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Basic Materials

Every analyzed stock in Basic Materials — 337 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Basic Materials risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
56 /100 Elevated ▼ -5 mild
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
80 /100 Extreme ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 147 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 147 stocks.
82 Extreme
▼ -1
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
47 Elevated
▼ -6
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
51.8%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
46%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
29%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 238 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Basic Materials
Basic Materials — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Basic Materials Sector Sees Broad Market Underperformance Amid Geopolitical Hopes →
The Basic Materials sector experienced a week of underperformance for several major companies, with some individual stocks dipping more than the broader market. This occurred as wider markets saw gains, potentially influenced by hopes for an…
ORLA
Orla Mining Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$9.44
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
PAAS
PAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$50.34
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
PACK
Ranpak Holdings Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$3.95
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +17.6%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
PCT
PureCycle Technologies, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$6.02
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +70.9%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
PCTTU
PureCycle Technologies, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$11.00
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +58.2%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
PCTTW
PureCycle Technologies, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$1.47
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +40.8%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
PFAI
Pinnacle Food Group Ltd
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$3.01
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
PKG
PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 64 · High
Price$231.21
Model IV$117.78
P/IV1.86
Premium +96% Return to IV: -49.1%
Market implies +12.5%/yr vs model +4.2% · above model
PKX
POSCO HOLDINGS INC.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$62.94
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
PLG
PLATINUM GROUP METALS LTD
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$1.46
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
PPG
PPG INDUSTRIES INC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 65 · High
Price$105.50
Model IV$58.04
P/IV1.95
Premium +82% Return to IV: -45.0%
Market implies +11.0%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
PPTA
PERPETUA RESOURCES CORP.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$23.63
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +92.7%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
PRM
Perimeter Solutions, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$31.56
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +29.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
PZG
Paramount Gold Nevada Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$1.32
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +32.6%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
REA
Rare Earths Americas, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$10.87
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
REX
REX AMERICAN RESOURCES Corp
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 65 · High
Price$41.62
Model IV$19.64
P/IV2.38
Premium +112% Return to IV: -52.8%
Market implies +5.5%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
REYN
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.
Undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$21.75
Model IV$29.30
P/IV0.74
Discount 26% Return to IV: +34.7%
Market implies -1.3%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
RIO
RIO TINTO PLC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$99.96
Model IV$48.34
P/IV2.07
Premium +107% Return to IV: -51.6%
Market implies +8.5%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
ROCK
GIBRALTAR INDUSTRIES, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$46.16
Model IV$32.29
P/IV1.20
Premium +43% Return to IV: -30.0%
Market implies +2.9%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
ROG
ROGERS CORP
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 60 · High
Price$131.03
Model IV$34.32
P/IV4.12
Premium +282% Return to IV: -73.8%
Market implies +17.2%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
RPM
RPM INTERNATIONAL INC/DE/
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$100.21
Model IV$62.22
P/IV1.70
Premium +61% Return to IV: -37.9%
Market implies +10.6%/yr vs model +4.9% · above model
RYAM
RAYONIER ADVANCED MATERIALS INC.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 61 · High
Price$8.50
Model IV$6.73
P/IV1.36
Premium +26% Return to IV: -20.8%
Market implies +5.2%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
RYM
RYTHM, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$21.65
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +78.6%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
SA
SEABRIDGE GOLD INC
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$29.30
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SAFX
XCF Global, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$0.41
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +26.6%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
SBMT
SILVER BOW MINING CORP.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$7.57
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SBSW
Sibanye Stillwater Ltd
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$11.84
Model IV$3.47
P/IV3.61
Premium +241% Return to IV: -70.7%
Market implies +18.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
SCCO
SOUTHERN COPPER CORP/
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 64 · High
Price$189.39
Model IV$37.59
P/IV5.15
Premium +404% Return to IV: -80.2%
Market implies +29.1%/yr vs model +5.2% · above model
SCOP
Sprott Physical Copper Trust
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$11.59
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SCZM
Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$9.65
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SDST
Stardust Power Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$0.14
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +12.5%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
SDSTW
Stardust Power Inc.
Undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$0.09
Model IV$0.15
P/IV0.80
Discount 40% Return to IV: +66.7%
Market implies -3.1%/yr vs model +5.0% · below model
SEED
Origin Agritech LTD
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$1.05
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +29.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
SGML
Sigma Lithium Corp
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$9.50
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SID
NATIONAL STEEL CO
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$1.27
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +111.3%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
SIM
GRUPO SIMEC, S.A.B. de C.V.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$26.40
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SKE
Skeena Resources Ltd
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$31.72
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SLI
STANDARD LITHIUM LTD.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$2.23
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SLSR
Solaris Resources Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$7.91
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SLVM
Sylvamo Corp
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$35.25
Model IV$95.34
P/IV0.41
Discount 63% Return to IV: +170.5%
Market implies -11.3%/yr vs model +4.5% · below model
SMG
SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 73 · High
Price$56.47
Model IV$44.21
P/IV1.33
Premium +28% Return to IV: -21.7%
Market implies +1.5%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
SND
Smart Sand, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$5.09
Model IV$11.39
P/IV0.38
Discount 55% Return to IV: +123.8%
Market implies -6.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
SNES
SenesTech, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$0.86
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +33.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
SOLS
Solstice Advanced Materials Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 60 · High
Price$61.53
Model IV$33.14
P/IV2.54
Premium +86% Return to IV: -46.1%
Market implies +12.2%/yr vs model +3.7% · above model
SON
SONOCO PRODUCTS CO
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$47.84
Model IV$76.10
P/IV0.64
Discount 37% Return to IV: +59.1%
Market implies -0.5%/yr vs model +6.9% · below model
SQM
CHEMICAL & MINING CO OF CHILE INC
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$69.88
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
STLD
STEEL DYNAMICS INC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 68 · High
Price$239.79
Model IV$77.33
P/IV3.10
Premium +210% Return to IV: -67.8%
Market implies +17.3%/yr vs model +1.3% · above model
SUZ
Suzano S.A.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$9.20
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SVM
SILVERCORP METALS INC
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$11.91
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
SW
Smurfit Westrock plc
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$43.22
Model IV$16.94
P/IV2.43
Premium +155% Return to IV: -60.8%
Market implies +19.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
SXC
SunCoke Energy, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$10.02
Model IV$22.58
P/IV0.40
Discount 56% Return to IV: +125.4%
Market implies -8.0%/yr vs model +5.7% · below model
SXT
SENSIENT TECHNOLOGIES CORP
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 64 · High
Price$128.60
Model IV$25.41
P/IV4.48
Premium +406% Return to IV: -80.2%
Market implies +25.5%/yr vs model +4.3% · above model
TANH
TANTECH HOLDINGS LTD
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$20.45
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -0.8%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
TECK
TECK RESOURCES LTD
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$66.44
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
TG
TREDEGAR CORP
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$7.16
Model IV$2.91
P/IV2.69
Premium +146% Return to IV: -59.4%
Market implies +14.9%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
TGB
TASEKO MINES LTD
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$7.84
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
THM
INTERNATIONAL TOWER HILL MINES LTD
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$2.40
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +55.8%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
TII
Titan Mining Corp
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$2.95
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
TMC
TMC the metals Co Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$3.94
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +65.5%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
TMCR
Metals Royalty Co Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 62 · High
Price$5.65
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page