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Oil & Gas

Every analyzed stock in Oil & Gas — 278 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Oil & Gas risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
38 /100 Moderate ▼ -2 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
56 /100 Elevated ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 205 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
28 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 205 stocks.
38 Moderate
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
53 Elevated
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
51.5%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
57%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
45%
Elevated
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 247 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Oil & Gas
Oil & Gas — Aug 10 – Aug 14, 2026 (Wk 33): Oil Price Risks and Market Stability: A Look at the Week in Oil & Gas →
This week, domestic fundamentals in India were weighed against oil price risks, indicating a potential impact on broader market sentiment. While some individual stock price targets were adjusted, the overall market risk for the Oil &…
ACDC
ProFrac Holding Corp.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$5.37
Model IV$22.20
P/IV0.28
Discount 76% Return to IV: +313.4%
Market implies -13.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
AEE
AMEREN CORP
Fairly valued
Utilities Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$109.74
Model IV$97.92
P/IV1.10
Premium +12% Return to IV: -10.8%
AESI
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$12.45
Model IV$13.72
P/IV1.22
Discount 9% Return to IV: +10.2%
Market implies +5.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · in line
AM
Antero Midstream Corp
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 62 · High
Price$22.08
Model IV$15.82
P/IV1.33
Premium +40% Return to IV: -28.4%
AMPY
Amplify Energy Corp.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$4.78
Model IV$13.75
P/IV0.34
Discount 65% Return to IV: +187.7%
Market implies -19.8%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
ANNA
AleAnna, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$2.75
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +37.0%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model
ANNAW
AleAnna, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 60 · High
Price$0.24
Model IV$0.14
P/IV2.15
Premium +70% Return to IV: -41.2%
Market implies +10.2%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
APA
APA Corp
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$41.02
Model IV$170.09
P/IV0.21
Discount 76% Return to IV: +314.7%
Market implies -15.6%/yr vs model +3.5% · below model
AQN
ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES CORP.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 62 · High
Price$5.74
Model IV$4.08
P/IV1.44
Premium +41% Return to IV: -28.9%
AQNB
ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES CORP.
Valuation N/A
Utilities Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$25.60
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
AR
ANTERO RESOURCES Corp
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$37.37
Model IV$33.27
P/IV1.07
Premium +12% Return to IV: -11.0%
Market implies -1.6%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
AROC
Archrock, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 76 · High
Price$33.08
Model IV$18.65
P/IV1.80
Premium +77% Return to IV: -43.6%
ATO
ATMOS ENERGY CORP
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$167.92
Model IV$119.70
P/IV1.41
Premium +40% Return to IV: -28.7%
AVA
AVISTA CORP
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$38.73
Model IV$68.09
P/IV0.61
Discount 43% Return to IV: +75.8%
BATL
BATTALION OIL CORP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$1.38
Model IV$30.03
P/IV0.05
Discount 95% Return to IV: +2,076.1%
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +6.2% · below model
BKH
BLACK HILLS CORP /SD/
Undervalued
Utilities Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$74.29
Model IV$93.84
P/IV0.78
Discount 21% Return to IV: +26.3%
BKR
Baker Hughes Co
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$64.82
Model IV$48.76
P/IV1.31
Premium +33% Return to IV: -24.8%
Market implies +9.7%/yr vs model +7.3% · in line
BKV
BKV Corp
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$26.73
Model IV$9.93
P/IV2.67
Premium +169% Return to IV: -62.9%
Market implies +10.2%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
BNO
United States Brent Oil Fund, LP
Valuation N/A
Financial Services Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$46.93
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BOIL
ProShares Trust II
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 70 · High
Price$19.61
Model IV$12.62
P/IV2.38
Premium +55% Return to IV: -35.6%
BORR
Borr Drilling Ltd
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$4.43
Model IV$2.42
P/IV2.08
Premium +83% Return to IV: -45.4%
Market implies +14.2%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
BP
BP PLC
Valuation N/A
Energy
Price$42.53
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BRN
BARNWELL INDUSTRIES INC
Overvalued
Energy Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$0.97
Model IV$0.75
P/IV1.39
Premium +29% Return to IV: -22.4%
Market implies -3.5%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
BSM
Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
Valuation N/A
Energy
Price$14.10
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
BTE
BAYTEX ENERGY CORP.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$4.37
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CAT
CATERPILLAR INC
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 60 · High
Price$856.57
Model IV$237.05
P/IV3.61
Premium +261% Return to IV: -72.3%
Market implies +24.3%/yr vs model +6.9% · above model
