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Basic Materials

Every analyzed stock in Basic Materials — 337 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Basic Materials risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
62 /100 High ▲ +1 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
80 /100 Extreme ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 147 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
50 Elevated
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 147 stocks.
82 Extreme
▼ -1
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
47 Elevated
▼ -6
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
51.7%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
45%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
29%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 240 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Basic Materials
Basic Materials — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Basic Materials Sector Sees Broad Market Underperformance Amid Geopolitical Hopes →
The Basic Materials sector experienced a week of underperformance for several major companies, with some individual stocks dipping more than the broader market. This occurred as wider markets saw gains, potentially influenced by hopes for an…
LOOP
Loop Industries, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$0.47
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +18.0%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
LTBR
LIGHTBRIDGE Corp
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$6.66
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +75.0%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
LUD
Luda Technology Group Ltd
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$4.25
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +32.7%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
LXFR
LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$17.30
Model IV$6.63
P/IV2.57
Premium +161% Return to IV: -61.7%
Market implies +15.3%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
LXU
LSB INDUSTRIES, INC.
Overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$11.58
Model IV$10.20
P/IV1.23
Premium +14% Return to IV: -11.9%
Market implies +3.5%/yr vs model +3.3% · in line
LYB
LyondellBasell Industries N.V.
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$63.69
Model IV$123.17
P/IV0.54
Discount 48% Return to IV: +93.4%
Market implies -11.8%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
LZM
Lifezone Metals Ltd
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$3.93
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MAGN
Magnera Corp
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$11.70
Model IV$5.42
P/IV2.10
Premium +116% Return to IV: -53.7%
Market implies +16.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
MAKO
Mako Mining Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$10.18
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MATV
Mativ Holdings, Inc.
Undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$11.89
Model IV$14.57
P/IV0.61
Discount 18% Return to IV: +22.6%
Market implies +2.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
MATW
MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORP
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 67 · High
Price$20.00
Model IV$9.82
P/IV2.70
Premium +104% Return to IV: -50.9%
Market implies +6.9%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
MDU
MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$19.20
Model IV$11.76
P/IV1.79
Premium +63% Return to IV: -38.8%
Market implies +3.5%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
MEOH
METHANEX CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$62.90
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MERC
MERCER INTERNATIONAL INC.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$0.39
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
MGN
Megan Holdings Ltd.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$0.13
Model IV$0.07
P/IV2.18
Premium +91% Return to IV: -47.6%
Market implies +9.4%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
MINE
MAYFAIR GOLD CORP.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$3.05
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MLI
MUELLER INDUSTRIES INC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 60 · High
Price$60.48
Model IV$63.80
P/IV2.02
Discount 5% Return to IV: +5.5%
Market implies +2.2%/yr vs model +3.3% · in line
MLM
MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS INC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$500.92
Model IV$193.83
P/IV3.00
Premium +158% Return to IV: -61.3%
Market implies +16.1%/yr vs model +3.8% · above model
MOS
MOSAIC CO
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$25.05
Model IV$49.35
P/IV0.48
Discount 49% Return to IV: +97.0%
Market implies -6.3%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
MP
MP Materials Corp. / DE
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$50.51
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +56.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
MT
ArcelorMittal
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$74.51
Model IV$31.07
P/IV2.40
Premium +140% Return to IV: -58.3%
Market implies +12.1%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
MTA
Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$10.20
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MTUS
Metallus Inc.
Fairly valued
Basic Materials Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$19.24
Model IV$19.93
P/IV0.99
Discount 3% Return to IV: +3.6%
Market implies -3.4%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
MTX
MINERALS TECHNOLOGIES INC
Fairly valued
Basic Materials Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$68.81
Model IV$65.95
P/IV1.17
Premium +4% Return to IV: -4.2%
Market implies +3.6%/yr vs model +3.4% · in line
MUX
McEwen Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$18.60
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +76.7%/yr vs model +7.9% · above model
NAK
NORTHERN DYNASTY MINERALS LTD
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$1.41
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NAMM
Namib Minerals
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$1.34
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NAMMW
Namib Minerals
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$0.20
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NB
NIOCORP DEVELOPMENTS LTD
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$3.81
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +62.4%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
NCRA
NOCERA, INC.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$2.29
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +47.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
NEM
NEWMONT Corp /DE/
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$123.07
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +33.4%/yr vs model +0.9% · above model
NEU
NEWMARKET CORP
Fairly valued
Basic Materials Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$880.52
Model IV$790.94
P/IV0.98
Premium +11% Return to IV: -10.2%
Market implies +4.9%/yr vs model +4.1% · in line
NEWP
NEW PACIFIC METALS CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$5.70
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NEXA
Nexa Resources S.A.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$13.31
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NEXM
NexMetals Mining Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$2.31
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NFGC
New Found Gold Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1.69
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NG
NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$8.07
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +74.6%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
NGVT
Ingevity Corp
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$70.54
Model IV$45.26
P/IV1.50
Premium +56% Return to IV: -35.8%
Market implies +4.7%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
NICM
NICOLA MINING INC.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$6.14
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NIOBW
NIOCORP DEVELOPMENTS LTD
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$1.08
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +43.8%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
NL
NL INDUSTRIES INC
Overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 62 · High
Price$6.58
Model IV$5.01
P/IV1.21
Premium +31% Return to IV: -23.9%
Market implies +4.6%/yr vs model +3.6% · in line
NMG
Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$1.35
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NTR
Nutrien Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$78.72
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NUCL
Eagle Nuclear Energy Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$6.26
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NUCLW
Eagle Nuclear Energy Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$0.69
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NUE
NUCOR CORP
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 60 · High
Price$259.43
Model IV$150.47
P/IV1.72
Premium +72% Return to IV: -42.0%
Market implies +6.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
NVA
Nova Minerals Ltd
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$6.14
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NVAWW
Nova Minerals Ltd
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$31.40
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NWPX
NWPX Infrastructure, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$104.64
Model IV$45.05
P/IV2.62
Premium +132% Return to IV: -56.9%
Market implies +17.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
NX
Quanex Building Products CORP
Overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$21.57
Model IV$15.34
P/IV1.21
Premium +41% Return to IV: -28.9%
Market implies +10.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · in line
NXE
NexGen Energy Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$9.85
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
OCC
OPTICAL CABLE CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$13.20
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +85.1%/yr vs model +5.3% · above model
ODV
Osisko Development Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$2.31
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ODVWZ
Osisko Development Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$0.08
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
OEC
Orion S.A.
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$5.89
Model IV$11.07
P/IV0.69
Discount 47% Return to IV: +87.9%
Market implies -7.2%/yr vs model +4.3% · below model
OGC
OceanaGold Corp
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$30.19
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
OLN
OLIN Corp
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$17.20
Model IV$56.47
P/IV0.46
Discount 70% Return to IV: +228.3%
Market implies -21.7%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
OR
OR Royalties Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$36.03
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ORGN
Origin Materials, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$0.95
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +35.9%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
ORIS
ORIENTAL RISE HOLDINGS Ltd
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$1.83
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model