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Oil & Gas

Every analyzed stock in Oil & Gas — 279 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Oil & Gas risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
41 /100 Elevated ▼ -2 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
61 /100 High ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 203 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 203 stocks.
38 Moderate
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
55 Elevated
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
51.3%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
58%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
52%
Elevated
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 169 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Divergence: insiders are defensive while macro conditions (credit, curve, volatility) stay calm. Insiders are strong judges of their own companies but poor macro timers — historically this pattern favors selective stock-picking (see the opportunistic-buy signals) over exiting the market wholesale.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Oil & Gas
Oil & Gas — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Oil Prices Climb, ECB Raises Rates: Implications for Energy Stocks →
This week saw European stocks decline as the European Central Bank raised interest rates, coinciding with an increase in oil prices. For the oil and gas sector, higher oil prices can support revenue, but rising interest…
INSW
International Seaways, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$103.65
Model IV$529.26
P/IV0.15
Discount 80% Return to IV: +410.6%
Market implies -2.4%/yr vs model +24.6% · below model
IOSP
INNOSPEC INC.
Fairly valued
Basic Materials Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$93.23
Model IV$75.22
P/IV1.10
Premium +24% Return to IV: -19.3%
Market implies +6.8%/yr vs model +4.7% · in line
KGEI
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$6.57
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
KGS
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
Overvalued
Utilities Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$56.62
Model IV$47.58
P/IV1.41
Premium +19% Return to IV: -16.0%
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 61 · High
Price$1.54
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -36.5%/yr vs model +6.0% · below model
KMI
KINDER MORGAN, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 63 · High
Price$30.96
Model IV$22.31
P/IV1.39
Premium +39% Return to IV: -27.9%
KNOP
KNOT Offshore Partners LP
Valuation N/A
Industrials
Price$11.23
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
KNTK
Kinetik Holdings Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$54.75
Model IV$106.38
P/IV0.43
Discount 49% Return to IV: +94.3%
KOLD
ProShares Trust II
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 63 · High
Price$28.36
Model IV$10.09
P/IV2.13
Premium +181% Return to IV: -64.4%
KOS
Kosmos Energy Ltd.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$3.09
Model IV$10.63
P/IV0.26
Discount 71% Return to IV: +244.0%
Market implies -14.6%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
KRP
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP
Valuation N/A
Energy
Price$14.84
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
L
LOEWS CORP
Fairly valued
Financial Services Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$108.79
Model IV$90.31
P/IV1.15
Premium +20% Return to IV: -17.0%
LBRT
Liberty Energy Inc.
Undervalued
Energy Risk 62 · High
Price$19.47
Model IV$24.70
P/IV1.75
Discount 21% Return to IV: +26.9%
Market implies +3.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
LNG
Cheniere Energy, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 59 · Elevated
Price$270.98
Model IV$71.05
P/IV3.16
Premium +281% Return to IV: -73.8%
LNT
ALLIANT ENERGY CORP
Fairly valued
Utilities Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$67.26
Model IV$70.14
P/IV1.02
Discount 4% Return to IV: +4.3%
MARPS
MARINE PETROLEUM TRUST
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$4.51
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MDU
MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$19.20
Model IV$11.76
P/IV1.79
Premium +63% Return to IV: -38.8%
Market implies +3.5%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
MGEE
MGE ENERGY INC
Overvalued
Utilities Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$76.48
Model IV$61.82
P/IV1.22
Premium +24% Return to IV: -19.2%
MGY
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$27.75
Model IV$85.58
P/IV0.32
Discount 68% Return to IV: +208.4%
Market implies -10.6%/yr vs model +4.7% · below model
MMLP
MARTIN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS L.P.
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Defensive Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$2.30
Model IV$9.22
P/IV0.30
Discount 75% Return to IV: +301.0%
Market implies -18.9%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
MNR
MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$12.57
Model IV$84.02
P/IV0.16
Discount 85% Return to IV: +568.4%
Market implies -18.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
MNTK
Montauk Renewables, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$2.22
Model IV$0.47
P/IV3.72
Premium +374% Return to IV: -78.9%
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corp
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$395.93
Model IV$410.81
P/IV0.61
Discount 4% Return to IV: +3.8%
Market implies +2.2%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
MPLX
MPLX LP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$59.84
Model IV$95.80
P/IV0.57
Discount 38% Return to IV: +60.1%
Market implies -2.1%/yr vs model +4.7% · below model
MTDR
Matador Resources Co
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$63.17
Model IV$173.71
P/IV0.31
Discount 64% Return to IV: +175.0%
Market implies -6.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
MTR
MESA ROYALTY TRUST/TX
Valuation N/A
Financial Services Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$2.47
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MUR
MURPHY OIL CORP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$38.50
Model IV$193.31
P/IV0.19
Discount 80% Return to IV: +402.1%
Market implies -19.1%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
MVO
MV Oil Trust
Valuation N/A
Energy
Price$0.60
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
MXC
MEXCO ENERGY CORP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$10.86
Model IV$33.23
P/IV0.26
Discount 67% Return to IV: +206.0%
Market implies -11.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
NAT
NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS Ltd
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 72 · High
Price$7.85
Model IV$2.87
P/IV1.79
Premium +173% Return to IV: -63.4%
Market implies +19.5%/yr vs model +9.6% · above model
NBR
NABORS INDUSTRIES LTD
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$89.30
Model IV$246.26
P/IV0.38
Discount 64% Return to IV: +175.8%
Market implies -9.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
NCSM
NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$53.35
Model IV$78.42
P/IV0.54
Discount 32% Return to IV: +47.0%
Market implies -0.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
NE
Noble Corp plc
Undervalued
Energy Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$46.55
Model IV$56.96
P/IV0.82
Discount 18% Return to IV: +22.4%
Market implies +3.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
NESR
National Energy Services Reunited Corp.
