The Most Expensive Expectations in America

Large-cap stocks ranked by the growth their price already assumes (reverse DCF). The market's boldest bets, updated from the latest SEC filings.

Every price is a forecast. Working backwards from today's price (a reverse DCF), these large caps carry the most demanding growth assumptions in the market — the price only works if years of near-flawless execution follow. If you own them, know what you're paying for; one disappointment can re-rate them sharply.
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660 stocks · page 1 of 11
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
SCNI
Scinai Immunotherapeutics Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$1.69
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +150.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
SMMT
Summit Therapeutics Inc.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$16.90
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +150.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
BDRX
Biodexa Pharmaceuticals Plc
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$0.68
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +150.0%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
AUR
Aurora Innovation, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$6.51
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +150.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
LGVN
Longeveron Inc.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$2.45
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +150.0%/yr vs model +14.1% · above model
ROIV
Roivant Sciences Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$38.99
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +143.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
FBYDP
Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Communication Services
Price$2,147.48
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +143.0%/yr
RVMD
Revolution Medicines, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$192.76
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +125.3%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
RKLB
Rocket Lab Corp
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$69.89
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +123.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
BMNR
BITMINE IMMERSION TECHNOLOGIES, INC.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$28.25
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +117.2%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
NCTY
The9 LTD
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$4.02
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +116.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
NBIS
Nebius Group N.V.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$232.80
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +112.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
QXO
QXO, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Industrials
Price$12.20
Model IV
P/IV
Owner yield 1.2% 10-yr IRR -8.6% · steady
Market implies +112.0%/yr vs model +6.0% · above model
RPAY
Repay Holdings Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$3.93
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +99.0%/yr vs model +9.0% · above model
ELVR
Elevra Lithium Ltd
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$45.51
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +93.6%/yr
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$954.49
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +86.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
ENB
ENBRIDGE INC
Valuation N/A
Energy
Price$48.20
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +83.9%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model
IREN
IREN Ltd
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$47.23
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +83.9%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$15.36
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +83.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
MSTR
Strategy Inc
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$168.50
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +80.4%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
CRCL
Circle Internet Group, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$94.49
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +78.3%/yr vs model +50.0% · above model
SITM
SITIME Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$638.32
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +77.9%/yr vs model +10.5% · above model
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$16.97
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +76.8%/yr vs model +25.8% · above model
ARM
ARM HOLDINGS PLC /UK
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$322.90
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +76.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
MRNA
Moderna, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$172.94
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +76.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
STRK
Strategy Inc
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$76.28
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +74.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Communication Services
Price$61.89
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +74.4%/yr vs model +50.0% · above model
STRF
Strategy Inc
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$103.32
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +68.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
UHAL
U-Haul Holding Co /NV/
Valuation N/A
Industrials
Price$63.43
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +64.5%/yr vs model +2.2% · above model
STRD
Strategy Inc
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$74.37
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +64.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
TEAM
Atlassian Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$195.67
Model IV
P/IV
Owner yield 2.4% 10-yr IRR 5.0% · grower
Market implies +63.1%/yr vs model +21.6% · above model
LSCC
LATTICE SEMICONDUCTOR CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$117.24
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +61.3%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
HUT
Hut 8 Corp.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$103.42
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +61.3%/yr vs model +47.2% · above model
SNDK
Sandisk Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$1,766.64
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +60.7%/yr vs model +9.9% · above model
TWLO
TWILIO INC
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$266.06
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +60.4%/yr vs model +16.6% · above model
STRC
Strategy Inc
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$98.78
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +59.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical
Price$375.30
Model IV
P/IV
Owner yield 0.2% 10-yr IRR -23.9% · moderate
Market implies +59.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
CG
Carlyle Group Inc.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$40.86
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +58.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
RKT
Rocket Companies, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$12.36
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +58.6%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
TSEM
TOWER SEMICONDUCTOR LTD
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$233.82
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +58.5%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
WCC
WESCO INTERNATIONAL INC
Valuation N/A
Industrials
Price$355.31
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +57.9%/yr vs model +6.4% · above model
CDE
Coeur Mining, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$19.52
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +57.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
MU
MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$1,043.96
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +57.5%/yr vs model +7.8% · above model
IONQ
IonQ, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$40.51
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +56.7%/yr vs model +50.0% · above model
GS
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$959.39
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +55.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
UMC
UNITED MICROELECTRONICS CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$25.43
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +55.9%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
TWST
Twist Bioscience Corp
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$165.83
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +54.2%/yr vs model +29.9% · above model
DDOG
Datadog, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$245.05
Model IV
P/IV
Owner yield 0.9% 10-yr IRR -5.7% · grower
Market implies +51.9%/yr vs model +25.0% · above model
CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$187.27
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +51.7%/yr vs model +50.0% · in line
TER
TERADYNE, INC
Valuation N/A
Healthcare
Price$381.54
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +51.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
BA
BOEING CO
Valuation N/A
Industrials
Price$201.15
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +50.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plc
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$877.33
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +49.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
BE
Bloom Energy Corp
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$272.89
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +49.2%/yr vs model +21.9% · above model
WDC
WESTERN DIGITAL CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$448.17
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +49.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
SMTC
SEMTECH CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$177.37
Model IV
P/IV
Owner yield 0.2% 10-yr IRR -22.1% · moderate
Market implies +47.7%/yr vs model +10.0% · above model
ATI
ATI INC
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$189.16
Model IV
P/IV
Owner yield 0.5% 10-yr IRR -17.3% · steady
Market implies +47.2%/yr vs model +5.8% · above model
MRVL
Marvell Technology, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$257.38
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +47.0%/yr vs model +16.4% · above model
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$183.09
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +46.8%/yr vs model +30.5% · above model
INTC
INTEL CORP
Valuation N/A
Technology
Price$121.78
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +45.3%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$147.66
Model IV
P/IV
Owner yield 0.6% 10-yr IRR -14.1% · moderate
Market implies +44.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model