CEG
Constellation Energy Corp
Valuation N/A
Utilities Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$282.50
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CHRD
Chord Energy Corp
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$137.32
Model IV$727.47
P/IV0.18
Discount 81% Return to IV: +429.8%
Market implies -15.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc. /DE/
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$12.45
Model IV$7.01
P/IV1.95
Premium +78% Return to IV: -43.7%
Market implies +9.7%/yr vs model +3.2% · above model
CLMT
Calumet, Inc. /DE
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 66 · High
Price$39.48
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +32.5%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels Corp.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 61 · High
Price$1.58
Model IV$1.09
P/IV1.87
Premium +45% Return to IV: -30.9%
CMS
CMS ENERGY CORP
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$69.62
Model IV$52.40
P/IV1.38
Premium +33% Return to IV: -24.7%
CMSA
CMS ENERGY CORP
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 63 · High
Price$20.72
Model IV$15.53
P/IV1.38
Premium +33% Return to IV: -25.1%
CMSC
CMS ENERGY CORP
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 62 · High
Price$21.74
Model IV$16.42
P/IV1.38
Premium +32% Return to IV: -24.5%
CMSD
CMS ENERGY CORP
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$21.82
Model IV$16.56
P/IV1.38
Premium +32% Return to IV: -24.1%
CNP
CENTERPOINT ENERGY INC
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$40.83
Model IV$30.38
P/IV1.39
Premium +34% Return to IV: -25.6%
CNQ
CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LTD
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$47.97
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
COP
CONOCOPHILLIPS
Undervalued
Energy Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$124.52
Model IV$169.01
P/IV0.71
Discount 26% Return to IV: +35.7%
Market implies +0.6%/yr vs model +5.8% · below model
CPK
CHESAPEAKE UTILITIES CORP
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 66 · High
Price$133.85
Model IV$89.70
P/IV1.37
Premium +49% Return to IV: -33.0%
CQP
Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$64.71
Model IV$42.66
P/IV1.38
Premium +52% Return to IV: -34.1%
CRC
California Resources Corp
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$53.31
Model IV$124.02
P/IV0.48
Discount 57% Return to IV: +132.6%
Market implies -4.7%/yr vs model +7.6% · below model
CRGY
Crescent Energy Co
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$12.20
Model IV$67.06
P/IV0.46
Discount 82% Return to IV: +449.7%
Market implies -16.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
CRT
CROSS TIMBERS ROYALTY TRUST
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$10.04
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CSAN
Cosan S.A.
Valuation N/A
Consumer Cyclical Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$2.61
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CVE
CENOVUS ENERGY INC.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$31.01
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
CVI
CVR ENERGY INC
Undervalued
Energy Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$31.15
Model IV$42.66
P/IV0.78
Discount 27% Return to IV: +37.0%
Market implies -1.4%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
CVX
CHEVRON CORP
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$200.00
Model IV$132.76
P/IV1.47
Premium +51% Return to IV: -33.6%
Market implies +9.0%/yr vs model +3.9% · above model
D
DOMINION ENERGY, INC
Fairly valued
Utilities Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$68.77
Model IV$62.33
P/IV1.07
Premium +10% Return to IV: -9.4%
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$19.59
Model IV$10.96
P/IV1.93
Premium +79% Return to IV: -44.1%
DEC
Diversified Energy Co
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$14.32
Model IV$35.19
P/IV0.41
Discount 59% Return to IV: +145.7%
Market implies -16.1%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
DHT
DHT Holdings, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$18.76
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
DINO
HF Sinclair Corp
Undervalued
Energy Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$93.67
Model IV$123.91
P/IV0.56
Discount 24% Return to IV: +32.3%
Market implies +2.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
DK
Delek US Holdings, Inc.
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$58.46
Model IV$56.41
P/IV0.79
Premium +4% Return to IV: -3.5%
Market implies +3.1%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
DKL
Delek Logistics Partners, LP
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$54.01
Model IV$50.33
P/IV0.98
Premium +7% Return to IV: -6.8%
Market implies +7.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · in line
DLNG
Dynagas LNG Partners LP
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$3.76
Model IV$50.91
P/IV0.07
Discount 93% Return to IV: +1,253.9%
Market implies -36.9%/yr vs model +4.4% · below model
DMLP
DORCHESTER MINERALS, L.P.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$27.71
Model IV$56.62
P/IV0.48
Discount 51% Return to IV: +104.3%
Market implies -3.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
DNOW
DNOW Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$16.43
Model IV$23.60
P/IV0.54
Discount 30% Return to IV: +43.6%
Market implies +4.7%/yr vs model +12.1% · below model
DTB
DTE ENERGY CO
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$16.35
Model IV$91.72
P/IV0.18
Discount 82% Return to IV: +461.1%
DTE
DTE ENERGY CO
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 67 · High
Price$140.84
Model IV$91.72
P/IV1.56
Premium +54% Return to IV: -34.9%
DTK
DTE ENERGY CO
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$23.50
Model IV$91.72
P/IV0.45
Discount 74% Return to IV: +290.3%