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Oil & Gas

Every analyzed stock in Oil & Gas — 279 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Oil & Gas risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
41 /100 Elevated ▼ -2 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
61 /100 High ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 203 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 203 stocks.
38 Moderate
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
55 Elevated
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
51.3%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
58%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
52%
Elevated
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 169 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Divergence: insiders are defensive while macro conditions (credit, curve, volatility) stay calm. Insiders are strong judges of their own companies but poor macro timers — historically this pattern favors selective stock-picking (see the opportunistic-buy signals) over exiting the market wholesale.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
Sort by: A–Z Riskiest Most overvalued Most shorted Buyers' strike Largest
This week in Oil & Gas
Oil & Gas — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Oil Prices Climb, ECB Raises Rates: Implications for Energy Stocks →
This week saw European stocks decline as the European Central Bank raised interest rates, coinciding with an increase in oil prices. For the oil and gas sector, higher oil prices can support revenue, but rising interest…
TOPS
TOP SHIPS INC.
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$0.72
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +15.4% · below model
TPET
Trio Petroleum Corp
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$1.97
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +32.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
TRGP
Targa Resources Corp.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 71 · High
Price$287.25
Model IV$184.20
P/IV1.38
Premium +56% Return to IV: -35.9%
TRP
TC ENERGY CORP
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$60.88
Model IV$48.11
P/IV1.38
Premium +27% Return to IV: -21.0%
TTE
TotalEnergies SE
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$91.89
Model IV$66.12
P/IV1.39
Premium +39% Return to IV: -28.0%
Market implies +5.3%/yr vs model +0.8% · above model
TUSK
MAMMOTH ENERGY SERVICES, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$3.06
Model IV$1.68
P/IV1.99
Premium +82% Return to IV: -45.0%
Market implies +9.3%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model
TXO
TXO Partners, L.P.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$15.23
Model IV$44.67
P/IV0.28
Discount 66% Return to IV: +193.3%
Market implies -8.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
UCO
ProShares Trust II
Deeply overvalued
Financial Services Risk 60 · High
Price$51.56
Model IV$12.62
P/IV2.82
Premium +309% Return to IV: -75.5%
UGI
UGI CORP /PA/
Fairly valued
Utilities Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$37.99
Model IV$37.94
P/IV0.92
Premium +0% Return to IV: -0.1%
UNL
United States 12 Month Natural Gas Fund, LP
Valuation N/A
Financial Services Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$5.82
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
UPB
Upstream Bio, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Healthcare Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$5.73
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +66.4%/yr vs model +9.5% · above model
USAC
USA Compression Partners, LP
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$27.64
Model IV$19.88
P/IV1.38
Premium +39% Return to IV: -28.1%
USEG
US ENERGY CORP
Undervalued
Energy Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$1.40
Model IV$1.85
P/IV0.54
Discount 24% Return to IV: +32.4%
Market implies -3.0%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
USL
United States 12 Month Oil Fund, LP
Valuation N/A
Financial Services Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$56.11
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
UTL
UNITIL CORP
Fairly valued
Utilities Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$53.09
Model IV$57.87
P/IV0.86
Discount 8% Return to IV: +9.0%
VAL
Valaris Ltd
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 61 · High
Price$81.27
Model IV$27.46
P/IV3.37
Premium +196% Return to IV: -66.2%
Market implies +21.2%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
VET
VERMILION ENERGY INC.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$13.23
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
VG
Venture Global, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 62 · High
Price$15.80
Model IV$6.13
P/IV1.97
Premium +158% Return to IV: -61.2%
VIASP
Via Renewables, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Utilities
Price$25.62
Model IV$39.29
P/IV0.65
Discount 35% Return to IV: +53.3%
VIST
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$76.27
Model IV$114.83
P/IV0.58
Discount 34% Return to IV: +50.6%
Market implies -5.9%/yr vs model +50.0% · below model
VLO
VALERO ENERGY CORP/TX
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$390.42
Model IV$167.67
P/IV2.33
Premium +133% Return to IV: -57.1%
Market implies +14.1%/yr vs model +2.5% · above model
VNOM
Viper Energy, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$44.64
Model IV$97.91
P/IV0.46
Discount 54% Return to IV: +119.3%
Market implies -3.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
VOC
VOC Energy Trust
Valuation N/A
Energy
Price$3.36
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
VTS
Vitesse Energy, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$18.53
Model IV$75.63
P/IV0.23
Discount 75% Return to IV: +308.1%
Market implies -12.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
WBI
WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$32.29
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
WDS
WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LTD
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 65 · High
Price$23.69
Model IV$13.11
P/IV1.71
Premium +81% Return to IV: -44.7%
Market implies +7.5%/yr vs model +16.9% · below model
WEC
WEC ENERGY GROUP, INC.
Fairly valued
Utilities Risk 44 · Elevated
Price$105.33
Model IV$123.03
P/IV0.90
Discount 14% Return to IV: +16.8%
WES
Western Midstream Partners, LP
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 28 · Moderate
Price$49.03
Model IV$126.13
P/IV0.34
Discount 61% Return to IV: +157.3%
WFRD
Weatherford International plc
Fairly valued
Industrials Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$88.85
Model IV$96.75
P/IV1.07
Discount 8% Return to IV: +8.9%
Market implies +4.8%/yr vs model +7.2% · in line
WMB
WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC.
Fairly valued
Utilities Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$72.85
Model IV$66.00
P/IV1.08
Premium +10% Return to IV: -9.4%
WPRT
WESTPORT FUEL SYSTEMS INC.
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$1.84
Model IV—
P/IV—
Market implies +17.1%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model
WTI
W&T OFFSHORE INC
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$4.11
Model IV$7.51
P/IV0.49
Discount 45% Return to IV: +82.8%
Market implies -12.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
WTRG
Essential Utilities, Inc.
Fairly valued
Utilities Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$41.61
Model IV$46.23
P/IV0.80
Discount 10% Return to IV: +11.1%
WTTR
Select Water Solutions, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Energy
Price$20.64
Model IV—
P/IV—
Limited data — see page
XEL
XCEL ENERGY INC
Fairly valued
Utilities Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$75.50
Model IV$75.54
P/IV1.05
Discount 0% Return to IV: +0.1%
XELLL
XCEL ENERGY INC
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$21.83
Model IV$52.98
P/IV0.44
Discount 59% Return to IV: +142.7%
XOM
EXXON MOBIL CORP
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$165.08
Model IV$104.62
P/IV1.59
Premium +58% Return to IV: -36.6%
Market implies +9.6%/yr vs model +3.9% · above model
XPRO
EXPRO GROUP HOLDINGS N.V.
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 70 · High
Price$17.58
Model IV$8.29
P/IV1.78
Premium +112% Return to IV: -52.9%
Market implies +15.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
YPF
YPF SOCIEDAD ANONIMA
Undervalued
Energy Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$55.55
Model IV$62.87
P/IV0.79
Discount 12% Return to IV: +13.2%
Market implies -2.7%/yr vs model +7.8% · below model