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Basic Materials

Every analyzed stock in Basic Materials337 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Basic Materials risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
56 /100 Elevated ▼ -5 mild
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
80 /100 Extreme ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 147 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 147 stocks.
82 Extreme
▼ -1
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
47 Elevated
▼ -6
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
51.9%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
45%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
29%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 242 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
This week in Basic Materials
Basic Materials — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Basic Materials Sector Sees Broad Market Underperformance Amid Geopolitical Hopes →
The Basic Materials sector experienced a week of underperformance for several major companies, with some individual stocks dipping more than the broader market. This occurred as wider markets saw gains, potentially influenced by hopes for an…
TMCWW
TMC the metals Co Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$0.00
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +5.0% · below model
TMQ
Trilogy Metals Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$3.27
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +50.7%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
TOMZ
TOMI Environmental Solutions, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$1.62
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +29.7%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
TROX
Tronox Holdings plc
Fairly valued
Basic Materials Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$4.32
Model IV$4.68
P/IV1.70
Discount 8% Return to IV: +8.3%
Market implies -3.8%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
TRX
TRX GOLD Corp
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$1.20
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +32.4%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
TS
TENARIS SA
Fairly valued
Basic Materials Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$57.39
Model IV$59.87
P/IV0.96
Discount 4% Return to IV: +4.3%
Market implies +5.9%/yr vs model +8.0% · in line
TTAM
Titan America SA
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$14.60
Model IV$9.42
P/IV1.70
Premium +55% Return to IV: -35.5%
Market implies +7.8%/yr vs model +6.9% · in line
TULP
BLOOMIA HOLDINGS, INC.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$3.40
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +40.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
TWI
TITAN INTERNATIONAL INC
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$7.19
Model IV$12.55
P/IV0.58
Discount 43% Return to IV: +74.5%
Market implies -7.4%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
TX
Ternium S.A.
Fairly valued
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$57.25
Model IV$52.87
P/IV1.10
Premium +8% Return to IV: -7.7%
Market implies +1.8%/yr vs model +1.0% · in line
UAMY
UNITED STATES ANTIMONY CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$4.87
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +69.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
UAN
CVR PARTNERS, LP
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$135.88
Model IV$284.40
P/IV0.43
Discount 52% Return to IV: +109.3%
Market implies -7.1%/yr vs model +3.8% · below model
UEC
URANIUM ENERGY CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$10.45
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +83.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
URG
UR-ENERGY INC
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$1.29
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +40.8%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
USAR
USA Rare Earth, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$15.56
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +91.2%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
USAS
Americas Gold & Silver Corp
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$4.69
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +39.6%/yr vs model +27.2% · above model
USAU
U.S. GOLD CORP.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 62 · High
Price$15.20
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +84.3%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
USGO
U.S. GoldMining Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 61 · High
Price$8.16
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +71.4%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
USLM
UNITED STATES LIME & MINERALS INC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$117.84
Model IV$31.60
P/IV3.61
Premium +273% Return to IV: -73.2%
Market implies +25.2%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
UUUU
ENERGY FUELS INC
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$12.95
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +87.0%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
VALE
Vale S.A.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$14.47
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
VFF
Village Farms International, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$2.88
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +37.8%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
VGAS
Verde Clean Fuels, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$1.41
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +44.5%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
VGZ
VISTA GOLD CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 64 · High
Price$2.17
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +49.6%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
VHI
VALHI INC /DE/
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 65 · High
Price$18.26
Model IV$4.17
P/IV3.41
Premium +338% Return to IV: -77.2%
Market implies +17.8%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
VMC
Vulcan Materials CO
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 61 · High
Price$249.20
Model IV$105.96
P/IV2.39
Premium +135% Return to IV: -57.5%
Market implies +18.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
VOXR
VOX ROYALTY CORP.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$5.79
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +36.4%/yr vs model +34.8% · in line
VZLA
Vizsla Silver Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$3.97
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
WDFC
WD 40 CO
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$189.83
Model IV$126.24
P/IV1.58
Premium +50% Return to IV: -33.5%
Market implies +10.0%/yr vs model +5.8% · above model
WLK
WESTLAKE CORP
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$70.81
Model IV$140.74
P/IV0.62
Discount 50% Return to IV: +98.8%
Market implies -7.2%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
WLKP
Westlake Chemical Partners LP
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$21.52
Model IV$188.05
P/IV0.12
Discount 89% Return to IV: +773.8%
Market implies -30.0%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
WOR
WORTHINGTON ENTERPRISES, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 65 · High
Price$55.25
Model IV$37.07
P/IV1.53
Premium +49% Return to IV: -32.9%
Market implies +3.5%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$154.12
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +45.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
WRN
Western Copper & Gold Corp
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$2.41
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
WS
Worthington Steel, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 65 · High
Price$32.35
Model IV$19.24
P/IV2.19
Premium +68% Return to IV: -40.5%
Market implies +7.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
WWR
WESTWATER RESOURCES, INC.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 62 · High
Price$0.56
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +30.5%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
XPL
SOLITARIO RESOURCES CORP.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$0.62
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +29.7%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model