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Basic Materials

Every analyzed stock in Basic Materials — 337 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Basic Materials risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
56 /100 Elevated ▼ -5 mild
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
80 /100 Extreme ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 147 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 147 stocks.
82 Extreme
▼ -1
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
47 Elevated
▼ -6
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
51.9%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
45%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
29%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 242 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Basic Materials
Basic Materials — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Basic Materials Sector Sees Broad Market Underperformance Amid Geopolitical Hopes →
The Basic Materials sector experienced a week of underperformance for several major companies, with some individual stocks dipping more than the broader market. This occurred as wider markets saw gains, potentially influenced by hopes for an…
CC
Chemours Co
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$15.03
Model IV$12.59
P/IV1.76
Premium +19% Return to IV: -16.2%
Market implies +1.3%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
CCJ
CAMECO CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$93.26
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CDE
Coeur Mining, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$20.58
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +58.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
CDXS
CODEXIS, INC.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$1.47
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +46.9%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
CE
Celanese Corp
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$46.09
Model IV$173.44
P/IV0.31
Discount 73% Return to IV: +276.3%
Market implies -16.4%/yr vs model +3.5% · below model
CENX
CENTURY ALUMINUM CO
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$44.05
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +58.5%/yr vs model +3.9% · above model
CF
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$135.54
Model IV$273.72
P/IV0.40
Discount 50% Return to IV: +101.9%
Market implies -6.4%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
CGAU
Centerra Gold Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$22.63
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CHNR
CHINA NATURAL RESOURCES INC
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$3.98
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CITR
CitroTech Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$4.92
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +46.2%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
CLF
CLEVELAND-CLIFFS INC.
Undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$12.06
Model IV$19.40
P/IV0.70
Discount 38% Return to IV: +60.9%
Market implies -9.7%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
CLW
Clearwater Paper Corp
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$20.24
Model IV$67.51
P/IV0.23
Discount 70% Return to IV: +233.5%
Market implies -21.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
CMC
COMMERCIAL METALS Co
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$64.99
Model IV$30.81
P/IV2.47
Premium +111% Return to IV: -52.6%
Market implies +14.4%/yr vs model +4.1% · above model
CMCL
Caledonia Mining Corp Plc
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$25.70
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CMP
COMPASS MINERALS INTERNATIONAL INC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 63 · High
Price$24.80
Model IV$11.43
P/IV2.79
Premium +117% Return to IV: -53.9%
Market implies +12.8%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
CNEY
CN ENERGY GROUP. INC.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$0.54
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +14.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
CNL
Collective Mining Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$12.87
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CRML
Critical Metals Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$6.43
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CRMLW
Critical Metals Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$2.06
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +54.4%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
CRS
CARPENTER TECHNOLOGY CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$443.19
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +39.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
CSTM
CONSTELLIUM SE
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$26.17
Model IV$10.34
P/IV3.31
Premium +153% Return to IV: -60.5%
Market implies +16.7%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
CSW
CSW INDUSTRIALS, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 64 · High
Price$293.13
Model IV$107.22
P/IV2.58
Premium +173% Return to IV: -63.4%
Market implies +21.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
CTGO
Contango Silver & Gold Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$18.31
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +87.8%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
CTVA
Corteva, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$83.90
Model IV$35.70
P/IV2.35
Premium +135% Return to IV: -57.4%
Market implies +14.3%/yr vs model +3.4% · above model
CVGW
CALAVO GROWERS INC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$26.09
Model IV$7.72
P/IV3.38
Premium +238% Return to IV: -70.4%
Market implies +11.6%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
DC
Dakota Gold Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$5.81
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +64.0%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
DD
DuPont de Nemours, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 60 · High
Price$126.99
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +38.2%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
DNN
DENISON MINES CORP.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$3.02
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
DOLE
Dole plc
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$13.33
Model IV$47.80
P/IV0.29
Discount 72% Return to IV: +258.6%
Market implies -11.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
DOW
DOW INC.
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$29.03
Model IV$46.69
P/IV0.72
Discount 38% Return to IV: +60.8%
Market implies -9.1%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
DRD
DRDGOLD LTD
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$26.81
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
DSS
DSS, INC.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 62 · High
Price$0.72
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +19.1%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
DSY
Big Tree Cloud Holdings Ltd
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$3.63
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +52.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
DSYWW
Big Tree Cloud Holdings Ltd
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$0.02
Model IV$0.08
P/IV0.26
Discount 74% Return to IV: +282.7%
Market implies -25.0%/yr vs model +5.0% · below model
ECVT
Ecovyst Inc.
Overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 64 · High
Price$9.92
Model IV$10.26
P/IV1.29
Discount 3% Return to IV: +3.4%
Market implies +2.4%/yr vs model +4.5% · in line
EDBL
Edible Garden AG Inc
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$1.46
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +47.1%/yr vs model +5.1% · above model
EDBLW
Edible Garden AG Inc
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$0.06
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -6.3%/yr vs model +5.1% · below model
EGO
ELDORADO GOLD CORP /FI
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$43.75
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ELBM
Electra Battery Materials Corp
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$0.52
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ELE
Elemental Royalty Corp
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$21.43
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ELVR
Elevra Lithium Ltd
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$50.82
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +95.8%/yr
EMN
EASTMAN CHEMICAL CO
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$68.11
Model IV$51.99
P/IV1.46
Premium +31% Return to IV: -23.7%
Market implies +2.2%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
EQX
Equinox Gold Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$12.40
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ERO
Ero Copper Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$33.68
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ESI
Element Solutions Inc
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 60 · High
Price$34.34
Model IV$9.68
P/IV4.38
Premium +255% Return to IV: -71.8%
Market implies +21.8%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
EU
enCore Energy Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$1.10
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +43.0%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
EVGN
Evogene Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$0.48
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
EXK
ENDEAVOUR SILVER CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$10.18
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
FCX
FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$71.07
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +36.8%/yr vs model +3.7% · above model
FDP
FRESH DEL MONTE PRODUCE INC
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$32.37
Model IV$46.73
P/IV0.69
Discount 31% Return to IV: +44.4%
Market implies -3.0%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
FEAM
5E Advanced Materials, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$1.33
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +40.8%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
FF
FutureFuel Corp.
Overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$5.47
Model IV$4.28
P/IV0.97
Premium +28% Return to IV: -21.7%
Market implies -1.6%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
FMC
FMC CORP
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$11.25
Model IV$30.57
P/IV0.45
Discount 63% Return to IV: +171.7%
Market implies -20.3%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
FMST
Foremost Clean Energy Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$0.82
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
FMSTW
Foremost Clean Energy Ltd.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$0.30
Model IV$0.10
P/IV3.08
Premium +208% Return to IV: -67.5%
Market implies +15.6%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
FNUC
Frontier Nuclear & Minerals Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$1.44
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
FNV
FRANCO NEVADA Corp
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$266.00
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
FRD
FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$41.38
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +34.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
FSI
FLEXIBLE SOLUTIONS INTERNATIONAL INC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 60 · High
Price$5.80
Model IV$1.49
P/IV4.47
Premium +290% Return to IV: -74.4%
Market implies +19.6%/yr vs model +3.5% · above model
FSM
FORTUNA MINING CORP.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$11.99
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page