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$34.44
Model IV$12.50
P/IV1.95
Premium +176% Return to IV: -63.7%
Market implies +20.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
NEXT
NextDecade Corp
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 68 · High
Price$7.34
Model IV$5.71
P/IV1.39
Premium +29% Return to IV: -22.2%
NFE
New Fortress Energy Inc.
Valuation N/A
Utilities Risk 73 · High
Price$0.27
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NFG
NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 64 · High
Price$81.70
Model IV$56.66
P/IV1.36
Premium +44% Return to IV: -30.6%
NGL
NGL Energy Partners LP
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 75 · High
Price$17.58
Model IV$11.27
P/IV1.52
Premium +56% Return to IV: -35.9%
NGS
NATURAL GAS SERVICES GROUP INC
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$35.60
Model IV$14.71
P/IV2.67
Premium +142% Return to IV: -58.7%
Market implies +14.1%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model
NGVT
Ingevity Corp
Deeply overvalued
Basic Materials Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$70.54
Model IV$45.26
P/IV1.50
Premium +56% Return to IV: -35.8%
Market implies +4.7%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
NI
NISOURCE INC.
Overvalued
Utilities Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$41.39
Model IV$38.80
P/IV1.19
Premium +7% Return to IV: -6.3%
NINE
Nine Energy Service, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 74 · High
Price$10.24
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +28.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
NJR
NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORP
Fairly valued
Utilities Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$53.27
Model IV$62.01
P/IV0.89
Discount 14% Return to IV: +16.4%
NOA
North American Construction Group Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$13.40
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
NOG
NORTHERN OIL & GAS, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$26.31
Model IV$260.62
P/IV0.08
Discount 90% Return to IV: +890.6%
Market implies -25.2%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
NOV
NOV Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$20.54
Model IV$30.82
P/IV0.65
Discount 33% Return to IV: +50.0%
Market implies +3.3%/yr vs model +11.0% · below model
NPWR
NET Power Inc.
Valuation N/A
Technology Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$1.93
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +105.4%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
NRT
NORTH EUROPEAN OIL ROYALTY TRUST
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 62 · High
Price$9.17
Model IV$3.87
P/IV2.07
Premium +137% Return to IV: -57.8%
NWE
NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.
Undervalued
Utilities Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$68.65
Model IV$90.31
P/IV0.78
Discount 24% Return to IV: +31.6%
OBE
OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$12.97
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
OGS
ONE Gas, Inc.
Undervalued
Utilities Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$77.34
Model IV$92.17
P/IV0.84
Discount 16% Return to IV: +19.2%
OII
OCEANEERING INTERNATIONAL INC
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$51.09
Model IV$18.84
P/IV2.03
Premium +171% Return to IV: -63.1%
Market implies +19.7%/yr vs model +7.5% · above model
OKE
ONEOK INC /NEW/
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$96.62
Model IV$143.24
P/IV0.59
Discount 33% Return to IV: +48.3%
OPAL
OPAL Fuels Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 61 · High
Price$1.89
Model IV$0.65
P/IV3.50
Premium +193% Return to IV: -65.8%
OVV
Ovintiv Inc.
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$66.97
Model IV$78.64
P/IV0.71
Discount 15% Return to IV: +17.4%
Market implies -5.2%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
OXY
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/
Undervalued
Energy Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$61.46
Model IV$74.51
P/IV0.76
Discount 18% Return to IV: +21.2%
Market implies -5.6%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
PAA
PLAINS ALL AMERICAN PIPELINE LP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$26.10
Model IV$56.83
P/IV0.39
Discount 54% Return to IV: +117.7%
Market implies -7.3%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
PAGP
PLAINS GP HOLDINGS LP
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$27.99
Model IV$16.56
P/IV1.68
Premium +69% Return to IV: -40.8%
Market implies +9.3%/yr vs model +2.1% · above model
PARR
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$84.65
Model IV$188.82
P/IV0.30
Discount 55% Return to IV: +123.1%
Market implies -3.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
PBA
PEMBINA PIPELINE CORP
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$47.60
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page