWLO
TWILIO INC
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$273.00
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +60.8%/yr vs model +16.6% · above model
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$15.66
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +60.0%/yr
SNDK
Sandisk Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$1,692.42
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +59.9%/yr vs model +9.9% · above model
STRC
Strategy Inc
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$99.43
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +59.8%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$377.81
Model IV—
P/IV—
Owner yield 0.2% 10-yr IRR -24.0% · moderate
Market implies +59.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
HUT
Hut 8 Corp.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$89.30
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +58.7%/yr vs model +47.2% · above model
WCC
WESCO INTERNATIONAL INC
Valuation N/A
Industrials
Price$366.12
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +58.5%/yr vs model +6.4% · above model
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Communication Services
Price$56.93
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +57.9%/yr
RKT
Rocket Companies, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$11.44
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +57.3%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
IONQ
IonQ, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$41.34
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +57.1%/yr vs model +50.0% · above model
MESO
MESOBLAST LTD
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$13.94
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +56.7%/yr
CDE
Coeur Mining, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$16.50
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +54.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
UMC
UNITED MICROELECTRONICS CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$23.31
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +54.4%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
DDOG
Datadog, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$271.34
Model IV—
P/IV—
Owner yield 0.8% 10-yr IRR -6.7% · grower
Market implies +53.5%/yr vs model +25.0% · above model
TSEM
TOWER SEMICONDUCTOR LTD
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$248.25
Model IV—
P/IV—
Owner yield 0.1% 10-yr IRR -30.2% · steady
Market implies +53.1%/yr vs model +3.1% · above model
KC
Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Ltd
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$9.23
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +52.9%/yr
TER
TERADYNE, INC
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$411.78
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +52.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
ATI
ATI INC
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$188.13
Model IV—
P/IV—
Owner yield 0.4% 10-yr IRR -19.9% · steady
Market implies +50.4%/yr vs model +5.3% · above model