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Basic Materials

Every analyzed stock in Basic Materials — 337 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Basic Materials risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this sector
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
56 /100 Elevated ▼ -5 mild
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
80 /100 Extreme ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 147 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 147 stocks.
82 Extreme
▼ -1
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
47 Elevated
▼ -6
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
51.9%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
45%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
29%
Moderate
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 242 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Basic Materials
Basic Materials — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Basic Materials Sector Sees Broad Market Underperformance Amid Geopolitical Hopes →
The Basic Materials sector experienced a week of underperformance for several major companies, with some individual stocks dipping more than the broader market. This occurred as wider markets saw gains, potentially influenced by hopes for an…
FTK
FLOTEK INDUSTRIES INC/CN/
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$26.34
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +91.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
FUL
FULLER H B CO
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 68 · High
Price$50.97
Model IV$29.02
P/IV2.21
Premium +76% Return to IV: -43.1%
Market implies +10.6%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
FURY
FURY GOLD MINES LTD
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$0.59
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GAU
Galiano Gold Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$2.16
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GEVO
Gevo, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$1.57
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +41.8%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
GFI
GOLD FIELDS LTD
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$45.10
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +34.0%/yr vs model +6.8% · above model
GGB
GERDAU S.A.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$5.15
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GLDG
GoldMining Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$1.04
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GMTL
Guardian Metal Resources PLC
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials
Price$10.88
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GORO
GOLD RESOURCE CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$3.60
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +26.9%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
GPK
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$9.52
Model IV$33.56
P/IV0.34
Discount 72% Return to IV: +252.5%
Market implies -14.6%/yr vs model +4.8% · below model
GPRE
Green Plains Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$14.90
Model IV$6.38
P/IV2.46
Premium +134% Return to IV: -57.2%
Market implies +16.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
GRO
Brazil Potash Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$2.41
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GROY
Gold Royalty Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$3.41
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GRUSF
Grown Rogue International Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 66 · High
Price$0.44
Model IV$0.09
P/IV4.92
Premium +371% Return to IV: -78.7%
Market implies +25.0%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
GSM
Ferroglobe PLC
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$4.22
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
GURE
GULF RESOURCES, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$3.65
Model IV$3.29
P/IV1.58
Premium +11% Return to IV: -10.0%
Market implies -5.3%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$26.52
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HCACU
Hall Chadwick Acquisition Corp
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$10.38
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HL
HECLA MINING CO/DE/
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$19.78
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +44.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
HMY
HARMONY GOLD MINING CO LTD
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$20.64
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HSLV
Highlander Silver Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$5.50
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
HUDI
Huadi International Group Co., Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$0.75
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +21.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
HUHU
HUHUTECH International Group Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$3.95
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +33.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
HUN
Huntsman CORP
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$9.54
Model IV$5.05
P/IV3.04
Premium +89% Return to IV: -47.1%
Market implies +8.3%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
HXL
HEXCEL CORP /DE/
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 61 · High
Price$91.36
Model IV$33.52
P/IV2.68
Premium +173% Return to IV: -63.3%
Market implies +20.2%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
HYMC
HYCROFT MINING HOLDING CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$21.18
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +90.5%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
IAG
IAMGOLD CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$20.26
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
IAUX
i-80 Gold Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$1.75
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +38.1%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
ICL
ICL Group Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$5.58
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
IDR
Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$30.91
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +68.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
IE
Ivanhoe Electric Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$10.40
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +83.3%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
IFF
INTERNATIONAL FLAVORS & FRAGRANCES INC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 61 · High
Price$83.61
Model IV$32.22
P/IV2.36
Premium +159% Return to IV: -61.5%
Market implies +15.5%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
IIIN
INSTEEL INDUSTRIES INC
Fairly valued
Basic Materials Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$30.61
Model IV$25.25
P/IV1.09
Premium +21% Return to IV: -17.5%
Market implies +4.4%/yr vs model +3.1% · in line
INHD
INNO HOLDINGS INC.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$3.96
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +42.4%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
IONR
ioneer Ltd
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$2.79
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
IOSP
INNOSPEC INC.
Fairly valued
Basic Materials Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$93.23
Model IV$75.22
P/IV1.10
Premium +24% Return to IV: -19.3%
Market implies +6.8%/yr vs model +4.7% · in line
IP
INTERNATIONAL PAPER CO /NEW/
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$33.99
Model IV$25.01
P/IV1.34
Premium +36% Return to IV: -26.4%
Market implies +8.5%/yr vs model +5.1% · above model
IPI
Intrepid Potash, Inc.
Undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$38.42
Model IV$51.28
P/IV0.76
Discount 25% Return to IV: +33.5%
Market implies -1.3%/yr vs model +3.9% · below model
IPX
IPERIONX Ltd
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$18.67
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ISOU
IsoEnergy Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$10.64
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
ITP
IT TECH PACKAGING, INC.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$0.16
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
ITRG
Integra Resources Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$2.76
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
JAGU
Jaguar Uranium Corp.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$1.56
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +49.8%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
KALU
KAISER ALUMINUM CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 65 · High
Price$149.06
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +28.3%/yr vs model +6.1% · above model
KGC
KINROSS GOLD CORP
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$29.13
Model IV$7.21
P/IV4.04
Premium +304% Return to IV: -75.2%
Market implies +26.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
KMB
KIMBERLY CLARK CORP
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 61 · High
Price$98.15
Model IV$47.30
P/IV2.07
Premium +108% Return to IV: -51.8%
Market implies +8.6%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
KNF
Knife River Corp
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 68 · High
Price$57.63
Model IV$27.52
P/IV2.85
Premium +109% Return to IV: -52.2%
Market implies +16.9%/yr vs model +7.8% · above model
KRO
KRONOS WORLDWIDE INC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$8.18
Model IV$2.37
P/IV3.03
Premium +245% Return to IV: -71.0%
Market implies +19.8%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
LAC
LITHIUM AMERICAS CORP.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$2.91
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +54.1%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
LAR
Lithium Argentina AG
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$5.85
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
LEU
CENTRUS ENERGY CORP
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$146.25
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +42.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
LGO
Largo Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$0.68
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
LIN
LINDE PLC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 62 · High
Price$466.22
Model IV$174.78
P/IV2.67
Premium +167% Return to IV: -62.5%
Market implies +16.0%/yr vs model +3.3% · above model
LMNR
Limoneira CO
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 61 · High
Price$13.38
Model IV$5.72
P/IV2.22
Premium +134% Return to IV: -57.2%
Market implies +11.8%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
LND
BrasilAgro - Brazilian Agricultural Real Estate Co
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$3.71
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
LNZA
LanzaTech Global, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$6.06
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +67.9%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
LNZAW
LanzaTech Global, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$0.02
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -25.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
LOCL
Local Bounti Corporation/DE
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 73 · High
Price$1.30
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +33.4%/yr vs model +5.0% · above model
LODE
Comstock Inc.
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$2.82
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +56.9%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model